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Empoli v Lazio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 11:30 BST, Carlo Castellani, Empoli

Sunday morning sees Roberto D'Aversa’s Empoli and Marco Baroni’s Lazio go head to head in a Serie A clash at the Carlo Castellani. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this game will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Empoli and Lazio have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Empoli
24%
3/1-
Draw
26%
5/2-
Lazio
50%
10/11-
Lazio 1-0
12%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Lazio 2-0
9%
8/1-
Lazio 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1-
Empoli 1-0
8%
10/1-
Empoli 2-1
6%
12/1-
Lazio 3-0
5%
16/1-
Lazio 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Empoli 2-0
4%
20/1-
Lazio 3-2
2%
25/1-
Empoli 3-1
2%
33/1-
Lazio 4-0
2%
33/1-
Lazio 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
13/8-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/7-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/5-
BTTS - No
51%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
13/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3/1-
Home/draw
50%
5/6-
Away/draw
76%
2/9-
Home/away
74%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
5/2
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
3/10
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
42%
7/4-
Away DNB
68%
2/5-
Empoli win to nil
13%
6/1-
Lazio win to nil
29%
9/4-
Empoli / Empoli
13%
11/2-
Empoli / Lazio
4%
22/1-
Empoli / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Empoli
10%
15/2-
Draw / Lazio
18%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Lazio / Empoli
2%
33/1-
Lazio / Lazio
27%
21/10-
Lazio / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Empoli have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 12 and won 4. Empoli have conceded 52 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Empoli have played 16 games at home, winning 1, drawing 7 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 10 times in home league games.

Lazio lay in 7th place on 56 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lazio have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Lazio have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Empoli
Lazio
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3321844071 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-6A
May 18
2
Napoli3321842771 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
3
Atalanta3319773664 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
4
Bologna33161251560 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
5-0A
5
Juventus32151431959 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1F
May 11
l
 
1-0A
6
Roma3316981657 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
7
Lazio Away3216881056 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
-
-
8
Fiorentina3215891753 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Milan33149101351 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
10
Torino3291310-140 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
11
Udinese3211714-1040 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
12
Como 19073310914-539 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-5F
13
Genoa3291211-939 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 23
14
Verona339519-3032 
May 25
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
15
Cagliari327916-1530 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
16
Parma3251314-1428 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
17
Lecce336819-3226 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
May 25
w
 
1-2F
18
Venezia3341316-1925 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
19
Empoli Home3341316-2625 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
May 4
20
Monza332922-3215 
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Empoli 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Empoli2 - 2Venezia
Empoli0 - 0Cagliari
Empoli0 - 1Roma
Empoli0 - 5Atalanta
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Empoli1 - 1Bologna
Empoli1 - 3Lecce
Empoli1 - 2Genoa
Empoli0 - 1Torino
Empoli1 - 1Udinese
Empoli1 - 0Como 1907
Empoli0 - 3Inter
Empoli0 - 1Napoli
Empoli0 - 0Fiorentina
Empoli0 - 0Juventus
Empoli0 - 0Monza
Empoli2 - 1Roma
Empoli0 - 0Frosinone
Empoli1 - 0Napoli
Empoli3 - 2Torino
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEmpoli2 - 2Venezia
AEmpoli0 - 3Napoli
HEmpoli0 - 0Cagliari
AEmpoli1 - 1Como 1907
AEmpoli0 - 1Torino
HEmpoli0 - 1Roma
AEmpoli1 - 1Genoa
HEmpoli0 - 5Atalanta
AEmpoli0 - 3Udinese
HEmpoli0 - 2Milan
AEmpoli1 - 4Juventus
HEmpoli1 - 1Bologna
AEmpoli1 - 3Inter
HEmpoli1 - 3Lecce
AEmpoli1 - 1Venezia
HEmpoli1 - 2Genoa
AEmpoli2 - 3Atalanta
HEmpoli0 - 1Torino
AEmpoli4 - 1Verona
AEmpoli0 - 3Milan
Lazio 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Bologna5 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 2Lazio
Venezia0 - 0Lazio
Cagliari1 - 2Lazio
Verona0 - 3Lazio
Roma2 - 0Lazio
Lecce1 - 2Lazio
Napoli0 - 1Lazio
Parma3 - 1Lazio
Monza0 - 1Lazio
Como 19071 - 5Lazio
Juventus1 - 0Lazio
Torino2 - 3Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Udinese2 - 1Lazio
Inter1 - 1Lazio
Monza2 - 2Lazio
Genoa0 - 1Lazio
Roma1 - 0Lazio
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLazio1 - 1Roma
ALazio1 - 0Atalanta
HLazio1 - 1Torino
ALazio0 - 5Bologna
HLazio1 - 1Udinese
ALazio2 - 1Milan
ALazio0 - 0Venezia
HLazio2 - 2Napoli
HLazio5 - 1Monza
ALazio2 - 1Cagliari
HLazio1 - 2Fiorentina
ALazio3 - 0Verona
HLazio1 - 1Como 1907
ALazio0 - 2Roma
HLazio1 - 1Atalanta
ALazio2 - 1Lecce
HLazio0 - 6Inter
ALazio1 - 0Napoli
ALazio1 - 3Parma
HLazio3 - 0Bologna
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lazio have beaten Empoli in 5 consecutive away league meetings
12
Lazio have not lost to Empoli in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Empoli since 2014
Empoli
Lazio
Goals: Scored
5
11
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
EMP
2
LAZ
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Empoli
0 - 2Lazio
0 - 2Lazio
1 - 3Lazio
0 - 1Lazio
1 - 2Lazio
Empoli1 - 0
Empoli2 - 1
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Empoli
Goals: Scored
18
6
Games: Scored
8 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
0 / 8
D
2
LAZ
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Lazio2 - 1
Lazio2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Lazio1 - 0
Lazio2 - 0
Lazio2 - 0
Lazio4 - 0
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Empoli fans, as should a 15 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Goals have been an issue for Lazio of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Empoli.

