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Milan v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 29th Oct, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Antonio Conte pays counterpart Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca a visit on Tuesday evening in the Serie A, as their Napoli and Milan sides face each other at the Giuseppe Meazza. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Milan and Napoli will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca or Antonio Conte has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 76% probability.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Milan 51%	5/4 5%	5/4 5%
Draw 25%	13/5	27/10 3%
Napoli 24%	2/1 3%	2/1
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	11/2 7%
Milan 1-0 11%	9/1 5%	15/2 6%
Milan 2-1 10%	8/1	7/1
Milan 2-0 9%	11/1	9/1
Napoli 1-0 7%	11/1	17/2
Draw 0-0 7%	14/1 15%	10/1
Napoli 2-1 6%	10/1	17/2
Milan 3-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1 8%	10/1
Milan 3-0 5%	20/1	16/1 13%
Napoli 2-0 4%	16/1	12/1
Milan 3-2 3%	22/1	16/1
Milan 4-1 2%	33/1	25/1 13%
Napoli 3-1 2%	20/1 9%	16/1
Milan 4-0 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	8/11	7/10
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	11/10	11/10 2%
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	6/5 2%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	14/1 15%	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/7 3%	3/5 3%
BTTS - No 48%	5/4 2%	6/5 2%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1	14/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	10/3 4%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	4/1 9%	19/5 4%
Home/draw 76%	4/11	2/5 3%
Away/draw 49%	8/13 3%	13/20 1%
Home/away 75%	2/7	2/7 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	10/3	29/10 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	7/4	17/10 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	4/9	4/9 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	4/1	19/5 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/6	1/6 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	9/1	8/1 5%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/16	1/20 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	10/1
Home DNB 68%	8/13 3%	8/13 1%
Away DNB 41%	6/5 2%	23/20 2%
Milan win to nil 28%	10/3 8%	-
Napoli win to nil 13%	5/1	-
Milan / Milan 23%	13/5 3%	12/5 5%
Milan / Napoli 3%	25/1	20/1
Milan / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Milan 14%	5/1 9%	17/4 5%
Draw / Napoli 12%	6/1	11/2 7%
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	9/2
Napoli / Milan 4%	22/1	18/1
Napoli / Napoli 17%	15/4 5%	18/5
Napoli / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Milan have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games. Milan are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn zero and won 1. Milan have conceded 1 goal, scored 2, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Milan have played 4 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 2 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Napoli lay in 1st place on 19 points in the Serie A league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 15 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Napoli have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Napoli have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Milan

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Napoli

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Oct 29	Mar 30	Napoli Away	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	-
Feb 2	w 1-2F	Inter	8	5	2	1	8	17	Mar 2	Nov 10
Nov 23	Jan 19	Juventus	8	4	4	0	10	16	Jan 26	d 0-00-0
-	-	Milan Home	8	4	2	2	7	14	Mar 30	Oct 29
Apr 20	Dec 6	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	5	13	Nov 3	Jan 19
w 1-0F	Apr 13	Udinese	8	4	1	3	-1	13	Feb 9	Dec 14
Apr 6	l 2-1A	Fiorentina	8	3	4	1	7	13	Mar 9	Jan 5
Mar 2	d 2-2F	Lazio	8	4	1	3	2	13	Dec 8	Feb 16
d 2-2A	Feb 23	Torino	8	3	2	3	0	11	Apr 27	Dec 1
Nov 30	Feb 9	Empoli	8	2	4	2	1	10	Apr 13	w 0-1F
Dec 29	May 18	Roma	8	2	4	2	2	10	Nov 24	Feb 2
Mar 16	Jan 5	Como 1907	8	2	3	3	-4	9	w 3-1F	Feb 23
May 11	Oct 26	Bologna	8	1	6	1	-2	9	w 3-0F	Apr 6
Jan 12	Nov 9	Cagliari	8	2	3	3	-5	9	May 25	w 0-4F
Feb 16	Dec 20	Verona	8	3	0	5	-3	9	Jan 12	l 3-0A
May 25	Nov 2	Monza	8	1	4	3	-1	7	w 2-0F	Apr 20
Jan 26	l 2-1A	Parma	8	1	4	3	-2	7	w 2-1A	May 18
Dec 15	May 4	Genoa	8	1	3	4	-10	6	May 11	Dec 21
w 3-0F	Mar 9	Lecce	8	1	2	5	-15	5	Oct 26	May 4
w 4-0F	Apr 27	Venezia	8	1	1	6	-9	4	Dec 29	Mar 16

