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Cagliari v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 21st Apr, 14:00 BST, Sardegna Arena, Cagliari

Cagliari are in Serie A action on Monday afternoon, as Davide Nicola looks to get one over on Raffaele Palladino and his Fiorentina side at the Sardegna Arena. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our extensive database and found the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cagliari are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cagliari
38%
3.30
12%
-
Draw
26%
3.10-
Fiorentina
36%
2.30
10%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00-
Cagliari 1-0
10%
9.00
25%
-
Fiorentina 1-0
10%
7.50
6%
-
Cagliari 2-1
8%
12.00
8%
-
Fiorentina 2-1
8%
9.50
6%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
8.00
16%
-
Cagliari 2-0
6%
15.00
21%
-
Fiorentina 2-0
6%
11.00
10%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
15%
-
Cagliari 3-1
4%
29.00-
Fiorentina 3-1
3%
21.00
24%
-
Cagliari 3-0
3%
34.00
17%
-
Fiorentina 3-0
3%
21.00
11%
-
Cagliari 3-2
2%
41.00
21%
-
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.20
15%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.67
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.38
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
1.73
7%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.00
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.91
9%
-
BTTS - No
47%
1.91
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
7.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5.00
15%
-
Home/draw
64%
1.57
8%
-
Away/draw
62%
1.33
6%
-
Home/away
74%
1.36-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.36
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.20
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
4.00
18%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.25
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8.00
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.08
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
17.00
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.02
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.08
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8.00
16%
-
Home DNB
56%
2.20
16%
-
Away DNB
54%
1.62
13%
-
Cagliari win to nil
20%
5.50
21%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
19%
3.75
7%
-
Cagliari / Cagliari
17%
5.00
17%
-
Cagliari / Fiorentina
3%
29.00
26%
-
Cagliari / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Cagliari
13%
6.50
19%
-
Draw / Fiorentina
15%
5.50
10%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4.75
5%
-
Fiorentina / Cagliari
2%
34.00-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
22%
3.75
10%
-
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
-
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Cagliari have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 2. Cagliari have conceded 37 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cagliari have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 8th place on 53 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 15 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3221834171 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
2
Napoli3220842668 
l
 
0-4A
May 25
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
3
Atalanta3218773561 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
4
Juventus32151431959 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
5
Bologna32151251457 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
May 18
l
 
1-0A
6
Lazio3216881056 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
7
Roma3215981554 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-1F
May 4
8
Fiorentina Away3215891753 
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
-
-
9
Milan3214991451 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
10
Torino3291310-140 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
11
Udinese3211714-1040 
May 4
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
May 25
12
Genoa3291211-939 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
13
Como 1907329914-836 
d
 
1-1F
May 11
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
14
Verona329518-2932 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
15
Cagliari Home327916-1530 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
16
Parma3251314-1428 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
17
Lecce326818-2926 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-6F
18
Venezia3241216-1924 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
19
Empoli3241216-2624 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
20
Monza322921-3115 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
Win / draw / win form
Cagliari 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Fiorentina 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Fiorentina have beaten Cagliari in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Fiorentina have not lost to Cagliari in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cagliari since 2014
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
13
17
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
CAG
2
D
2
FIO
4
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
7 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
2 / 9
CAG
2
D
2
FIO
5
Goal Statistics
Cagliari 15th Fiorentina 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Cagliari will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Cagliari’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Fiorentina have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283358/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cagliari
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
CAG
FIO
32%
better
view stats
Games scored18
25
Failed to score14
7
Scored first10
18
Goals scored32
49
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
CAG
FIO
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
20
Clean sheets5
12
Conceded first19
11
Goals conceded47
32
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+30%

Cagliari v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cagliari Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31756
S LupertoR PiccoliT AugelloY Mina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Luperto DEF3113
4
-
T Augello DEF315
3
-
R Piccoli FWD3171
4
-
G Zappa DEF302
3
-
N Zortea MID285
2
-
M Adopo MID281
3
1
Y Mina DEF27
5
1
R Marin MID2632
4
-
A Makoumbou MID261
2
1
N Viola MID2331
2
-
A Deiola MID231
4
-
L Pavoletti FWD231
4
-
G Gaetano MID2223
-
Z Luvumbo FWD2021
2
-
M Felici FWD183
1
-
A Obert DEF1711
4
-
E Caprile GLK12
-
J Palomino DEF121
2
-
M Prati MID10
1
-
A Sherri GLK6
-
F Coman FWD61
1
-
K. Mutandwa FWD4
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301757
DodôM KeanL BeltránDodô
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Ranieri DEF3012
4
-
Dodô DEF304
7
-
D Gea GLK281
1
-
M Kean FWD28173
6
-
P. Comuzzo DEF27
5
-
L Beltrán MID2745
3
-
R Gosens DEF2644
5
-
D Cataldi MID223
1
-
Y Adli MID2234
4
1
A Colpani MID2221
1
-
R Mandragora  MID2222
5
-
F Parisi DEF201
1
-
A Richardson MID20
5
-
A Gudmundsson FWD196
2
-
M Pongracic  DEF13
2
1
E Bove MID1212
3
-
M Folorunsho MID10
4
-
N Fagioli MID82
-
P Marí DEF6
2
-
N Zaniolo MID6
1
-
C Ndour MID5
-
M Moreno DEF4
-
P Terracciano GLK3
-
M. Caprini FWD2
-