Empoli's team badge Milan's team badge

Empoli v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Feb, 17:00 BST, Carlo Castellani, Empoli

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Saturday evening, as Roberto D'Aversa and his Empoli side host Giuseppe Pillon’s Milan at the Carlo Castellani. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Empoli and Milan combined during 90 mins. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 78% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Empoli
25%
17/4
5%
19/5
4%
Draw
26%
13/5
6%
14/5
3%
Milan
49%
4/6
5%
7/10
3%
Milan 1-0
13%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
Milan 2-0
9%
7/113/2
Milan 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Empoli 1-0
8%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
Empoli 2-1
6%
16/112/1
Milan 3-0
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
13%
Milan 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Empoli 2-0
4%
25/118/1
Milan 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Empoli 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Milan 4-0
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Milan 4-1
2%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
10/11
5%
17/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
10/11
6%
17/20
6%
Home 1st Goal
42%
21/10
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/9
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
10/1117/20
5%
BTTS - No
52%
10/1117/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
9/115/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/419/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
13/5
10%
5/2
7%
Home/draw
51%
23/20
8%
11/10
2%
Away/draw
75%
1/6
3%
2/11
Home/away
74%
2/7
1%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/4
10%
12/5
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12/5
3%
21/10
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/3
2%
1/3
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
5/1
14%
19/4
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/8
2%
1/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Home DNB
44%
11/4
7%
5/2
6%
Away DNB
67%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Empoli win to nil
14%
8/1-
Milan win to nil
29%
7/4-
Empoli / Empoli
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
Empoli / Milan
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
Empoli / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Draw / Empoli
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
Draw / Milan
19%
10/310/3
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
Milan / Empoli
2%
40/128/1
Milan / Milan
31%
13/8
5%
8/5
4%
Milan / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Empoli have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Empoli have conceded 31 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Empoli have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 8th place on 35 points in the Serie A league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Empoli
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2317332254 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
2
Inter2215613751 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Atalanta2314542347 
Feb 23
l
 
3-2F
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
4
Lazio231337942 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
5
Juventus2391311940 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
6
Fiorentina2211651439 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
7
Bologna229103837 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 11
Feb 26
8
Milan Away22985935 
Feb 8
l
 
3-0A
-
-
9
Roma23878531 
Mar 9
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 18
10
Udinese238510-829 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
11
Torino23698-327 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
Feb 22
12
Genoa23689-1126 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
13
Verona237214-2223 
May 25
w
 
1-4F
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
14
Lecce236512-2323 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
15
Como 1907235711-1122 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
16
Empoli Home234910-1121 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
17
Cagliari235612-1421 
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
18
Parma234811-1320 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
19
Venezia233713-1616 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
20
Monza232714-1413 
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
5
Empoli have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
Empoli 16TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Empoli1 - 1Bologna
Empoli1 - 3Lecce
Empoli1 - 2Genoa
Empoli0 - 1Torino
Empoli1 - 1Udinese
Empoli1 - 0Como 1907
Empoli0 - 3Inter
Empoli0 - 1Napoli
Empoli0 - 0Fiorentina
Empoli0 - 0Juventus
Empoli0 - 0Monza
Empoli2 - 1Roma
Empoli0 - 0Frosinone
Empoli1 - 0Napoli
Empoli3 - 2Torino
Empoli0 - 1Bologna
Empoli0 - 1Cagliari
Empoli1 - 1Fiorentina
Empoli0 - 0Genoa
Empoli3 - 0Monza
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEmpoli1 - 4Juventus
HEmpoli1 - 1Bologna
AEmpoli1 - 3Inter
HEmpoli1 - 3Lecce
AEmpoli1 - 1Venezia
HEmpoli1 - 2Genoa
AEmpoli2 - 3Atalanta
HEmpoli0 - 1Torino
AEmpoli4 - 1Verona
AEmpoli0 - 3Milan
HEmpoli1 - 1Udinese
AEmpoli1 - 1Lecce
HEmpoli1 - 0Como 1907
HEmpoli0 - 3Inter
AEmpoli1 - 1Parma
HEmpoli0 - 1Napoli
AEmpoli1 - 2Lazio
HEmpoli0 - 0Fiorentina
AEmpoli2 - 0Cagliari
HEmpoli0 - 0Juventus
Milan 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Sassuolo3 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Verona1 - 3Milan
Lazio0 - 1Milan
Monza4 - 2Milan
Frosinone2 - 3Milan
Udinese2 - 3Milan
Empoli0 - 3Milan
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 1Inter
HMilan3 - 2Parma
AMilan0 - 2Juventus
AMilan2 - 1Como 1907
HMilan1 - 1Cagliari
HMilan1 - 1Roma
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 0Genoa
AMilan1 - 2Atalanta
HMilan3 - 0Empoli
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan3 - 3Cagliari
AMilan1 - 0Monza
HMilan0 - 2Napoli
HMilan1 - 0Udinese
AMilan1 - 2Fiorentina
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Inter
HMilan4 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Milan have beaten Empoli in 3 consecutive league meetings
9
Milan have not lost to Empoli in 9 consecutive league meetings
4
Milan have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Empoli
League games at Empoli since 2014
Empoli
Milan
Goals: Scored
9
19
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
D
3
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Empoli
0 - 3Milan
1 - 3Milan
2 - 4Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Milan
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Empoli
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
1 / 8
EMP
1
D
2
ACM
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan3 - 0
Milan1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Milan1 - 0
Milan3 - 0
1 - 2Empoli
Milan2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Empoli of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Milan.

Milan have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Empoli on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Empoli 16th Milan 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Empoli scoring 1 goal or less
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
Empoli have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
+8
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283275/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Empoli
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
EMP
ACM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
EMP
ACM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Empoli v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Empoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23836
A IsmajliS EspositoL HendersonL Henderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ismajli DEF23
1
-
L Colombo FWD2352
2
-
E Gyasi FWD2321
4
-
D Vásquez GLK22
2
-
L Henderson MID223
6
-
G Pezzella DEF213
6
-
M Viti DEF20
1
-
S. Goglichidze DEF20
1
L Cacace DEF1922
4
-
Y Maleh MID191
3
1
S Esposito FWD198
1
-
F Anjorin MID173
2
-
A Grassi MID14
5
-
O Solbakken FWD14
1
-
J Fazzini MID12
2
-
P Pellegri  FWD113
3
-
M Sciglio DEF101
1
N Haas  MID10
1
-
J Sambia DEF7
-
L. Marianucci DEF7
-
I. Konate FWD3
-
S Zurkowski MID2
-
J Seghetti GLK1
-
L. Tosto DEF1
-
J. Bacci MID1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22745
M Maignan T ReijndersY FofanaY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK22
1
-
T Reijnders MID2173
2
1
Y Fofana MID2114
5
-
R Leão FWD2044
2
-
T Hernández DEF1932
2
1
S Chukwueze FWD192
-
E Royal DEF18
5
-
C Pulisic MID1864
-
Y Musah MID172
2
-
T Abraham FWD1722
-
M Gabbia DEF141
3
-
M Thiaw DEF13
1
-
F Tomori DEF13
1
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID13
1
-
S Pavlovic DEF1211
2
-
N Okafor FWD111
-
F Terracciano MID8
2
-
F. Camarda FWD8
-
I Bennacer MID6
2
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF5
2
-
L Jović  FWD5
1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF2
1
K Walker DEF1
-
M. Liberali MID1
-
K. Zeroli MID1
-
B. Omoregbe FWD1
-