1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge Bayern Munich's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Dec, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

the Mewa Arena masses welcome Bayern Munich's travelling contingent on Saturday afternoon, as Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05 take on Vincent Kompany's side in the Bundesliga. All stats, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head records, will update as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


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Best Tip: Bayern to win

Absolutely no club, players or staff in the Bundesliga wants to suffer defeat in front of their own fans, but the stats below are suggesting that will be Mainz's fate as they go head-to-head with Bayern at Mewa Arena on Saturday afternoon. The UK's top bookmakers agree, with all placing the away win as the most likely outcome at odds of 1.33, and so does our predictive algorithm. Our algorithm suggests the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 71% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 66% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
16%
6.50
24%
5.75
32%
Draw
18%
4.50
10%
4.60
29%
Bayern
66%
1.48
9%
1.50
16%
Bayern 2-1
10%
8.50
6%
7.50
6%
Bayern 2-0
9%
8.508.00
14%
Draw 1-1
8%
8.50
15%
8.00
20%
Bayern 1-0
8%
9.50
5%
8.00
6%
Bayern 3-1
8%
11.00
10%
10.00
11%
Bayern 3-0
7%
11.00
16%
10.00
25%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Bayern 4-1
4%
19.00
27%
15.00
25%
Mainz 2-1
4%
19.00
17%
15.00
21%
Bayern 4-0
4%
19.00
27%
15.00
36%
Bayern 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
12%
Mainz 1-0
4%
21.00
19%
15.00
21%
Draw 0-0
3%
17.00
19%
13.00
32%
Bayern 4-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
10%
Bayern 5-1
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1.53
3%
1.53
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
2.50
11%
2.38
15%
Home 1st Goal
41%
3.25
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
57%
1.33
4%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.62
5%
1.67
5%
BTTS - No
41%
2.20
5%
2.10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
10.00
17%
8.50
23%
BTTS - Draw
15%
5.00
17%
5.25
25%
BTTS - Away Win
34%
2.75
6%
2.75
12%
Home/draw
34%
2.62
19%
2.50
31%
Away/draw
84%
1.111.13
6%
Home/away
82%
1.18
2%
1.20
8%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.17
1%
1.17
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5.00
17%
4.60
20%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
2.30
7%
2.30
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
1.62
9%
1.57
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
4.00
14%
3.80
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1.25
6%
1.22
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
7.00
17%
7.00
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.10
4%
1.08
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.021.02
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
17.00
19%
13.00
24%
Home DNB
29%
5.00
23%
4.33
33%
Away DNB
79%
1.17
2%
1.18
9%
Mainz win to nil
6%
13.00
24%
-
Bayern win to nil
32%
2.75
10%
-
Mainz / Mainz
9%
10.00
23%
8.50
29%
Mainz / Bayern
5%
17.0015.00
Mainz / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
12%
Draw / Mainz
7%
13.00
24%
11.00
27%
Draw / Bayern
19%
4.334.20
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
12%
6.50
28%
Bayern / Mainz
2%
41.0029.00
15%
Bayern / Bayern
36%
2.20
13%
2.20
22%
Bayern / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
24%
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Mainz have conceded 10 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 7 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 33 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 13 matches. Bayern are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 13 games. Bayern are unbeaten away after 7 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 41 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 10 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 7 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 3.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Away1310303133 
Dec 14
Apr 26
-
-
2
E.Frankfurt138321527 
May 3
Dec 21
Feb 22
d
 
3-3F
3
Leverkusen137511026 
May 17
Jan 14
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
4
RB Leipzig13733724 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
Dec 20
May 3
5
Wolfsburg13634721 
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
Jan 18
w
 
2-3F
6
Dortmund13634421 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 29
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
7
Freiburg13634021 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
8
Stuttgart13553320 
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
9
Mainz Home13544519 
-
-
Apr 26
Dec 14
10
W.Bremen13544-419 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 1
Feb 8
w
 
0-5F
11
B. M'gladbach13535118 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
May 10
Jan 11
12
Union Berlin13445-216 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
13
Augsburg13445-916 
Feb 8
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
14
Hoffenheim13346-713 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
Jan 15
May 17
15
St. Pauli13328-611 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
16
Heidenheim13319-1110 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
w
 
4-2F
Apr 19
17
Holstein131210-205 
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
Feb 1
w
 
1-6F
18
VfL Bochum130211-242 
Jan 11
May 10
Mar 8
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
13
Bayern have not lost in 13 consecutive league games
Mainz 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
13
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Bayern
Goals: Scored
13
26
Games: Scored
8 / 12
12 / 12
Clean sheets
0 / 12
4 / 12
M05
3
FCB
9
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Mainz
Goals: Scored
49
13
Games: Scored
12 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
0 / 12
M05
1
D
1
FCB
10
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Bayern Munich in their meeting with 1. FSV Mainz 05, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 162 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

Mainz 9th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Mainz have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
Bayern have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
2.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283537/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.1
2.3
Attack rating
M05
FCB
35%
better
view stats
Games scored10
13
Failed to score3
0
Scored first8
11
Goals scored23
41
Avg. goals scored1.8
3.2
Avg. shots per game9
15
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
22
Avg. XG for1.5
2.4
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
M05
FCB
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
6
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded18
10
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
4
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.6
KickOff rating
+24%

Mainz v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131047
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK13
1
-
A Caci DEF133
2
-
P Mwene DEF134
2
-
K Sano MID13
-
J Burkardt  FWD13101
-
D Kohr MID12
7
-
A Sieb MID122
1
-
N Amiri MID1232
3
1
J Lee MID1232
2
-
H Hyun-seok MID111
-
P Nebel MID1131
2
-
S Widmer  DEF101
3
-
M Leitsch  DEF91
1
-
D Hoof DEF81
1
-
M Jenz DEF6
2
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF61
2
1
D Costa DEF51
-
N Weiper FWD5
-
N Veratschnig DEF4
-
A Barkok MID4
-
K Onisiwo  FWD4
-
G Vidović FWD1
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131464
D UpamecanoH KaneH KaneD Upamecano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Upamecano DEF132
4
-
M Kim DEF131
1
-
J Kimmich MID133
-
T Müller FWD1311
1
-
M Olise FWD1354
-
A Davies DEF122
-
K Coman FWD1232
-
H Kane FWD12146
1
-
M Neuer  GLK11
-
K Laimer MID11
2
-
J Musiala FWD1181
2
-
R Guerreiro DEF101
-
S Gnabry FWD923
-
L Sané FWD911
1
-
J Palhinha MID8
1
-
L Goretzka MID811
-
A Pavlović MID71
1
-
S Boey DEF51
1
-
M Tel FWD5
-
E Dier DEF4
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
D Peretz GLK1
1
-
A. Aznou Ben Cheikh DEF1
-
A Ibrahimović FWD1
-