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AEK Athens v Aris Thessaloniki FC : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th Nov, 18:30 BST, OPAP Arena, Athens

Apostolos Mantzios pays counterpart Matías Jesús Almeyda a visit on Saturday evening in the Super League, as their Aris Thessaloniki FC and AEK Athens teams face each other at the OPAP Arena. In this preview you'll find odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. AEK and Aris have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AEK are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AEK
58%
4/7-
Draw
25%
14/5-
Aris
17%
21/4
4%
-
AEK 1-0
15%
9/2-
AEK 2-0
12%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1-
AEK 2-1
9%
8/1-
Aris 1-0
7%
11/1-
AEK 3-0
7%
10/1-
AEK 3-1
5%
14/1-
Aris 2-1
4%
18/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1-
AEK 4-0
3%
22/1-
Aris 2-0
3%
28/1-
AEK 4-1
2%
28/1-
AEK 3-2
2%
33/1-
Aris 3-1
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
13/20-
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
37%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
5/4-
BTTS - No
57%
4/7-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
13%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/8
1%
-
Away/draw
42%
13/10-
Home/away
75%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1-
Home DNB
75%
1/5
2%
-
Away DNB
35%
10/3
4%
-
AEK win to nil
38%
5/4-
Aris win to nil
10%
8/1-
AEK / AEK
33%
6/4-
AEK / Aris
2%
40/1-
AEK / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / AEK
21%
3/1-
Draw / Aris
7%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Aris / AEK
3%
25/1-
Aris / Aris
8%
10/1-
Aris / Draw
4%
18/1-
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Win / draw / win Super League table
 

Aris lay in 1st place on 21 points in the Super League league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Aris have conceded 10 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Aris have played 6 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AEK
Aris
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Aris 11632721 
Nov 30
Mar 9
-
-
2
AEK 116321221 
-
-
Mar 9
Nov 30
3
Olympiakos11632821 
Mar 1
Nov 24
w
 
2-1F
Jan 11
4
PAOK11623720 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 1
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
5
Panathinaikos11542319 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 18
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
6
Panaitolikos11533418 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
7
A Tripolis11443216 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Dec 23
8
Crete11434-315 
w
 
3-0F
Dec 8
Jan 4
l
 
3-2A
9
Atromitos11425014 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
Dec 7
d
 
1-1F
10
Panserraikos11317-710 
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
Dec 15
w
 
0-1F
11
Volos Nps11317-910 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
Nov 23
Mar 1
12
Levadiakos11164-79 
Dec 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
13
Kallithea11074-87 
Jan 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
14
Lamia11146-97 
d
 
