Fiorentina's team badge Atalanta's team badge

Fiorentina v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Mar, 14:00 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Raffaele Palladino's Fiorentina side will have home backing in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, as Gian Piero Gasperini's Atalanta arrive at the Artemio Franchi. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
21%
3/1
11%
27/10
8%
Draw
23%
12/5
3%
13/5
Atalanta
56%
19/20
3%
19/20
2%
Atalanta 1-0
11%
7/1
16%
6/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
11/2
Atalanta 2-0
10%
17/2
14%
8/1
6%
Atalanta 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
15%
17/2
Fiorentina 1-0
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
Atalanta 3-0
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
Atalanta 3-1
6%
14/112/1
8%
Fiorentina 2-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
8%
11/1
Fiorentina 2-0
3%
20/114/1
12%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Atalanta 4-0
3%
33/125/1
13%
Atalanta 4-1
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Fiorentina 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
10/11
10%
5/6
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
10/11
9%
10/11
Home 1st Goal
41%
8/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
55%
4/7
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
7/10
8%
8/11
1%
BTTS - No
48%
21/20
9%
1/1
BTTS - Home Win
10%
13/2
25%
11/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/37/2
BTTS - Away Win
25%
3/1
11%
11/4
4%
Home/draw
44%
4/54/5
3%
Away/draw
79%
2/9
5%
2/7
3%
Home/away
77%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
6%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
13%
5/2
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/5
16%
2/1
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/11
6%
7/20
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
20%
9/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
4%
1/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
30%
10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
2%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
2%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
23%
17/2
Home DNB
37%
7/4
5%
13/8
6%
Away DNB
72%
2/5
3%
4/9
6%
Fiorentina win to nil
11%
6/1-
Atalanta win to nil
31%
5/2
7%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
13%
11/2
18%
19/4
4%
Fiorentina / Atalanta
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Fiorentina
10%
7/113/2
6%
Draw / Atalanta
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
Atalanta / Fiorentina
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
26%
21/10
5%
21/10
3%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 5. Fiorentina have conceded 16 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Fiorentina have played 15 games at home, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 3rd place on 58 points in the Serie A league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored 58 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 15 away games, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2919733864 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
2
Napoli2918742261 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-3F
3
Atalanta Away2917753558 
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
-
-
4
Bologna29141141553 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
5
Juventus29131331752 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
6
Lazio291568951 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
7
Roma2914781449 
w
 
5-1F
May 4
May 11
w
 
0-2F
8
Fiorentina Home2914691648 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
9
Milan2913881147 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 5
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
10
Udinese2911711-440 
l
 
1-2F
May 25
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
11
Torino299119038 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
12
Genoa2981110-935 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1F
May 18
13
Como 1907297814-1129 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
14
Verona299218-2929 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-5F
15
Cagliari296815-1626 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
16
Parma2951014-1425 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
May 25
w
 
1-3F
17
Lecce296716-2725 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-6F
Apr 27
w
 
