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Fiorentina v Parma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Artemio Franchi, Firenze

The Serie A is the focus for both Fiorentina and Parma on Sunday afternoon, as managers Raffaele Palladino and Cristian Eugen Chivu battle it out at the Artemio Franchi. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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Fiorentina's next match is v Celje at 17:45 on Thursday 17th April
Parma's next match is v Juventus at 19:45 on Monday 21st April
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Fiorentina and Parma was on Sunday 13th April 2025
Italian Serie A
April 13th 2025
Fiorentina 0
0 Parma
 
FIO
PMA
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
2
2
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
2
Yellow/red cards
5/0
 
FiorentinaParma
 
D. de Gea Quintana
P. Marí Villar
F. Parisi (M. Folorunsho 75')
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
L. Ranieri
M. Pongracic (P. Comuzzo 80')
R. Mandragora (A. Richardson 70')
D. Cataldi
N. Fagioli (Y. Adli 70')
A. Gudmundsson (L. Beltrán 75')
M. Kean
Z. Suzuki
(B. Balogh 57') G. Leoni
L. Valenti
A. Vogliacco
E. Del Prato
E. Valeri
(H. Azevedo Júnior 57') S. Sohm
M. Keita
(J. Ondrejka 68') A. Bernabe Garcia
(D. Man 82') M. Pellegrino Casalanguila
(M. Đurić 82') A. Bonny

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fiorentina are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
55%
1.73
10%
-
Draw
25%
3.70
8%
-
Parma
20%
5.00
5%
-
Fiorentina 1-0
14%
7.00-
Draw 1-1
12%
7.00
13%
-
Fiorentina 2-0
11%
8.00
7%
-
Fiorentina 2-1
9%
8.50-
Draw 0-0
9%
10.00
17%
-
Parma 1-0
7%
13.00
13%
-
Fiorentina 3-0
6%
13.00
18%
-
Fiorentina 3-1
5%
15.00
15%
-
Parma 2-1
5%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00-
Parma 2-0
3%
26.00
10%
-
Fiorentina 4-0
2%
26.00
24%
-
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
26.00-
Fiorentina 4-1
2%
29.00
26%
-
Parma 3-1
1%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
1.91
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
1.91
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.50
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
3.00
6%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
10.00
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
1.91-
BTTS - No
55%
1.91-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3.75
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.00
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9.50
5%
-
Home/draw
80%
1.17-
Away/draw
45%
2.05
11%
-
Home/away
75%
1.29
6%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1.29
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3.75
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3.40
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1.33
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6.00
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.12
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
13.00
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.04
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.06
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10.00
17%
-
Home DNB
73%
1.25
2%
-
Away DNB
37%
3.75
6%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
34%
2.75
5%
-
Parma win to nil
12%
9.00
10%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
30%
2.75
10%
-
Fiorentina / Parma
2%
41.00-
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Fiorentina
19%
4.50
4%
-
Draw / Parma
8%
10.00
9%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
8%
-
Parma / Fiorentina
4%
23.00
10%
-
Parma / Parma
10%
8.00
16%
-
Parma / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Fiorentina have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Fiorentina have played 16 games at home winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Parma are in 16th position in the Serie A on 27 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Parma have conceded 41 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Parma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3221834171 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
2
Napoli3119842365 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
May 18
l
 
2-1F
3
Atalanta3218773561 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-3A
May 25
4
Juventus32151431959 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 21
d
 
2-2F
5
Bologna32151251457 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Lazio3116781055 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 27
7
Fiorentina Home3215891753 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Roma3115881553 
w
 
5-1F
May 4
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
9
Milan3214991451 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2F
10
Torino3291310-140 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
11
Udinese3211714-1040 
l
 
1-2F
May 25
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
12
Genoa3291211-939 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Como 1907329914-836 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
May 4
d
 
