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Lazio v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Jan, 19:45 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Raffaele Palladino will be hoping for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Fiorentina side to the Stadio Olimpico to visit Lazio and Marco Baroni. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Lazio and Fiorentina will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lazio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lazio
39%
2.052.10
Draw
25%
3.403.50
Fiorentina
36%
3.603.50
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.50
Lazio 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Lazio 1-0
8%
8.007.00
Fiorentina 2-1
8%
12.0010.00
Fiorentina 1-0
8%
11.009.00
Lazio 2-0
6%
10.009.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
Draw 0-0
6%
10.008.50
Fiorentina 2-0
6%
19.0015.00
Lazio 3-1
4%
17.0013.00
Fiorentina 3-1
4%
29.0021.00
Lazio 3-0
3%
19.0015.00
Lazio 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Fiorentina 3-2
3%
34.0026.00
Fiorentina 3-0
3%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.911.91
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.911.83
2%
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.671.75
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.402.38
No 1st Goal
3%
10.008.50
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.751.80
BTTS - No
42%
2.001.95
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4.334.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.40
BTTS - Away Win
19%
7.006.00
Home/draw
64%
1.291.30
Away/draw
61%
1.731.73
Home/away
75%
1.301.30
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.30
1%
1.30
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.50
7%
3.25
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3.403.20
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.331.30
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.506.00
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.111.11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.0012.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.041.02
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10.009.00
Home DNB
56%
1.501.48
Away DNB
54%
2.502.45
Lazio win to nil
19%
3.50-
Fiorentina win to nil
17%
6.50-
Lazio / Lazio
24%
3.403.20
Lazio / Fiorentina
3%
29.0026.00
Lazio / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Lazio
16%
5.005.00
Draw / Fiorentina
11%
7.507.00
7%
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.80
Fiorentina / Lazio
4%
23.0019.00
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
14%
6.005.50
5%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lazio have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 2 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Lazio have outscored their opponents by 34 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Lazio have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Fiorentina are in 6th position in the Serie A on 32 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Fiorentina have conceded 9 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lazio
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2015232047 
Feb 16
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
Mar 9
2
Inter1813413143 
l
 
0-6A
May 18
-
Feb 9
3
Atalanta2013432343 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
4
Lazio Home201136636 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Jan 26
5
Juventus2071301534 
May 11
l
 
1-0A
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
6
Fiorentina Away199551232 
Jan 26
l
 
2-1F
-
-
7
Milan198741031 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
8
Bologna18783429 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 16
May 18
l
 
1-0A
9
Udinese20758-526 
Mar 9
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
May 25
10
Roma20668224 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-1F
May 4
11
Genoa20587-1023 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 20
Feb 2
w
 
0-1F
12
Torino20578-522 
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
Jan 19
w
 
0-1F
13
Empoli20488-620 
w
 
2-1A
May 4
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
14
Lecce205510-1820 
May 25
w
 
