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Poland v Lithuania : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 21st Mar, 19:45 BST, Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa

the Stadion Narodowy faithful welcome Lithuania's travelling contingent on Friday evening, as Michal Probierz's Poland face Edgaras Jankauskas's charges in the World Cup Qualifying Europe. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

Best Tip: Poland to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two sides ahead of this World Cup Qualifying Europe fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Poland to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Lithuania, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Poland to win is the bet come Friday evening.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Poland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 82% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.12.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Poland 82%	1.18 5%	-
Draw 13%	6.50 13%	-
Lithuania 5%	19.00 17%	-
Poland 2-0 14%	6.00 9%	-
Poland 3-0 13%	6.50 8%	-
Poland 1-0 11%	7.50	-
Poland 4-0 8%	9.50 19%	-
Poland 2-1 8%	10.00 17%	-
Poland 3-1 7%	12.00 8%	-
Draw 1-1 6%	12.00 20%	-
Poland 4-1 5%	17.00 11%	-
Poland 5-0 4%	17.00 13%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	13.00	-
Poland 5-1 2%	29.00	-
Lithuania 1-0 2%	34.00	-
Draw 2-2 2%	29.00 29%	-
Poland 6-0 2%	34.00 31%	-
Poland 3-2 2%	34.00 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	1.57	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	2.35	-
Home 1st Goal 67%	1.14 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 30%	6.00 14%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00	-
BTTS - Yes 39%	2.38 13%	-
BTTS - No 61%	1.53 9%	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	3.20 11%	-
BTTS - Draw 8%	8.50 23%	-
BTTS - Away Win 2%	29.00 29%	-
Home/draw 95%	1.02 1%	-
Away/draw 18%	4.50 25%	-
Home/away 87%	1.11 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1.17	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	5.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 39%	2.38	-
Under 3.5 Goals 61%	1.53	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	4.33 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1.20 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	9.00 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1.07 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.03 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	15.00 15%	-
Home DNB 91%	1.03 1%	-
Away DNB 14%	15.00 12%	-
Poland win to nil 54%	1.73 13%	-
Lithuania win to nil 3%	23.00 12%	-
Poland / Poland 51%	1.62 6%	-
Poland / Lithuania 1%	67.00 31%	-
Poland / Draw 4%	23.00 12%	-
Draw / Poland 23%	3.60	-
Draw / Lithuania 3%	29.00 15%	-
Draw / Draw 9%	9.00 10%	-
Lithuania / Poland 4%	21.00 9%	-
Lithuania / Lithuania 3%	29.00 29%	-
Lithuania / Draw 3%	26.00 24%	-

Win / draw / win World Cup Qualifying Europe table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Poland Lithuania
Results by League Table

	TEAM	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kosovo	-	-	-	-
2	Czech Rep	-	-	-	-
3	Albania	-	-	-	-
4	Azerbaijan	-	-	-	-
5	Bulgaria	-	-	-	-
6	Armenia	-	-	-	-
7	Belgium	-	-	-	-
8	Austria	-	-	-	-
9	Finland	Sep 7	Jun 10	Mar 24	Oct 9
10	Estonia	-	-	-	-
11	Belarus	-	-	-	-
12	Luxembourg	-	-	-	-
13	Georgia	-	-	-	-
14	N Ireland	-	-	-	-
15	Greece	-	-	-	-
16	Lithuania Away	Mar 21	Oct 12	-	-
17	Faroes	-	-	-	-
18	Andorra	-	-	-	-
19	Iceland	-	-	-	-
20	Kazakhstan	-	-	-	-
21	Slovenia	-	-	-	-
22	Bosnia	-	-	-	-
23	Israel	-	-	-	-
24	Hungary	-	-	-	-
25	England	-	-	-	-
26	Ireland	-	-	-	-
27	Gibraltar	-	-	-	-
28	Malta	Mar 24	Nov 17	Sep 4	Jun 7
29	Moldova	-	-	-	-
30	Liechtenstein	-	-	-	-
31	Cyprus	-	-	-	-
32	Scotland	-	-	-	-
33	Sweden	-	-	-	-
34	Ukraine	-	-	-	-
35	Turkey	-	-	-	-
36	Slovakia	-	-	-	-
37	Latvia	-	-	-	-
38	Switzerland	-	-	-	-
39	Poland Home	-	-	Oct 12	Mar 21
40	Romania	-	-	-	-
41	Macedonia	-	-	-	-
42	Norway	-	-	-	-
43	Montenegro	-	-	-	-
44	Wales	-	-	-	-
45	San Marino	-	-	-	-
46	Serbia	-	-	-	-

