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Lazio v AC Monza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Feb, 14:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

The Serie A is the focus for both Lazio and AC Monza on Sunday afternoon, as bosses Marco Baroni and Sait Karafirtinalar face one another at the Stadio Olimpico. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Lazio and Monza will score at least two between them during 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookmakers have it at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lazio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lazio
55%
21/50
1%
4/9
3%
Draw
23%
31/10
3%
18/5
Monza
22%
17/2
6%
13/2
25%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/17/1
Lazio 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Lazio 1-0
10%
6/1
13%
5/1
14%
Lazio 2-0
9%
11/2
13%
5/1
14%
Lazio 3-1
6%
11/19/1
Monza 2-1
6%
25/1
13%
16/1
13%
Monza 1-0
6%
20/112/1
Lazio 3-0
6%
8/1
10%
15/2
11%
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
27%
16/1
13%
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
17%
Lazio 3-2
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
Monza 2-0
3%
40/125/1
13%
Lazio 4-1
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Lazio 4-0
3%
16/112/1
13%
Monza 3-1
2%
50/140/1
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5
8%
3/4
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1
9%
19/20
11%
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/7
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
3/1
7%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1/1
11%
21/20
14%
BTTS - No
44%
3/4
10%
8/11
9%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/5
10%
9/4
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
10%
5/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
16/1
31%
11/1
33%
Home/draw
78%
1/141/11
3%
Away/draw
45%
7/4
5%
9/5
8%
Home/away
77%
2/91/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
11%
13/5
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1
15%
19/10
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5
7%
4/11
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
22%
17/4
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
5%
2/15
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
22%
9/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
1/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
17%
Home DNB
71%
1/10
2%
1/8
4%
Away DNB
38%
6/1
17%
17/4
17%
Lazio win to nil
28%
6/5
12%
-
Monza win to nil
10%
14/1-
Lazio / Lazio
38%
11/1011/10
5%
Lazio / Monza
2%
50/133/1
Lazio / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Lazio
21%
11/4
6%
29/10
7%
Draw / Monza
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
18%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Monza / Lazio
4%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
Monza / Monza
7%
12/1
8%
9/1
11%
Monza / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lazio have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 2 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Lazio have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Lazio have played 11 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Monza are in 20th position in the Serie A on 13 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Monza have conceded 34 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lazio
Monza
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2317332254 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
2
Inter2215613751 
l
 
0-6A
May 18
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
3
Atalanta2314542347 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
May 4
l
 
2-0A
4
Lazio Home231337942 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
5
Juventus2391311940 
May 11
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 27
6
Fiorentina2211651439 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
7
Bologna229103837 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 16
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
8
Milan22985935 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
l
 
0-1A
May 25
9
Roma23878531 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 24
10
Udinese238510-829 
Mar 9
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
May 11
11
Torino23698-327 
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
12
Genoa23689-1126 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 20
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
13
Verona237214-2223 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
14
Lecce236512-2323 
May 25
w
 
1-2F
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
15
Como 1907235711-1122 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-5F
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
16
Empoli234910-1121 
w
 
2-1A
May 4
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
17
Cagliari235612-1421 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
Mar 30
18
Parma234811-1320 
Apr 27
l
 
