1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge FC St. Pauli's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

the Mewa Arena faithful welcome FC St. Pauli's fans on Saturday afternoon, as Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05 go head to head with Alexander Blessin's charges in the Bundesliga. Bundesliga statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
46%
4/5
2%
17/20
1%
Draw
27%
5/25/2
8%
St. Pauli
27%
7/2
7%
10/3
8%
Mainz 1-0
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
7%
Draw 0-0
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
21%
St. Pauli 1-0
9%
10/117/2
5%
Mainz 2-0
9%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
Mainz 2-1
9%
15/27/1
7%
St. Pauli 2-1
6%
14/111/1
St. Pauli 2-0
5%
22/1
10%
16/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
15%
Mainz 3-0
4%
14/112/1
8%
Mainz 3-1
4%
14/112/1
8%
St. Pauli 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Mainz 3-2
2%
28/122/1
21%
St. Pauli 3-0
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
Mainz 4-0
1%
28/1
15%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
11/1011/10
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
8/117/10
7%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1/2
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2/1
9%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1/1
3%
19/20
5%
BTTS - No
54%
3/4
3%
3/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
10/33/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
17/2
6%
7/1
14%
Home/draw
73%
2/11
3%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
54%
19/20
2%
10/11
2%
Home/away
73%
2/73/10
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/114/11
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
11/519/10
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3/113/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/41/4
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/16/1
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/114/1
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/40
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/141/14
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
21%
Home DNB
65%
3/10
4%
1/3
1%
Away DNB
46%
12/5
13%
2/1
3%
Mainz win to nil
28%
7/4
8%
-
St. Pauli win to nil
16%
6/1-
Mainz / Mainz
28%
15/8
4%
15/8
5%
Mainz / St. Pauli
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Mainz / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Mainz
18%
7/2
5%
7/2
2%
Draw / St. Pauli
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
12%
St. Pauli / Mainz
4%
22/120/1
11%
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
11%
7/1
14%
11/2
8%
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 14th position in the Bundesliga on 21 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 3. St. Pauli have conceded 21 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2117314654 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
2
Leverkusen2113712246 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
3
E.Frankfurt2111641839 
May 3
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
May 10
4
RB Leipzig221075737 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
5
Freiburg221138-736 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
6
Stuttgart221057735 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
7
B. M'gladbach221048334 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
8
Wolfsburg22967933 
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
9
Mainz Home21957932 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
10
W.Bremen21867-530 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 26
11
Dortmund22859-129 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 30
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
12
Augsburg22778-1128 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
13
Union Berlin226610-824 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
St. Pauli Away226313-721 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
-
-
15
Hoffenheim214611-1818 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
Mar 14
w
 
0-2F
16
Heidenheim214215-1814 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 16
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
VfL Bochum223514-2514 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
May 17
l
 
1-0A
18
Holstein213414-2113 
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
7
Mainz have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
3
Mainz have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Mainz 7TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
St. Pauli 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goal Statistics
Mainz 7th St. Pauli 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of St. Pauli scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Mainz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
St. Pauli have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283620/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
1.4
1
Attack rating
36%
better
M05
STP
view stats
Games scored15
10
Failed to score6
11
Scored first12
7
Goals scored33
18
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
7%
better
M05
STP
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first7
12
Goals conceded24
24
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

Mainz v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211258
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK21
3
-
P Mwene DEF215
4
-
K Sano MID21
1
-
D Kohr MID20
8
-
A Caci MID2014
5
-
J Lee MID2052
4
-
A Sieb FWD2023
3
-
P Nebel MID1952
2
-
S Widmer  DEF181
3
-
N Amiri MID1842
4
2
J Burkardt  FWD17121
-
H Hyun-seok MID161
-
D Hoof DEF151
3
-
M Leitsch  DEF141
2
-
D Costa DEF121
-
N Weiper FWD111
2
-
M Jenz DEF10
3
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF101
2
1
N Veratschnig DEF7
-
A Nordin FWD2
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21555
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ IrvineE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK21
-
H Wahl DEF21
-
J Irvine MID215
2
-
P Treu DEF201
1
-
O Afolayan FWD2021
2
-
M Saliakas DEF191
3
-
E Smith MID191
5
-
J Eggestein FWD1934
3
-
C Boukhalfa MID181
-
M Guilavogui FWD1851
5
-
D Sinani FWD1411
2
-
A Albers FWD131
-
D Nemeth  DEF11
-
A Dzwigala DEF11
2
1
L Ritzka DEF11
1
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
S Banks FWD10
1
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
E Saad FWD822
1
-
J Sands MID6
1
-
N Weißhaupt FWD6
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
A. Ceesay FWD3
-
S Heyden DEF2
1
-
F Stevens DEF1
-