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Derry City v Waterford FC : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry)), Londonderry

Keith Long is aiming for a precious away win in the Premier Division on Friday evening, as he takes his Waterford FC side to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry)) to visit Derry City and Huseyin Eroglu. Stats power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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Derry City's next match is v Sligo at 19:45 on Saturday 15th March
Waterford FC's next match is v Galway at 19:45 on Friday 14th March
The last Irish Premier Division meeting between Derry and Waterford was on Friday 28th February 2025
Irish Premier Division
February 28th 2025
Derry 1
2 Waterford
 
P. Hoban 64'9' K. White
39' K. Radkowski
 
DER
WAT
Shots On
7
5
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
7
1
Possession
71%
29%
Fouls
16
17
Yellow/red cards
6/0
 
DerryWaterford
 
B. Maher
K. Holt
M. Connolly
A. O'Reilly
S. Ferguson (B. Doherty 59')
D. Thomas (P. Hoban 59')
C. Winchester
C. Harkin (S. Todd 59')
G. Whyte (R. Benson 59')
M. Duffy
L. Boyce (S. Patton 75')
S. McMullan
football iconK. Radkowski
N. Bakboord
D. Leahy
A. Boyle
R. McDonald
D. McMenamy
(S. Glenfield 75') football iconK. White
P. Amond
T. Lonergan
C. Noonan

Best Tip: Derry to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding the two sides ahead of this Premier Division fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Derry to win in front of their own fans is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for Waterford, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Derry claiming victory is the bet come Friday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derry are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derry
64%
12/25
3%
4/9
4%
Draw
21%
16/5
5%
29/10
4%
Waterford
15%
6/1
17%
5/1
14%
Derry 1-0
13%
5/19/2
4%
Derry 2-0
12%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Derry 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
13/2
Derry 3-0
8%
17/2
14%
15/2
11%
Draw 0-0
7%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
Derry 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Waterford 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Waterford 2-1
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Derry 4-0
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Derry 4-1
3%
25/118/1
Derry 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Waterford 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Derry 5-0
1%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
21/20
3%
10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
3/4
3%
8/11
1%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/3
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3/1
11%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
8/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
6/5
7%
6/5
7%
BTTS - No
54%
8/13
5%
8/13
5%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
7%
27/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/119/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
Home/draw
85%
1/10
2%
1/10
2%
Away/draw
36%
13/8
10%
8/5
8%
Home/away
79%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/33/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
9/42/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/29/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/71/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1
14%
5/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12
2%
1/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/150
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
5%
7/1
Home DNB
79%
1/7
3%
1/7
3%
Away DNB
30%
9/2
22%
4/1
15%
Derry win to nil
39%
6/5
8%
-
Waterford win to nil
8%
10/1
10%
-
Derry / Derry
35%
5/4
6%
6/5
4%
Derry / Waterford
2%
40/140/1
21%
Derry / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
Draw / Derry
20%
3/129/10
3%
Draw / Waterford
7%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/2
5%
Waterford / Derry
4%
22/118/1
Waterford / Waterford
7%
12/1
18%
9/1
11%
Waterford / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier Division table
Won
Draw
Lost
Derry
Waterford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Drogheda5511 
Apr 11
May 16
Jun 27
Sep 26
May 30
Apr 4
Oct 3
Aug 8
2
Waterford A5-19 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 25
Jul 4
Oct 17
-
-
-
-
3
Shelbourne528 
May 2
l
 
3-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
l
 
0-1A
May 5
Jun 23
Sep 26
4
Galway517 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
Jun 13
Aug 22
May 9
Mar 14
Nov 1
Jul 25
5
St Patrick's517 
May 5
l
 
2-0A
Aug 29
Jun 23
Mar 28
May 23
Aug 1
Oct 24
6
Bohemians516 
w
 
1-0F
May 30
Jul 25
Sep 12
l
 
0-3A
May 2
Jun 20
Sep 19
7
Cork405 
Apr 4
May 9
Aug 8
Nov 1
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
Jul 11
Aug 29
8
Shamrock4-14 
May 23
Mar 28
Oct 24
Aug 1
May 16
Apr 11
Sep 12
Jun 27
9
Sligo5-44 
Apr 21
Mar 15
Oct 3
Jul 12
Apr 18
w
 
