RB Leipzig's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

RB Leipzig v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Mar, 14:30 BST, Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Marco Rose’s RB Leipzig will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Bo Henriksen’s 1. FSV Mainz 05 are their visitors to the Red Bull Arena. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that RB Leipzig and Mainz will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
42%
17/20
3%
17/20
3%
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
14/5
3%
Mainz
33%
31/10
5%
29/10
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
RB Leipzig 2-1
9%
15/213/2
RB Leipzig 1-0
8%
15/2
6%
13/2
Mainz 2-1
8%
12/1
13%
10/1
Mainz 1-0
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
RB Leipzig 2-0
7%
17/215/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
Mainz 2-0
5%
20/1
9%
16/1
RB Leipzig 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Mainz 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
RB Leipzig 3-0
3%
14/112/1
RB Leipzig 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Mainz 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Mainz 3-0
2%
40/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5
8%
8/11
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1
9%
21/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/6
3%
7/10
3%
BTTS - No
41%
11/10
5%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
13/5
6%
12/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
18%
13/211/2
Home/draw
67%
2/9
2%
1/4
2%
Away/draw
58%
10/11
2%
10/11
2%
Home/away
75%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
2%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
8%
14/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
15%
7/4
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
7%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2
10%
4/1
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7
3%
2/13
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
10/1
Home DNB
60%
4/11
2%
4/11
1%
Away DNB
50%
2/1
8%
9/5
3%
RB Leipzig win to nil
20%
5/2
3%
-
Mainz win to nil
16%
7/1
11%
-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
28%
2/1
4%
9/5
2%
RB Leipzig / Mainz
3%
33/125/1
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
Draw / RB Leipzig
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
4%
Draw / Mainz
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Mainz / RB Leipzig
4%
20/116/1
Mainz / Mainz
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
Mainz / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. RB Leipzig have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Mainz are in 6th position in the Bundesliga on 35 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Mainz have conceded 5 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2217414655 
May 3
l
 
5-1A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
2
Leverkusen2213812247 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-3A
May 17
l
 
1-0A
3
E.Frankfurt2212642042 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
May 3
w
 
1-3F
4
RB Leipzig Home221075737 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
5
Freiburg221138-736 
w
 
3-1A
Mar 8
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
6
Mainz Away2210571135 
Mar 1
w
 
0-2F
-
-
7
Stuttgart221057735 
May 17
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
8
B. M'gladbach221048334 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
9
Wolfsburg22967933 
l
 
1-5A
Apr 12
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
10
W.Bremen22868-730 
w
 
4-2F
May 10
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
11
Dortmund22859-129 
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 30
12
Augsburg22778-1128 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
13
Union Berlin226610-824 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
St. Pauli226313-721 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
15
Hoffenheim225611-1621 
Apr 5
l
 
4-3F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
16
Heidenheim224216-2014 
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
VfL Bochum223514-2514 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
18
Holstein223415-2313 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
RB Leipzig3 - 1W.Bremen
RB Leipzig2 - 1E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig1 - 5Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig3 - 1Freiburg
RB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
RB Leipzig0 - 0Union Berlin
RB Leipzig1 - 0VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig1 - 1W.Bremen
RB Leipzig4 - 1Dortmund
RB Leipzig3 - 0Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig0 - 0Mainz
RB Leipzig2 - 0Darmstadt
RB Leipzig2 - 0B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig2 - 0Union Berlin
RB Leipzig2 - 3Leverkusen
RB Leipzig0 - 1E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig0 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig0 - 0Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig3 - 3VfL Bochum
ARB Leipzig1 - 2Stuttgart
HRB Leipzig3 - 1W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 1E.Frankfurt
ARB Leipzig2 - 0Holstein
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Wolfsburg
ARB Leipzig3 - 4Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
ARB Leipzig1 - 2Dortmund
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Freiburg
ARB Leipzig2 - 0Mainz
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
ARB Leipzig0 - 0St. Pauli
HRB Leipzig0 - 0Union Berlin
Mainz 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Augsburg2 - 3Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
Heidenheim1 - 1Mainz
Freiburg1 - 1Mainz
RB Leipzig0 - 0Mainz
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen2 - 1Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 1Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Dortmund1 - 1Mainz
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz0 - 0Augsburg
AMainz0 - 1W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 0Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 2Union Berlin
AMainz0 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
AMainz3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz2 - 1Bayern
AMainz3 - 4Wolfsburg
HMainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
AMainz3 - 0Holstein
HMainz3 - 1Dortmund
AMainz0 - 0Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HMainz0 - 2RB Leipzig
AMainz3 - 0St. Pauli
HMainz0 - 2Heidenheim
AMainz3 - 2Augsburg
HMainz1 - 2W.Bremen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Goals: Scored
24
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
RBL
5
D
2
M05
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig4 - 1
RB Leipzig3 - 1
RB Leipzig8 - 0
RB Leipzig4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
RB Leipzig3 - 1
League games at Mainz since 2017
Mainz
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
15
16
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
RBL
3
D
2
M05
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
0 - 2RB Leipzig
Mainz2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Mainz1 - 0
Mainz3 - 2
0 - 5RB Leipzig
Draw3 - 3Draw
Mainz3 - 0
2 - 3RB Leipzig
Goal Statistics
RB Leipzig 4th Mainz 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
RB Leipzig have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Mainz have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283626/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
2%
better
RBL
M05
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score5
6
Scored first12
13
Goals scored35
35
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
5%
better
RBL
M05
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets11
8
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded28
24
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+5%

RB Leipzig v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21965
P Gulácsi B SeskoL OpendaA Haidara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Baumgartner MID2222
4
-
P Gulácsi  GLK21
-
A Nusa MID2133
-
B Sesko FWD2193
1
1
L Openda FWD2166
3
1
L Klostermann DEF20
2
-
W Orbán DEF195
2
2
A Haidara MID191
5
-
K Kampl MID191
4
-
A Vermeeren MID181
5
-
N Seiwald MID18
1
-
L Geertruida DEF161
2
-
D Raum DEF1413
1
-
B Henrichs DEF142
2
-
X Simons MID1453
3
-
Y Poulsen FWD13
1
-
C Lukeba DEF12
1
-
E Bitshiabu DEF11
1
-
R Baku MID7
-
X Schlager MID4
1
-
A Ouédraogo MID3
-
M Vandevoordt GLK2
-
K. Nedeljković DEF1
-
F. Sakar MID1
-
V. Gebel MID1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221359
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK22
3
-
P Mwene DEF225
4
-
K Sano MID22
1
-
D Kohr MID21
9
-
A Caci MID2115
6
-
J Lee MID2152
4
-
A Sieb FWD2123
3
-
P Nebel MID2052
2
-
S Widmer  DEF191
3
-
N Amiri MID1942
5
2
J Burkardt  FWD18132
-
H Hyun-seok MID161
-
D Hoof DEF151
3
-
M Leitsch  DEF141
2
-
D Costa DEF131
-
N Weiper FWD122
2
-
M Jenz DEF11
3
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF111
2
1
N Veratschnig DEF7
-
A Nordin FWD2
-
L Maloney MID1
-