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Genoa v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Mar, 19:45 BST, Luigi Ferraris, Genova

the Luigi Ferraris faithful welcome Lecce's fans on Friday evening, as Patrick Vieira's Genoa go head to head with Marco Silva's troops in the Serie A. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The stats suggest Genoa and Lecce both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Genoa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Genoa 48%	21/20 3%	21/20 3%
Draw 28%	19/10 6%	21/10 9%
Lecce 24%	7/2 4%	16/5 14%
Genoa 1-0 14%	9/2 15%	17/4 9%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1 8%
Draw 0-0 11%	5/1 20%	19/4 23%
Genoa 2-0 10%	7/1 11%	13/2 6%
Lecce 1-0 9%	8/1 10%	7/1
Genoa 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	15/2 6%
Lecce 2-1 6%	14/1	12/1 18%
Genoa 3-0 4%	16/1	14/1 15%
Lecce 2-0 4%	20/1	14/1
Genoa 3-1 4%	20/1 24%	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 27%	14/1
Genoa 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	28/1 26%
Lecce 3-1 2%	40/1 21%	28/1 12%
Genoa 4-0 2%	40/1	28/1
Genoa 4-1 1%	40/1	33/1 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	13/8 19%	6/4 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1/2 10%	10/21 8%
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	15/8 5%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	5/1 20%	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	6/5 13%	6/5 7%
BTTS - No 57%	8/13 10%	8/13 5%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	9/2 16%	4/1 9%
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4 6%	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 9%	10/1 22%	8/1 20%
Home/draw 76%	2/11 2%	2/9 5%
Away/draw 52%	8/11 4%	3/4
Home/away 72%	2/5 3%	4/11 5%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	8/15 9%	1/2 7%
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	6/4 17%	7/5 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4/1 25%	19/5 14%
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6 6%	1/6 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	10/1 22%	9/1 18%
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20 2%	1/25 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1 21%	20/1 24%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80 1%	1/200 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/8 4%	1/9 4%
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	5/1 20%	5/1 20%
Home DNB 67%	4/11 3%	2/5 3%
Away DNB 44%	2/1 9%	9/5 8%
Genoa win to nil 31%	2/1 8%	-
Lecce win to nil 15%	11/2	-
Genoa / Genoa 24%	12/5 5%	11/5 3%
Genoa / Lecce 2%	40/1	33/1 17%
Genoa / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Genoa 17%	15/4	18/5 4%
Draw / Lecce 10%	7/1	7/1 7%
Draw / Draw 20%	10/3 9%	29/10 15%
Lecce / Genoa 3%	28/1 12%	22/1 10%
Lecce / Lecce 12%	6/1 8%	11/2 13%
Lecce / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Serie A table

