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Fiorentina v Roma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Oct, 19:45 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Daniele De Rossi is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Roma side to the Artemio Franchi to visit Fiorentina and Raffaele Palladino. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Raffaele Palladino and Daniele De Rossi to park the bus here, but we do not expect a deluge of goals as Fiorentina and Roma go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.67 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
40%
6/4
2%
6/4
Draw
30%
12/5
5%
23/10
6%
Roma
30%
17/10
6%
7/4
5%
Fiorentina 1-0
15%
7/1
14%
13/2
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
Draw 0-0
13%
9/1
25%
7/1
14%
Roma 1-0
12%
15/2
6%
13/2
Fiorentina 2-0
8%
11/1
9%
10/1
10%
Fiorentina 2-1
7%
9/18/1
Roma 2-1
6%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Roma 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
3%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Fiorentina 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Fiorentina 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Roma 3-1
2%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Roma 3-0
2%
28/120/1
9%
Fiorentina 3-2
1%
28/1
15%
22/1
Roma 3-2
1%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1/1
9%
1/1
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
4/5
8%
3/4
8%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/10
7%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
9/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
4/5
8%
4/5
6%
BTTS - No
60%
19/20
8%
10/11
6%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
10/3
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9/2
15%
17/4
9%
Home/draw
70%
4/9
3%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
60%
1/2
2%
1/2
Home/away
70%
3/10
2%
1/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1/3
5%
1/3
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
12/5
13%
21/10
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
5/2
19%
12/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
3/10
7%
2/7
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
6/1
22%
11/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/10
3%
1/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/16
2%
1/16
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
9/1
25%
7/1
14%
Home DNB
61%
4/5
4%
3/4
1%
Away DNB
51%
10/11
5%
19/20
3%
Fiorentina win to nil
27%
10/3
15%
-
Roma win to nil
20%
7/2-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
20%
3/129/10
3%
Fiorentina / Roma
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Fiorentina
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Draw / Roma
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
5%
18/5
10%
Roma / Fiorentina
3%
28/120/1
9%
Roma / Roma
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
6%
Roma / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Serie A league table. Fiorentina are unbeaten in 6 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 6 games. Fiorentina are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Fiorentina have outscored their opponents by 15 goals to 8 goals.

Home League Performance

Fiorentina have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 4 goals at home.

Roma are in 11th position in the Serie A on 10 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Roma are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches. Roma are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 2 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Roma have conceded 3 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Fiorentina
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Roma
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Jan 5
Mar 9
 Napoli86111019 
Feb 2
Nov 24
Dec 1
Feb 9
 Inter8521817 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
Mar 16
Dec 29
 Juventus84401016 
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
 Milan8422714 
May 18
Dec 29
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
 Atalanta8413513 
Dec 2
May 11
Dec 23
May 25
 Udinese8413-113 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
-
-
 Fiorentina Home8341713 
May 4
Oct 27
w
 
2-1A
Jan 26
 Lazio8413213 
Jan 5
Apr 13
Jan 19
Nov 3
 Torino8323011 
Oct 31
May 25
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
 Empoli8242110 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 9
Oct 27
May 4
 Roma Away8242210 
-
-
Feb 16
Nov 24
 Como 19078233-49 
Mar 2
Dec 15
May 18
Dec 15
 Bologna8161-29 
Nov 10
Jan 12
Dec 8
Apr 20
 Cagliari8233-59 
Mar 16
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 10
Feb 23
 Verona8305-39 
Apr 20
Nov 3
d
 
2-2A
Jan 12
 Monza8143-17 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
 Parma8143-27 
Dec 22
Feb 16
Feb 2
Oct 31
 Genoa8134-106 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
w
 
