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RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 17:30 BST, Red Bull Arena Salzburg, Wals-Siezenheim

Marco Rose welcomes Niko Kalliokoski to the Red Bull Arena Salzburg on Saturday evening, as their RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund charges clash in the Bundesliga. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across seventeen major markets are included in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make the most well-informed bet possible.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

RB Leipzig may feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Dortmund. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
RB Leipzig 47%	31/20	29/20 6%
Draw 23%	5/2	13/5
Dortmund 31%	17/10 6%	17/10 8%
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1	11/2 7%
RB Leipzig 2-1 9%	9/1	15/2 6%
Dortmund 2-1 7%	9/1	8/1
RB Leipzig 1-0 7%	11/1 8%	17/2 14%
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	9/1
RB Leipzig 2-0 6%	14/1	11/1 8%
RB Leipzig 3-1 6%	18/1	12/1 13%
Dortmund 1-0 5%	11/1 8%	9/1
RB Leipzig 3-2 4%	22/1 10%	16/1
Dortmund 2-0 4%	14/1	12/1
RB Leipzig 3-0 4%	25/1	18/1 10%
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 12%	11/1 8%
Dortmund 3-1 3%	18/1	14/1
Dortmund 3-2 3%	22/1 10%	16/1
RB Leipzig 4-1 3%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 64%	4/6 6%	3/5 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%	6/5 8%	6/5 8%
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/5 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	21/20 7%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	14/1 12%	-
BTTS - Yes 64%	8/15 2%	8/15 3%
BTTS - No 36%	11/8 5%	11/8 5%
BTTS - Home Win 27%	10/3	29/10
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 18%	7/2 4%	16/5 8%
Home/draw 70%	4/9 4%	4/9 4%
Away/draw 53%	1/2	8/15 2%
Home/away 77%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/5 3%	1/5 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	7/2 10%	16/5 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	13/8 10%	29/20 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	1/2 4%	1/2 4%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	7/2 4%	16/5 11%
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	1/5 2%	1/5 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	8/1 13%	7/1 14%
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/14 1%	1/16 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33 1%	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 12%	11/1 8%
Home DNB 63%	4/5 2%	3/4 5%
Away DNB 46%	10/11 4%	19/20 5%
RB Leipzig win to nil 20%	9/2	-
Dortmund win to nil 12%	9/2	-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig 21%	3/1	11/4 4%
RB Leipzig / Dortmund 4%	22/1	18/1
RB Leipzig / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 9%
Draw / RB Leipzig 14%	5/1 8%	19/4 4%
Draw / Dortmund 13%	11/2	5/1
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	9/2
Dortmund / RB Leipzig 4%	22/1	18/1
Dortmund / Dortmund 19%	10/3 8%	16/5 8%
Dortmund / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 9%

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 45 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Dortmund are in 10th position in the Bundesliga on 35 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Dortmund have conceded 19 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	RB Leipzig Dortmund
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	25	19	4	2	51	61	May 3	l 5-1A	d 1-1F	Apr 12
2	Leverkusen	25	15	8	2	25	53	d 2-2A	w 2-3A	l 2-3A	May 10
3	Mainz	25	13	5	7	16	44	l 1-2F	w 0-2F	Mar 30	l 3-1A
4	E.Frankfurt	25	12	6	7	12	42	w 2-1F	Apr 26	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
5	Freiburg	25	12	5	8	-2	41	w 3-1A	d 0-00-0	w 4-0F	Apr 5
6	RB Leipzig Home	25	10	9	6	6	39	-	-	w 2-1A	Mar 15
7	Wolfsburg	25	10	8	7	10	38	l 1-5A	Apr 11	May 3	w 1-3F
8	Stuttgart	25	10	7	8	5	37	May 17	l 2-1F	l 1-2A	l 5-1A
9	B. M'gladbach	25	11	4	10	1	37	d 0-00-0	Mar 29	Apr 20	d 1-1F
10	Dortmund Away	25	10	5	10	6	35	Mar 15	l 2-1F	-	-
11	Augsburg	25	9	8	8	-7	35	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
12	W.Bremen	25	9	6	10	-11	33	w 4-2F	May 10	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0
13	Union Berlin	25	7	6	12	-14	27	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	w 6-0F	l 2-1A
14	Hoffenheim	25	6	8	11	-15	26	Apr 5	l 4-3F	d 1-1F	Apr 26
15	St. Pauli	25	6	4	15	-11	22	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	w 2-1F	w 0-2F
16	VfL Bochum	25	4	6	15	-25	18	w 1-0F	d 3-3F	w 4-2A	l 2-0A
17	Holstein	25	4	5	16	-24	17	Apr 19	w 0-2F	May 17	l 4-2A
18	Heidenheim	25	4	4	17	-23	16	d 2-2A	w 0-1F	w 4-2F	w 1-2F

