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Milan v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Apr, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Atalanta pay Serie A counterparts Milan a visit on Sunday evening, as Gian Piero Gasperini guides his side into an away clash with Giuseppe Pillon & co. at the Giuseppe Meazza. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
27%
2.55
2%
-
Draw
25%
3.30
3%
-
Atalanta
48%
2.70
4%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50
7%
-
Atalanta 1-0
10%
12.00-
Atalanta 2-1
9%
10.00-
Atalanta 2-0
8%
15.00-
Milan 1-0
7%
11.00
8%
-
Milan 2-1
7%
10.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
13.00
13%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
11.00-
Atalanta 3-1
5%
19.00-
Atalanta 3-0
4%
29.00
12%
-
Milan 2-0
4%
15.00-
Atalanta 3-2
3%
23.00-
Milan 3-1
3%
19.00-
Milan 3-2
2%
23.00-
Atalanta 4-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.67
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
2.20
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
1.80-
Away 1st Goal
52%
2.05
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
13.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.53
2%
-
BTTS - No
46%
2.38
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
4.33-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.00-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
4.75
6%
-
Home/draw
52%
1.44
4%
-
Away/draw
73%
1.50-
Home/away
75%
1.33
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2.62
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.50
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
4.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.20-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9.00
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.07
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.00
13%
-
Home DNB
45%
1.80
2%
-
Away DNB
65%
1.91
4%
-
Milan win to nil
14%
5.00
9%
-
Atalanta win to nil
25%
5.50-
Milan / Milan
21%
4.00-
Milan / Atalanta
4%
23.00-
Milan / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Milan
14%
6.00
8%
-
Draw / Atalanta
13%
6.50-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Atalanta / Milan
4%
23.00-
Atalanta / Atalanta
19%
4.33-
Atalanta / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Milan have conceded 21 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Milan have played 16 games at home, winning 7, drawing 7 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 3rd place on 61 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 60 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 16 away games, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3221834171 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
2
Napoli3220842668 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-3F
3
Atalanta Away3218773561 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
-
-
4
Juventus32151431959 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
5
Bologna32151251457 
May 11
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
6
Lazio3216881056 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
7
Roma3215981554 
d
 
1-1F
May 18
May 11
w
 
0-2F
8
Fiorentina3215891753 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
Milan Home3214991451 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
10
Torino3291310-140 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
11
Udinese3211714-1040 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
12
Genoa3291211-939 
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
w
 
5-1F
May 18
13
Como 1907329914-836 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
14
Verona329518-2932 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-5F
15
Cagliari327916-1530 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
16
Parma3251314-1428 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
May 25
w
 
1-3F
17
Lecce326818-2926 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
Apr 27
w
 
0-4F
18
Venezia3241216-1924 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
19
Empoli3241216-2624 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-5F
20
Monza322921-3115 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 4
Win / draw / win form
Milan 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Atalanta 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
5 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
5 / 10
ACM
2
D
5
ATA
3
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Milan
Goals: Scored
19
18
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
ACM
4
D
3
ATA
4
Goal Statistics

Atalanta have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Milan on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Milan 9th Atalanta 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Atalanta have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283366/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
ACM
ATA
4%
better
view stats
Games scored28
25
Failed to score4
7
Scored first15
18
Goals scored51
65
Avg. goals scored1.6
2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
ACM
ATA
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
19
Clean sheets11
13
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded37
30
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+13%

Milan v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30975
M Maignan T ReijndersR LeãoY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK30
2
-
T Reijnders MID3094
2
1
Y Fofana MID2914
5
-
R Leão FWD2967
4
-
T Hernández DEF2833
4
1
C Pulisic FWD2797
1
-
Y Musah MID252
5
-
T Abraham FWD2533
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD233
-
M Thiaw DEF21
2
-
M Gabbia DEF191
3
-
E Royal DEF18
5
-
S Pavlovic DEF1711
2
1
F Tomori DEF151
2
1
R Loftus-Cheek MID14
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF13
5
-
F Terracciano DEF10
2
-
J Félix FWD9
1
-
S Giménez FWD921
3
-
L Jović  FWD92
1
-
K Walker DEF8
1
-
W Bondo MID4
1
-
R Sottil  FWD3
-
M Sportiello GLK1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282268
M RoonM ReteguiR BellanovaI Hien
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roon MID3043
5
-
Éderson MID3031
4
1
C Ketelaere FWD3055
1
-
M Retegui FWD29224
1
-
M Carnesecchi GLK28
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF2812
4
-
L Samardžić MID2821
3
-
R Bellanova MID276
3
-
M Pasalic MID2723
1
-
I Hien DEF25
8
-
A Lookman FWD25135
5
-
M Brescianini MID2432
1
-
M Ruggeri MID242
2
-
D Zappacosta MID2442
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF222
7
-
J Cuadrado MID182
2
-
O Kossounou  DEF12
1
-
R Tolói DEF8
-
M Palestra MID7
-
G Scalvini DEF6
2
-
I Sulemana MID5
1
-
S Posch DEF4
-
D Maldini MID4
-
R Patrício GLK2
-
G Scamacca FWD1
-