Win / draw / win form

Milan have won 3 consecutive home league games

Milan have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games

Milan have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games

Napoli have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan	1 - 0	Udinese
Milan	3 - 0	Lecce
Milan	4 - 0	Venezia
Milan	2 - 2	Torino
Milan	3 - 3	Salernitana
Milan	5 - 1	Cagliari
Milan	3 - 3	Genoa
Milan	1 - 2	Inter
Milan	3 - 0	Lecce
Milan	1 - 0	Empoli
Milan	1 - 1	Atalanta
Milan	1 - 0	Napoli
Milan	2 - 2	Bologna
Milan	3 - 1	Roma
Milan	1 - 0	Sassuolo
Milan	3 - 0	Monza
Milan	3 - 1	Frosinone
Milan	1 - 0	Fiorentina
Milan	0 - 1	Udinese
Milan	0 - 1	Juventus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Milan	1 - 0	Udinese
A	Milan	1 - 2	Fiorentina
H	Milan	3 - 0	Lecce
A	Milan	2 - 1	Inter
H	Milan	4 - 0	Venezia
A	Milan	2 - 2	Lazio
A	Milan	1 - 2	Parma
H	Milan	2 - 2	Torino
H	Milan	3 - 3	Salernitana
A	Milan	1 - 3	Torino
H	Milan	5 - 1	Cagliari
H	Milan	3 - 3	Genoa
A	Milan	0 - 0	Juventus
H	Milan	1 - 2	Inter
A	Milan	3 - 3	Sassuolo
H	Milan	3 - 0	Lecce
A	Milan	2 - 1	Fiorentina
A	Milan	3 - 1	Verona
H	Milan	1 - 0	Empoli
A	Milan	1 - 0	Lazio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Empoli	0 - 1	Napoli
Juventus	0 - 0	Napoli
Cagliari	0 - 4	Napoli
Verona	3 - 0	Napoli
Fiorentina	2 - 2	Napoli
Udinese	1 - 1	Napoli
Empoli	1 - 0	Napoli
Monza	2 - 4	Napoli
Inter	1 - 1	Napoli
Sassuolo	1 - 6	Napoli
Cagliari	1 - 1	Napoli
Milan	1 - 0	Napoli
Lazio	0 - 0	Napoli
Torino	3 - 0	Napoli
Roma	2 - 0	Napoli
Juventus	1 - 0	Napoli
Atalanta	1 - 2	Napoli
Salernitana	0 - 2	Napoli
Verona	1 - 3	Napoli
Lecce	0 - 4	Napoli

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Napoli	1 - 0	Empoli
H	Napoli	3 - 1	Como 1907
H	Napoli	2 - 0	Monza
A	Napoli	0 - 0	Juventus
A	Napoli	4 - 0	Cagliari
H	Napoli	2 - 1	Parma
H	Napoli	3 - 0	Bologna
A	Napoli	0 - 3	Verona
H	Napoli	0 - 0	Lecce
A	Napoli	2 - 2	Fiorentina
H	Napoli	0 - 2	Bologna
A	Napoli	1 - 1	Udinese
H	Napoli	2 - 2	Roma
A	Napoli	0 - 1	Empoli
H	Napoli	2 - 2	Frosinone
A	Napoli	4 - 2	Monza
H	Napoli	0 - 3	Atalanta
A	Napoli	1 - 1	Inter
H	Napoli	1 - 1	Torino
H	Napoli	2 - 1	Juventus

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Milan

Napoli

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

5 / 10

ACM

NAP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Napoli
	0 - 1	Napoli
	0 - 1	Napoli
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Napoli
	0 - 4	Napoli
Milan	2 - 0

Napoli

Milan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

2 / 10

ACM

NAP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 4	Milan
	0 - 1	Milan
	1 - 3	Milan
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Napoli	3 - 2
Napoli	2 - 1
Napoli	4 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Napoli	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

Milan have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Napoli on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Milan 4th	Napoli 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 81% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+5 Napoli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.1 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season

17%

better

ACM

NAP

view stats

Games scored	8		6
Failed to score	0		2
Scored first	5		5
Goals scored	16		15
Avg. goals scored	2		1.9
Avg. shots per game	12		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		22
Avg. XG for	2.1		1.6
KickOff rating		+17%

ACM

NAP

34%

better

view stats

Games conceded	5		3
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	3		2
Goals conceded	9		5
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		12
Conversion rate against	13%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.1		0.9
KickOff rating		+34%

Milan v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	5	3	2
M Maignan	C Pulisic	C Pulisic	T Reijnders

