AC Monza's team badge Parma's team badge

AC Monza v Parma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 14:00 BST, Stadio Brianteo, Monza

Alessandro Mangiarratti's AC Monza side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Saturday afternoon, as Cristian Eugen Chivu's Parma travel to the Stadio Brianteo. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this match will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as our predictive algorithm on this one. Monza and Parma have seldom treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monza are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monza
38%
2/1
15%
2/1
22%
Draw
27%
2/1
3%
11/5
14%
Parma
35%
31/20
11%
29/20
6%
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
8%
19/4
12%
Monza 1-0
11%
8/1
18%
7/1
Parma 1-0
10%
15/2
23%
6/1
18%
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
29%
13/2
25%
Monza 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
12%
Parma 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
15/2
6%
Monza 2-0
7%
14/111/1
9%
Parma 2-0
6%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
18%
11/1
Monza 3-1
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
27%
Parma 3-1
3%
20/114/1
Monza 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
21%
Parma 3-0
2%
22/1
21%
18/1
Monza 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Parma 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
11/10
17%
21/20
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
8/11
14%
7/10
13%
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/5
22%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/6
13%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
29%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5
15%
5/6
8%
BTTS - No
49%
19/20
13%
10/11
7%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5/1
33%
9/2
27%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
7%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
Home/draw
65%
1/2
7%
8/15
3%
Away/draw
62%
4/11
9%
4/11
11%
Home/away
73%
4/117/20
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/3
9%
7/20
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5
21%
2/1
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11/4
36%
5/2
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/7
10%
1/4
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1
40%
6/1
27%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10
6%
1/12
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
50%
12/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
3%
1/50
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
3%
1/14
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
25%
13/2
25%
Home DNB
57%
1/1
11%
21/20
14%
Away DNB
54%
8/11
9%
7/10
11%
Monza win to nil
22%
4/1-
Parma win to nil
19%
10/3
21%
-
Monza / Monza
17%
15/4
19%
19/5
30%
Monza / Parma
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Monza / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Monza
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
Draw / Parma
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
14%
10/3
18%
Parma / Monza
3%
28/1
26%
22/1
10%
Parma / Parma
20%
3/1
8%
29/10
3%
Parma / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Monza have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 8 and won 2. Monza have conceded 48 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monza have played 14 games at home, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Parma lay in 17th place on 24 points in the Serie A league table having played 28 matches. Parma are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 4 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Parma have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Parma have played 13 away games, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monza
Parma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2818733661 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
Apr 6
l
 
3-1A
2
Napoli2818642260 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
May 18
l
 
2-1F
3
Atalanta2817743758 
May 4
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
May 25
4
Juventus28131322052 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 27
Apr 20
d
 
2-2F
5
Lazio2815671451 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 27
6
Bologna28131141050 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Roma2813781346 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
8
Fiorentina2813691345 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
9
Milan2812881044 
l
 
0-1A
May 25
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2F
10
Udinese2811710-340 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
11
Torino288119-135 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
12
Genoa2871110-1032 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Como 1907287813-1029 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
May 4
d
 
1-1F
14
Cagliari286814-1526 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 30
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-1A
15
Verona288218-3026 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
2-3A
Mar 31
16
Lecce286715-2625 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2A
17
Parma Away285914-1424 
Mar 15
l
 
