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Fiorentina v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Raffaele Palladino's Fiorentina side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Friday evening, as Marco Silva's Lecce travel to the Artemio Franchi. All the odds are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Fiorentina's next match is v Juventus at 17:00 on Sunday 16th March
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Fiorentina and Lecce was on Friday 28th February 2025
Italian Serie A
February 28th 2025
Fiorentina 1
0 Lecce
 
R. Gosens 9'
 
FIO
LEC
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
5
2
Corners
5
2
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
10
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
FiorentinaLecce
 
D. de Gea Quintana
P. Marí Villar
D. Cordeiro dos Santos (M. Moreno 87')
R. Gosensfootball icon
L. Ranieri
M. Pongracic (P. Comuzzo 81')
N. Zaniolo (A. Gudmundsson 88')
L. Beltrán
C. Ndour
R. Mandragora
D. Cataldi (N. Fagioli 69')
W. Falcone
(D. Melo Veiga 86') F. Guilbert
(M. Sala 64') A. Gallo
G. Jean
F. Baschirotto
(A. Rebić 64') M. Berisha
B. Pierret
L. Coulibaly
(T. Helgason 64') J. Karlsson
N. Krstović
J. Morente Oliva

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fiorentina are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
52%
10/11
17%
10/11
19%
Draw
25%
9/4
17%
9/4
23%
Lecce
23%
15/4
17%
7/2
18%
Fiorentina 1-0
12%
9/2
27%
9/2
15%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
20%
5/1
14%
Fiorentina 2-0
10%
7/113/2
7%
Fiorentina 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Draw 0-0
8%
6/1
36%
11/2
35%
Lecce 1-0
7%
9/1
33%
8/1
25%
Lecce 2-1
6%
14/112/1
Fiorentina 3-0
5%
14/1
25%
12/1
30%
Fiorentina 3-1
5%
18/1
31%
14/1
36%
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
Lecce 2-0
4%
20/1
28%
16/1
19%
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
33/1
48%
25/1
37%
Fiorentina 4-0
2%
33/1
48%
25/1
53%
Fiorentina 4-1
2%
40/1
78%
25/1
37%
Lecce 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
6/4
32%
13/10
28%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/15
22%
11/20
21%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
12%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2/1
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
6/1
36%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/10
14%
11/10
14%
BTTS - No
50%
4/6
13%
4/6
10%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4/1
40%
7/2
36%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
19/5
9%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/1
10%
8/1
Home/draw
77%
2/11
4%
1/5
4%
Away/draw
48%
5/6
15%
17/20
20%
Home/away
75%
1/3
6%
1/3
9%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/2
15%
4/9
15%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
13/8
31%
13/8
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
7/2
50%
16/5
45%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/5
14%
1/5
12%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/1
82%
15/2
55%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/16
7%
1/16
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
20/1
91%
16/1
70%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/66
4%
1/200
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/10
5%
1/11
5%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
6/1
36%
11/2
35%
Home DNB
69%
1/3
9%
1/3
9%
Away DNB
41%
9/4
19%
21/10
21%
Fiorentina win to nil
30%
7/4
5%
-
Lecce win to nil
13%
11/2
30%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
27%
21/10
24%
19/10
22%
Fiorentina / Lecce
2%
40/133/1
17%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Fiorentina
18%
7/2
4%
7/2
7%
Draw / Lecce
9%
15/2
23%
15/2
15%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
25%
16/5
27%
Lecce / Fiorentina
3%
28/1
24%
20/1
24%
Lecce / Lecce
11%
13/2
17%
6/1
13%
Lecce / Draw
5%
16/112/1
13%
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Fiorentina have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Fiorentina have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Lecce are in 16th position in the Serie A on 25 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Lecce have conceded 36 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2818733661 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
2
Napoli2818642260 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
May 4
l
 
1-0A
3
Atalanta2817743758 
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-4A
Apr 27
4
Juventus28131322052 
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
5
Lazio2815671451 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
May 25
6
Bologna28131141050 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
7
Roma2813781346 
w
 
5-1F
May 4
Mar 29
l
 
4-1A
8
Fiorentina Home2813691345 
-
-
l
 
0-6A
l
 
1-0A
9
Milan2812881044 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 5
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-0A
10
Udinese2811710-340 
l
 