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Maignan GLK	8			1 -
T Reijnders MID	8		2	1 1
C Pulisic FWD	8	5	3	-
F Tomori DEF	7			1 -
T Hernández DEF	7	2	2	1
E Royal DEF	7			2 -
R Loftus-Cheek MID	7			1 -
Y Fofana MID	7	1		2 -
N Okafor FWD	7	1		-
R Leão FWD	7	1	3	-
S Chukwueze FWD	7	1		-
Y Musah MID	6		1	-
T Abraham FWD	6	1	1	-
Álvaro Morata FWD	6	2		2 -
S Pavlovic DEF	5	1		1 -
M Gabbia DEF	4	1		1 -
L Jović FWD	3			1 -
F Terracciano DEF	2			2 -
M Thiaw DEF	2			-
D Calabria DEF	2			-
I Bennacer MID	1			-
K. Zeroli MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	3	10
C Pulisic	R Leão	C Pulisic	C Pulisic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Pulisic FWD	5	8	3	10
T Hernández DEF	2	3	2	6
Álvaro Morata FWD	2	4		3
M Gabbia DEF	1	1		1
Y Fofana MID	1	1		1
N Okafor FWD	1	4		3
R Leão FWD	1	10	3	7
S Chukwueze FWD	1	2		3
T Abraham FWD	1	8	1	3
S Pavlovic DEF	1	2		2
D Calabria DEF		1		1
M Thiaw DEF		1
Y Musah MID			1	1
T Reijnders MID		4	2	4
R Loftus-Cheek MID		1		5
E Royal DEF				7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
413	14	38
F Tomori	C Pulisic	E Royal

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Tomori DEF	413	8	25
Y Fofana MID	321	6	15
E Royal DEF	308	13	38
T Reijnders MID	300	1	10
T Hernández DEF	290	8	27
S Pavlovic DEF	282	12	23
M Maignan GLK	262		2
M Gabbia DEF	240	2	15
C Pulisic FWD	237	14	25
R Leão FWD	184	3	31
R Loftus-Cheek MID	174	7	27
Y Musah MID	130	6	9
M Thiaw DEF	103	2	11
D Calabria DEF	100	3	6
S Chukwueze FWD	77	3	13
Álvaro Morata FWD	76	2	15
F Terracciano DEF	71	4	11
T Abraham FWD	53	4	11
N Okafor FWD	50	1	13
I Bennacer MID	42	1	4
L Jović FWD	19		3
K. Zeroli MID	9	1	1

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	4	4	2
A Rrahmani	K Kvaratskhelia	R Lukaku	F Anguissa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Olivera DEF	8			-
A Rrahmani DEF	8		1	1 -
G Lorenzo DEF	8	2		1 -
F Anguissa MID	8	1		2 -
M Politano FWD	8	1		-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	8	4	2	1 -
A Buongiorno DEF	7	1		1 -
L Spinazzola DEF	7		1	-
P Mazzocchi DEF	7			1 -
S Lobotka MID	7			2 -
D Neres FWD	7	1	3	-
G Simeone FWD	7	1		-
R Lukaku FWD	6	3	4	1 -
A Meret GLK	5			-
B Gilmour MID	5			-
S McTominay MID	5	1	1	-
E Caprile GLK	4			-
G Raspadori FWD	4			1 -
J Jesus DEF	1			-
M Folorunsho MID	1			-
C Ngonge FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	4	9
K Kvaratskhelia	K Kvaratskhelia	R Lukaku	M Politano

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	4	10	2	6
R Lukaku FWD	3	3	4	7
G Lorenzo DEF	2	2		5
D Neres FWD	1	2	3	3
S McTominay MID	1	2	1	1
F Anguissa MID	1	2		2
M Politano FWD	1	3		9
A Buongiorno DEF	1	2		1
G Simeone FWD	1	1		3
G Raspadori FWD		1
M Olivera DEF				1
B Gilmour MID				1
A Rrahmani DEF			1
S Lobotka MID				2
P Mazzocchi DEF		1		1
L Spinazzola DEF			1	2
C Ngonge FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
482	20	43
A Rrahmani	G Lorenzo	G Lorenzo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Rrahmani DEF	482	7	40
F Anguissa MID	402	13	31
G Lorenzo DEF	391	20	43
S Lobotka MID	377	16	30
A Buongiorno DEF	351	14	36
M Politano FWD	219	6	23
M Olivera DEF	188	13	21
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	173	9	35
A Meret GLK	109		2
P Mazzocchi DEF	108	4	11
S McTominay MID	100	7	22
L Spinazzola DEF	91	3	7
E Caprile GLK	88		1
R Lukaku FWD	81		16
B Gilmour MID	77	5	8
J Jesus DEF	71		5
G Raspadori FWD	66	2	10
G Simeone FWD	42		9
D Neres FWD	34	1	7
C Ngonge FWD	7	1	5
M Folorunsho MID	6	1	1

Italian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds

Milan v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Milan have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Milan have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games. Milan are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Napoli lay in 1st place on 19 points in the Serie A league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Milan v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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