0-6F
 Lecce8125-155 
Dec 7
Mar 30
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
 Venezia8116-94 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 9
Win / draw / win form
4
Roma have drawn 4 consecutive away league games
8
Fiorentina have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
7
Roma have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Fiorentina 7TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Fiorentina0 - 0Venezia
Fiorentina2 - 2Napoli
Fiorentina2 - 1Monza
Fiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
Fiorentina1 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Fiorentina2 - 2Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina5 - 1Frosinone
Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
Fiorentina2 - 2Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 0Torino
Fiorentina1 - 0Verona
Fiorentina3 - 0Salernitana
Fiorentina2 - 1Bologna
Fiorentina0 - 1Juventus
Fiorentina0 - 2Empoli
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina6 - 0Lecce
HFiorentina2 - 1Milan
AFiorentina0 - 0Empoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
AFiorentina2 - 3Atalanta
HFiorentina2 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 0Venezia
AFiorentina1 - 1Parma
AFiorentina3 - 2Atalanta
AFiorentina3 - 2Cagliari
HFiorentina2 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Monza
AFiorentina1 - 2Verona
HFiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
AFiorentina2 - 0Salernitana
HFiorentina1 - 1Genoa
AFiorentina0 - 1Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Milan
HFiorentina2 - 2Roma
AFiorentina0 - 0Torino
Roma 11TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza1 - 1Roma
Genoa1 - 1Roma
Juventus0 - 0Roma
Cagliari0 - 0Roma
Empoli2 - 1Roma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Napoli2 - 2Roma
Udinese1 - 2Roma
Lecce0 - 0Roma
Fiorentina2 - 2Roma
Monza1 - 4Roma
Frosinone0 - 3Roma
Salernitana1 - 2Roma
Milan3 - 1Roma
Juventus1 - 0Roma
Bologna2 - 0Roma
Sassuolo1 - 2Roma
Lazio0 - 0Roma
Inter1 - 0Roma
Cagliari1 - 4Roma
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRoma0 - 1Inter
ARoma1 - 1Monza
HRoma2 - 1Venezia
HRoma3 - 0Udinese
ARoma1 - 1Genoa
ARoma0 - 0Juventus
HRoma1 - 2Empoli
ARoma0 - 0Cagliari
ARoma1 - 2Empoli
HRoma1 - 0Genoa
ARoma1 - 2Atalanta
HRoma1 - 1Juventus
ARoma2 - 2Napoli
ARoma2 - 1Udinese
HRoma1 - 3Bologna
HRoma1 - 0Lazio
ARoma0 - 0Lecce
HRoma1 - 0Sassuolo
ARoma2 - 2Fiorentina
ARoma4 - 1Monza
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Roma
Goals: Scored
14
17
Games: Scored
10 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
0 / 10
FIO
3
D
3
RMA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina2 - 0
1 - 2Roma
1 - 4Roma
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Roma
Fiorentina1 - 0
1 - 2Roma
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Roma since 2014
Roma
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
22
8
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
FIO
1
D
2
RMA
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
Draw1 - 1Draw
Roma2 - 0
Roma3 - 1
Roma2 - 0
Roma2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Fiorentina
Roma4 - 0
Roma4 - 1
Roma2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Roma's defensive record is to be admired, D. De Rossi's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Fiorentina makes sense in this context.

Fiorentina 7th Roma 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Roma scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Fiorentina’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Roma’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283118/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
27%
better
FIO
RMA
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score2
3
Scored first3
3
Goals scored15
8
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for17
9
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
FIO
RMA
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded8
6
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
12
Conversion rate against12%
9%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Fiorentina v Roma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8323
DodôA GudmundssonR GosensDodô
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Dodô DEF8
3
-
A Colpani MID821
1
-
M Kean FWD821
-
P. Comuzzo DEF7
1
-
L Ranieri DEF71
1
-
C Kouamé FWD71
-
R Gosens DEF612
2
-
C Biraghi DEF61
1
-
E Bove MID61
2
-
D Cataldi MID62
-
Y Adli MID611
1
-
D Gea GLK5
-
L Quarta DEF51
-
R Mandragora  MID5
3
-
J Ikoné FWD5
-
F Parisi DEF41
-
A Richardson MID4
2
-
L Beltrán FWD41
-
A Gudmundsson FWD43
-
P Terracciano GLK3
-
R Sottil  FWD3
-
M Pongracic  DEF2
1
-
M Kayode DEF2
-
A Barak MID1
-
Roma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8313
M SvilarA DovbykT BaldanziB Cristante
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK8
-
Z Celik DEF8
-
A Angeliño DEF8
-
E Ndicka DEF8
-
G Mancini DEF8
1
-
B Cristante MID81
3
-
T Baldanzi MID811
-
L Pellegrini MID81
1
-
A Dovbyk FWD831
-
M Malvano FWD7
1
-
M Koné MID6
-
N Pisilli MID61
3
-
P Dybala FWD61
-
N Zalewski MID5
-
S Shaarawy FWD51
-
E Shomurodov FWD41
1
-
L Paredes MID31
-
E Fée MID3
-
A Saelemaekers FWD2
1
-