Genoa have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Genoa have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Genoa have played 14 games at home winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Lecce are in 16th position in the Serie A on 25 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Lecce have conceded 40 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Genoa Lecce
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Inter	28	18	7	3	36	61	d 2-2F	l 1-0A	l 0-4A	l 2-0A
2	Napoli	28	18	6	4	22	60	l 1-2A	May 11	May 4	l 1-0A
3	Atalanta	28	17	7	4	37	58	May 18	l 5-1A	l 0-4A	Apr 27
4	Juventus	28	13	13	2	20	52	l 0-3A	Mar 29	d 1-1A	Apr 13
5	Lazio	28	15	6	7	14	51	Apr 20	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	May 25
6	Bologna	28	13	11	4	10	50	d 2-2A	May 25	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
7	Roma	28	13	7	8	13	46	d 1-1A	l 3-1A	Mar 29	l 4-1A
8	Fiorentina	28	13	6	9	13	45	l 0-1A	l 2-1A	l 0-6A	l 1-0A
9	Milan	28	12	8	8	10	44	May 4	d 0-00-0	l 2-3F	l 3-0A
10	Udinese	28	11	7	10	-3	40	Apr 6	w 0-2F	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
11	Torino	28	8	11	9	-1	35	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	May 18	d 0-00-0
12	Genoa Home	28	7	11	10	-10	32	-	-	d 0-00-0	Mar 14
13	Como 1907	28	7	8	13	-10	29	d 1-1A	Apr 27	Apr 20	l 2-0A
14	Cagliari	28	6	8	14	-15	26	d 2-2A	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	l 4-1F
15	Verona	28	8	2	18	-30	26	l 0-2A	Apr 13	w 1-0F	May 11
16	Lecce Away	28	6	7	15	-26	25	Mar 14	d 0-00-0	-	-
17	Parma	28	5	9	14	-14	24	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	d 2-2F	w 1-3A
18	Empoli	28	4	10	14	-22	22	d 1-1A	w 1-2F	d 1-1A	w 1-3F
19	Venezia	28	3	10	15	-19	19	w 2-0F	l 2-0A	Apr 6	w 0-1F
20	Monza	28	2	8	18	-25	14	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genoa	1 - 1	Empoli
Genoa	2 - 0	Venezia
Genoa	2 - 0	Monza
Genoa	1 - 0	Parma
Genoa	1 - 2	Napoli
Genoa	0 - 0	Torino
Genoa	2 - 2	Cagliari
Genoa	1 - 1	Como 1907
Genoa	0 - 1	Fiorentina
Genoa	2 - 2	Bologna
Genoa	0 - 3	Juventus
Genoa	1 - 1	Roma
Genoa	0 - 2	Verona
Genoa	2 - 2	Inter
Genoa	2 - 0	Bologna
Genoa	2 - 1	Sassuolo
Genoa	3 - 0	Cagliari
Genoa	0 - 1	Lazio
Genoa	1 - 1	Frosinone
Genoa	2 - 3	Monza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Genoa	1 - 1	Cagliari
H	Genoa	1 - 1	Empoli
A	Genoa	0 - 1	Inter
H	Genoa	2 - 0	Venezia
A	Genoa	1 - 1	Torino
A	Genoa	1 - 2	Fiorentina
H	Genoa	2 - 0	Monza
A	Genoa	1 - 3	Roma
H	Genoa	1 - 0	Parma
A	Genoa	0 - 0	Lecce
A	Genoa	2 - 1	Empoli
H	Genoa	1 - 2	Napoli
A	Genoa	0 - 0	Milan
H	Genoa	0 - 0	Torino
A	Genoa	2 - 0	Udinese
H	Genoa	2 - 2	Cagliari
H	Genoa	1 - 1	Como 1907
A	Genoa	1 - 0	Parma
H	Genoa	0 - 1	Fiorentina
A	Genoa	0 - 3	Lazio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina	1 - 0	Lecce
Monza	0 - 0	Lecce
Parma	1 - 3	Lecce
Cagliari	4 - 1	Lecce
Empoli	1 - 3	Lecce
Como 1907	2 - 0	Lecce
Roma	4 - 1	Lecce
Venezia	0 - 1	Lecce
Bologna	1 - 0	Lecce
Napoli	1 - 0	Lecce
Udinese	1 - 0	Lecce
Milan	3 - 0	Lecce
Torino	0 - 0	Lecce
Inter	2 - 0	Lecce
Napoli	0 - 0	Lecce
Cagliari	1 - 1	Lecce
Sassuolo	0 - 3	Lecce
Milan	3 - 0	Lecce
Salernitana	0 - 1	Lecce
Frosinone	1 - 1	Lecce

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lecce	2 - 3	Milan
A	Lecce	0 - 1	Fiorentina
H	Lecce	0 - 1	Udinese
A	Lecce	0 - 0	Monza
H	Lecce	0 - 0	Bologna
A	Lecce	3 - 1	Parma
H	Lecce	0 - 4	Inter
A	Lecce	1 - 4	Cagliari
A	Lecce	3 - 1	Empoli
H	Lecce	0 - 0	Genoa
A	Lecce	0 - 2	Como 1907
H	Lecce	1 - 2	Lazio
H	Lecce	2 - 1	Monza
A	Lecce	1 - 4	Roma
H	Lecce	1 - 1	Juventus
A	Lecce	1 - 0	Venezia
H	Lecce	1 - 1	Empoli
A	Lecce	0 - 1	Bologna
H	Lecce	1 - 0	Verona
A	Lecce	0 - 1	Napoli

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Genoa

Lecce

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

Clean sheets

0 / 2

GEN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Genoa
Genoa		2 - 1
Genoa		2 - 1

Lecce

Genoa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

1 / 3

LEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Lecce	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Lecce, with Marco Silva's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Serie A matches.

	Genoa 12th	Lecce 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Genoa will score no more than 1 goal	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Genoa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-20 Lecce have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season

21%

better

GEN

LEC

view stats

Games scored	19		13
Failed to score	9		15
Scored first	8		8
Goals scored	26		20
Avg. goals scored	0.9		0.7
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		12
Conversion rate for	12		8
Avg. XG for	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+21%

13%

better

GEN

LEC

view stats

Games conceded	19		21
Clean sheets	9		7
Conceded first	17		16
Goals conceded	36		46
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+13%

Genoa v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Genoa Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	4	6
A Martín	A Pinamonti	A Martín	J Vásquez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Martín DEF	27		4	4 -
J Vásquez DEF	27	2		6 -
M Frendrup MID	27	2		3 -
A Pinamonti FWD	27	8	1	3 -
S Sabelli DEF	24		1	2 -
A Zanoli DEF	23			3 -
M Thorsby MID	23		1	4 -
F Miretti MID	22	1	3	1 -
N Leali GLK	21			1 -
M Badelj MID	21	1		2 -
J. Ekhator FWD	19	1	1	1 -
Vitinha FWD	18		2	1 -
M Bani DEF	17			3 -
K Winter DEF	16	3		5 -
P Masini MID	16	1		2 -
C Ekuban FWD	13	1	3	1 -
A Matturro DEF	10			2 -
J Messias FWD	10	1	1	1 -
B Norton-Cuffy DEF	7			-
R Malinovskyi MID	6			1 -
M Cornet FWD	6	2	1	-
M Balotelli FWD	6			2 -
L. Kasa MID	5			2 -
J Onana MID	3			-
H. Ahanor DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	23	4	32
A Pinamonti	A Pinamonti	A Martín	A Martín

