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1. FSV Mainz 05 v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mewa Arena, Mainz

Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05 side are on home soil in the Bundesliga on Saturday evening, as Edin Terzic's Borussia Dortmund visit the Mewa Arena. For each and every Bundesliga match, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Real Madrid at 20:00 on Saturday 1st June

The last German Bundesliga meeting between Mainz and Dortmund was on Saturday 11th May 2024

German Bundesliga

May 11th 2024

Mainz 3	0 Dortmund

L. Barreiro Martins 12'
J. Lee 19'
J. Lee 23'

	M05 BVB
Shots On	5 2
Shots Off	4 3
Corners	4 2
Possession	30% 70%
Fouls	6 11
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Mainz	Dortmund

R. Zentner A. Caci (E. Fernandes 75') S. Widmer (D. Vieira da Costa 77') A. Hanche-Olsen S. van den Berg N. Amiri L. Barreiro Martins J. Lee (M. Richter 87') D. Kohr B. Gruda (N. Weiper 87') J. Burkardt	A. Meyer (I. Maatsen 46') M. Morey Bauzà N. Schlotterbeck N. Süle M. Wolf M. Reus (O. Pohlmann 69') F. Nmecha (J. Brandt 46') S. Özcan Y. Moukoko (J. Sancho 46') D. Malen (K. Wätjen 76') J. Bynoe-Gittens

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Mainz or Dortmund are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of two goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mainz 40%	17/20 27%	4/5 25%
Draw 25%	3/1 11%	14/5
Dortmund 34%	11/4 47%	5/2 34%
Draw 1-1 12%	15/2 13%	7/1 14%
Mainz 1-0 9%	12/1 13%	10/1
Mainz 2-1 9%	8/1 10%	7/1 6%
Dortmund 1-0 8%	18/1 27%	14/1 36%
Dortmund 2-1 8%	12/1 30%	11/1 33%
Mainz 2-0 7%	12/1 24%	10/1 15%
Draw 0-0 6%	20/1 11%	16/1 31%
Draw 2-2 6%	10/1 10%	9/1 5%
Dortmund 2-0 5%	22/1 35%	18/1 27%
Mainz 3-1 4%	12/1 24%	10/1 15%
Dortmund 3-1 3%	22/1 35%	18/1 27%
Mainz 3-0 3%	18/1 27%	14/1 21%
Mainz 3-2 3%	16/1 19%	14/1
Dortmund 3-2 3%	22/1 10%	18/1 27%
Dortmund 3-0 2%	40/1 58%	33/1 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	4/9 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	7/4 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	8/15 24%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/8 32%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	20/1 11%	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	4/9	4/9
BTTS - No 44%	13/8	17/10 3%
BTTS - Home Win 20%	2/1 25%	15/8 20%
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 13%	17/5 5%
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2 38%	17/4 35%
Home/draw 66%	1/4 17%	2/7 13%
Away/draw 60%	10/11 27%	10/11 23%
Home/away 75%	2/9 5%	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/8 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	5/1 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	11/10 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	8/11 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5/2 7%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	3/10 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	5/1 8%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/8 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/50	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	18/1 12%	-
Home DNB 58%	4/9 21%	2/5 20%
Away DNB 52%	13/8 43%	7/4 41%
Mainz win to nil 20%	10/3 28%	-
Dortmund win to nil 17%	8/1 50%	-
Mainz / Mainz 27%	15/8 28%	9/5 24%
Mainz / Dortmund 3%	25/1 24%	22/1 21%
Mainz / Draw 6%	12/1	12/1 18%
Draw / Mainz 15%	9/2 15%	4/1 13%
Draw / Dortmund 10%	15/2 31%	15/2 31%
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1 8%	11/2 13%
Dortmund / Mainz 5%	18/1 10%	16/1
Dortmund / Dortmund 15%	9/2 38%	19/4 44%
Dortmund / Draw 6%	12/1	12/1 18%

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 11 and won 4. Mainz have conceded 49 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 5th place on 60 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 7 and losing 1 game. They have scored 56 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 16 away games, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Mainz

