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AC Monza v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Feb, 14:00 BST, Stadio Brianteo, Monza

The Serie A is the focus for both AC Monza and Lecce on Sunday afternoon, as managers Sait Karafirtinalar and Marco Silva face one another at the Stadio Brianteo. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Monza and Lecce a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Serie A fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monza are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monza
41%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
Draw
27%
21/10
3%
11/5
6%
Lecce
32%
12/5
6%
12/5
6%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Monza 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Lecce 1-0
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
Monza 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
11%
13/2
12%
Lecce 2-1
7%
11/110/1
10%
Monza 2-0
7%
9/18/1
5%
Lecce 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
8%
Monza 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Monza 3-0
3%
20/114/1
12%
Lecce 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Monza 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Lecce 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Lecce 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/5
10%
23/20
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6
7%
13/20
6%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
46%
7/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
6%
10/11
6%
BTTS - No
49%
10/11
2%
4/5
6%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
5%
18/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/317/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
Home/draw
68%
3/10
4%
3/10
2%
Away/draw
59%
4/6
3%
13/20
Home/away
73%
4/111/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/5
5%
4/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
2/1
12%
15/8
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1
7%
11/4
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
14%
13/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
2%
1/14
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
11%
13/2
12%
Home DNB
60%
8/15
3%
8/15
3%
Away DNB
51%
11/8
6%
11/8
6%
Monza win to nil
23%
5/2
7%
-
Lecce win to nil
18%
9/2-
Monza / Monza
22%
11/4
4%
5/2
Monza / Lecce
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Monza / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Monza
15%
9/24/1
5%
Draw / Lecce
12%
6/16/1
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
10/3
6%
Lecce / Monza
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Lecce / Lecce
15%
9/217/4
5%
Lecce / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Monza have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Monza have conceded 34 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monza have played 12 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Lecce lay in 14th place on 23 points in the Serie A league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lecce have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Lecce have played 12 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monza
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2317332254 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
May 4
l
 
1-0A
2
Inter2215613751 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
3
Atalanta2314542347 
May 4
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-4A
Apr 27
4
Lazio231337942 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
l
 
1-2A
May 25
5
Juventus2391311940 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
6
Fiorentina2211651439 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-6A
Mar 2
7
Bologna229103837 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
8
Milan22985935 
l
 
0-1A
May 25
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
9
Roma23878531 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 24
Mar 30
l
 
4-1A
10
Udinese238510-829 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
11
Torino23698-327 
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Genoa23689-1126 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
13
Verona237214-2223 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
May 11
14
Lecce Away236512-2323 
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
-
-
15
Como 1907235711-1122 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
16
Empoli234910-1121 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
17
Cagliari235612-1421 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 30
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
18
Parma234811-1320 
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3A
19
Venezia233713-1616 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 13
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza Home232714-1413 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
Win / draw / win form
Monza 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
Lecce 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Lecce have not lost to Monza in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Monza since 2021
Monza
Lecce
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
MON
1
D
1
LEC
2
League games at Lecce since 2021
Lecce
Monza
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
D
3
LEC
2
Goal Statistics
Monza 20th Lecce 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Monza will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Lecce will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Monza have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-17
Lecce have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283283/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monza
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
MON
LEC
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MON
LEC
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Monza v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20439
A IzzoD MotaP PereiraA Izzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Caprari FWD2221
3
-
A Izzo DEF211
9
-
P Pereira DEF2113
6
-
S Turati GLK20
1
-
G Kyriakopoulos MID2023
4
-
A Bianco MID191
5
-
A Carboni DEF181
4
-
D Mota FWD184
2
-
D D'Ambrosio DEF14
2
1
M Pessina MID11
2
-
S Vignato MID11
-
S Birindelli DEF91
1
-
L Caldirola DEF7
1
-
S Sensi  MID7
-
P Ciurria MID711
1
-
A Petagna FWD7
1
-
K. Maussi Martins FWD61
1
-
O. Forson FWD5
-
S Pizzignacco GLK4
-
J Akpro  MID4
2
-
R Gagliardini MID4
1
-
S Lekovic DEF2
-
K Urbański MID2
-
T Palacios DEF1
-
G Castrovilli MID1
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23734
W FalconeN KrstovicN KrstovicS Pierotti
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK23
1
-
F Baschirotto DEF23
2
-
L Coulibaly  MID23
2
-
N Krstovic FWD2373
2
-
S Pierotti FWD2242
4
-
Y Ramadani MID201
4
-
T Morente FWD1931
2
-
F Guilbert DEF18
2
2
B Pierret MID18
2
-
A Rebic  FWD181
3
1
H Rafia MID17
4
-
A Gallo DEF162
1
1
K Gaspar DEF151
3
-
G Jean DEF12
-
L Banda FWD101
1
-
M Kaba MID9
1
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID71
-
M Berisha MID61
-
J Karlsson FWD5
1
-
N Sansone FWD4
1
-
R Pop FWD2
-
F Marchwiński MID1
-