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SV Werder Bremen v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 16:30 BST, Weser-Stadion, Bremen

the Weser-Stadion is the setting on Sunday afternoon, as Ole Werner's SV Werder Bremen are visited by Alexander Blessin's FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither W.Bremen or St. Pauli are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
W.Bremen
45%
1/1-
Draw
24%
5/2-
St. Pauli
31%
13/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
W.Bremen 2-1
9%
15/2-
W.Bremen 1-0
9%
15/2-
St. Pauli 2-1
7%
12/1-
W.Bremen 2-0
7%
9/1-
St. Pauli 1-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
W.Bremen 3-1
5%
14/1-
St. Pauli 2-0
4%
18/1-
W.Bremen 3-0
4%
16/1-
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
22/1-
St. Pauli 3-1
3%
28/1-
St. Pauli 3-2
3%
33/1-
W.Bremen 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/6-
BTTS - No
41%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/2-
Home/draw
70%
2/7-
Away/draw
55%
4/5-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/9-
Away DNB
47%
13/8-
W.Bremen win to nil
22%
11/4-
St. Pauli win to nil
14%
6/1-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
26%
9/4-
W.Bremen / St. Pauli
3%
28/1-
W.Bremen / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / W.Bremen
17%
4/1-
Draw / St. Pauli
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
St. Pauli / W.Bremen
4%
20/1-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
14%
5/1-
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

W.Bremen have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. W.Bremen have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

W.Bremen have played 14 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 26 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 29 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 5 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 30 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
W.Bremen
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2921625469 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
2
Leverkusen2918922963 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
3
E.Frankfurt2915681651 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 11
4
RB Leipzig2913971048 
May 10
l
 
4-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
5
Mainz2913791246 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
6
Freiburg2913610-545 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
7
B. M'gladbach2913511344 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Dortmund2912611942 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
W.Bremen Home2912611-742 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
10
Augsburg291199-742 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
11
Stuttgart2911711640 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
12
Wolfsburg2910811638 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-4A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
13
Union Berlin299713-1434 
w
 
4-1F
May 3
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Hoffenheim297913-1630 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
15
St. Pauli Away298516-1029 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
-
-
16
Heidenheim296419-2422 
d
 
3-3F
May 17
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
VfL Bochum295519-3220 
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
1-0A
18
Holstein294619-3018 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
W.Bremen 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goal Statistics

SV Werder Bremen have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.5 against FC St. Pauli on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

W.Bremen 9th St. Pauli 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that W.Bremen will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
W.Bremen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
St. Pauli have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283689/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
W.Bremen
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
37%
better
SVW
STP
view stats
Games scored22
15
Failed to score7
14
Scored first13
9
Goals scored47
25
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
SVW
STP
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
21
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first15
18
Goals conceded54
35
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+14%

W.Bremen v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28779
M ZettererM DuckschM WeiserM Friedl
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Zetterer GLK28
2
-
A Jung DEF27
1
-
M Weiser DEF2647
6
1
R Schmid MID2644
3
-
S Lynen MID26
8
-
M Ducksch FWD2677
3
-
M Grüll FWD2461
1
-
D Köhn DEF2222
2
-
J Stage MID2275
8
-
L Bittencourt MID212
2
-
J Njinmah FWD2131
1
-
M Friedl DEF20
7
2
N Stark DEF201
3
1
O Burke FWD203
4
-
A Pieper DEF17
1
-
F Agu DEF163
1
-
K Topp FWD1612
1
-
M Veljković DEF141
1
-
S Alvero MID12
1
-
J Malatini DEF1011
1
-
I Kaboré DEF91
-
A Silva FWD61
1
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28565
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ IrvineE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK28
-
J Irvine MID286
2
-
H Wahl DEF27
-
P Treu DEF272
2
-
O Afolayan FWD2731
2
-
E Smith MID2611
5
-
J Eggestein FWD2534
3
-
M Saliakas DEF2411
3
-
C Boukhalfa MID201
-
D Sinani FWD2011
2
-
M Guilavogui FWD1951
5
-
D Nemeth  DEF181
2
-
L Ritzka DEF181
1
-
E Saad FWD1532
1
-
A Albers FWD141
-
A Dzwigala DEF13
2
1
N Weißhaupt FWD131
-
S Banks FWD11
1
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
S Heyden DEF81
2
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
J Sands MID7
1
-
A. Ceesay FWD7
1
-
C Metcalfe MID6
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
F Stevens DEF1
-