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VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 18:30 BST, Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart

Home advantage makes a difference in the Bundesliga, and Sebastian Hoeness’s VfB Stuttgart will have the blessing of it on Sunday evening. Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen are their visitors to the Mercedes-Benz Arena. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of impressive, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Sebastian Hoeness or Xabi Alonso mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Leverkusen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stuttgart 32%	3.10 5%	3.00 8%
Draw 24%	3.40 3%	3.60 5%
Leverkusen 45%	2.30 10%	2.25 10%
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50 7%	6.50 7%
Leverkusen 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00
Leverkusen 1-0 8%	10.00	9.00 6%
Stuttgart 2-1 8%	11.00 8%	9.50 5%
Leverkusen 2-0 7%	13.00 8%	11.00 10%
Draw 2-2 6%	11.00 8%	10.00 9%
Stuttgart 1-0 6%	13.00	10.00 9%
Leverkusen 3-1 5%	17.00 13%	13.00 8%
Draw 0-0 5%	13.00 13%	11.00 8%
Stuttgart 2-0 4%	17.00 11%	13.00 13%
Leverkusen 3-0 4%	21.00	17.00 13%
Leverkusen 3-2 4%	21.00	17.00
Stuttgart 3-1 4%	21.00 9%	17.00 11%
Stuttgart 3-2 3%	26.00	19.00 10%
Leverkusen 4-1 2%	34.00	23.00 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	1.67	1.65 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	2.20	2.15 2%
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.20 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	1.73 4%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	1.57	1.57
BTTS - No 39%	2.25	2.30 2%
BTTS - Home Win 18%	5.50	4.60 8%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.00 8%	4.20 5%
BTTS - Away Win 24%	4.00 7%	3.75 7%
Home/draw 56%	1.57 8%	1.62 7%
Away/draw 68%	1.36 2%	1.40 5%
Home/away 76%	1.30 1%	1.29 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1.20	1.20
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	4.50	4.00 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	2.62	2.50
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1.50	1.48
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	5.00 11%	4.50 2%
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1.17 3%	1.18
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	10.00 11%	8.50 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1.06 1%	1.06
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04 1%	1.03 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	13.00 13%	11.00 8%
Home DNB 48%	2.20 8%	2.10 12%
Away DNB 61%	1.62 6%	1.65 8%
Stuttgart win to nil 14%	6.50	-
Leverkusen win to nil 20%	4.33	-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart 17%	4.75 5%	4.60 8%
Stuttgart / Leverkusen 4%	23.00 10%	19.00 12%
Stuttgart / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Stuttgart 12%	7.00 7%	6.50 7%
Draw / Leverkusen 14%	6.00 9%	5.50 5%
Draw / Draw 14%	6.00	5.25 5%
Leverkusen / Stuttgart 3%	26.00	21.00
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 23%	3.60 6%	3.50 13%
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Stuttgart have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Stuttgart have conceded 23 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stuttgart have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 53 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 25 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 12 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 54 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leverkusen have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Leverkusen have played 12 away games, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Stuttgart Leverkusen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	25	19	4	2	51	61	l 1-3F	l 4-0A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F
2	Leverkusen Away	25	15	8	2	25	53	Mar 16	d 0-00-0	-	-
3	Mainz	25	13	5	7	16	44	d 3-3F	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	May 17
4	E.Frankfurt	25	12	6	7	12	42	l 2-3A	Mar 29	w 2-1A	w 1-4F
5	Freiburg	25	12	5	8	-2	41	w 4-0F	l 3-1F	w 5-1F	May 3
6	RB Leipzig	25	10	9	6	6	39	w 2-1A	May 17	l 2-3F	d 2-2F
7	Wolfsburg	25	10	8	7	10	38	l 1-2F	d 2-2A	w 4-3A	d 0-00-0
8	Stuttgart Home	25	10	7	8	5	37	-	-	d 0-00-0	Mar 16
9	B. M'gladbach	25	11	4	10	1	37	l 1-2A	w 1-3F	w 3-1F	w 2-3F
10	Dortmund	25	10	5	10	6	35	w 5-1F	w 1-2F	May 10	w 2-3F
11	Augsburg	25	9	8	8	-7	35	May 10	w 0-1F	Apr 26	w 0-2F
12	W.Bremen	25	9	6	10	-11	33	Apr 13	d 2-2A	l 0-2A	d 2-2F
13	Union Berlin	25	7	6	12	-14	27	w 3-2A	Apr 19	Apr 12	w 1-2F
14	Hoffenheim	25	6	8	11	-15	26	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	w 3-1F	w 1-4F
15	St. Pauli	25	6	4	15	-11	22	l 0-1A	May 3	w 2-1F	Apr 20
16	VfL Bochum	25	4	6	15	-25	18	w 2-0F	Apr 5	Mar 28	d 1-1F
17	Holstein	25	4	5	16	-24	17	w 2-1F	d 2-2F	d 2-2F	w 0-2F
18	Heidenheim	25	4	4	17	-23	16	Apr 26	w 1-3F	w 5-2A	Apr 5