2-3F
Aug 22
Jun 14
10
Derry H5-44 
-
-
-
-
Apr 25
w
 
1-2F
Oct 17
Jul 4
Win / draw / win form
Derry 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derry1 - 0Bohemians
Derry0 - 1Shelbourne
Derry1 - 1Sligo
Derry1 - 1Bohemians
Derry1 - 1Shamrock
Derry1 - 1Dundalk
Derry5 - 1Drogheda
Derry2 - 0Galway
Derry3 - 0Waterford
Derry2 - 2Sligo
Derry1 - 0Bohemians
Derry1 - 1Shelbourne
Derry3 - 1St Patrick's
Derry1 - 3Shamrock
Derry4 - 1Dundalk
Derry0 - 1Galway
Derry3 - 0Waterford
Derry2 - 1St Patrick's
Derry2 - 1Drogheda
Derry3 - 0St Patrick's
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerry1 - 0Bohemians
ADerry1 - 3Shelbourne
HDerry0 - 1Shelbourne
ADerry0 - 1St Patrick's
ADerry2 - 0Dundalk
HDerry1 - 1Sligo
HDerry1 - 1Bohemians
ADerry1 - 2Drogheda
HDerry1 - 1Shamrock
ADerry0 - 1Galway
ADerry1 - 0Waterford
HDerry1 - 1Dundalk
ADerry0 - 0Shelbourne
ADerry1 - 2Sligo
HDerry5 - 1Drogheda
ADerry2 - 1Bohemians
HDerry2 - 0Galway
HDerry3 - 0Waterford
ADerry0 - 0Dundalk
HDerry2 - 2Sligo
Waterford 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sligo2 - 3Waterford
Shamrock2 - 1Waterford
Shelbourne3 - 1Waterford
St Patrick's3 - 0Waterford
Sligo2 - 0Waterford
Bohemians2 - 3Waterford
Drogheda2 - 0Waterford
Galway1 - 0Waterford
Dundalk0 - 2Waterford
Derry3 - 0Waterford
Shelbourne1 - 0Waterford
Shamrock1 - 3Waterford
Sligo0 - 1Waterford
St Patrick's1 - 1Waterford
Bohemians0 - 1Waterford
Dundalk0 - 0Waterford
Derry3 - 0Waterford
Galway2 - 1Waterford
Drogheda1 - 4Waterford
Longford1 - 1Waterford
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWaterford0 - 1Shelbourne
AWaterford3 - 2Sligo
AWaterford1 - 2Shamrock
HWaterford1 - 1Bohemians
AWaterford1 - 3Shelbourne
HWaterford0 - 0Drogheda
HWaterford1 - 2Galway
AWaterford0 - 3St Patrick's
HWaterford2 - 1Dundalk
AWaterford0 - 2Sligo
HWaterford0 - 1Derry
AWaterford3 - 2Bohemians
HWaterford1 - 2Shamrock
AWaterford0 - 2Drogheda
AWaterford0 - 1Galway
HWaterford1 - 0St Patrick's
AWaterford2 - 0Dundalk
HWaterford0 - 1Shelbourne
HWaterford4 - 1Sligo
AWaterford0 - 3Derry
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Derry have beaten Waterford in 4 consecutive league meetings
7
Derry have not lost to Waterford in 7 consecutive league meetings
4
Derry have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Waterford
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
Waterford
Goals: Scored
16
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
DER
6
WAT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derry
Derry3 - 0
Derry3 - 0
Derry2 - 0
1 - 2Waterford
Derry2 - 0
Derry2 - 0
Derry3 - 2
League games at Waterford since 2019
Waterford
Derry
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
4 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
3 / 7
DER
3
D
3
WAT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Waterford
0 - 1Derry
0 - 2Derry
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Derry
Waterford2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Derry City's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday evening, not least because Waterford FC have conceded in each of their last 5 Premier Division outings. A PG of 1.9 for Huseyin Eroglu's side suggests that run should continue.

Derry 10th Waterford 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Derry will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Waterford scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Derry’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Waterford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290021/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derry
PG (predicted goals)
Waterford
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
6%
better
DER
WAT
view stats
Games scored2
1
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored2
3
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal8
4
Conversion rate for13
27
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
14%
better
DER
WAT
view stats
Games conceded1
2
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded3
3
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
16
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against16%
9%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+14%

Derry v Waterford Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5313
B MaherM DuffyD ThomasM Connolly 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Maher GLK5
1
-
G Whyte DEF3
-
M Connolly  DEF5
3
-
K Holt DEF3
-
S Ferguson DEF3
2
-
C Winchester MID4
1
1
D Thomas MID41
1
-
A O'Reilly MID5
3
-
C Harkin MID2
-
M Duffy MID53
-
L Boyce  FWD4
-
Subs
A. Doherty GLK
-
B Doherty DEF4
1
-
S Todd DEF4
-
P McMullan MID3
-
R Benson MID3
-
S Diallo MID4
2
-
P Hoban FWD51
2
-
D Mullen FWD1
-
S Patton FWD3
1
-
Waterford Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5224
S McMullanK WhiteR. McDonaldA Boyle
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMullan GLK5
1
-
D Leahy DEF5
-
K Radkowski DEF51
2
-
A Boyle DEF5
4
-
N Bakboord MID5
1
-
K White MID52
1
-
R. McDonald MID512
1
-
D McMenamy MID5
1
-
C Noonan FWD511
1
-
T Lonergan FWD51
-
P Amond FWD511
-
Subs
B Wade GLK
-
J Dempsey DEF
-
N. O'Brien DEF
-
B Mccormack MID2
-
J Olayinka MID1
-
L. Roberts MID1
-
M Pouwels FWD4
1
-
S Glenfield FWD3
-
Z. O'Sullivan FWD
-