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Atalanta v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 19:45 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Simone Inzaghi pays counterpart Gian Piero Gasperini a visit on Sunday evening in the Serie A, as their Inter Milan and Atalanta sides face each other at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our extensive database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Atalanta or Inter are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
32%
6/4
19%
8/5
13%
Draw
24%
12/5
3%
12/5
6%
Inter
44%
17/10
20%
17/10
20%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Inter 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
13%
Inter 1-0
9%
17/2
14%
15/2
Atalanta 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
Atalanta 1-0
7%
8/1
31%
15/2
15%
Inter 2-0
7%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
27%
8/1
18%
Inter 3-1
5%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Atalanta 2-0
5%
12/1
32%
10/1
15%
Inter 3-0
4%
28/1
38%
20/1
24%
Atalanta 3-1
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Inter 3-2
3%
28/1
38%
20/1
24%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Atalanta 3-0
2%
22/1
32%
18/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
10/11
18%
5/6
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
10/11
17%
10/11
9%
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/6
17%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
11/10
21%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/10
13%
4/6
4%
BTTS - No
42%
21/20
18%
11/10
7%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
23%
4/1
33%
19/5
28%
Home/draw
56%
4/9
11%
4/9
11%
Away/draw
68%
1/2
10%
1/2
10%
Home/away
76%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
10%
2/7
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
25%
5/2
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/5
34%
2/1
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11
13%
7/20
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
39%
9/2
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
8%
1/8
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
63%
10/1
29%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
4%
1/33
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
2%
1/20
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
27%
8/1
18%
Home DNB
49%
4/5
18%
4/5
16%
Away DNB
61%
10/11
18%
10/11
18%
Atalanta win to nil
15%
7/2
31%
-
Inter win to nil
21%
4/1
11%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
20%
3/1
16%
3/1
13%
Atalanta / Inter
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
11%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
14%
5/1
14%
19/4
12%
Draw / Inter
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
14%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
8%
19/5
9%
Inter / Atalanta
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Inter / Inter
18%
7/2
25%
16/5
20%
Inter / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 1. Atalanta have conceded 7 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Atalanta have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 1st place on 61 points in the Serie A league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 63 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Inter have played 14 away games, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Inter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter Away2818733661 
Mar 16
l
 
4-0A
-
-
2
Napoli2818642260 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
3
Atalanta Home2817743758 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Mar 16
4
Juventus28131322052 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
d
 
4-4F
l
 
1-0A
5
Lazio2815671451 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
May 18
w
 
0-6F
6
Bologna28131141050 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
7
Roma2813781346 
May 11
w
 
0-2F
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
8
Fiorentina2813691345 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
9
Milan2812881044 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
Udinese2811710-340 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
11
Torino288119-135 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 11
12
Genoa2871110-1032 
w
 
5-1F
May 18
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
Como 1907287813-1029 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 25
14
Cagliari286814-1526 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Apr 13
w
 
0-3F
15
Verona288218-3026 
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-5F
May 4
w
 
0-5F
16
Lecce286715-2625 
Apr 27
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
17
Parma285914-1424 
May 25
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 6
18
Empoli2841014-2222 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
19
Venezia2831015-1919 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza282818-2514 
w
 