2-1A
-
-
18
Empoli2841014-2222 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
May 11
19
Venezia2831015-1919 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
20
Monza Home282818-2514 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
4
Parma have lost 4 consecutive away league games
7
Parma have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Monza 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza0 - 2Torino
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Monza0 - 1Verona
Monza2 - 1Fiorentina
Monza1 - 2Cagliari
Monza1 - 2Juventus
Monza1 - 2Udinese
Monza0 - 1Lazio
Monza0 - 1Milan
Monza2 - 2Venezia
Monza1 - 1Roma
Monza1 - 2Bologna
Monza1 - 1Inter
Monza0 - 1Genoa
Monza0 - 1Frosinone
Monza2 - 2Lazio
Monza1 - 2Atalanta
Monza2 - 4Napoli
Monza1 - 0Cagliari
Monza1 - 4Roma
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonza2 - 3Inter
HMonza0 - 2Torino
AMonza0 - 4Roma
HMonza0 - 0Lecce
AMonza1 - 5Lazio
HMonza0 - 1Verona
AMonza0 - 2Genoa
AMonza1 - 3Bologna
HMonza2 - 1Fiorentina
HMonza1 - 2Cagliari
AMonza1 - 2Parma
HMonza1 - 2Juventus
AMonza1 - 2Lecce
HMonza1 - 2Udinese
AMonza1 - 1Como 1907
AMonza1 - 1Torino
HMonza0 - 1Lazio
HMonza0 - 1Milan
AMonza0 - 2Atalanta
HMonza2 - 2Venezia
Parma 17TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Udinese1 - 0Parma
Cagliari2 - 1Parma
Milan3 - 2Parma
Genoa1 - 0Parma
Torino0 - 0Parma
Roma5 - 0Parma
Inter3 - 1Parma
Venezia1 - 2Parma
Juventus2 - 2Parma
Como 19071 - 1Parma
Bologna0 - 0Parma
Lecce2 - 2Parma
Napoli2 - 1Parma
Reggiana1 - 1Parma
Bari 19081 - 1Parma
Palermo0 - 0Parma
Sudtirol0 - 0Parma
Feralpisalo1 - 2Parma
Ternana1 - 3Parma
Como 19071 - 1Parma
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParma2 - 2Torino
AParma0 - 1Udinese
HParma2 - 0Bologna
HParma0 - 1Roma
AParma1 - 2Cagliari
HParma1 - 3Lecce
AParma2 - 3Milan
HParma1 - 1Venezia
AParma0 - 1Genoa
AParma0 - 0Torino
HParma2 - 1Monza
AParma0 - 5Roma
HParma2 - 3Verona
AParma1 - 3Inter
HParma3 - 1Lazio
HParma1 - 3Atalanta
AParma2 - 1Venezia
HParma0 - 1Genoa
AParma2 - 2Juventus
HParma1 - 1Empoli
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for AC Monza of late. It has been 6 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Parma.

Monza 20th Parma 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Monza will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Parma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Monza have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-20
Parma have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283321/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monza
PG (predicted goals)
Parma
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
MON
PMA
25%
better
view stats
Games scored17
21
Failed to score11
7
Scored first7
11
Goals scored23
34
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
MON
PMA
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
25
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first19
15
Goals conceded48
48
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+3%

Monza v Parma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
244311
S TuratiD MotaP PereiraA Izzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Pereira DEF2613
8
-
S Turati GLK24
1
-
A Izzo DEF241
11
-
A Bianco MID241
6
-
G Kyriakopoulos MID2423
4
-
G Caprari FWD2321
3
-
D Mota FWD2242
2
-
A Carboni DEF201
4
-
D D'Ambrosio DEF17
2
1
S Vignato MID13
-
P Ciurria MID1111
1
-
S Birindelli DEF102
2
-
M Pessina MID10
2
-
K. Maussi Martins FWD91
1
-
S Sensi  MID81
-
L Caldirola DEF7
1
-
A Petagna FWD7
1
-
K Urbański MID6
-
S Lekovic DEF5
-
K. Zeroli MID5
-
O. Forson FWD5
-
S Ganvoula FWD5
-
S Pizzignacco GLK4
-
T Palacios DEF4
1
-
G Castrovilli MID4
-
J Akpro  MID4
2
-
R Gagliardini MID4
1
-
K Baldé FWD41
-
A Brorsson DEF3
-
Parma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27546
S SohmA BonnyD ManM Keita
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Sohm MID284
4
-
Z Suzuki GLK27
1
1
A Bonny FWD2752
2
-
D Man FWD2644
-
M Cancellieri FWD263
2
1
E Valeri DEF2524
-
P Almqvist FWD2511
4
-
E Prato DEF244
5
-
B Balogh DEF231
4
-
V Mihăilă FWD213
2
-
M Keita MID201
5
1
A Hainaut DEF191
3
-
D Camara MID17
4
-
Hernani MID1732
4
-
A Bernabé MID14
1
-
A. Haj Mohamed FWD1411
3
-
L Valenti DEF111
3
-
N Estévez MID10
2
-
G Charpentier  FWD1012
1
-
G. Leoni DEF91
1
A Benedyczak FWD8
-
A Vogliacco DEF6
2
-
A Circati DEF4
1
-
M Løvik DEF4
-
Y Osorio DEF3
-
M Pellegrino FWD32
1
-
J Ondrejka FWD3
-
M Djuric FWD3
-
M Kowalski FWD1
-