1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge Sport-Club Freiburg's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

1. FSV Mainz 05 and their manager Bo Henriksen will be hoping for victory against Julian Schuster and his Sport-Club Freiburg side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets using the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Mainz and Freiburg have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
60%
1.951.95
2%
Draw
24%
3.25
2%
3.40
6%
Freiburg
17%
4.20
5%
3.80
3%
Mainz 1-0
15%
7.006.50
Mainz 2-0
12%
8.50
6%
8.50
Draw 1-1
11%
6.00
8%
6.50
Mainz 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 0-0
9%
8.50
6%
8.00
11%
Mainz 3-0
7%
17.0013.00
Freiburg 1-0
7%
11.009.00
5%
Mainz 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Freiburg 2-1
4%
15.00
15%
11.00
Draw 2-2
4%
15.0013.00
Mainz 4-0
3%
34.0026.00
13%
Freiburg 2-0
3%
21.0015.00
Mainz 4-1
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Mainz 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
11%
Freiburg 3-1
1%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
2.10
5%
2.00
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
1.73
4%
1.75
4%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.57-
Away 1st Goal
37%
2.75
5%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8.50
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
1.911.85
3%
BTTS - No
56%
1.911.85
3%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4.334.00
5%
BTTS - Draw
15%
4.504.50
2%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
8.50
6%
7.00
8%
Home/draw
83%
1.221.25
Away/draw
40%
1.801.80
3%
Home/away
76%
1.331.30
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1.36
2%
1.33
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3.20
6%
3.10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3.753.40
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1.291.29
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8.00
14%
6.50
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.08
2%
1.09
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.071.06
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9.008.00
11%
Home DNB
76%
1.36
3%
1.40
Away DNB
33%
3.00
9%
2.70
2%
Mainz win to nil
38%
3.25-
Freiburg win to nil
10%
7.00
8%
-
Mainz / Mainz
26%
3.203.00
3%
Mainz / Freiburg
3%
34.0026.00
Mainz / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Mainz
17%
4.754.80
Draw / Freiburg
10%
8.007.50
6%
Draw / Draw
16%
5.004.80
4%
Freiburg / Mainz
4%
23.0019.00
Freiburg / Freiburg
13%
6.506.00
Freiburg / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 5 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 42 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Freiburg are in 5th position in the Bundesliga on 41 points having played 25 matches so far this season. Freiburg are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Freiburg have conceded 13 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2519425161 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Leverkusen2515822553 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
May 3
l
 
5-1A
3
Mainz Home2513571644 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
4
E.Frankfurt2512671242 
May 3
w
 
1-3F
May 17
l
 
4-1F
5
Freiburg Away251258-241 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
6
RB Leipzig251096639 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
7
Wolfsburg2510871038 
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
w
 
3-2F
Apr 26
8
Stuttgart251078537 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-0A
9
B. M'gladbach2511410137 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
10
Dortmund2510510635 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 30
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
11
Augsburg25988-735 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
12
W.Bremen259610-1133 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
13
Union Berlin257612-1427 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 30
d
 
