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Milan v Lazio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Sunday evening at the Giuseppe Meazza, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Milan and Lazio. Giuseppe Pillon and Marco Baroni going all-out to claim the win. For every Serie A match preview, KickOff delves into the stats for multiple markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Serie A Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Milan's next match is v Como 1907 at 17:00 on Saturday 15th March
Lazio's next match is v Bologna at 14:00 on Sunday 16th March
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Lazio was on Sunday 2nd March 2025
Italian Serie A
March 2nd 2025
Milan 1
2 Lazio
 
S. Chukwueze 85'28' M. Zaccagni
90' P. Rodríguez Ledesma
 
ACM
LAZ
Shots On
4
8
Shots Off
7
9
Corners
3
5
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
14
6
Yellow/red cards
3/1
1/0
 
MilanLazio
 
M. Maignan
S. Pavlović
A. Jiménez Sánchez (K. Walker 46')
T. Hernández
M. Gabbia (L. Jović 83')
Y. Musah (J. Sequeira 37')
Y. Fofana (M. Thiaw 70')
T. Reijnders
S. Giménez
C. Pulisic (S. Chukwueze 70')
R. Conceição Leão
I. Provedel
(M. Lazzari 46') A. Marušić
M. Fuentes
N. Varela Tavares
(P. Gabarrón Gil 79') S. Gigot
M. Guendouzi Olié
N. Rovella
(T. Noslin 88') B. Dia
G. Isaksen
(P. Rodríguez Ledesma 79') football iconM. Zaccagni
(M. Vecino Falero 58') L. Tchaouna

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 77% chance of Milan and Lazio 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
37%
23/20
2%
23/20
5%
Draw
28%
12/5
3%
12/5
6%
Lazio
35%
12/512/5
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
Milan 1-0
11%
17/2
36%
7/1
7%
Lazio 1-0
11%
11/1
33%
9/1
5%
Draw 0-0
9%
11/1
26%
17/2
5%
Milan 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Lazio 2-1
8%
11/19/1
Milan 2-0
7%
11/1
16%
9/1
5%
Lazio 2-0
6%
18/1
12%
14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
29%
10/1
8%
Milan 3-1
3%
16/1
12%
12/1
Lazio 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Milan 3-0
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Lazio 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Milan 3-2
2%
22/1
21%
16/1
11%
Lazio 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
8/11
18%
8/11
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
11/10
21%
1/1
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/10
4%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
11/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
8/13
15%
8/13
3%
BTTS - No
51%
6/5
15%
6/5
5%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
3/1
16%
27/10
1%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
16%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1
14%
9/2
Home/draw
65%
3/103/10
Away/draw
63%
4/6
2%
7/10
2%
Home/away
72%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/9
10%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
10/3
35%
14/5
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/4
27%
17/10
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
4/9
12%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
4/1
38%
19/5
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/6
8%
2/13
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1
41%
8/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/16
4%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/25
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
11/1
16%
17/2
5%
Home DNB
57%
8/158/15
2%
Away DNB
54%
11/811/8
1%
Milan win to nil
22%
3/1
14%
-
Lazio win to nil
20%
11/2
18%
-
Milan / Milan
24%
5/2
3%
23/10
3%
Milan / Lazio
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Milan / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Milan
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
Draw / Lazio
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
9%
Lazio / Milan
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Lazio / Lazio
15%
4/117/4
Lazio / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Milan have conceded 15 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Milan have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Lazio lay in 5th place on 47 points in the Serie A league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lazio have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Lazio have played 13 away games, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Lazio
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2818733661 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-6A
May 18
2
Napoli2818642260 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
3
Atalanta2817743758 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
4
Juventus28131322052 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
May 11
l
 
1-0A
5
Lazio Away2815671451 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
-
-
6
Bologna28131141050 
May 11
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 16
7
Roma2813781346 
d
 
1-1F
May 18
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
8
Fiorentina2813691345 
Apr 5
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Milan Home2812881044 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
10
Udinese2811710-340 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
11
Torino288119-135 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
Mar 31
w
 
2-3F
12
Genoa2981110-935 
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
13
Como 1907287813-1029 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-5F
14
Cagliari286814-1526 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
15
Verona288218-3026 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
16
Lecce296716-2725 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
May 25
w
 
1-2F
17
Parma285914-1424 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 27
l
 
3-1A
18
Empoli2841014-2222 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
May 4
19
Venezia2831015-1919 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
20
Monza282818-2514 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Milan 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Lazio 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Milan have beaten Lazio in 4 consecutive home league meetings
3
Milan have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Lazio
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Lazio
Goals: Scored
19
7
Games: Scored
10 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
0 / 10
ACM
8
D
1
LAZ
1
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
ACM
4
D
3
LAZ
4
Goal Statistics

Lazio's defensive record is to be admired, Marco Baroni's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Milan 9th Lazio 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Lazio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Lazio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283306/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Lazio
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
ACM
LAZ
10%
better
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score4
4
Scored first14
16
Goals scored38
47
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
16%
better
ACM
LAZ
view stats
Games conceded16
20
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded28
34
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%

Milan v Lazio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27875
M Maignan C PulisicR LeãoY Fofana
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK27
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF11
3
-
M Gabbia DEF171
3
-
S Pavlovic DEF1611
2
1
T Hernández DEF2532
3
1
Y Musah MID232
4
-
Y Fofana MID2614
5
-
C Pulisic MID2486
-
T Reijnders MID2783
2
1
R Leão MID2667
3
-
S Giménez FWD621
3
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK1
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
F Tomori DEF14
2
1
M Thiaw DEF19
2
-
K Walker DEF5
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF2
1
W Bondo MID1
-
F Terracciano MID10
2
-
J Félix FWD6
1
-
T Abraham FWD2222
1
-
R Sottil  FWD3
-
L Jović  FWD7
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD213
-
F. Camarda FWD9
-
Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
288810
M GuendouziM ZaccagniN TavaresN Rovella
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK27
-
A Marusic DEF263
1
-
S Gigot  DEF102
2
-
M Gila  DEF241
5
-
N Tavares DEF208
3
1
N Rovella MID232
10
-
M Guendouzi MID2813
4
-
G Isaksen MID2832
4
-
B Dia MID2573
3
-
M Zaccagni MID2586
7
-
L Tchaouna FWD201
3
1
Subs
C Mandas GLK1
-
A Furlanetto GLK
-
Patric DEF101
2
-
O Provstgaard DEF
-
M Vecino MID1212
4
-
R Belahyane MID2
-
A Ibrahimović MID
-
M Lazzari  MID211
2
-
Pedro FWD216
2
-
T Noslin FWD2322
2
-