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Dortmund

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-3A	l 2-1A	Leverkusen	34	28	6	0	65	90	d 1-1F	d 1-1F
l 1-3A	l 3-1A	Stuttgart	34	23	4	7	39	73	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
l 1-3A	l 8-1A	Bayern	34	23	3	8	49	72	l 0-4A	w 0-2F
w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	RB Leipzig	34	19	8	7	38	65	l 2-3A	l 4-1F
w 3-0F	d 1-1A	Dortmund Away	34	18	9	7	25	63	-	-
d 1-1F	l 1-0A	E.Frankfurt	34	11	14	9	1	47	w 3-1A	d 3-3A
w 4-1A	d 1-1F	Hoffenheim	34	13	7	14	0	46	l 2-3A	w 1-3F
l 0-1A	d 1-1F	Heidenheim	34	10	12	12	-5	42	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0
l 0-1A	l 4-0A	W.Bremen	34	11	9	14	-6	42	w 1-0F	w 1-2F
l 0-1A	d 1-1A	Freiburg	34	11	9	14	-13	42	w 3-0F	w 2-4F
w 1-0F	l 2-1F	Augsburg	34	10	9	15	-10	39	w 5-1F	d 1-1A
d 1-1A	w 1-3A	Wolfsburg	34	10	7	17	-15	37	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
-	-	Mainz Home	34	7	14	13	-12	35	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
d 1-1F	d 2-2A	B. M'gladbach	34	7	13	14	-11	34	w 4-2A	w 1-2F
d 1-1A	l 4-1A	Union Berlin	34	9	6	19	-25	33	w 4-2F	w 0-2F
w 2-0F	d 2-2A	VfL Bochum	34	7	12	15	-32	33	w 3-1F	d 1-1A
d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	Köln	34	5	12	17	-32	27	w 1-0F	w 0-4F
w 4-0F	d 0-00-0	Darmstadt	34	3	8	23	-56	17	w 4-0F	w 0-3F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Mainz	1 - 1	Köln
Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt
Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	1 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
Mainz	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 0	RB Leipzig
Mainz	1 - 3	Bayern
Mainz	0 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 3	Stuttgart
Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	1 - 4	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 3	Schalke
Mainz	3 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 2	W.Bremen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Köln
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Freiburg
H	Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt
A	Mainz	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
A	Mainz	1 - 8	Bayern
H	Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	1 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Mainz	1 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Mainz	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Dortmund
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Mainz	0 - 0	Köln
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM
RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Dortmund
B. M'gladbach	1 - 2	Dortmund
Bayern	0 - 2	Dortmund
W.Bremen	1 - 2	Dortmund
Union Berlin	0 - 2	Dortmund
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Heidenheim	0 - 0	Dortmund
Köln	0 - 4	Dortmund
Darmstadt	0 - 3	Dortmund
Augsburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Leverkusen	1 - 1	Dortmund
Stuttgart	2 - 1	Dortmund
E.Frankfurt	3 - 3	Dortmund
Hoffenheim	1 - 3	Dortmund
Freiburg	2 - 4	Dortmund
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Dortmund
Augsburg	0 - 3	Dortmund
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Dortmund
Stuttgart	3 - 3	Dortmund
Bayern	4 - 2	Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
H	Dortmund	5 - 1	Augsburg
A	Dortmund	1 - 4	RB Leipzig
H	Dortmund	1 - 1	Leverkusen
A	Dortmund	2 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Dortmund	0 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Dortmund	2 - 0	Bayern
H	Dortmund	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Dortmund	2 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Dortmund	2 - 0	Union Berlin
H	Dortmund	2 - 3	Hoffenheim
A	Dortmund	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Dortmund	3 - 0	Freiburg
A	Dortmund	0 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Dortmund	3 - 1	VfL Bochum
A	Dortmund	4 - 0	Köln
A	Dortmund	3 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Dortmund	1 - 1	Mainz
A	Dortmund	1 - 1	Augsburg
H	Dortmund	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
A	Dortmund	1 - 1	Leverkusen

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Dortmund have beaten Mainz in 6 consecutive away league meetings

Dortmund have not lost to Mainz in 8 consecutive away league meetings

Mainz

Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 11

10 / 11

Clean sheets

1 / 11

4 / 11

M05

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
	1 - 2	Dortmund
	0 - 1	Dortmund
	1 - 3	Dortmund
	0 - 4	Dortmund
	1 - 2	Dortmund
	0 - 2	Dortmund
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Dortmund
Mainz	2 - 0
	1 - 3	Dortmund
	1 - 2	Dortmund

Mainz

Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 21

19 / 21

Clean sheets

2 / 21

6 / 21

M05

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Dortmund
	0 - 1	Dortmund
Dortmund	3 - 1
	1 - 3	Dortmund
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Mainz
	0 - 4	Dortmund
Dortmund	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Dortmund
	1 - 2	Mainz
	0 - 2	Dortmund
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Dortmund	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Dortmund
Mainz	2 - 0
Dortmund	4 - 2
	1 - 3	Dortmund
Dortmund	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Dortmund

Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05 have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.5 against Borussia Dortmund on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is to be admired, Bo Henriksen's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Bundesliga outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

	Mainz 15th	Dortmund 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Mainz have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	+18 Dortmund have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.3 conceded

Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season

M05

BVB

34%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		30
Failed to score	9		4
Scored first	12		23
Goals scored	39		68
Avg. goals scored	1.1		2
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate	12%		18%
KickOff rating		+34%

M05

BVB

18%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		24
Clean sheets	8		10
Conceded first	19		10
Goals conceded	51		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate	17%		12%
KickOff rating		+18%

