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St Patrick's Athletic v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Richmond Park, Dublin

Monday evening sees Stephen Kenny’s St Patrick's Athletic and Huseyin Eroglu’s Derry City go head to head in a Premier Division clash at the Richmond Park. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you explore each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.

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St Patrick's Athletic's next match is v Bohemians at 19:45 on Friday 14th March
Derry City's next match is v Sligo at 19:45 on Saturday 15th March
The last Irish Premier Division meeting between St Patrick's and Derry was on Monday 3rd March 2025
Irish Premier Division
March 3rd 2025
St Patrick's 2
0 Derry
 
A. Keena 16'
A. Keena 67'
 
STP
DER
Shots On
4
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
7
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/1
 
St Patrick'sDerry
 
J. Anang
J. Redmond
T. Grivosti
A. Breslin
A. Sjöberg
Z. Elbouzedi (A. Kazeem 88')
C. Forrester
J. Mulraney (S. Power 70')
M. Melia (C. Carty 88')
J. McClelland
A. Keenafootball iconfootball icon (B. Kavanagh 78')
B. Maher
K. Holt
B. Doherty
M. Connolly
A. O'Reilly
(S. Todd 55') P. McMullan
S. Diallo
C. Winchester
(S. Patton 65') P. Hoban
(C. Harkin 56') G. Whyte
(D. Mullen 73') M. Duffy

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St Patrick's are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St Patrick's
45%
6/5
15%
11/10
19%
Draw
26%
5/2
6%
2/1
3%
Derry
28%
23/10
20%
11/5
31%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
5/1
St Patrick's 1-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
St Patrick's 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
11%
Derry 1-0
9%
15/2
13%
7/1
23%
St Patrick's 2-0
8%
17/2
21%
8/1
18%
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
6%
6/1
Derry 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
Derry 2-0
5%
14/1
25%
12/1
30%
St Patrick's 3-1
4%
18/1
17%
14/1
12%
St Patrick's 3-0
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
Derry 3-1
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
St Patrick's 3-2
2%
33/120/1
9%
Derry 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Derry 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/5
2%
11/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
13/20
2%
3/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5
9%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20
2%
10/11
2%
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
2%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4/1
17%
18/5
16%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/417/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Home/draw
72%
1/3
3%
3/10
12%
Away/draw
55%
4/6
14%
13/20
15%
Home/away
74%
2/7
1%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
1%
4/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
2/1
9%
7/4
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1
8%
13/5
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/9
4%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/1
10%
6/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/14
3%
1/18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
10%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
2%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
13%
11/2
7%
Home DNB
64%
4/7
13%
8/15
20%
Away DNB
47%
5/4
25%
13/10
28%
St Patrick's win to nil
26%
5/2
13%
-
Derry win to nil
16%
4/1
15%
-
St Patrick's / St Patrick's
23%
13/5
17%
5/2
17%
St Patrick's / Derry
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
St Patrick's / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / St Patrick's
16%
4/1
17%
4/1
13%
Draw / Derry
11%
6/1
17%
6/1
22%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
6%
10/3
2%
Derry / St Patrick's
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Derry / Derry
14%
9/2
22%
17/4
31%
Derry / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Premier Division table
Won
Draw
Lost
St Patrick's
Derry
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Drogheda5511 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 21
Jun 13
Aug 22
Apr 11
May 16
Jun 27
Sep 26
2
Waterford5-19 
May 23
Mar 28
Oct 24
Aug 1
l
 
1-2A
Apr 25
Jul 4
Oct 17
3
Shelbourne528 
Apr 4
May 9
Jun 16
Nov 1
May 2
l
 
3-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
4
Galway517 
May 2
l
 
2-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
Jun 13
Aug 22
5
St Patrick's H517 
-
-
-
-
May 5
l
 
2-0A
Aug 29
Jun 23
6
Bohemians516 
Mar 14
Apr 25
Jul 4
Oct 3
w
 
1-0F
May 30
Jul 25
Sep 12
7
Cork405 
May 16
Apr 11
Sep 12
Jun 27
Apr 4
May 9
Aug 8
Nov 1
8
Shamrock4-14 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
Oct 17
May 19
May 23
Mar 28
Oct 24
Aug 1
9
Sligo5-44 
w
 
4-3F
May 30
Aug 8
Sep 27
Apr 21
Mar 15
Oct 3
Jul 12
10
Derry A5-44 
w
 
2-0F
May 5
Jun 23
Aug 29
-
-
-
-
Win / draw / win form
St Patrick's 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Derry 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St Patrick's since 2019
St Patrick's
Derry
Goals: Scored
11
13
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
STP
5
D
1
DER
5
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
St Patrick's
Goals: Scored
17
9
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
STP
1
D
4
DER
6
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Derry City of late. It has been 5 Premier Division games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Monday evening against St Patrick's Athletic.

St Patrick's 5th Derry 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that St Patrick's will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Derry will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
St Patrick's have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-27
Derry have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290030/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St Patrick's
PG (predicted goals)
Derry
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
STP
DER
2%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score1
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored5
3
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
1%
better
STP
DER
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded5
5
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
5
Conversion rate against29%
19%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+1%

St Patrick's v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

St Patrick's Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5523
J AnangA KeenaB KavanaghA Sjoberg
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Anang GLK5
-
A Sjoberg DEF4
3
-
T Grivosti DEF4
3
-
A Breslin DEF5
1
-
J Redmond DEF5
1
-
Z Elbouzedi MID51
-
C Forrester MID411
-
J Mulraney MID51
1
-
J McClelland FWD4
-
A Keena FWD55
-
M Melia FWD5
-
Subs
D Rogers GLK
-
L Turner DEF2
-
A Kazeem DEF3
-
B Kavanagh MID52
-
S Power MID3
-
J. Oyenuga MID
-
C Carty FWD2
-
Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5313
B MaherM DuffyD ThomasM Connolly 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Maher GLK5
1
-
K Holt DEF3
-
M Connolly  DEF5
3
-
B Doherty DEF4
1
-
S Diallo DEF4
2
-
C Winchester MID4
1
1
M Duffy MID53
-
A O'Reilly MID5
3
-
P McMullan MID3
-
G Whyte MID3
-
P Hoban FWD51
2
-
Subs
A. Doherty GLK
-
S Todd DEF4
-
S Ferguson MID3
2
-
C Harkin MID2
-
R Benson MID3
-
D Thomas MID41
1
-
D Mullen FWD1
-
L Boyce  FWD4
-
S Patton FWD3
1
-