2-0F
May 4
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
3
Atalanta have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
5
Atalanta have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
Atalanta 3RD
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
Atalanta0 - 0Cagliari
Atalanta1 - 1Torino
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
Atalanta3 - 2Empoli
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Udinese
Atalanta2 - 0Monza
Atalanta6 - 1Verona
Atalanta5 - 1Genoa
Atalanta2 - 3Como 1907
Atalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 0Torino
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta2 - 0Empoli
Atalanta2 - 2Verona
Atalanta1 - 2Bologna
Atalanta3 - 0Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta4 - 0Juventus
HAtalanta0 - 0Venezia
AAtalanta5 - 0Empoli
HAtalanta0 - 0Cagliari
AAtalanta5 - 0Verona
HAtalanta1 - 1Torino
AAtalanta2 - 1Como 1907
HAtalanta2 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta0 - 0Udinese
AAtalanta1 - 1Lazio
HAtalanta3 - 2Empoli
AAtalanta1 - 0Cagliari
HAtalanta2 - 1Milan
AAtalanta2 - 0Roma
AAtalanta3 - 1Parma
HAtalanta2 - 1Udinese
AAtalanta3 - 0Napoli
HAtalanta2 - 0Monza
HAtalanta6 - 1Verona
Inter 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli1 - 1Inter
Juventus1 - 0Inter
Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
Milan1 - 1Inter
Lecce0 - 4Inter
Venezia0 - 1Inter
Cagliari0 - 3Inter
Lazio0 - 6Inter
Verona0 - 5Inter
Empoli0 - 3Inter
Roma0 - 1Inter
Udinese2 - 3Inter
Monza1 - 1Inter
Genoa2 - 2Inter
Verona2 - 2Inter
Frosinone0 - 5Inter
Sassuolo1 - 0Inter
Milan1 - 2Inter
Udinese1 - 2Inter
Bologna0 - 1Inter
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HInter3 - 2Monza
AInter1 - 1Napoli
HInter1 - 0Genoa
AInter0 - 1Juventus
HInter2 - 1Fiorentina
AInter0 - 3Fiorentina
AInter1 - 1Milan
AInter4 - 0Lecce
HInter3 - 1Empoli
HInter2 - 2Bologna
AInter1 - 0Venezia
AInter3 - 0Cagliari
HInter2 - 0Como 1907
AInter6 - 0Lazio
HInter3 - 1Parma
AInter5 - 0Verona
HInter1 - 1Napoli
HInter1 - 0Venezia
AInter3 - 0Empoli
HInter4 - 4Juventus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Inter have beaten Atalanta in 5 consecutive league meetings
12
Inter have not lost to Atalanta in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Inter
Goals: Scored
12
15
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
ATA
2
D
4
INT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
1 - 2Inter
2 - 3Inter
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Inter
Atalanta4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Inter
League games at Inter since 2014
Inter
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
27
6
Games: Scored
10 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
1 / 11
D
3
INT
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Inter
Inter4 - 0
Inter4 - 0
Inter3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Inter1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Inter2 - 0
Inter7 - 1
Inter1 - 0
Inter2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan's defensive record is to be admired, Simone Inzaghi's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Atalanta makes sense in this context.

Atalanta 3rd Inter 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Inter have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283326/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
ATA
INT
11%
better
view stats
Games scored24
26
Failed to score4
2
Scored first17
19
Goals scored63
63
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.3
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
20
Avg. XG for2
2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
4%
better
ATA
INT
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets12
12
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded26
27
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+4%

Atalanta v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
252267
ÉdersonM ReteguiR BellanovaI Hien
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Éderson MID2831
3
-
M Roon MID2743
5
-
C Ketelaere FWD2755
1
-
M Retegui FWD26224
1
-
M Carnesecchi GLK25
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF2512
4
-
L Samardžić MID2521
2
-
M Pasalic MID2523
1
-
R Bellanova MID246
2
-
I Hien DEF22
7
-
M Ruggeri MID222
2
-
A Lookman FWD22135
5
-
M Brescianini MID2132
1
-
D Zappacosta MID2142
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF192
5
-
J Cuadrado MID162
2
-
O Kossounou  DEF12
1
-
R Tolói DEF8
-
M Palestra MID7
-
G Scalvini DEF6
2
-
I Sulemana MID5
1
-
S Posch DEF4
-
R Patrício GLK2
-
D Maldini MID1
-
G Scamacca FWD1
-
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261354
A BastoniM ThuramN Barella D Dumfries
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bastoni DEF2714
3
-
M Thuram FWD27134
1
-
H Mkhitaryan MID2614
3
-
L Martínez FWD26103
-
Y Sommer GLK25
-
N Barella  MID2535
3
-
F Dimarco DEF2444
2
-
D Dumfries DEF2462
4
-
S Vrij DEF222
1
-
P Zielinski MID2222
-
M Darmian DEF2122
2
-
D Frattesi MID2141
1
-
H Calhanoglu  MID2053
3
-
M Taremi FWD2011
1
-
B Pavard DEF191
3
-
C Augusto DEF1921
-
Y Bisseck DEF1712
3
-
K Asllani MID152
3
-
F Acerbi DEF141
-
M Arnautovic  FWD1021
1
-
J Correa FWD912
1
-
J Martínez GLK3
-
N Zalewski MID31
1
-