	Final Tournament
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Lithuania have lost 8 consecutive games

Lithuania have not won in 9 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Conceded

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

Failed to score

0 / 6

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland	2 - 0	Sweden
Poland	1 - 2	Hungary
Poland	5 - 0	San Marino
Poland	1 - 1	England
Poland	4 - 1	Albania
Poland	3 - 0	Andorra

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 11

Conceded

7 / 11

Clean sheets

4 / 11

Failed to score

0 / 11

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Poland	2 - 0	Sweden
H	Poland	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Poland	4 - 1	Andorra
A	Poland	1 - 0	Albania
H	Poland	5 - 0	San Marino
H	Poland	1 - 1	England
A	Poland	7 - 1	San Marino
H	Poland	4 - 1	Albania
A	Poland	1 - 2	England
H	Poland	3 - 0	Andorra
A	Poland	3 - 3	Hungary

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

0 / 4

Conceded

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

Failed to score

4 / 4

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
N Ireland	1 - 0	Lithuania
Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
Bulgaria	1 - 0	Lithuania
Switzerland	1 - 0	Lithuania

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

2 / 8

Conceded

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

Failed to score

6 / 8

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
H	Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Lithuania	0 - 5	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Bulgaria
H	Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Switzerland

Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.5 should cause concerns for Lithuania fans, as should a 8 World Cup Qualifying Europe games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Poland	Lithuania
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.6 goals	0.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 19% 2 25% 3 22% 4 14% 5+ 20% There is a 81% probability that Poland will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 58% 1 31% 2 3 4+ There is a 58% probability that Lithuania will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Poland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Lithuania’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.7 average goals scored	0.0 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
World Cup Qualifying Europe - 2025/2025 season

43%

better

POL

LTU

view stats

Games scored	17		11
Failed to score	3		9
Scored first	11		6
Goals scored	32		14
Avg. goals scored	1.6		0.7
Avg. shots per game	11		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		10
Conversion rate for	15		10
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+43%

13%

better

POL

LTU

view stats

Games conceded	16		18
Clean sheets	4		2
Conceded first	8		13
Goals conceded	32		32
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	2.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+13%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Poland v Lithuania will show here when available.

Poland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Skorupski GLK				-
M Bulka GLK				-
B Mrozek GLK				-
B Dragowski GLK				-
M Wieteska DEF				-
J Kiwior DEF				-
S Walukiewicz DEF				-
K Piatkowski DEF				-
J Bednarek DEF				-
T Puchacz DEF				-
M Gurgul DEF				-
N Zalewski MID				-
B Slisz MID				-
T Romanczuk MID				-
K Kozłowski MID				-
M Bogusz MID				-
A Kozubal MID				-
S Szymanski MID				-
B Kapustka MID				-
K Urbański MID				-
P Zielinski MID				-
J Moder MID				-
J Kaminski MID				-
K Piatek FWD				-
K Swiderski FWD				-
A Buksa FWD				-
D Marczuk FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

Lithuania World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M. Bertašius GLK				-
D Mikelionis GLK				-
E Gertmonas GLK				-
K Upstas DEF				-
D Barauskas DEF				-
J Lasickas DEF				-
A Tutyškinas DEF				-
P Sirvys DEF				-
K Kazukolovas DEF				-
R Lekiatas DEF				-
E Girdvainis DEF				-
E Utkus DEF				-
G Matulevičius MID				-
F Černych MID				-
T Milasius MID				-
M Vorobjovas MID				-
D Antanavicius MID				-
V Slivka MID				-
P Golubickas MID				-
G Gineitis MID				-
V Paulauskas FWD				-
G Paulauskas FWD				-
A Dolznikov FWD				-
T Kalinauskas FWD				-
R Jansonas FWD				-
M Vareika FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

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Poland v Lithuania : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Poland v Lithuania will show here when available.

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