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Stuttgart have lost 3 consecutive home league games

Leverkusen have not lost in 29 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern
Stuttgart	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
Stuttgart	1 - 2	B. M'gladbach
Stuttgart	4 - 0	Freiburg
Stuttgart	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
Stuttgart	0 - 1	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	3 - 2	Union Berlin
Stuttgart	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Stuttgart	2 - 3	E.Frankfurt
Stuttgart	2 - 1	Holstein
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Stuttgart	5 - 1	Dortmund
Stuttgart	3 - 3	Mainz
Stuttgart	4 - 0	B. M'gladbach
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Bayern
Stuttgart	3 - 0	E.Frankfurt
Stuttgart	3 - 3	Heidenheim
Stuttgart	2 - 0	Union Berlin
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Köln
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Mainz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stuttgart	2 - 2	Holstein
H	Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern
A	Stuttgart	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Stuttgart	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Stuttgart	2 - 1	Dortmund
H	Stuttgart	1 - 2	B. M'gladbach
A	Stuttgart	0 - 2	Mainz
H	Stuttgart	4 - 0	Freiburg
H	Stuttgart	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Stuttgart	1 - 0	Augsburg
H	Stuttgart	0 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Stuttgart	3 - 1	Heidenheim
H	Stuttgart	3 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Stuttgart	2 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Stuttgart	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
H	Stuttgart	2 - 3	E.Frankfurt
A	Stuttgart	0 - 0	Leverkusen
H	Stuttgart	2 - 1	Holstein
A	Stuttgart	0 - 4	Bayern
H	Stuttgart	1 - 1	Hoffenheim

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt	1 - 4	Leverkusen
Holstein	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	0 - 0	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Dortmund	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Augsburg	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	1 - 2	Leverkusen
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Leverkusen
W.Bremen	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Bayern	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Leverkusen
B. M'gladbach	2 - 3	Leverkusen
VfL Bochum	0 - 5	Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt	1 - 5	Leverkusen
Dortmund	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Freiburg	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Köln	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Heidenheim	1 - 2	Leverkusen
Darmstadt	0 - 2	Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Leverkusen	0 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Leverkusen	4 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Holstein
H	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Bayern
A	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Wolfsburg
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Mainz
A	Leverkusen	3 - 2	Dortmund
H	Leverkusen	5 - 1	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Augsburg
H	Leverkusen	2 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Leverkusen	2 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Leverkusen	5 - 2	Heidenheim
A	Leverkusen	1 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Stuttgart
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Leverkusen	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Holstein

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Stuttgart have drawn with Leverkusen in 4 consecutive league meetings

Leverkusen have not lost to Stuttgart in 11 consecutive league meetings

Stuttgart

Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 10

10 / 10

Clean sheets

0 / 10

4 / 10

B04

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stuttgart
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Leverkusen
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Leverkusen
	0 - 2	Leverkusen
	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Leverkusen

Stuttgart

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 11

7 / 11

Clean sheets

4 / 11

2 / 11

VFB

B04

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Leverkusen	2 - 0
Leverkusen	4 - 2
Leverkusen	5 - 2
Leverkusen	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Stuttgart
Leverkusen	4 - 3
Leverkusen	4 - 0
Leverkusen	2 - 1
Leverkusen	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because VfB Stuttgart have conceded in each of their last 7 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.7 for Xabi Alonso's side suggests that run should continue.