0-4F
18
Empoli2941015-2322 
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-5F
19
Venezia2931115-1920 
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
20
Monza292918-2515 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 4
Win / draw / win form
4
Atalanta have won 4 consecutive away league games
12
Atalanta have not lost in 12 consecutive away league games
3
Atalanta have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Fiorentina 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
Fiorentina2 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 1Torino
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
Fiorentina3 - 1Verona
Fiorentina5 - 1Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Fiorentina0 - 0Venezia
Fiorentina2 - 2Napoli
Fiorentina2 - 1Monza
Fiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
Fiorentina1 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFiorentina3 - 0Juventus
AFiorentina1 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina1 - 0Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 1Verona
HFiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
AFiorentina1 - 2Inter
HFiorentina3 - 0Inter
HFiorentina2 - 1Genoa
AFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 1Torino
AFiorentina1 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina2 - 2Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Udinese
AFiorentina0 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 0Como 1907
HFiorentina3 - 1Verona
AFiorentina1 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 0Genoa
Atalanta 3RD
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus0 - 4Atalanta
Empoli0 - 5Atalanta
Verona0 - 5Atalanta
Como 19071 - 2Atalanta
Udinese0 - 0Atalanta
Lazio1 - 1Atalanta
Cagliari0 - 1Atalanta
Roma0 - 2Atalanta
Parma1 - 3Atalanta
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Venezia0 - 2Atalanta
Bologna1 - 1Atalanta
Inter4 - 0Atalanta
Torino2 - 1Atalanta
Lecce0 - 4Atalanta
Lecce0 - 2Atalanta
Salernitana1 - 2Atalanta
Monza1 - 2Atalanta
Cagliari2 - 1Atalanta
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta0 - 2Inter
AAtalanta4 - 0Juventus
HAtalanta0 - 0Venezia
AAtalanta5 - 0Empoli
HAtalanta0 - 0Cagliari
AAtalanta5 - 0Verona
HAtalanta1 - 1Torino
AAtalanta2 - 1Como 1907
HAtalanta2 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta0 - 0Udinese
AAtalanta1 - 1Lazio
HAtalanta3 - 2Empoli
AAtalanta1 - 0Cagliari
HAtalanta2 - 1Milan
AAtalanta2 - 0Roma
AAtalanta3 - 1Parma
HAtalanta2 - 1Udinese
AAtalanta3 - 0Napoli
HAtalanta2 - 0Monza
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
FIO
5
D
3
ATA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fiorentina1 - 0
2 - 3Atalanta
1 - 2Atalanta
Fiorentina2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Fiorentina3 - 0
Fiorentina3 - 2
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
18
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
FIO
4
D
3
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta3 - 2
2 - 3Fiorentina
Atalanta1 - 0
1 - 2Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Atalanta3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Fiorentina of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Atalanta.

Atalanta have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Fiorentina on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Fiorentina 8th Atalanta 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Fiorentina scoring 1 goal or less
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Fiorentina have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+37
Atalanta have scored 37% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283330/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1
1.8
Attack rating
FIO
ATA
19%
better
view stats
Games scored22
24
Failed to score6
4
Scored first15
17
Goals scored43
63
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
19
Avg. XG for1.4
2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
FIO
ATA
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
16
Clean sheets9
12
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded30
26
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+15%

Fiorentina v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281556
DodôM KeanL BeltránDodô
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Ranieri DEF2812
4
-
Dodô DEF283
6
-
D Gea GLK261
-
R Gosens DEF2644
5
-
M Kean FWD26153
6
-
P. Comuzzo DEF25
5
-
L Beltrán MID2545
3
-
A Colpani MID2221
1
-
Y Adli MID2134
4
1
R Mandragora  MID2022
5
-
D Cataldi MID203
1
-
A Richardson MID19
5
-
F Parisi DEF181
1
-
A Gudmundsson FWD176
2
-
E Bove MID1212
3
-
M Pongracic  DEF11
2
1
M Folorunsho MID8
4
-
N Fagioli MID62
-
N Zaniolo MID5
1
-
P Marí DEF4
1
-
M Moreno DEF4
-
C Ndour MID4
-
P Terracciano GLK3
-
M. Caprini FWD2
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262267
ÉdersonM ReteguiR BellanovaI Hien
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Éderson MID2931
4
1
M Roon MID2843
5
-
C Ketelaere FWD2855
1
-
M Retegui FWD27224
1
-
M Carnesecchi GLK26
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF2612
4
-
M Pasalic MID2623
1
-
L Samardžić MID2621
2
-
R Bellanova MID256
3
-
I Hien DEF23
7
-
M Ruggeri MID232
2
-
A Lookman FWD23135
5
-
D Zappacosta MID2242
1
-
M Brescianini MID2232
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF202
5
-
J Cuadrado MID162
2
-
O Kossounou  DEF12
1
-
R Tolói DEF8
-
M Palestra MID7
-
G Scalvini DEF6
2
-
I Sulemana MID5
1
-
S Posch DEF4
-
R Patrício GLK2
-
D Maldini MID2
-
G Scamacca FWD1
-