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Fiorentina v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 6th Feb, 19:45 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Thursday evening at the Artemio Franchi, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Fiorentina and Inter Milan. Raffaele Palladino and Simone Inzaghi will be doing all they can to claim the win. For every Serie A match, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Fiorentina and Inter's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
23%
29/10
11%
17/5
29%
Draw
22%
5/2
3%
12/5
8%
Inter
55%
19/20
3%
17/20
10%
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2
7%
5/1
14%
Inter 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Inter 1-0
9%
13/2
25%
19/4
32%
Inter 2-0
9%
17/2
14%
13/2
25%
Inter 3-1
6%
14/112/1
8%
Fiorentina 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
20%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
25%
14/1
36%
Inter 3-0
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Fiorentina 1-0
5%
11/1
8%
8/1
18%
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
27%
6/1
36%
Inter 3-2
4%
25/1
24%
22/1
35%
Fiorentina 2-0
3%
20/116/1
13%
Inter 4-1
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Inter 4-0
3%
33/122/1
12%
Fiorentina 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
25/1
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
10/11
14%
17/20
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
10/11
13%
17/20
14%
Home 1st Goal
43%
8/5
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/7
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
3/4
11%
17/20
16%
BTTS - No
42%
1/1
11%
17/20
18%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6/1
17%
7/1
52%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
18/5
6%
BTTS - Away Win
28%
3/1
11%
14/5
9%
Home/draw
45%
4/519/20
11%
Away/draw
77%
1/4
3%
1/5
8%
Home/away
78%
2/73/10
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/7
8%
2/7
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
11/4
17%
12/5
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
12/5
30%
2/1
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1/3
11%
7/20
9%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5/1
33%
9/2
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/8
7%
1/8
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/1
44%
10/1
29%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/25
3%
1/33
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
2%
1/18
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
27%
15/2
23%
Home DNB
38%
7/4
10%
17/10
10%
Away DNB
71%
2/5
7%
2/5
7%
Fiorentina win to nil
10%
6/1-
Inter win to nil
27%
12/5
15%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
13%
11/2
18%
5/1
14%
Fiorentina / Inter
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Fiorentina
10%
7/17/1
7%
Draw / Inter
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
8%
18/5
16%
Inter / Fiorentina
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Inter / Inter
26%
11/521/10
Inter / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Fiorentina have conceded 10 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Fiorentina have played 11 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 2nd place on 51 points in the Serie A league table having played 22 matches. Inter are unbeaten away after 11 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 55 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 18 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Inter have played 11 away games, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Inter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2317332254 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
2
Inter Away2215613751 
Feb 6
Feb 10
-
-
3
Atalanta2314542347 
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
w
 
4-0F
Mar 16
4
Lazio231337942 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 18
w
 
0-6F
5
Juventus2391311940 
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
d
 
4-4F
Feb 16
6
Fiorentina Home2211651439 
-
-
Feb 10
Feb 6
7
Bologna229103837 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
8
Milan22985935 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
9
Roma23878531 
w
 
5-1F
May 4
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
10
Udinese238510-829 
l
 
1-2F
May 25
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
11
Torino23698-327 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 11
12
Genoa23689-1126 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
13
Verona237214-2223 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
May 4
w
 
0-5F
14
Lecce236512-2323 
Mar 2
w
 
0-6F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
15
Como 1907235711-1122 
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 25
16
Empoli234910-1121 
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
17
Cagliari235612-1421 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
Apr 13
w
 