0-00-0
14
Hoffenheim256811-1526 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
15
St. Pauli256415-1122 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
16
VfL Bochum254615-2518 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
17
Holstein254516-2417 
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
May 10
18
Heidenheim254417-2316 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
8
Mainz have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
4
Mainz have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games
Mainz 3RD
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz2 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 0Augsburg
Mainz2 - 0Stuttgart
Mainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
Mainz2 - 1Bayern
Mainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Mainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz0 - 2RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 2Heidenheim
Mainz1 - 2W.Bremen
Mainz1 - 1Union Berlin
Mainz3 - 0Dortmund
Mainz1 - 1Köln
Mainz4 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz4 - 0Darmstadt
Mainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
Mainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz1 - 0Augsburg
Mainz1 - 1Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz2 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz0 - 0Augsburg
AMainz0 - 1W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 0Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 2Union Berlin
AMainz0 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
AMainz3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz2 - 1Bayern
AMainz3 - 4Wolfsburg
HMainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
AMainz3 - 0Holstein
HMainz3 - 1Dortmund
AMainz0 - 0Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HMainz0 - 2RB Leipzig
AMainz3 - 0St. Pauli
Freiburg 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Augsburg0 - 0Freiburg
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
VfL Bochum0 - 1Freiburg
Stuttgart4 - 0Freiburg
E.Frankfurt4 - 1Freiburg
Leverkusen5 - 1Freiburg
Hoffenheim1 - 1Freiburg
Dortmund4 - 0Freiburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
RB Leipzig3 - 1Freiburg
W.Bremen0 - 1Freiburg
Heidenheim0 - 3Freiburg
Bayern2 - 0Freiburg
Union Berlin2 - 1Freiburg
Köln0 - 0Freiburg
Darmstadt0 - 1Freiburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 3Freiburg
VfL Bochum1 - 2Freiburg
Augsburg2 - 1Freiburg
Dortmund3 - 0Freiburg
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFreiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
AFreiburg0 - 0Augsburg
HFreiburg5 - 0W.Bremen
AFreiburg1 - 0St. Pauli
HFreiburg1 - 0Heidenheim
AFreiburg1 - 0VfL Bochum
HFreiburg1 - 2Bayern
AFreiburg0 - 4Stuttgart
AFreiburg1 - 4E.Frankfurt
HFreiburg3 - 2Holstein
AFreiburg1 - 5Leverkusen
HFreiburg3 - 2Wolfsburg
AFreiburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
HFreiburg3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AFreiburg0 - 4Dortmund
AFreiburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HFreiburg0 - 0Mainz
AFreiburg1 - 3RB Leipzig
HFreiburg3 - 1Augsburg
AFreiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Freiburg have not lost to Mainz in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
8 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
3 / 11
M05
5
D
4
SCF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
0 - 1Freiburg
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Mainz1 - 0
1 - 2Freiburg
Mainz5 - 0
Mainz2 - 0
Mainz4 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Mainz2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Freiburg since 2012
Freiburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
16
16
Games: Scored
11 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
1 / 12
M05
4
D
4
SCF
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Freiburg
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Freiburg2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Mainz
Freiburg3 - 0
1 - 3Mainz
Freiburg2 - 1
Freiburg1 - 0
2 - 3Mainz
1 - 2Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Sport-Club Freiburg look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Bundesliga games, and it could be a long afternoon for J. Schuster's men.

Mainz 3rd Freiburg 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 82% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Freiburg scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Mainz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-30
Freiburg have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283647/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
15%
better
M05
SCF
view stats
Games scored19
17
Failed to score6
8
Scored first15
13
Goals scored42
34
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
11%
better
M05
SCF
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded26
36
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Mainz v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2514510
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK25
3
-
P Mwene DEF255
4
-
K Sano MID25
3
-
A Caci MID2415
6
-
J Lee MID2465
4
-
D Kohr MID231
10
-
P Nebel MID2373
3
-
A Sieb FWD2323
3
-
N Amiri MID2263
5
2
S Widmer  DEF211
3
-
J Burkardt  FWD21142
-
D Costa DEF161
-
H Hyun-seok MID161
-
D Hoof DEF151
3
-
N Weiper FWD152
2
-
M Jenz DEF14
3
-
M Leitsch  DEF141
2
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF141
2
1
N Veratschnig DEF7
-
L Maloney MID3
1
-
A Nordin FWD2
-
Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24885
R DoanV GrifoV GrifoP Osterhage
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Grifo FWD2588
2
-
R Doan FWD2585
1
-
M Ginter DEF242
3
-
C Günter DEF2421
-
M Eggestein MID24
4
-
P Lienhart DEF231
4
-
L Höler FWD2324
1
-
N Atubolu GLK22
2
-
P Osterhage MID22
4
1
E Dinkçi FWD213
-
L Kübler DEF194
5
-
M Rosenfelder DEF18
1
-
C Adamu FWD1822
2
1
M Röhl MID161
2
-
N Höfler MID16
3
-
K Sildillia DEF142
2
-
M Gregoritsch FWD1413
3
-
J Makengo DEF12
1
-
F Muslija MID9
-
J Beste FWD51
-
J. Manzambi MID4
-
F Müller GLK3
-
B. Ogbus DEF2
-
M Philipp FWD2
-