Empoli 19th Lazio 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Empoli scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Lazio will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-37
Empoli have scored 37% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Lazio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283380/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Empoli
PG (predicted goals)
Lazio
1
1.5
Attack rating
EMP
LAZ
38%
better
view stats
Games scored19
27
Failed to score14
5
Scored first13
20
Goals scored26
53
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
EMP
LAZ
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
25
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first16
11
Goals conceded52
43
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+10%

Empoli v Lazio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Empoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30849
E GyasiS EspositoG PezzellaL Henderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Colombo FWD3052
3
-
L Henderson MID293
9
-
E Gyasi FWD2921
5
-
G Pezzella DEF284
7
-
S. Goglichidze DEF27
1
1
L Cacace DEF2622
4
-
S Esposito FWD268
1
-
D Vásquez GLK24
2
-
A Ismajli DEF23
1
-
M Viti DEF22
1
-
A Grassi MID221
7
-
Y Maleh MID211
4
1
F Anjorin MID173
2
-
M Sciglio DEF161
1
O Solbakken FWD15
1
-
L. Marianucci DEF13
1
J Sambia DEF12
-
J Fazzini MID12
2
1
P Pellegri  FWD113
3
-
N Haas  MID10
1
-
C Kouamé FWD81
-
I. Konate FWD8
-
M Silvestri GLK5
-
S Zurkowski MID5
-
V Kovalenko MID4
-
J. Bacci MID3
-
T. Campaniello FWD2
-
J Seghetti GLK1
-
L. Tosto DEF1
-
T Ebuehi DEF1
-
Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
309811
M GuendouziT CastellanosN TavaresN Rovella
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Isaksen FWD3142
4
-
M Guendouzi MID3013
5
-
I Provedel GLK29
-
A Marusic DEF284
1
-
B Dia FWD2873
3
-
M Zaccagni FWD2886
8
-
M Gila  DEF261
6
-
N Rovella MID262
11
-
T Noslin FWD2622
2
-
A Romagnoli DEF251
3
1
M Lazzari  MID231
3
-
L Tchaouna FWD231
3
1
Pedro FWD2361
2
-
T Castellanos FWD2293
6
1
N Tavares DEF218
3
1
F Dele-Bashiru MID1831
-
L Pellegrini DEF161
2
-
M Vecino MID1412
5
-
S Gigot  DEF122
2
-
Patric DEF101
2
-
E Hysaj DEF72
-
R Belahyane MID4
-
C Mandas GLK2
-
O Provstgaard DEF1
-
A Ibrahimović MID1
-