0-3F
18
Parma234811-1320 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 6
19
Venezia233713-1616 
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza232714-1413 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Fiorentina 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina2 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 1Torino
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
Fiorentina3 - 1Verona
Fiorentina5 - 1Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Fiorentina0 - 0Venezia
Fiorentina2 - 2Napoli
Fiorentina2 - 1Monza
Fiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
Fiorentina1 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Fiorentina2 - 2Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina5 - 1Frosinone
Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFiorentina2 - 1Genoa
AFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 1Torino
AFiorentina1 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina2 - 2Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Udinese
AFiorentina0 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 0Como 1907
HFiorentina3 - 1Verona
AFiorentina1 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 0Genoa
HFiorentina5 - 1Roma
AFiorentina6 - 0Lecce
HFiorentina2 - 1Milan
AFiorentina0 - 0Empoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
AFiorentina2 - 3Atalanta
HFiorentina2 - 2Monza
Inter 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 1Inter
Lecce0 - 4Inter
Venezia0 - 1Inter
Cagliari0 - 3Inter
Lazio0 - 6Inter
Verona0 - 5Inter
Empoli0 - 3Inter
Roma0 - 1Inter
Udinese2 - 3Inter
Monza1 - 1Inter
Genoa2 - 2Inter
Verona2 - 2Inter
Frosinone0 - 5Inter
Sassuolo1 - 0Inter
Milan1 - 2Inter
Udinese1 - 2Inter
Bologna0 - 1Inter
Lecce0 - 4Inter
Roma2 - 4Inter
Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInter1 - 1Milan
AInter4 - 0Lecce
HInter3 - 1Empoli
HInter2 - 2Bologna
AInter1 - 0Venezia
AInter3 - 0Cagliari
HInter2 - 0Como 1907
AInter6 - 0Lazio
HInter3 - 1Parma
AInter5 - 0Verona
HInter1 - 1Napoli
HInter1 - 0Venezia
AInter3 - 0Empoli
HInter4 - 4Juventus
AInter1 - 0Roma
HInter3 - 2Torino
AInter3 - 2Udinese
HInter1 - 2Milan
AInter1 - 1Monza
HInter4 - 0Atalanta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Inter have beaten Fiorentina in 4 consecutive away league meetings
7
Inter have not lost to Fiorentina in 7 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Fiorentina since 2014
Fiorentina
Inter
Goals: Scored
19
20
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
FIO
3
D
3
INT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
0 - 1Inter
3 - 4Inter
1 - 3Inter
0 - 2Inter
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fiorentina5 - 4
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina3 - 0
League games at Inter since 2015
Inter
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
19
13
Games: Scored
7 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
3 / 10
FIO
3
D
2
INT
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Inter
Inter4 - 0
0 - 1Fiorentina
Draw1 - 1Draw
Inter4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
Inter2 - 1
Inter3 - 0
Inter4 - 2
1 - 4Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan's defensive record is very strong, Simone Inzaghi's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Fiorentina makes sense in this context.

Inter Milan have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 25 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Fiorentina on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Fiorentina 6th Inter 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Fiorentina have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+35
Inter have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
2.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283177/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1.1
1.9
Attack rating
FIO
INT
22%
better
view stats
Games scored11
13
Failed to score2
0
Scored first8
9
Goals scored27
31
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
20
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
17%
better
FIO
INT
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded10
14
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%

Fiorentina v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211356
DodôM KeanL BeltránDodô
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK191
-
Dodô DEF211
6
-
P. Comuzzo DEF20
5
-
L Ranieri DEF212
3
-
R Gosens DEF2024
4
-
D Cataldi MID143
-
Y Adli MID2034
4
1
A Colpani MID2021
1
-
L Beltrán MID1845
2
-
E Bove MID1112
3
-
M Kean FWD21132
4
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK3
-
T Martinelli GLK
-
C Biraghi DEF81
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF5
1
1
M Moreno DEF1
-
L Quarta DEF81
1
-
M Kayode DEF5
-
F Parisi DEF131
-
R Mandragora  MID141
4
-
J Ikoné MID1
-
A Richardson MID15
3
-
R Sottil  FWD
-
A Gudmundsson FWD124
-
C Kouamé FWD181
1
-
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221354
Y SommerM ThuramN Barella D Dumfries
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK22
-
Y Bisseck DEF1411
3
-
S Vrij DEF182
1
-
A Bastoni DEF2114
3
-
D Dumfries MID1961
4
-
N Barella  MID1935
1
-
H Calhanoglu  MID1442
2
-
H Mkhitaryan MID2014
2
-
F Dimarco MID2034
2
-
M Thuram FWD22134
1
-
L Martínez FWD2093
-
Subs
J Martínez GLK
-
A. Calligaris GLK
-
M Darmian DEF1922
2
-
T Palacios DEF1
-
M. Aidoo DEF
-
K Asllani MID132
3
-
P Zielinski MID1722
-
D Frattesi MID1841
1
-
T Buchanan MID6
-
M Arnautovic  FWD71
1
-
J Correa FWD512
1
-
M Taremi FWD1611
1
-