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Genoa v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 5th May, 19:45 BST, Luigi Ferraris, Genova

Giuseppe Pillon will be hoping for a vital away win in the Serie A on Monday evening, as he takes his Milan side to the Luigi Ferraris to visit Genoa and Patrick Vieira. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you browse each of the betting markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Genoa and Milan combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Genoa
35%
3.80-
Draw
27%
3.40-
Milan
38%
1.95-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50-
Milan 1-0
10%
7.00-
Genoa 1-0
10%
10.00-
Milan 2-1
8%
9.00-
Draw 0-0
8%
9.50-
Genoa 2-1
8%
13.00-
Milan 2-0
7%
9.00-
Genoa 2-0
6%
19.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Milan 3-1
3%
17.00-
Genoa 3-1
3%
29.00-
Milan 3-0
3%
17.00-
Genoa 3-0
3%
41.00-
Milan 3-2
2%
29.00-
Genoa 3-2
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.10-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.73-
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.60-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.62-
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.91-
BTTS - No
49%
1.91-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7.50-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4.50-
Home/draw
62%
1.80-
Away/draw
65%
1.25-
Home/away
73%
1.30-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.33-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3.40-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.29-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.10-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
15.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.06-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.50-
Home DNB
54%
2.62-
Away DNB
56%
1.44-
Genoa win to nil
20%
6.00-
Milan win to nil
21%
3.40-
Genoa / Genoa
14%
6.00-
Genoa / Milan
3%
26.00-
Genoa / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Genoa
10%
8.00-
Draw / Milan
17%
5.00-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00-
Milan / Genoa
2%
34.00-
Milan / Milan
26%
3.25-
Milan / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Genoa have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Genoa have conceded 28 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Genoa have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 7 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 9th place on 51 points in the Serie A league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 38 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 16 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Genoa
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3321844071 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
2
Napoli3321842771 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
3
Atalanta3319773664 
May 18
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Bologna33161251560 
d
 
2-2A
May 25
May 11
l
 
2-1F
5
Juventus32151431959 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
6
Roma3316981657 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 18
7
Lazio3216881056 
Apr 23
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
8
Fiorentina3215891753 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
Milan Away33149101351 
May 5
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
10
Torino3291310-140 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
11
Udinese3211714-1040 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
12
Como 19073310914-539 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
13
Genoa Home3291211-939 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
May 5
14
Verona339519-3032 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Cagliari327916-1530 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
16
Parma3251314-1428 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
17
Lecce336819-3226 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
18
Venezia3341316-1925 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
19
Empoli3341316-2625 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Monza332922-3215 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Genoa 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genoa1 - 0Udinese
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Genoa1 - 1Empoli
Genoa2 - 0Venezia
Genoa2 - 0Monza
Genoa1 - 0Parma
Genoa1 - 2Napoli
Genoa0 - 0Torino
Genoa2 - 2Cagliari
Genoa1 - 1Como 1907
Genoa0 - 1Fiorentina
Genoa2 - 2Bologna
Genoa0 - 3Juventus
Genoa1 - 1Roma
Genoa0 - 2Verona
Genoa2 - 2Inter
Genoa2 - 0Bologna
Genoa2 - 1Sassuolo
Genoa3 - 0Cagliari
Genoa0 - 1Lazio
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGenoa0 - 0Verona
HGenoa1 - 0Udinese
AGenoa0 - 1Juventus
HGenoa2 - 1Lecce
AGenoa1 - 1Cagliari
HGenoa1 - 1Empoli
AGenoa0 - 1Inter
HGenoa2 - 0Venezia
AGenoa1 - 1Torino
AGenoa1 - 2Fiorentina
HGenoa2 - 0Monza
AGenoa1 - 3Roma
HGenoa1 - 0Parma
AGenoa0 - 0Lecce
AGenoa2 - 1Empoli
HGenoa1 - 2Napoli
AGenoa0 - 0Milan
HGenoa0 - 0Torino
AGenoa2 - 0Udinese
HGenoa2 - 2Cagliari
Milan 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Sassuolo3 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan0 - 1Atalanta
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
HMilan2 - 2Fiorentina
AMilan1 - 2Napoli
HMilan2 - 1Como 1907
AMilan3 - 2Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Bologna
AMilan1 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Verona
AMilan2 - 0Empoli
HMilan1 - 1Inter
HMilan3 - 2Parma
AMilan0 - 2Juventus
AMilan2 - 1Como 1907
HMilan1 - 1Cagliari
HMilan1 - 1Roma
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 0Genoa
AMilan1 - 2Atalanta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Milan have not lost to Genoa in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Genoa since 2014
Genoa
Milan
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
GEN
3
D
1
ACM
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Genoa
0 - 1Milan
0 - 3Milan
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Milan
0 - 2Milan
0 - 1Milan
Genoa3 - 0
Genoa1 - 0
Genoa1 - 0
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Genoa
Goals: Scored
14
11
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
GEN
2
D
3
ACM
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 1
1 - 2Genoa
Milan2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
1 - 3Genoa
Goal Statistics

Genoa's defensive record is very strong, Patrick Vieira's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Genoa 13th Milan 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Genoa will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Genoa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283386/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Genoa
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
GEN
ACM
30%
better
view stats
Games scored21
28
Failed to score11
5
Scored first10
15
Goals scored29
51
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
GEN
ACM
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
22
Clean sheets11
11
Conceded first18
16
Goals conceded38
38
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%

Genoa v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Genoa Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30847
M FrendrupA PinamontiA MartínJ Vásquez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Vásquez DEF302
7
-
M Frendrup MID302
5
-
A Pinamonti FWD3081
3
-
A Martín DEF294
5
-
S Sabelli DEF271
2
-
A Zanoli DEF261
3
-
M Thorsby MID251
5
-
N Leali GLK24
1
-
F Miretti MID2433
2
-
M Badelj MID211
2
-
J. Ekhator FWD2011
1
-
K Winter DEF193
5
-
P Masini MID191
2
-
Vitinha FWD182
1
-
M Bani DEF17
3
-
C Ekuban  FWD1514
1
-
A Matturro DEF13
2
-
J Messias FWD1111
1
-
R Malinovskyi MID92
2
-
B Norton-Cuffy DEF8
-
J Onana MID6
-
L. Kasa MID6
2
-
M Cornet FWD621
-
M Balotelli FWD6
2
-
H. Ahanor DEF2
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30975
M Maignan T ReijndersR LeãoY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK30
2
-
T Reijnders MID3094
2
1
Y Fofana MID2914
5
-
R Leão FWD2967
4
-
T Hernández DEF2833
4
1
C Pulisic FWD2797
1
-
Y Musah MID252
5
-
T Abraham FWD2533
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD233
-
M Thiaw DEF21
2
-
M Gabbia DEF191
3
-
E Royal DEF18
5
-
S Pavlovic DEF1711
2
1
F Tomori DEF151
2
1
R Loftus-Cheek MID14
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF13
5
-
F Terracciano DEF10
2
-
J Félix FWD9
1
-
S Giménez FWD921
3
-
L Jović  FWD92
1
-
K Walker DEF8
1
-
W Bondo MID4
1
-
R Sottil  FWD3
-
M Sportiello GLK1
-