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Lecce v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Jan, 17:00 BST, Via Del Mare, Lecce

Luca Gotti welcomes Simone Inzaghi to the Via Del Mare on Sunday evening, as their Lecce and Inter Milan sides clash in the Serie A. Stats for our tip of Lecce to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: Inter to win

An away win in Serie A is always an impressive achievement, and we're predicting that Simone Inzaghi and his Inter charges will do exactly that at Via Del Mare on Sunday evening. The statistics below, including long-running head-to-head (H2H) records, suggest they have a great chance of delivering, and the bookmakers think so too. You can get best odds of 1.36 on Inter to win. That's where we expect the smart money to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 71% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lecce
11%
7/115/2
6%
Draw
18%
4/14/1
5%
Inter
71%
4/114/11
1%
Inter 2-0
12%
11/211/2
Inter 1-0
11%
13/211/2
7%
Inter 2-1
10%
8/113/2
Inter 3-0
9%
15/27/1
Draw 1-1
8%
17/215/2
6%
Inter 3-1
7%
10/19/1
5%
Inter 4-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/111/1
8%
Inter 4-1
4%
18/114/1
Lecce 1-0
4%
18/116/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/116/1
Lecce 2-1
3%
20/118/1
12%
Inter 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Inter 5-0
2%
28/120/1
Inter 5-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/68/13
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
6/56/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
36%
3/127/10
Away 1st Goal
61%
1/41/3
No 1st Goal
3%
12/111/1
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/2019/20
2%
BTTS - No
52%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
6%
12/111/1
BTTS - Draw
13%
11/25/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
29%
21/1019/10
Home/draw
29%
2/121/10
Away/draw
89%
1/121/14
1%
Home/away
82%
1/61/6
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/51/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/216/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
13/86/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/210/21
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/210/3
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/52/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/111/1
8%
Home DNB
24%
5/15/1
4%
Away DNB
83%
1/81/10
1%
Lecce win to nil
6%
12/1-
Inter win to nil
42%
6/5-
Lecce / Lecce
6%
14/111/1
9%
Lecce / Inter
5%
18/116/1
Lecce / Draw
4%
20/116/1
Draw / Lecce
5%
14/114/1
15%
Draw / Inter
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/26/1
Inter / Lecce
2%
40/140/1
21%
Inter / Inter
41%
1/119/20
Inter / Draw
5%
16/114/1
12%
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lecce have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Lecce have conceded 27 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lecce have played 10 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 2nd place on 43 points in the Serie A league table having played 18 matches. Inter are unbeaten away after 9 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 45 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 14 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Inter have played 9 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lecce
Inter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2015232047 
May 4
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
2
Inter Away1813413143 
Jan 26
l
 
2-0A
-
-
3
Atalanta2013432343 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 27
w
 
4-0F
Mar 16
4
Lazio201136636 
l
 
1-2A
May 25
May 18
w
 
0-6F
5
Juventus2071301534 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
d
 
4-4F
Feb 16
6
Fiorentina199551232 
l
 
0-6A
Mar 2
Feb 9
-
7
Milan198741031 
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 2
8
Bologna18783429 
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
Jan 15
Apr 20
9
Udinese20758-526 
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
10
Roma20668224 
Mar 30
l
 
4-1A
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
11
Genoa20587-1023 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
Feb 23
d
 
2-2A
12
Torino20578-522 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
May 11
13
Empoli20488-620 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
Jan 19
w
 
0-3F
14
Lecce Home205510-1820 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Jan 26
15
Parma20479-1019 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 31
w
 
3-1F
Apr 6
16
Como 190720479-1119 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 25
17
Verona206113-2019 
w
 
1-0F
May 11
May 4
w
 
0-5F
18
Cagliari204610-1418 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
Apr 13
w
 