1-2F
Mar 2
w
 
0-6F
15
Parma20479-1019 
Apr 27
l
 
3-1A
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
16
Como 190720479-1119 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-5F
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
17
Verona206113-2019 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 19
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
18
Cagliari204610-1418 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 3
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
19
Venezia203512-1514 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 23
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
20
Monza202711-913 
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
Win / draw / win form
Lazio 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio1 - 1Como 1907
Lazio1 - 1Atalanta
Lazio0 - 6Inter
Lazio3 - 0Bologna
Lazio2 - 1Cagliari
Lazio3 - 0Genoa
Lazio2 - 1Empoli
Lazio2 - 1Verona
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Lazio3 - 1Venezia
Lazio1 - 1Sassuolo
Lazio2 - 0Empoli
Lazio1 - 0Verona
Lazio4 - 1Salernitana
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
Lazio1 - 2Udinese
Lazio0 - 1Milan
Lazio1 - 2Bologna
Lazio0 - 0Napoli
Lazio1 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLazio1 - 1Como 1907
ALazio0 - 2Roma
HLazio1 - 1Atalanta
ALazio2 - 1Lecce
HLazio0 - 6Inter
ALazio1 - 0Napoli
ALazio1 - 3Parma
HLazio3 - 0Bologna
ALazio1 - 0Monza
HLazio2 - 1Cagliari
ALazio5 - 1Como 1907
HLazio3 - 0Genoa
ALazio0 - 1Juventus
HLazio2 - 1Empoli
ALazio3 - 2Torino
ALazio1 - 2Fiorentina
HLazio2 - 1Verona
HLazio2 - 2Milan
ALazio1 - 2Udinese
HLazio3 - 1Venezia
Fiorentina 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza2 - 1Fiorentina
Juventus2 - 2Fiorentina
Bologna1 - 0Fiorentina
Como 19070 - 2Fiorentina
Torino0 - 1Fiorentina
Genoa0 - 1Fiorentina
Lecce0 - 6Fiorentina
Empoli0 - 0Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
Parma1 - 1Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
Cagliari2 - 3Fiorentina
Verona2 - 1Fiorentina
Salernitana0 - 2Fiorentina
Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
Torino0 - 0Fiorentina
Empoli1 - 1Fiorentina
Bologna2 - 0Fiorentina
Lecce3 - 2Fiorentina
Sassuolo1 - 0Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina1 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina2 - 2Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Udinese
AFiorentina0 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 0Como 1907
HFiorentina3 - 1Verona
AFiorentina1 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 0Genoa
HFiorentina5 - 1Roma
AFiorentina6 - 0Lecce
HFiorentina2 - 1Milan
AFiorentina0 - 0Empoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
AFiorentina2 - 3Atalanta
HFiorentina2 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 0Venezia
AFiorentina1 - 1Parma
AFiorentina3 - 2Atalanta
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Lazio have not lost to Fiorentina in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
18
9
Games: Scored
10 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
0 / 10
LAZ
7
D
2
FIO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Lazio1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio1 - 0
Lazio2 - 1
Lazio2 - 1
Lazio1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio3 - 1
2 - 4Fiorentina
Lazio4 - 0
League games at Fiorentina since 2014
Fiorentina
Lazio
Goals: Scored
15
23
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
LAZ
6
D
1
FIO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina2 - 1
0 - 4Lazio
0 - 3Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 0
1 - 2Lazio
Draw1 - 1Draw
3 - 4Lazio
Fiorentina3 - 2
1 - 3Lazio
0 - 2Lazio
Goal Statistics

Lazio's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Fiorentina have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for Marco Baroni's side suggests that run should continue.

Lazio's defensive record is to be admired, Marco Baroni's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Fiorentina makes sense in this context.

Lazio 4th Fiorentina 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Lazio will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Lazio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Fiorentina’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283251/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
8%
better
LAZ
FIO
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
4
Scored first12
10
Goals scored34
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
LAZ
FIO
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
12
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded28
20
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%

Lazio v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20789
I ProvedelT CastellanosN TavaresN Rovella
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK20
-
M Guendouzi MID2012
3
-
G Isaksen FWD2022
4
-
A Marusic DEF191
1
-
N Rovella MID171
9
-
M Zaccagni FWD1752
5
-
T Castellanos FWD1771
6
1
B Dia FWD1752
3
-
M Gila  DEF161
5
-
A Romagnoli DEF16
1
1
M Lazzari  MID161
1
-
T Noslin FWD1621
2
-
N Tavares DEF158
2
1
L Tchaouna FWD151
3
1
Pedro FWD133
1
-
L Pellegrini DEF121
2
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID112
-
M Vecino MID1011
2
-
Patric DEF81
2
-
G Castrovilli MID8
-
S Gigot  DEF61
1
-
E Hysaj DEF3
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191155
DodôM KeanL BeltránDodô
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Colpani MID2021
1
-
Dodô DEF19
5
-
L Ranieri DEF192
3
-
M Kean FWD19112
3
-
P. Comuzzo DEF18
4
-
R Gosens DEF1822
3
-
Y Adli MID1824
1
-
D Gea GLK171
-
L Beltrán FWD1635
1
-
C Kouamé FWD151
1
-
D Cataldi MID143
-
J Ikoné FWD14
-
A Richardson MID13
3
-
R Sottil  FWD1311
1
-
F Parisi DEF111
-
R Mandragora  MID11
3
-
E Bove MID1112
3
-
A Gudmundsson FWD93
-
C Biraghi DEF81
1
-
L Quarta DEF81
1
-
M Kayode DEF5
-
P Terracciano GLK3
-
M Pongracic  DEF3
1
1
M Moreno DEF1
-
A Barak MID1
-