1-1F
14
Verona329518-2932 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Cagliari327916-1530 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-1A
16
Parma Away3251314-1428 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
-
-
17
Lecce326818-2926 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-6F
l
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2A
18
Venezia3241216-1924 
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
19
Empoli3141215-2324 
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
May 11
20
Monza322921-3115 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
4
Parma have drawn 4 consecutive league games
3
Fiorentina have won 3 consecutive home league games
9
Parma have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
3
Fiorentina have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Fiorentina 8TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
Fiorentina2 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 1Torino
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
Fiorentina3 - 1Verona
Fiorentina5 - 1Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Fiorentina0 - 0Venezia
Fiorentina2 - 2Napoli
Fiorentina2 - 1Monza
Fiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
Fiorentina1 - 1Genoa
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina2 - 2Milan
HFiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
HFiorentina3 - 0Juventus
AFiorentina1 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina1 - 0Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 1Verona
HFiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
AFiorentina1 - 2Inter
HFiorentina3 - 0Inter
HFiorentina2 - 1Genoa
AFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 1Torino
AFiorentina1 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina2 - 2Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Udinese
AFiorentina0 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 0Como 1907
HFiorentina3 - 1Verona
Parma 16TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
11
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Verona0 - 0Parma
Monza1 - 1Parma
Udinese1 - 0Parma
Cagliari2 - 1Parma
Milan3 - 2Parma
Genoa1 - 0Parma
Torino0 - 0Parma
Roma5 - 0Parma
Inter3 - 1Parma
Venezia1 - 2Parma
Juventus2 - 2Parma
Como 19071 - 1Parma
Bologna0 - 0Parma
Lecce2 - 2Parma
Napoli2 - 1Parma
Reggiana1 - 1Parma
Bari 19081 - 1Parma
Palermo0 - 0Parma
Sudtirol0 - 0Parma
Feralpisalo1 - 2Parma
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParma2 - 2Inter
AParma0 - 0Verona
AParma1 - 1Monza
HParma2 - 2Torino
AParma0 - 1Udinese
HParma2 - 0Bologna
HParma0 - 1Roma
AParma1 - 2Cagliari
HParma1 - 3Lecce
AParma2 - 3Milan
HParma1 - 1Venezia
AParma0 - 1Genoa
AParma0 - 0Torino
HParma2 - 1Monza
AParma0 - 5Roma
HParma2 - 3Verona
AParma1 - 3Inter
HParma3 - 1Lazio
HParma1 - 3Atalanta
AParma2 - 1Venezia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Fiorentina have drawn with Parma in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Fiorentina have not lost to Parma in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Parma
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
FIO
1
D
2
PMA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Parma
Fiorentina3 - 0
League games at Parma since 2015
Parma
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
FIO
1
D
2
PMA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Parma
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Fiorentina
Parma1 - 0
Parma1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Fiorentina have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Parma on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Fiorentina 8th Parma 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Fiorentina will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Parma scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Fiorentina have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-27
Parma have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283350/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Parma
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
20%
better
FIO
PMA
view stats
Games scored25
23
Failed to score6
8
Scored first18
11
Goals scored49
37
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
30%
better
FIO
PMA
view stats
Games conceded20
27
Clean sheets11
4
Conceded first11
17
Goals conceded32
51
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+30%

Fiorentina v Parma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301757
DodôM KeanL BeltránDodô
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK281
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF13
2
1
P Marí DEF6
2
-
L Ranieri DEF3012
4
-
Dodô MID304
7
-
R Mandragora  MID2222
5
-
D Cataldi MID223
1
-
N Fagioli MID82
-
F Parisi MID201
1
-
A Gudmundsson FWD196
2
-
M Kean FWD28173
6
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK3
-
T Martinelli GLK
-
P. Comuzzo DEF27
5
-
M Moreno DEF4
-
N Zaniolo MID6
1
-
A Richardson MID20
5
-
C Ndour MID5
-
Y Adli MID2234
4
1
M Folorunsho MID10
4
-
M. Caprini FWD2
-
L Beltrán FWD2745
3
-
Parma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30647
Z SuzukiA BonnyE ValeriE Prato
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Suzuki GLK30
1
1
G. Leoni DEF111
1
1
A Vogliacco DEF8
2
-
L Valenti DEF141
3
-
E Prato MID274
7
-
A Bernabé MID171
1
-
M Keita MID232
5
1
S Sohm MID304
4
-
E Valeri MID2824
-
M Pellegrino FWD621
1
-
A Bonny FWD3063
2
-
Subs
R. Marcone GLK
-
E Corvi GLK
-
M Løvik DEF4
-
A Circati DEF4
1
-
B Balogh DEF241
4
-
N Estévez MID12
2
-
A Hainaut MID191
3
-
D Camara MID19
4
-
Hernani MID1932
5
-
J Ondrejka FWD61
-
M Djuric FWD4
-
A. Haj Mohamed FWD1511
4
-
D Man FWD2944
-