0-3F
19
Venezia203512-1514 
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza202711-913 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
7
Inter have won 7 consecutive away league games
11
Inter have not lost in 11 consecutive away league games
6
Inter have kept a clean sheet for 6 consecutive away league games
Lecce 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lecce0 - 0Genoa
Lecce1 - 2Lazio
Lecce2 - 1Monza
Lecce1 - 1Juventus
Lecce1 - 1Empoli
Lecce1 - 0Verona
Lecce0 - 6Fiorentina
Lecce2 - 2Parma
Lecce1 - 0Cagliari
Lecce0 - 4Atalanta
Lecce0 - 2Atalanta
Lecce0 - 2Udinese
Lecce1 - 1Monza
Lecce1 - 0Empoli
Lecce0 - 0Roma
Lecce0 - 1Verona
Lecce0 - 4Inter
Lecce3 - 2Fiorentina
Lecce0 - 3Juventus
Lecce1 - 1Cagliari
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALecce3 - 1Empoli
HLecce0 - 0Genoa
ALecce0 - 2Como 1907
HLecce1 - 2Lazio
HLecce2 - 1Monza
ALecce1 - 4Roma
HLecce1 - 1Juventus
ALecce1 - 0Venezia
HLecce1 - 1Empoli
ALecce0 - 1Bologna
HLecce1 - 0Verona
ALecce0 - 1Napoli
HLecce0 - 6Fiorentina
ALecce0 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 3Milan
HLecce2 - 2Parma
ALecce0 - 0Torino
HLecce1 - 0Cagliari
ALecce0 - 2Inter
HLecce0 - 4Atalanta
Inter 2ND
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Venezia0 - 1Inter
Cagliari0 - 3Inter
Lazio0 - 6Inter
Verona0 - 5Inter
Empoli0 - 3Inter
Roma0 - 1Inter
Udinese2 - 3Inter
Monza1 - 1Inter
Genoa2 - 2Inter
Verona2 - 2Inter
Frosinone0 - 5Inter
Sassuolo1 - 0Inter
Milan1 - 2Inter
Udinese1 - 2Inter
Bologna0 - 1Inter
Lecce0 - 4Inter
Roma2 - 4Inter
Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
Monza1 - 5Inter
Genoa1 - 1Inter
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInter1 - 0Venezia
AInter3 - 0Cagliari
HInter2 - 0Como 1907
AInter6 - 0Lazio
HInter3 - 1Parma
AInter5 - 0Verona
HInter1 - 1Napoli
HInter1 - 0Venezia
AInter3 - 0Empoli
HInter4 - 4Juventus
AInter1 - 0Roma
HInter3 - 2Torino
AInter3 - 2Udinese
HInter1 - 2Milan
AInter1 - 1Monza
HInter4 - 0Atalanta
HInter2 - 0Lecce
AInter2 - 2Genoa
AInter2 - 2Verona
HInter1 - 1Lazio
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Inter have beaten Lecce in 5 consecutive league meetings
7
Inter have not lost to Lecce in 7 consecutive league meetings
4
Inter have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Lecce
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Inter
Goals: Scored
2
7
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
D
1
INT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 4Inter
1 - 2Inter
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Inter since 2019
Inter
Lecce
Goals: Scored
10
0
Games: Scored
4 / 4
0 / 4
Clean sheets
4 / 4
0 / 4
INT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Inter
Inter2 - 0
Inter2 - 0
Inter2 - 0
Inter4 - 0
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Lecce look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Inter Milan have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive Serie A games, and it could be a long evening for L. Gotti's men.

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Inter Milan in their clash with Lecce, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 72 consecutive Serie A matches.

Lecce 14th Inter 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Inter will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Lecce have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
+40
Inter have scored 40% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
2.6
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283256/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lecce
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
0.8
2.2
Attack rating
LEC
INT
60%
better
view stats
Games scored10
18
Failed to score10
0
Scored first6
14
Goals scored14
46
Avg. goals scored0.7
2.6
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal13
5
Conversion rate for8
22
Avg. XG for1.1
2.1
KickOff rating
+60%
Defence rating
LEC
INT
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
8
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first12
4
Goals conceded32
15
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.7
1
KickOff rating
+41%

Lecce v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20624
W FalconeN KrstovicS PierottiH Rafia
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK20
1
-
F Baschirotto DEF20
2
-
L Coulibaly  MID20
2
-
N Krstovic FWD2061
2
-
S Pierotti FWD1912
3
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD1931
2
1
H Rafia MID17
4
-
Y Ramadani MID171
3
-
A Rebic  FWD171
3
-
T Morente FWD1631
2
-
F Guilbert DEF15
2
2
K Gaspar DEF151
3
-
A Gallo DEF152
1
1
B Pierret MID15
2
-
R Oudin MID11
1
-
L Banda FWD101
1
-
G Jean DEF9
-
M Kaba MID8
1
-
M Berisha MID61
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID4
-
N Sansone FWD4
1
-
A Pelmard DEF3
1
-
K Bonifazi  DEF2
-
F Marchwiński MID1
-
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191243
Y SommerM ThuramA BastoniD Dumfries
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK19
-
M Thuram FWD19123
1
-
F Dimarco DEF1833
2
-
A Bastoni DEF1814
2
-
H Mkhitaryan MID1814
2
-
L Martínez FWD1762
-
D Dumfries DEF1631
3
-
N Barella  MID1634
1
-
M Darmian DEF1522
2
-
D Frattesi MID1531
1
-
S Vrij DEF141
-
H Calhanoglu  MID1442
2
-
Y Bisseck DEF1311
3
-
P Zielinski MID1321
-
M Taremi FWD121
-
B Pavard DEF111
3
-
C Augusto MID1121
-
K Asllani MID101
3
-
F Acerbi DEF91
-
M Arnautovic  FWD6
1
-
J Correa FWD512
1
-
T Buchanan MID4
-
T Palacios DEF2
-