	Stuttgart 8th	Leverkusen 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 75% probability that Stuttgart will score 1 or more goals	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Stuttgart’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+19 Leverkusen have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	2.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season

VFB

B04

better

view stats

Games scored	21		21
Failed to score	4		4
Scored first	14		18
Goals scored	44		55
Avg. goals scored	1.8		2.2
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	18		19
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.9
KickOff rating		+9%

VFB

B04

21%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		19
Clean sheets	4		6
Conceded first	10		4
Goals conceded	39		30
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	18%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1
KickOff rating		+21%

Stuttgart v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	9	5	9
A Nübel	E Demirovic	A Stiller	J Chabot

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Nübel GLK	25		1	-
A Stiller MID	25	1	5	4 -
E Demirovic FWD	25	9	1	2 -
C Führich MID	24	1	3	1 -
E Millot MID	24	4	3	7 -
M Mittelstädt DEF	23	1	5	4 -
A Karazor MID	23	1	2	7 1
J Chabot DEF	22	1	1	8 1
J Vagnoman DEF	22	1	2	4 -
N Woltemade FWD	20	8	2	2 -
D Undav FWD	19	7	1	3 -
J Leweling FWD	19	2	1	4 -
R Hendriks DEF	18			3 -
F Rieder FWD	18	1	3	-
A. Chase DEF	12			1 -
E Touré FWD	10	2	1	-
L Stergiou DEF	8		1	1
Y Keitel MID	8			1 -
J Larsen FWD	8	1		1 -
J Diehl FWD	6	1		-
A Al-Dakhil DEF	5			-
P Stenzel DEF	5			-
F. Jeltsch DEF	3			1 -
D Zagadou DEF	2			1 -
J. de Nascimento Malanga FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	26	5	23
E Demirovic	D Undav	A Stiller	A Stiller

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Demirovic FWD	9	17	1	10
N Woltemade FWD	8	17	2	15
D Undav FWD	7	26	1	8
E Millot MID	4	15	3	9
E Touré FWD	2	4	1	5
J Leweling FWD	2	12	1	14
F Rieder FWD	1	6	3	9
A Stiller MID	1	3	5	23
J Larsen FWD	1	2		6
J Diehl FWD	1	1		1
J Vagnoman DEF	1	7	2	15
J Chabot DEF	1	2	1	4
A Karazor MID	1	3	2	8
M Mittelstädt DEF	1	3	5	19
C Führich MID	1	8	3	8
A Nübel GLK			1	1
R Hendriks DEF		1		2
A Al-Dakhil DEF				2
Y Keitel MID		1		1
L Stergiou DEF			1	1
A. Chase DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1902	61	134
A Stiller	M Mittelstädt	A Karazor

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Stiller MID	1902	41	110
A Karazor MID	1289	43	134
J Chabot DEF	1274	28	101
M Mittelstädt DEF	1122	61	127
E Millot MID	897	23	88
A Nübel GLK	868		6
J Vagnoman DEF	669	22	67
C Führich MID	637	13	49
A. Chase DEF	531	11	32
R Hendriks DEF	414	14	51
J Leweling FWD	382	12	74
D Undav FWD	379	7	37
N Woltemade FWD	321	5	81
L Stergiou DEF	299	22	26
F Rieder FWD	279	15	32
A Al-Dakhil DEF	274	6	14
E Demirovic FWD	270	9	59
F. Jeltsch DEF	129	3	6
Y Keitel MID	114	5	11
J Larsen FWD	114	1	13
P Stenzel DEF	82	1	2
E Touré FWD	78	3	24
J Diehl FWD	49	1	4
D Zagadou DEF	9
J. de Nascimento Malanga FWD	1