3-1A
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
19
Venezia233713-1616 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
Apr 13
20
Monza Away232714-1413 
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
4
Monza have lost 4 consecutive away league games
7
Monza have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Lazio 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio1 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio1 - 1Como 1907
Lazio1 - 1Atalanta
Lazio0 - 6Inter
Lazio3 - 0Bologna
Lazio2 - 1Cagliari
Lazio3 - 0Genoa
Lazio2 - 1Empoli
Lazio2 - 1Verona
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Lazio3 - 1Venezia
Lazio1 - 1Sassuolo
Lazio2 - 0Empoli
Lazio1 - 0Verona
Lazio4 - 1Salernitana
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
Lazio1 - 2Udinese
Lazio0 - 1Milan
Lazio1 - 2Bologna
Lazio0 - 0Napoli
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALazio2 - 1Cagliari
HLazio1 - 2Fiorentina
ALazio3 - 0Verona
HLazio1 - 1Como 1907
ALazio0 - 2Roma
HLazio1 - 1Atalanta
ALazio2 - 1Lecce
HLazio0 - 6Inter
ALazio1 - 0Napoli
ALazio1 - 3Parma
HLazio3 - 0Bologna
ALazio1 - 0Monza
HLazio2 - 1Cagliari
ALazio5 - 1Como 1907
HLazio3 - 0Genoa
ALazio0 - 1Juventus
HLazio2 - 1Empoli
ALazio3 - 2Torino
ALazio1 - 2Fiorentina
HLazio2 - 1Verona
Monza 20TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genoa2 - 0Monza
Bologna3 - 1Monza
Parma2 - 1Monza
Lecce2 - 1Monza
Como 19071 - 1Monza
Torino1 - 1Monza
Atalanta2 - 0Monza
Verona0 - 3Monza
Napoli2 - 0Monza
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Empoli0 - 0Monza
Juventus2 - 0Monza
Fiorentina2 - 1Monza
Lecce1 - 1Monza
Bologna0 - 0Monza
Torino1 - 0Monza
Genoa2 - 3Monza
Salernitana0 - 2Monza
Udinese0 - 0Monza
Empoli3 - 0Monza
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonza0 - 1Verona
AMonza0 - 2Genoa
AMonza1 - 3Bologna
HMonza2 - 1Fiorentina
HMonza1 - 2Cagliari
AMonza1 - 2Parma
HMonza1 - 2Juventus
AMonza1 - 2Lecce
HMonza1 - 2Udinese
AMonza1 - 1Como 1907
AMonza1 - 1Torino
HMonza0 - 1Lazio
HMonza0 - 1Milan
AMonza0 - 2Atalanta
HMonza2 - 2Venezia
AMonza3 - 0Verona
HMonza1 - 1Roma
AMonza0 - 2Napoli
HMonza1 - 2Bologna
HMonza1 - 1Inter
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lazio have not lost to Monza in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lazio since 2022
Lazio
Monza
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
LAZ
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio1 - 0
League games at Monza since 2023
Monza
Lazio
Goals: Scored
2
5
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
LAZ
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monza
0 - 1Lazio
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Lazio
Goal Statistics

Lazio's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because AC Monza have conceded in each of their last 15 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.9 for Marco Baroni's side suggests that run should continue.

Lazio's defensive record is very strong, Marco Baroni's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for AC Monza makes sense in this context.

Lazio 4th Monza 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Lazio will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Monza will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Lazio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Monza have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283270/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Monza
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
LAZ
MON
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LAZ
MON
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Lazio v Monza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23889
I ProvedelT CastellanosN TavaresN Rovella
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK23
-
M Guendouzi MID2313
3
-
G Isaksen FWD2322
4
-
A Marusic DEF212
1
-
N Rovella MID201
9
-
B Dia FWD2063
3
-
M Zaccagni FWD2074
5
-
T Castellanos FWD2081
6
1
M Gila  DEF191
5
-
A Romagnoli DEF19
1
1
T Noslin FWD1821
2
-
N Tavares DEF168
3
1
M Lazzari  MID161
1
-
Pedro FWD163
2
-
L Tchaouna FWD151
3
1
L Pellegrini DEF141
2
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID142
-
M Vecino MID1011
2
-
S Gigot  DEF92
2
-
Patric DEF81
2
-
E Hysaj DEF62
-
Monza Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20439
A IzzoD MotaP PereiraA Izzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Caprari FWD2221
3
-
A Izzo DEF211
9
-
P Pereira DEF2113
6
-
S Turati GLK20
1
-
G Kyriakopoulos MID2023
4
-
A Bianco MID191
5
-
A Carboni DEF181
4
-
D Mota FWD184
2
-
D D'Ambrosio DEF14
2
1
M Pessina MID11
2
-
S Vignato MID11
-
S Birindelli DEF91
1
-
L Caldirola DEF7
1
-
P Ciurria MID711
1
-
S Sensi  MID7
-
A Petagna FWD7
1
-
K. Maussi Martins FWD61
1
-
O. Forson FWD5
-
S Pizzignacco GLK4
-
R Gagliardini MID4
1
-
J Akpro  MID4
2
-
S Lekovic DEF2
-
K Urbański MID2
-
T Palacios DEF1
-
G Castrovilli MID1
-