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Pinamonti FWD	8	23	1	8
K Winter DEF	3	7		1
M Cornet FWD	2	3	1	3
J Vásquez DEF	2	5		4
M Frendrup MID	2	7		4
C Ekuban FWD	1	5	3	4
P Masini MID	1	1		2
F Miretti MID	1	4	3	11
J Messias FWD	1	5	1
M Badelj MID	1	2		8
J. Ekhator FWD	1	3	1	6
A Martín DEF		4	4	32
R Malinovskyi MID		2		2
L. Kasa MID		2		2
B Norton-Cuffy DEF		1		1
M Bani DEF		2		2
A Matturro DEF		3		1
Vitinha FWD		3	2	7
M Thorsby MID		4	1	15
A Zanoli DEF		1		13
S Sabelli DEF			1	7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1292	90	148
J Vásquez	M Frendrup	M Frendrup

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Vásquez DEF	1292	33	126
M Frendrup MID	951	90	148
A Martín DEF	875	60	114
M Bani DEF	767	19	49
M Badelj MID	755	26	60
K Winter DEF	746	22	88
N Leali GLK	587		7
S Sabelli DEF	577	50	79
A Pinamonti FWD	481	8	114
F Miretti MID	426	28	104
M Thorsby MID	405	33	140
A Zanoli DEF	309	25	66
A Matturro DEF	300	11	31
P Masini MID	269	30	76
Vitinha FWD	180	15	71
J Messias FWD	132	7	31
R Malinovskyi MID	121	8	18
J. Ekhator FWD	119	4	30
C Ekuban FWD	78	3	23
M Cornet FWD	63	2	7
B Norton-Cuffy DEF	56	5	8
L. Kasa MID	44	3	7
J Onana MID	15	2	3
M Balotelli FWD	12		4
H. Ahanor DEF	12	2	6

Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	9	3	5
W Falcone	N Krstovic	N Krstovic	S Pierotti

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
W Falcone GLK	28			1 -
F Baschirotto DEF	28			2 -
L Coulibaly MID	28			2 -
N Krstovic FWD	28	9	3	3 -
S Pierotti FWD	26	4	2	5 -
T Morente FWD	24	3	1	2 -
F Guilbert DEF	23		1	2 2
B Pierret MID	23			2 -
Y Ramadani MID	23		1	5 -
A Rebic FWD	22	1		3 1
A Gallo DEF	21		2	2 1
H Rafia MID	18			4 -
G Jean DEF	17			-
K Gaspar DEF	15		1	3 -
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	11		2	-
L Banda FWD	11		1	1 -
M Berisha MID	10		1	3 -
M Kaba MID	9			1 -
J Karlsson FWD	8			1 -
D Veiga DEF	4			-
N Sansone FWD	4			1 -
K N’Dri FWD	3			-
R Pop FWD	2			-
M Sala DEF	1			-
F Marchwiński MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	36	3	17
N Krstovic	N Krstovic	N Krstovic	A Gallo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Krstovic FWD	9	36	3	13
S Pierotti FWD	4	7	2	10
T Morente FWD	3	7	1	13
A Rebic FWD	1	2		13
L Banda FWD		2	1	5
N Sansone FWD		1		1
J Karlsson FWD		2		1
M Berisha MID		4	1	5
G Jean DEF		1		1
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID		4	2	10
K Gaspar DEF		1	1	4
F Baschirotto DEF		4		3
H Rafia MID		2		13
A Gallo DEF		1	2	17
Y Ramadani MID		5	1	7
B Pierret MID				4
F Guilbert DEF			1	8
L Coulibaly MID		1		7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1233	58	138
F Baschirotto	F Guilbert	N Krstovic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Baschirotto DEF	1233	27	97
G Jean DEF	765	12	56
W Falcone GLK	758	1	19
F Guilbert DEF	751	58	118
Y Ramadani MID	727	40	66
L Coulibaly MID	696	34	94
K Gaspar DEF	650	24	95
B Pierret MID	636	40	83
A Gallo DEF	616	42	78
T Morente FWD	488	21	74
N Krstovic FWD	487	14	138
H Rafia MID	482	43	83
S Pierotti FWD	291	32	95
M Berisha MID	204	5	17
A Rebic FWD	203	10	47
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	180	7	28
L Banda FWD	110	5	32
M Kaba MID	86	10	21
J Karlsson FWD	76	2	6
N Sansone FWD	18		1
M Sala DEF	18	1	1
D Veiga DEF	16	2	4
K N’Dri FWD	5
R Pop FWD	5
F Marchwiński MID	5		1

Italian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds

Fiorentina v Juventus

Sun 16th Mar, 17:00

Atalanta v Inter

Sun 16th Mar, 19:45

Genoa v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Genoa have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Lecce are in 16th position in the Serie A on 25 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Genoa v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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