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VfB Stuttgart v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Dec, 14:30 BST, Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart

Sebastian Hoeness and Alexander Blessin take on one another in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as VfB Stuttgart face FC St. Pauli at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Bundesliga clash, with Stuttgart and St. Pauli going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Strikers for both will look to take advantage of an open match and, having studied the relevant stats and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stuttgart are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stuttgart
56%
8/15
8%
8/15
6%
Draw
21%
10/3
9%
17/5
8%
St. Pauli
23%
9/2
21%
19/4
12%
Stuttgart 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
11%
13/2
6%
Stuttgart 2-0
8%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Stuttgart 1-0
8%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Stuttgart 3-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
St. Pauli 2-1
6%
16/1
19%
14/1
Stuttgart 3-0
5%
10/1
16%
17/2
12%
St. Pauli 1-0
5%
16/112/1
Stuttgart 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Draw 0-0
4%
12/110/1
8%
Stuttgart 4-1
3%
20/116/1
13%
St. Pauli 2-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Stuttgart 4-0
3%
20/1
24%
14/1
15%
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/1113/20
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
11/1011/10
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/11
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
9/4
13%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/5
8%
4/5
6%
BTTS - No
39%
19/20
8%
10/11
6%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/52/1
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
9/1
17%
8/1
10%
Home/draw
77%
1/7
4%
2/15
2%
Away/draw
44%
11/8
13%
6/4
9%
Home/away
79%
1/5
2%
1/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
10/33/1
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
7/413/8
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4/118/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/61/6
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/115/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/161/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/251/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/111/1
Home DNB
71%
1/5
5%
2/11
4%
Away DNB
38%
10/3
21%
16/5
16%
Stuttgart win to nil
26%
13/8
10%
-
St. Pauli win to nil
9%
10/1
15%
-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart
35%
11/8
13%
5/4
7%
Stuttgart / St. Pauli
2%
40/133/1
Stuttgart / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
Draw / Stuttgart
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
5%
Draw / St. Pauli
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
8%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
St. Pauli / Stuttgart
4%
20/116/1
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
9%
9/1
17%
15/2
11%
St. Pauli / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Stuttgart have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Bundesliga league table. Stuttgart are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Stuttgart have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Stuttgart have played 7 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 11 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 11 points having played 13 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 14 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stuttgart
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1310303133 
Mar 1
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
2
E.Frankfurt138321527 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 29
Jan 11
May 10
3
Leverkusen137511026 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
4
RB Leipzig13733724 
Jan 15
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
5
Wolfsburg13634721 
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
6
Dortmund13634421 
w
 
5-1F
Feb 8
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
7
Freiburg13634021 
Jan 18
l
 
3-1F
Feb 15
w
 
0-3F
8
Stuttgart Home13553320 
-
-
May 3
Dec 21
9
Mainz13544519 
d
 
3-3F
Jan 25
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
10
W.Bremen13544-419 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
Dec 14
Apr 26
11
B. M'gladbach13535118 
Feb 1
w
 
1-3F
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
12
Union Berlin13445-216 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
13
Augsburg13445-916 
May 10
Jan 12
Feb 1
l
 
3-1A
14
Hoffenheim13346-713 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Mar 15
w
 
