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RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 14:30 BST, Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Vincent Kompany will be hoping for a vital away win in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Bayern Munich side to the Red Bull Arena to visit RB Leipzig and Marco Rose. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives RB Leipzig and Bayern an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
27%
15/4-
Draw
22%
7/2
4%
-
Bayern
50%
3/5
1%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
17/2
6%
-
Bayern 2-1
9%
8/1-
Bayern 1-0
7%
12/1
8%
-
Bayern 2-0
7%
10/1-
RB Leipzig 2-1
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
-
Bayern 3-1
6%
10/1-
RB Leipzig 1-0
5%
20/1-
Bayern 3-0
4%
14/1-
Bayern 3-2
4%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
22/1-
RB Leipzig 2-0
4%
28/1-
RB Leipzig 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
RB Leipzig 3-2
3%
28/1-
Bayern 4-1
3%
18/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
2/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2/1-
Home 1st Goal
46%
7/4-
Away 1st Goal
53%
2/5
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1-
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/9-
BTTS - No
37%
13/8-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
11/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
28%
8/5
1%
-
Home/draw
50%
13/10
2%
-
Away/draw
73%
2/11-
Home/away
78%
2/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
11/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
1/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
11/5
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
4/11
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/7-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/80-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
22/1-
Home DNB
43%
11/4
7%
-
Away DNB
66%
1/4
3%
-
RB Leipzig win to nil
11%
10/1-
Bayern win to nil
22%
5/2
7%
-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
11%
13/2-
RB Leipzig / Bayern
5%
16/1-
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / RB Leipzig
8%
10/1-
Draw / Bayern
17%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Bayern / RB Leipzig
3%
28/1-
Bayern / Bayern
34%
7/5
4%
-
Bayern / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 2. RB Leipzig have conceded 10 goals, scored 8, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

RB Leipzig have played 15 games at home, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 72 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 87 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 15 away games, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Away3022625872 
May 3
l
 
5-1A
-
-
2
Leverkusen30181022964 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
3
E.Frankfurt3015781652 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
4
RB Leipzig Home30131071049 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
May 3
5
Freiburg3014610-448 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
6
Mainz3013891247 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
7
Dortmund30136111045 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
8
W.Bremen3013611-645 
w
 
4-2F
May 10
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-5F
9
B. M'gladbach3013512244 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
May 10
w
 
0-1F
10
Augsburg3011109-743 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
11
Stuttgart3011811641 
May 17
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3A
12
Wolfsburg3010911639 
l
 
1-5A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3F
13
Union Berlin309813-1435 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
14
St. Pauli308616-1030 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
15
Hoffenheim307914-1730 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-3F
w
 