Mainz v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	8	4	14
S Berg	J Burkardt	N Amiri	D Kohr

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Zentner GLK	30			3 -
S Berg DEF	33	3		10 -
D Kohr DEF	31	1		14 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	15	1		5 -
S Widmer MID	20	1	3	4 -
L Barreiro MID	31	4	2	8 -
N Amiri MID	15	1	4	5 -
A Caci MID	31	2	3	8 -
B Gruda MID	28	4	3	6 -
J Lee MID	29	6	3	6 -
J Burkardt FWD	21	8	2	2 -
Subs
L Rieß GLK				-
D Costa DEF	19		1	1 -
T Krauß MID	29	1	2	5 -
E Fernandes MID	21		2	4 -
A Cil MID	11		1	1 -
L Ajorque FWD	26	2		4 -
M Richter FWD	20	1		3 -
J Ngankam FWD	7		1	1
N Weiper FWD	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	17	4	11
J Burkardt	J Burkardt	N Amiri	N Amiri

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Burkardt FWD	8	17	2	5
J Lee MID	6	13	3	6
B Gruda MID	4	11	3	10
L Barreiro MID	4	15	2	1
S Berg DEF	3	11		1
A Caci MID	2	6	3	6
D Kohr DEF	1	7		2
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	1	1
S Widmer MID	1	3	3	8
N Amiri MID	1	8	4	11
Subs
L Ajorque FWD	2	11
T Krauß MID	1	2	2	1
M Richter FWD	1	9		2
D Costa DEF		1	1	2
E Fernandes MID		1	2	1
A Cil MID			1
J Ngankam FWD		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1471	67	229
S Berg	L Barreiro	S Berg

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Berg DEF	1471	38	229
A Caci MID	1270	56	121
D Kohr DEF	1120	65	137
L Barreiro MID	913	67	174
R Zentner GLK	885	2	17
J Lee MID	747	34	110
N Amiri MID	650	21	88
B Gruda MID	530	22	146
S Widmer MID	492	23	48
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	437	20	55
J Burkardt FWD	355	14	86
Subs
E Fernandes MID	721	25	57
T Krauß MID	636	57	92
L Ajorque FWD	445	3	95
D Costa DEF	316	18	39
M Richter FWD	239	10	47
A Cil MID	177	14	23
N Weiper FWD	40	2	7
J Ngankam FWD	23	1	10

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	13	11	5
N Schlotterbeck	D Malen	J Brandt	D Malen

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Meyer GLK	8			-
M Wolf DEF	22		1	2 -
N Süle DEF	23	1		-
N Schlotterbeck DEF	33	2	1	4 -
M Bauzà DEF	3			-
S Özcan MID	23			3 -
M Reus MID	26	6	6	2 -
F Nmecha MID	20	1	2	3 -
D Malen FWD	27	13	1	5 -
Y Moukoko FWD	20	5		1 -
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	25	1	4	1 -
Subs
M Lotka GLK				-
A Papadopoulos DEF	2			-
I Maatsen DEF	16	2	2	5 -
J Ryerson DEF	21	4	1	3 -
J Brandt MID	32	7	11	2 -
K. Wätjen MID	2		1	-
E Can MID	25	2	2	5 -
O Pohlmann MID	2			-
J Sancho FWD	14	2	2	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	35	11	19
D Malen	D Malen	J Brandt	J Brandt

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Malen FWD	13	35	1	10
M Reus MID	6	20	6	17
Y Moukoko FWD	5	7
N Schlotterbeck DEF	2	6	1	5
N Süle DEF	1	1
F Nmecha MID	1	3	2	2
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	1	11	4	5
M Wolf DEF		1	1	4
M Bauzà DEF		1		1
S Özcan MID		2		1
Subs
J Brandt MID	7	16	11	19
J Ryerson DEF	4	8	1	6
I Maatsen DEF	2	4	2	3
E Can MID	2	3	2	2
J Sancho FWD	2	4	2	9
K. Wätjen MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2647	72	169
N Schlotterbeck	N Schlotterbeck	N Schlotterbeck

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
N Schlotterbeck DEF	2647	72	169
N Süle DEF	1487	19	42
S Özcan MID	787	22	66
M Wolf DEF	714	20	44
M Reus MID	665	39	81
D Malen FWD	496	10	83
F Nmecha MID	454	20	75
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	345	15	89
A Meyer GLK	336	1	1
Y Moukoko FWD	121	4	22
M Bauzà DEF	81	2	10
Subs
E Can MID	1457	63	130
J Brandt MID	1131	18	66
J Ryerson DEF	967	39	88
I Maatsen DEF	934	27	51
J Sancho FWD	467	5	52
A Papadopoulos DEF	74	6	12
K. Wätjen MID	51	2	4
O Pohlmann MID	14	1	3

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mainz have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Dortmund lay in 5th place on 60 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Mainz v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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