0-2F
15
St. Pauli Away13328-611 
Dec 21
May 3
-
-
16
Heidenheim13319-1110 
Apr 26
Dec 15
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
17
Holstein131210-205 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 8
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
18
VfL Bochum130211-242 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
May 17
Jan 15
Win / draw / win form
Stuttgart 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart3 - 2Union Berlin
Stuttgart2 - 0VfL Bochum
Stuttgart2 - 3E.Frankfurt
Stuttgart2 - 1Holstein
Stuttgart1 - 1Hoffenheim
Stuttgart5 - 1Dortmund
Stuttgart3 - 3Mainz
Stuttgart4 - 0B. M'gladbach
Stuttgart3 - 1Bayern
Stuttgart3 - 0E.Frankfurt
Stuttgart3 - 3Heidenheim
Stuttgart2 - 0Union Berlin
Stuttgart1 - 1Köln
Stuttgart3 - 1Mainz
Stuttgart5 - 2RB Leipzig
Stuttgart3 - 0Augsburg
Stuttgart1 - 1Leverkusen
Stuttgart2 - 0W.Bremen
Stuttgart2 - 1Dortmund
Stuttgart2 - 3Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStuttgart3 - 2Union Berlin
AStuttgart2 - 2W.Bremen
HStuttgart2 - 0VfL Bochum
HStuttgart2 - 3E.Frankfurt
AStuttgart0 - 0Leverkusen
HStuttgart2 - 1Holstein
AStuttgart0 - 4Bayern
HStuttgart1 - 1Hoffenheim
AStuttgart2 - 2Wolfsburg
HStuttgart5 - 1Dortmund
AStuttgart3 - 1B. M'gladbach
HStuttgart3 - 3Mainz
AStuttgart1 - 3Freiburg
HStuttgart4 - 0B. M'gladbach
AStuttgart1 - 0Augsburg
HStuttgart3 - 1Bayern
AStuttgart2 - 2Leverkusen
AStuttgart1 - 2W.Bremen
HStuttgart3 - 0E.Frankfurt
AStuttgart1 - 0Dortmund
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
B. M'gladbach2 - 0St. Pauli
Hoffenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
Dortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg0 - 3St. Pauli
Augsburg3 - 1St. Pauli
Union Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
Wiesbaden1 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg1 - 0St. Pauli
Hannover1 - 2St. Pauli
Karlsruher2 - 1St. Pauli
Nurnberg0 - 2St. Pauli
Schalke3 - 1St. Pauli
Holstein3 - 4St. Pauli
Magdeburg1 - 0St. Pauli
Dusseldorf1 - 2St. Pauli
Osnabruck1 - 1St. Pauli
Rostock2 - 3St. Pauli
Elversberg0 - 2St. Pauli
Paderborn2 - 2St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
ASt. Pauli3 - 0Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Augsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
HSt. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Wiesbaden
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
ASt. Pauli0 - 1Hamburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Hannover
HSt. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Karlsruher
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

VfB Stuttgart's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Stuttgart 8th St. Pauli 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Stuttgart will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Stuttgart have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+1
St. Pauli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283545/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stuttgart
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
2
1.2
Attack rating
48%
better
VFB
STP
view stats
Games scored11
6
Failed to score2
7
Scored first6
3
Goals scored26
11
Avg. goals scored2
0.8
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for1.8
1
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
VFB
STP
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded23
17
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against18%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+18%

Stuttgart v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13745
A NübelE Demirovic M MittelstädtJ Chabot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Nübel GLK131
-
M Mittelstädt DEF134
3
-
A Karazor MID1312
3
1
F Rieder MID1313
-
A Stiller MID132
2
-
E Millot MID1332
4
-
E Demirovic  FWD1371
-
J Chabot DEF121
4
1
J Vagnoman DEF121
3
-
C Führich MID1212
-
A Rouault DEF11
-
A. Chase DEF11
1
-
J Leweling FWD91
2
-
D Undav FWD95
1
-
R Hendriks  DEF8
-
E Touré FWD821
-
N Woltemade FWD631
-
J Diehl FWD41
-
L Stergiou DEF31
-
P Stenzel  DEF3
-
D Zagadou DEF2
1
-
F. Krätzig DEF1
-
A Al-Dakhil DEF1
-
Y Keitel MID1
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13235
N VasiljO AfolayanJ IrvineM Guilavogui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK13
-
H Wahl DEF13
-
E Smith DEF131
2
-
J Irvine MID133
1
-
J Eggestein FWD1313
1
-
O Afolayan FWD132
1
-
P Treu DEF121
1
-
M Saliakas DEF121
3
-
M Guilavogui FWD122
5
-
C Boukhalfa MID111
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
A Albers FWD101
-
A Dzwigala DEF8
1
-
L Ritzka DEF8
1
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
D Sinani FWD81
-
E Saad FWD622
1
-
S Banks FWD5
1
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
D Nemeth  DEF3
-
E Ahlstrand MID3
-