5-0F
May 17
16
Heidenheim306420-2822 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-4F
17
VfL Bochum305520-3320 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-5F
18
Holstein304719-3019 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-6F
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig1 - 1Holstein
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
RB Leipzig2 - 2Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig2 - 1E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig1 - 5Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig3 - 1Freiburg
RB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
RB Leipzig0 - 0Union Berlin
RB Leipzig1 - 0VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig1 - 1W.Bremen
RB Leipzig4 - 1Dortmund
RB Leipzig3 - 0Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig0 - 0Mainz
RB Leipzig2 - 0Darmstadt
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRB Leipzig1 - 1Holstein
ARB Leipzig3 - 2Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 1B. M'gladbach
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
ARB Leipzig0 - 0Freiburg
HRB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
HRB Leipzig2 - 2Heidenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig0 - 0Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig3 - 3VfL Bochum
ARB Leipzig1 - 2Stuttgart
HRB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 1E.Frankfurt
ARB Leipzig2 - 0Holstein
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Wolfsburg
ARB Leipzig3 - 4Hoffenheim
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heidenheim0 - 4Bayern
Augsburg1 - 3Bayern
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Stuttgart1 - 3Bayern
Leverkusen0 - 0Bayern
Freiburg1 - 2Bayern
B. M'gladbach0 - 1Bayern
Mainz2 - 1Bayern
Dortmund1 - 1Bayern
St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
VfL Bochum0 - 5Bayern
E.Frankfurt3 - 3Bayern
W.Bremen0 - 5Bayern
Holstein1 - 6Bayern
Wolfsburg2 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim4 - 2Bayern
Stuttgart3 - 1Bayern
Union Berlin1 - 5Bayern
Heidenheim3 - 2Bayern
Darmstadt2 - 5Bayern
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Dortmund
ABayern3 - 1Augsburg
HBayern3 - 2St. Pauli
ABayern1 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
ABayern3 - 1Stuttgart
HBayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
ABayern0 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern3 - 0W.Bremen
HBayern4 - 3Holstein
ABayern2 - 1Freiburg
HBayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
HBayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
ABayern1 - 0B. M'gladbach
HBayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern1 - 2Mainz
HBayern4 - 2Heidenheim
ABayern1 - 1Dortmund
HBayern3 - 0Augsburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Bayern have not lost to RB Leipzig in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at RB Leipzig since 2017
RB Leipzig
Bayern
Goals: Scored
11
15
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
RBL
1
D
4
FCB
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Bayern
0 - 1Bayern
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
RB Leipzig2 - 1
4 - 5Bayern
League games at Bayern since 2016
Bayern
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
RBL
1
D
2
FCB
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern5 - 1
Bayern2 - 1
1 - 3RB Leipzig
Bayern3 - 2
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bayern1 - 0
Bayern2 - 0
Bayern3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.9 against RB Leipzig on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

RB Leipzig 4th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 74% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Bayern will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
RB Leipzig’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Bayern have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283701/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.3
1.9
Attack rating
RBL
FCB
36%
better
view stats
Games scored23
29
Failed to score7
1
Scored first15
23
Goals scored48
87
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.9
Avg. shots per game9
14
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for1.4
2.4
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
RBL
FCB
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets13
13
Conceded first9
6
Goals conceded38
29
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
19%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.8
KickOff rating
+5%

RB Leipzig v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261167
P Gulácsi B SeskoL OpendaA Haidara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Sesko FWD27115
1
1
L Openda FWD2786
3
1
P Gulácsi  GLK26
-
C Baumgartner MID2622
5
-
W Orbán DEF255
4
2
N Seiwald MID24
2
-
A Haidara MID242
7
-
L Klostermann DEF23
2
-
K Kampl MID231
4
-
A Vermeeren MID221
5
-
A Nusa MID2133
-
D Raum DEF2014
3
-
X Simons MID2074
4
-
L Geertruida DEF191
2
-
C Lukeba DEF18
2
-
Y Poulsen FWD171
1
-
E Bitshiabu DEF16
1
-
B Henrichs DEF142
2
-
R Baku MID131
1
-
K. Nedeljković DEF5
-
X Schlager MID4
1
-
T. Gomis FWD41
1
-
M Vandevoordt GLK3
-
A Ouédraogo MID3
-
F. Sakar MID1
-
V. Gebel MID1
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2623107
J KimmichH KaneM OliseK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olise MID28810
2
-
J Kimmich MID2717
4
-
H Kane FWD26238
4
-
M Kim DEF252
2
-
J Musiala MID25122
3
-
T Müller FWD2413
3
-
L Sané FWD2496
2
-
K Laimer MID2311
7
-
K Coman FWD2244
-
L Goretzka MID2141
2
-
S Gnabry FWD2154
-
M Neuer  GLK20
-
D Upamecano DEF202
6
-
R Guerreiro DEF1932
1
-
A Davies DEF1913
-
E Dier DEF151
-
A Pavlović MID151
2
-
J Palhinha MID14
2
1
S Boey DEF91
1
-
J Stanisic DEF81
-
H Ito DEF61
1
-
J Urbig GLK4
-
D Peretz GLK3
1
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
G Vidović FWD1
-