1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge Holstein Kiel's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Holstein Kiel : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mewa Arena, Mainz

1. FSV Mainz 05 are in Bundesliga action on Saturday afternoon, as Bo Henriksen attempts to outsmart Marcel Rapp and his Holstein Kiel side at the Mewa Arena. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

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1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v Hoffenheim at 14:30 on Saturday 12th April
Holstein Kiel's next match is v St. Pauli at 14:30 on Saturday 12th April
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Mainz and Holstein was on Saturday 5th April 2025
German Bundesliga
April 5th 2025
Mainz 1
1 Holstein
 
N. Weiper 75'34' A. Bernhardsson
 
M05
SVE
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
9
3
Corners
4
4
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
12
8
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
MainzHolstein
 
R. Zentner
P. Mwene (N. Veratschnig 67')
M. Jenz
A. Hanche-Olsen
D. Vieira da Costa
A. Caci
N. Amiri (H. Hong 90')
P. Nebel
J. Lee (N. Weiper 68')
K. Sano
J. Burkardt (A. Sieb 83')
T. Dähne
M. Komenda
T. Becker
D. Zec
L. Rosenboom
(F. Porath 76') J. Tolkin
N. Remberg
(P. Harres 76') S. Skrzybski
(L. Holtby 82') A. Gigovic
S. Machino
(M. Knudsen 68') football iconA. Bernhardsson

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Mainz to win

As the stadium fills and the Mainz players ready themselves for this game, the bookmakers are predicting success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Mewa Arena has not been an easy place to go for Holstein in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
64%
21/50
5%
-
Draw
20%
7/2
4%
-
Holstein
17%
13/2
20%
-
Mainz 2-1
10%
15/2-
Mainz 2-0
10%
7/1
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Mainz 1-0
9%
8/1-
Mainz 3-1
7%
10/1-
Mainz 3-0
7%
9/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Holstein 2-1
5%
20/1
11%
-
Holstein 1-0
4%
22/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Mainz 4-1
4%
16/1
11%
-
Mainz 4-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
Mainz 3-2
4%
20/1-
Holstein 2-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Mainz 4-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/15
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
6/4
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
3/10
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
5/2
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/10
2%
-
BTTS - No
44%
21/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
7/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
10%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/10
2%
-
Away/draw
36%
7/4
10%
-
Home/away
80%
2/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
13/10
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/13
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/4
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
13%
-
Home DNB
77%
1/7
3%
-
Away DNB
31%
9/2
22%
-
Mainz win to nil
32%
13/8
5%
-
Holstein win to nil
7%
14/1
15%
-
Mainz / Mainz
40%
11/10
7%
-
Mainz / Holstein
2%
40/1-
Mainz / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Mainz
19%
10/3-
Draw / Holstein
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
7%
-
Holstein / Mainz
4%
16/1
11%
-
Holstein / Holstein
8%
10/1
10%
-
Holstein / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 6 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Holstein are in 18th position in the Bundesliga on 17 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 20 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Holstein have conceded 67 goals, scored 38, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Holstein
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2821525468 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
l
 
1-6A
l
 
4-3A
2
Leverkusen2918922963 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
E.Frankfurt2814681348 
May 4
w
 
1-3F
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
4
RB Leipzig2913971048 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
5
Mainz Home2913791246 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
6
Freiburg2913610-545 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
l
 
3-2A
7
B. M'gladbach2913511344 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
8
Augsburg291199-742 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
w
 