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	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Heidenheim
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	4 - 2	W.Bremen
RB Leipzig	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Freiburg
RB Leipzig	4 - 0	Augsburg
RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Union Berlin
RB Leipzig	1 - 0	VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig	1 - 1	W.Bremen
RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Dortmund
RB Leipzig	3 - 0	Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Mainz
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Darmstadt
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Union Berlin
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Freiburg
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Heidenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Augsburg
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Union Berlin
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 3	VfL Bochum
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Stuttgart
H	RB Leipzig	4 - 2	W.Bremen
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Bayern
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Holstein
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Wolfsburg
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 4	Hoffenheim
H	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Dortmund
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Freiburg
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Mainz
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 0	Heidenheim

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
VfL Bochum	2 - 0	Dortmund
Heidenheim	1 - 2	Dortmund
E.Frankfurt	2 - 0	Dortmund
Holstein	4 - 2	Dortmund
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Dortmund
B. M'gladbach	1 - 1	Dortmund
Mainz	3 - 1	Dortmund
Augsburg	2 - 1	Dortmund
Union Berlin	2 - 1	Dortmund
Stuttgart	5 - 1	Dortmund
W.Bremen	0 - 0	Dortmund
Mainz	3 - 0	Dortmund
RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Dortmund
B. M'gladbach	1 - 2	Dortmund
Bayern	0 - 2	Dortmund
W.Bremen	1 - 2	Dortmund
Union Berlin	0 - 2	Dortmund
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Heidenheim	0 - 0	Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Dortmund	0 - 1	Augsburg
A	Dortmund	2 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Dortmund	6 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Dortmund	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
H	Dortmund	1 - 2	Stuttgart
A	Dortmund	2 - 1	Heidenheim
H	Dortmund	2 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Dortmund	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Dortmund	2 - 4	Holstein
H	Dortmund	2 - 3	Leverkusen
A	Dortmund	3 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Dortmund	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Dortmund	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Dortmund	1 - 1	Bayern
H	Dortmund	4 - 0	Freiburg
A	Dortmund	1 - 3	Mainz
H	Dortmund	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Dortmund	1 - 2	Augsburg
H	Dortmund	2 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Dortmund	1 - 2	Union Berlin

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

RB Leipzig have beaten Dortmund in 3 consecutive home league meetings

RB Leipzig

Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

RBL

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig	4 - 1
RB Leipzig	3 - 0
RB Leipzig	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Dortmund
	0 - 2	Dortmund
	0 - 1	Dortmund
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
RB Leipzig	1 - 0

Dortmund

RB Leipzig

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 9

8 / 9

Clean sheets

1 / 9

0 / 9

RBL

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund	2 - 1
	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
Dortmund	2 - 1
	1 - 4	RB Leipzig
Dortmund	3 - 2
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Dortmund	4 - 1
	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
Dortmund	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	RB Leipzig 6th	Dortmund 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 RB Leipzig’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-27 Dortmund have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season

RBL

BVB

better

view stats

Games scored	19		21
Failed to score	6		4
Scored first	13		13
Goals scored	39		45
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	18		19
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.8
KickOff rating		+9%

27%

better

RBL

BVB

view stats

Games conceded	13		20
Clean sheets	12		5
Conceded first	6		11
Goals conceded	33		39
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.2
KickOff rating		+27%

RB Leipzig v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	10	6	6
P Gulácsi	B Sesko	L Openda	W Orbán

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Gulácsi GLK	24			-
B Sesko FWD	24	10	4	1 1
L Openda FWD	24	7	6	3 1
C Baumgartner MID	23	2	2	5 -
W Orbán DEF	22	5		4 2
K Kampl MID	22	1		4 -
A Vermeeren MID	21		1	5 -
A Nusa MID	21	3	3	-
N Seiwald MID	21			2 -
A Haidara MID	21		2	6 -
L Klostermann DEF	20			2 -
L Geertruida DEF	18	1		2 -
D Raum DEF	17	1	3	2 -
X Simons MID	17	6	3	4 -
C Lukeba DEF	15			1 -
Y Poulsen FWD	15			1 -
B Henrichs DEF	14		2	2 -
E Bitshiabu DEF	14			1 -
R Baku MID	10			-
X Schlager MID	4			1 -
K. Nedeljković DEF	3			-
A Ouédraogo MID	3			-
M Vandevoordt GLK	2			-
F. Sakar MID	1			-
V. Gebel MID	1			-
T. Gomis FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	30	6	18
B Sesko	L Openda	L Openda	X Simons