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	16	10	6
G Xhaka	P Schick	F Wirtz	R Andrich

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Frimpong MID	25	3	4	3 -
G Xhaka MID	25	2	7	3 -
F Wirtz MID	25	9	10	1 -
J Tah DEF	24	2		2 -
A Grimaldo DEF	23	2	5	4 1
E Tapsoba DEF	23			4 -
P Hincapié DEF	23	1	1	5 -
L Hradecky GLK	22			-
P Schick FWD	22	16		4 -
A García MID	20	2	3	2 -
N Tella MID	20	2	2	-
E Palacios MID	17	1	5	1 -
R Andrich MID	17	2	1	6 -
M Terrier FWD	15	2	1	1 -
V Boniface FWD	14	7	1	2 -
N Mukiele DEF	13	1		3 -
Arthur DEF	12		1	-
A Adli FWD	11	1	1	2 -
J Hofmann MID	6	1		-
J Belocian DEF	5			1 -
E Buendía MID	5			-
M Hermoso DEF	4			-
M Kovář GLK	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	32	10	31
P Schick	F Wirtz	F Wirtz	G Xhaka

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Schick FWD	16	28		4
F Wirtz MID	9	32	10	29
V Boniface FWD	7	16	1	5
J Frimpong MID	3	13	4	18
J Tah DEF	2	5		3
A Grimaldo DEF	2	12	5	29
A García MID	2	2	3	11
N Tella MID	2	9	2	7
G Xhaka MID	2	3	7	31
R Andrich MID	2	4	1	4
M Terrier FWD	2	6	1	7
J Hofmann MID	1	3		3
A Adli FWD	1	4	1	2
N Mukiele DEF	1	3		3
E Palacios MID	1	7	5	9
P Hincapié DEF	1	1	1	8
Arthur DEF			1	2
E Tapsoba DEF		2		3
E Buendía MID		2		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2082	37	145
G Xhaka	G Xhaka	F Wirtz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Xhaka MID	2082	37	87
J Tah DEF	1729	10	65
E Tapsoba DEF	1543	33	87
P Hincapié DEF	1406	37	104
F Wirtz MID	1284	30	145
A Grimaldo DEF	1278	21	63
A García MID	917	9	22
R Andrich MID	739	18	50
E Palacios MID	631	13	23
L Hradecky GLK	607		2
J Frimpong MID	505	26	72
N Mukiele DEF	391	18	41
P Schick FWD	270	5	58
M Hermoso DEF	241		13
N Tella MID	239	10	67
Arthur DEF	204	14	30
M Terrier FWD	191	4	26
A Adli FWD	180	10	39
V Boniface FWD	167	4	49
J Hofmann MID	124		8
E Buendía MID	83	3	7
M Kovář GLK	77		2
J Belocian DEF	36	1	7

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

St. Pauli v Hoffenheim

Fri 14th Mar, 19:30

Augsburg v Wolfsburg

Sat 15th Mar, 14:30

W.Bremen v B. M'gladbach

Sat 15th Mar, 14:30

Mainz v Freiburg

Sat 15th Mar, 14:30

Union Berlin v Bayern

Sat 15th Mar, 14:30

RB Leipzig v Dortmund

Sat 15th Mar, 17:30

VfL Bochum v E.Frankfurt

Sun 16th Mar, 14:30

Heidenheim v Holstein

Sun 16th Mar, 16:30

Stuttgart v Leverkusen

Sun 16th Mar, 18:30

Leverkusen v VfL Bochum

Fri 28th Mar, 19:30

VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stuttgart have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 53 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 25 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 12 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Stuttgart v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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