5-1A
May 4
9
Dortmund2812511941 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-2F
May 17
10
Stuttgart2811710740 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
11
W.Bremen2811611-839 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
12
Wolfsburg2910811638 
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
13
Union Berlin299713-1434 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
14
Hoffenheim297913-1630 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
15
St. Pauli298516-1029 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
16
Heidenheim286418-2122 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
17
VfL Bochum295519-3220 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
18
Holstein Away294619-3018 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Mainz 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz2 - 2Freiburg
Mainz2 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 0Augsburg
Mainz2 - 0Stuttgart
Mainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
Mainz2 - 1Bayern
Mainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Mainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz0 - 2RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 2Heidenheim
Mainz1 - 2W.Bremen
Mainz1 - 1Union Berlin
Mainz3 - 0Dortmund
Mainz1 - 1Köln
Mainz4 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz4 - 0Darmstadt
Mainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
Mainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz1 - 0Augsburg
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz1 - 3Dortmund
HMainz2 - 2Freiburg
AMainz3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz2 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz0 - 0Augsburg
AMainz0 - 1W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 0Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 2Union Berlin
AMainz0 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
AMainz3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz2 - 1Bayern
AMainz3 - 4Wolfsburg
HMainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
AMainz3 - 0Holstein
HMainz3 - 1Dortmund
AMainz0 - 0Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Holstein 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heidenheim3 - 1Holstein
Union Berlin0 - 1Holstein
E.Frankfurt3 - 1Holstein
Bayern4 - 3Holstein
Wolfsburg2 - 2Holstein
Freiburg3 - 2Holstein
B. M'gladbach4 - 1Holstein
St. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
W.Bremen2 - 1Holstein
Stuttgart2 - 1Holstein
Leverkusen2 - 2Holstein
VfL Bochum2 - 2Holstein
Hoffenheim3 - 2Holstein
Hannover1 - 2Holstein
Wiesbaden0 - 1Holstein
Hamburg0 - 1Holstein
Nurnberg0 - 4Holstein
Elversberg0 - 2Holstein
H.Berlin2 - 2Holstein
Paderborn0 - 4Holstein
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHolstein0 - 3W.Bremen
AHolstein1 - 3Heidenheim
HHolstein2 - 2Stuttgart
AHolstein1 - 0Union Berlin
HHolstein0 - 2Leverkusen
AHolstein1 - 3E.Frankfurt
HHolstein2 - 2VfL Bochum
AHolstein3 - 4Bayern
AHolstein2 - 2Wolfsburg
HHolstein1 - 3Hoffenheim
HHolstein4 - 2Dortmund
AHolstein2 - 3Freiburg
HHolstein5 - 1Augsburg
AHolstein1 - 4B. M'gladbach
HHolstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
AHolstein1 - 3St. Pauli
HHolstein0 - 3Mainz
AHolstein1 - 2W.Bremen
HHolstein1 - 0Heidenheim
AHolstein1 - 2Stuttgart
Goal Statistics

Holstein Kiel have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Bundesliga outings. This run could continue, with 1. FSV Mainz 05's PG an impressive 2.2.

Mainz 5th Holstein 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 64% probability that Mainz will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Holstein will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Mainz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+28
Holstein have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283669/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Holstein
2.2
1
Attack rating
16%
better
M05
SVE
view stats
Games scored21
21
Failed to score6
6
Scored first16
6
Goals scored45
38
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
47%
better
M05
SVE
view stats
Games conceded18
25
Clean sheets9
2
Conceded first9
21
Goals conceded31
67
Avg. goals conceded1.1
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against11%
21%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+47%

Mainz v Holstein Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281578
R ZentnerJ Burkardt A CaciN Amiri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK28
3
-
D Costa DEF191
-
M Jenz DEF17
4
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF1711
2
1
A Caci MID2717
6
-
K Sano MID28
3
-
N Amiri MID2564
6
2
P Mwene MID275
6
-
P Nebel FWD2684
3
-
J Lee FWD2765
4
-
J Burkardt  FWD24152
-
Subs
L Rieß GLK
1
-
S Widmer  DEF221
3
-
M Leitsch  DEF141
2
-
N Veratschnig DEF9
-
H Hyun-seok MID181
-
L Maloney MID3
1
-
A Nordin FWD3
-
A Sieb FWD2523
3
-
N Weiper FWD173
2
-
Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22839
T BeckerP HarresF PorathN Remberg
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Dähne  GLK3
-
T Becker DEF242
2
-
D Zec DEF132
5
-
M Komenda  DEF18
3
-
L Rosenboom MID2012
3
-
A Gigovic MID264
4
-
N Remberg MID271
9
-
J Tolkin MID51
-
S Skrzybski FWD1862
-
A Bernhardsson FWD1331
3
-
S Machino FWD2672
1
-
Subs
M Engelhardt GLK
-
C Johansson DEF5
-
M Geschwill DEF1712
2
-
M Ivezic MID19
3
-
F Porath MID2623
3
-
L Holtby MID231
1
1
M Knudsen MID251
7
-
F Arp FWD212
5
1
P Harres FWD2081
2
-