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Sesko FWD	10	25	4	6
L Openda FWD	7	30	6	14
X Simons MID	6	13	3	18
W Orbán DEF	5	7		4
A Nusa MID	3	6	3	11
C Baumgartner MID	2	11	2	12
K Kampl MID	1	2		13
L Geertruida DEF	1	2		3
D Raum DEF	1	3	3	12
R Baku MID		1
X Schlager MID				1
E Bitshiabu DEF		2		2
B Henrichs DEF		1	2	9
Y Poulsen FWD		2		2
C Lukeba DEF		1		2
L Klostermann DEF		1		1
A Haidara MID		1	2	3
N Seiwald MID				11
A Vermeeren MID			1	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1542	36	145
W Orbán	W Orbán	W Orbán

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Orbán DEF	1542	36	145
K Kampl MID	1032	25	46
L Klostermann DEF	834	22	42
N Seiwald MID	822	29	46
C Lukeba DEF	797	24	57
L Geertruida DEF	793	29	49
A Haidara MID	770	23	63
X Simons MID	759	17	93
A Vermeeren MID	697	28	41
D Raum DEF	627	24	49
P Gulácsi GLK	596		5
B Sesko FWD	469	7	101
A Nusa MID	467	31	96
L Openda FWD	416	6	93
C Baumgartner MID	416	30	87
E Bitshiabu DEF	405	15	25
B Henrichs DEF	399	30	52
R Baku MID	262	12	36
Y Poulsen FWD	97	8	42
X Schlager MID	95	4	8
M Vandevoordt GLK	39
K. Nedeljković DEF	19	1	1
A Ouédraogo MID	18		3
V. Gebel MID	4		2
T. Gomis FWD	2

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	14	7	7
G Kobel	S Guirassy	P Groß	N Schlotterbeck

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	25	7	3	3 -
M Beier FWD	24	5	3	2 -
G Kobel GLK	23			1 -
P Groß MID	23		7	4 1
R Bensebaini DEF	22	1	5	6 -
E Can MID	22	2		3 1
M Sabitzer MID	22		1	2 -
S Guirassy FWD	22	14	1	3 -
N Schlotterbeck DEF	21		2	5 2
J Brandt MID	21	3	5	1 -
J Ryerson DEF	20	1	1	4 1
F Nmecha MID	19	2	1	2 -
Y Couto DEF	17			4 -
W Anton DEF	17		2	3 -
K Adeyemi FWD	16	3	4	4 -
G Reyna MID	14	2		3 -
J Duranville FWD	10			3 -
N Süle DEF	8			1 -
S Özcan MID	5			-
D Svensson DEF	4			-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF	4			1 1
W Campbell FWD	4			-
A Meyer GLK	2			-
C Chukwuemeka MID	2			-
K. Wätjen MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	24	7	26
S Guirassy	S Guirassy	P Groß	J Brandt

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Guirassy FWD	14	24	1	8
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	7	20	3	13
M Beier FWD	5	8	3	13
J Brandt MID	3	11	5	26
K Adeyemi FWD	3	10	4	7
E Can MID	2	2		2
F Nmecha MID	2	2	1	7
G Reyna MID	2	2		2
R Bensebaini DEF	1	2	5	11
J Ryerson DEF	1	3	1	16
S Özcan MID		1		1
C Chukwuemeka MID				1
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF				2
Y Couto DEF		2		9
N Süle DEF		1
J Duranville FWD		1		1
W Anton DEF			2	2
N Schlotterbeck DEF		3	2	11
M Sabitzer MID		5	1	6
P Groß MID		5	7	20

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1885	38	138
N Schlotterbeck	P Groß	J Bynoe-Gittens

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Schlotterbeck DEF	1885	34	110
E Can MID	1546	38	97
P Groß MID	1327	38	63
W Anton DEF	1242	21	80
J Ryerson DEF	906	27	70
R Bensebaini DEF	834	37	84
G Kobel GLK	807		5
J Brandt MID	768	15	41
F Nmecha MID	691	29	78
M Sabitzer MID	680	27	53
N Süle DEF	543	7	17
Y Couto DEF	532	21	38
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	442	27	138
S Guirassy FWD	429	3	133
M Beier FWD	292	24	66
K Adeyemi FWD	262	12	62
G Reyna MID	156	6	20
S Özcan MID	123	4	16
A Meyer GLK	80
D Svensson DEF	79	3	6
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF	78	5	10
J Duranville FWD	64	3	21
C Chukwuemeka MID	18	1	2
W Campbell FWD	14		2
K. Wätjen MID	8		1

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RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

RB Leipzig have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Dortmund are in 10th position in the Bundesliga on 35 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

RB Leipzig v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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