1-1A
Dec 14
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play Offs
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
29
AEK have not lost in 29 consecutive home league games
AEK 2ND
20 league games
Home
29
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEK3 - 0A Tripolis
AEK1 - 1PAOK
AEK2 - 0Panathinaikos
AEK2 - 0Volos Nps
AEK1 - 1Lamia
AEK3 - 0Crete
AEK3 - 0Lamia
AEK3 - 0Panathinaikos
AEK2 - 0Aris
AEK2 - 2PAOK
AEK1 - 0Olympiakos
AEK4 - 2Giannina
AEK3 - 0Kifisia
AEK4 - 2A Tripolis
AEK3 - 0Crete
AEK2 - 2Panathinaikos
AEK3 - 0Volos Nps
AEK1 - 0Aris
AEK3 - 0Lamia
AEK2 - 0PAOK
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAEK3 - 0A Tripolis
AAEK1 - 0Atromitos
AAEK0 - 1Panserraikos
HAEK1 - 1PAOK
AAEK0 - 1Panaitolikos
HAEK2 - 0Panathinaikos
AAEK0 - 0Kallithea
HAEK2 - 0Volos Nps
AAEK3 - 0Levadiakos
HAEK1 - 1Lamia
HAEK3 - 0Crete
HAEK3 - 0Lamia
AAEK0 - 2Olympiakos
AAEK2 - 3PAOK
HAEK3 - 0Panathinaikos
AAEK2 - 1Aris
HAEK2 - 0Aris
HAEK2 - 2PAOK
AAEK1 - 2Panathinaikos
HAEK1 - 0Olympiakos
Aris 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Panaitolikos2 - 1Aris
Panathinaikos1 - 1Aris
PAOK0 - 1Aris
Crete3 - 2Aris
Panserraikos0 - 1Aris
Atromitos1 - 1Aris
Lamia2 - 4Aris
Panathinaikos0 - 1Aris
AEK2 - 0Aris
Olympiakos3 - 0Aris
PAOK0 - 1Aris
Panathinaikos2 - 0Aris
Atromitos0 - 2Aris
Giannina0 - 0Aris
Panserraikos1 - 1Aris
Kifisia0 - 1Aris
Panaitolikos0 - 4Aris
A Tripolis3 - 2Aris
AEK1 - 0Aris
Volos Nps0 - 2Aris
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAris1 - 2Panaitolikos
HAris3 - 1Levadiakos
AAris1 - 1Panathinaikos
HAris2 - 0Kallithea
HAris2 - 0Lamia
AAris1 - 0PAOK
HAris2 - 1Olympiakos
AAris2 - 3Crete
HAris1 - 1A Tripolis
AAris1 - 0Panserraikos
AAris1 - 1Atromitos
HAris1 - 2PAOK
AAris4 - 2Lamia
AAris1 - 0Panathinaikos
HAris1 - 1Olympiakos
HAris1 - 2AEK
AAris0 - 2AEK
HAris0 - 2Panathinaikos
AAris0 - 3Olympiakos
HAris3 - 1Lamia
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
AEK have beaten Aris in 4 consecutive home league meetings
8
AEK have not lost to Aris in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at AEK since 2018
AEK
Aris
Goals: Scored
19
9
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
AEK
6
D
3
ARI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AEK
AEK2 - 0
AEK1 - 0
AEK3 - 1
AEK3 - 0
1 - 2Aris
AEK2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Aris
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
AEK4 - 0
League games at Aris since 2019
Aris
AEK
Goals: Scored
14
21
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
AEK
7
D
1
ARI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aris
1 - 2AEK
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2AEK
0 - 2AEK
Aris3 - 2
Aris2 - 1
1 - 3AEK
0 - 1AEK
1 - 4AEK
0 - 1AEK
Aris2 - 0
Goal Statistics
AEK 2nd Aris 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that AEK will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Aris scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
AEK have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Aris’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Super League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/286577/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AEK
PG (predicted goals)
Aris
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
AEK
ARI
30%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score3
0
Scored first6
8
Goals scored16
17
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game14
10
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for0.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
34%
better
AEK
ARI
view stats
Games conceded4
7
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded4
10
Avg. goals conceded0.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded15
9
Conversion rate against7%
11%
Avg. XG against0.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+34%

AEK v Aris Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

AEK Super League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11323
T StrakoshaL GarcíaL RotaP Mantalos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Strakosha GLK11
-
D Vida DEF101
1
-
O Pineda MID101
2
-
D Szymanski MID101
1
-
R Pereyra MID10
2
-
S Pilios DEF811
2
-
L Rota DEF82
2
-
P Mantalos MID81
3
-
N Eliasson  MID81
1
-
L García FWD831
1
-
A Koita FWD821
1
-
H Moukoudi DEF71
3
-
A Ademi MID71
-
A Callens DEF6
-
E Lamela FWD61
3
-
N Amrabat FWD611
1
-
M Odubajo DEF5
1
-
J Jönsson MID5
3
-
M Gacinovic  MID51
1
-
E Hajsafi DEF411
1
-
S Zuber FWD31
-
P Fernandes FWD31
-
G Mitoglou DEF2
1
-
S Tsiloulis FWD2
-
Aris Super League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11825
M GarcíaL Morón J CifuentesF Vélez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Brabec DEF11
2
-
J Cifuentes MID1112
-
Monchu MID1111
3
-
M García MID1141
2
-
C. Diandy FWD111
-
L Morón  FWD1181
1
-
J Cuesta GLK10
1
-
P Sisto FWD101
1
-
V Darida MID9
1
-
F Vélez DEF8
5
-
M Frydek  DEF7
2
-
H Mallo DEF71
3
-
K Saverio  FWD71
-
M Montoya  DEF62
3
-
Fabiano DEF6
1
-
Álvaro Zamora FWD6
2
-
M Suleymanov FWD51
-
I Fetfatzidis FWD5
-
L Rose DEF4
1
1
F Sidklev GLK1
-
V Fattore DEF1
-
J Jules MID1
-