1-2F
May 25
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Torino288119-135 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Genoa2981110-935 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
13
Como 1907287813-1029 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
14
Cagliari286814-1526 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
15
Verona288218-3026 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 11
16
Lecce Away296716-2725 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-6F
-
-
17
Parma285914-1424 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3A
18
Empoli2841014-2222 
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
19
Venezia2831015-1919 
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza282818-2514 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
3
Lecce have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
Fiorentina 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
Fiorentina2 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 1Torino
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
Fiorentina3 - 1Verona
Fiorentina5 - 1Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Fiorentina0 - 0Venezia
Fiorentina2 - 2Napoli
Fiorentina2 - 1Monza
Fiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
Fiorentina1 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Fiorentina2 - 2Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina0 - 1Verona
HFiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
AFiorentina1 - 2Inter
HFiorentina3 - 0Inter
HFiorentina2 - 1Genoa
AFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 1Torino
AFiorentina1 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina2 - 2Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Udinese
AFiorentina0 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 0Como 1907
HFiorentina3 - 1Verona
AFiorentina1 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 0Genoa
HFiorentina5 - 1Roma
AFiorentina6 - 0Lecce
HFiorentina2 - 1Milan
Lecce 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Parma1 - 3Lecce
Cagliari4 - 1Lecce
Empoli1 - 3Lecce
Como 19072 - 0Lecce
Roma4 - 1Lecce
Venezia0 - 1Lecce
Bologna1 - 0Lecce
Napoli1 - 0Lecce
Udinese1 - 0Lecce
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Torino0 - 0Lecce
Inter2 - 0Lecce
Napoli0 - 0Lecce
Cagliari1 - 1Lecce
Sassuolo0 - 3Lecce
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Salernitana0 - 1Lecce
Frosinone1 - 1Lecce
Torino2 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLecce0 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 0Monza
HLecce0 - 0Bologna
ALecce3 - 1Parma
HLecce0 - 4Inter
ALecce1 - 4Cagliari
ALecce3 - 1Empoli
HLecce0 - 0Genoa
ALecce0 - 2Como 1907
HLecce1 - 2Lazio
HLecce2 - 1Monza
ALecce1 - 4Roma
HLecce1 - 1Juventus
ALecce1 - 0Venezia
HLecce1 - 1Empoli
ALecce0 - 1Bologna
HLecce1 - 0Verona
ALecce0 - 1Napoli
HLecce0 - 6Fiorentina
ALecce0 - 1Udinese
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2019
Fiorentina
Lecce
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
FIO
1
D
1
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fiorentina1 - 0
0 - 1Lecce
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
5
12
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
FIO
2
D
1
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 6Fiorentina
Lecce3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Fiorentina
Goal Statistics

Fiorentina have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Lecce on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Fiorentina 8th Lecce 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Fiorentina will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Fiorentina have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-19
Lecce have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283300/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.6
1
Attack rating
45%
better
FIO
LEC
view stats
Games scored20
12
Failed to score6
14
Scored first14
7
Goals scored41
18
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
13
Conversion rate for18
8
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
21%
better
FIO
LEC
view stats
Games conceded18
19
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first10
15
Goals conceded28
42
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+21%

Fiorentina v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27556
DodôA GudmundssonL BeltránDodô
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK251
-
M Pongracic  DEF10
2
1
P Marí DEF3
-
L Ranieri DEF2712
3
-
Dodô MID273
6
-
C Ndour MID4
-
D Cataldi MID193
1
-
R Mandragora  MID1912
5
-
R Gosens MID2534
5
-
N Zaniolo FWD4
1
-
L Beltrán FWD2445
3
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK3
-
T Martinelli GLK
-
P. Comuzzo DEF24
5
-
M Moreno DEF4
-
F Parisi DEF181
1
-
N Fagioli MID5
-
J. Harder MID
-
T. Rubino MID1
-
M. Caprini FWD2
-
A Gudmundsson FWD165
2
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291035
W FalconeN KrstovicN KrstovicY Ramadani
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK29
1
-
F Guilbert DEF241
2
2
F Baschirotto DEF29
2
-
G Jean DEF18
-
A Gallo DEF222
2
1
L Coulibaly  MID29
2
-
M Berisha MID111
4
-
T Morente MID2531
2
-
B Pierret MID23
2
-
J Karlsson MID9
1
-
N Krstovic FWD29103
4
-
Subs
C Früchtl GLK
-
J Samooja GLK
-
D Veiga DEF5
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF
-
M Sala DEF1
-
K Gaspar DEF151
3
-
H Rafia MID18
4
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID122
-
Y Ramadani MID231
5
-
L Banda MID121
1
-
M Kaba MID10
1
-
A Rebic  FWD221
3
1
K N’Dri FWD4
-
R Pop FWD2
-