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Bayer Leverkusen v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Dec, 17:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

The Bundesliga is the focus for both Bayer Leverkusen and Sport-Club Freiburg on Saturday evening, as managers Xabi Alonso and Julian Schuster go head to head at the BayArena. All of the key statistics for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Xabi Alonso prepares his side for kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Stats imply both sides have the weapons to deliver up top, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the game, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leverkusen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
57%
4/9
4%
10/21
1%
Draw
21%
7/218/5
4%
Freiburg
22%
6/1
22%
11/2
18%
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Leverkusen 2-0
8%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Leverkusen 1-0
8%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Leverkusen 3-1
7%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Leverkusen 3-0
6%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Freiburg 2-1
6%
20/1
24%
14/1
Freiburg 1-0
5%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Leverkusen 4-1
3%
20/114/1
Leverkusen 4-0
3%
16/1
11%
14/1
Freiburg 2-0
3%
33/125/1
13%
Freiburg 3-2
2%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
4/6
6%
8/13
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
6/5
8%
23/20
7%
Home 1st Goal
54%
3/10
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
5/2
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/5
6%
4/5
4%
BTTS - No
40%
19/20
5%
10/11
7%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2/1
4%
19/10
1%
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/29/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/1
26%
9/1
18%
Home/draw
78%
1/10
4%
1/9
3%
Away/draw
43%
13/8
5%
13/8
5%
Home/away
79%
2/111/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/5
3%
1/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2
10%
16/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
13/8
10%
6/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/2
4%
17/5
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25
2%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1
24%
11/1
8%
Home DNB
72%
1/7
5%
2/13
4%
Away DNB
36%
9/2
27%
19/5
14%
Leverkusen win to nil
27%
6/4
9%
-
Freiburg win to nil
9%
12/1
18%
-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
37%
6/5
4%
23/20
2%
Leverkusen / Freiburg
2%
40/133/1
17%
Leverkusen / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Leverkusen
20%
3/1
8%
16/5
3%
Draw / Freiburg
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
7%
Freiburg / Leverkusen
4%
18/116/1
13%
Freiburg / Freiburg
8%
10/1
16%
17/2
19%
Freiburg / Draw
5%
16/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 7 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 12 goals at home.

Freiburg are in 7th position in the Bundesliga on 21 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Freiburg have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Freiburg have conceded 9 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1310303133 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
2
E.Frankfurt138321527 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
May 17
Jan 14
3
Leverkusen Home137511026 
-
-
May 3
Dec 21
4
RB Leipzig13733724 
l
 
2-3F
Jan 25
Mar 8
l
 
3-1F
5
Wolfsburg13634721 
w
 
4-3A
Feb 8
Dec 13
Apr 26
6
Dortmund13634421 
May 10
Jan 10
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
7
Freiburg Away13634021 
Dec 21
May 3
-
-
8
Stuttgart13553320 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
w
 
3-1A
Jan 18
9
Mainz13544519 
Jan 14
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
10
W.Bremen13544-419 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
11
B. M'gladbach13535118 
Jan 18
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
12
Union Berlin13445-216 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2F
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
13
Augsburg13445-916 
Apr 26
Dec 14
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
14
Hoffenheim13346-713 
Feb 1
w
 
1-4F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
15
St. Pauli13328-611 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
l
 
0-3A
Feb 15
16
Heidenheim13319-1110 
w
 
5-2A
Apr 5
Feb 8
w
 
0-3F
17
Holstein131210-205 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
Jan 11
May 10
18
VfL Bochum130211-242 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
Win / draw / win form
6
Leverkusen have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Leverkusen 3RD
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
Freiburg 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leverkusen since 2012
Leverkusen
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
21
10
Games: Scored
11 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
0 / 11
B04
7
D
2
SCF
2
League games at Freiburg since 2013
Freiburg
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
6 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
5 / 11
B04
3
D
5
SCF
3
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Bundesliga games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Leverkusen 3rd Freiburg 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Freiburg have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283544/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
2
1.2
Attack rating
38%
better
B04
SCF
view stats
Games scored12
8
Failed to score1
5
Scored first9
6
Goals scored30
17
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
13
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
B04
SCF
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
9
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first3
5
Goals conceded20
17
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%

Leverkusen v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13654
J TahV BonifaceG XhakaR Andrich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Tah DEF132
1
-
E Tapsoba DEF13
1
-
P Hincapié DEF131
3
-
A Grimaldo DEF1312
3
-
J Frimpong MID1322
3
-
G Xhaka MID1325
1
-
F Wirtz MID1354
1
-
L Hradecky GLK12
-
A García MID112
-
R Andrich MID112
4
-
M Terrier  FWD1011
1
-
P Schick  FWD105
1
-
V Boniface FWD1061
1
-
N Tella MID91
-
E Palacios MID714
-
A Adli FWD7
1
-
N Mukiele DEF4
1
-
Arthur DEF41
-
J Hofmann MID41
-
J Belocian DEF3
1
-
M Kovář GLK1
-
Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13584
P LienhartR DoanV GrifoP Osterhage
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Lienhart DEF131
3
-
L Kübler DEF132
1
-
C Günter DEF131
-
V Grifo FWD1338
-
R Doan FWD1351
-
M Ginter DEF121
1
-
P Osterhage MID12
3
1
M Eggestein MID12
1
-
N Atubolu GLK11
-
M Rosenfelder DEF11
-
C Adamu FWD1122
2
1
L Höler FWD1122
-
N Höfler MID10
2
-
E Dinkçi FWD102
-
F Muslija MID9
-
J Makengo DEF6
-
M Gregoritsch FWD61
-
K Sildillia DEF5
1
-
M Röhl MID5
-
N Weißhaupt FWD3
-
F Müller GLK2
-
B. Ogbus DEF2
-
R Sallai FWD2
-
J. Manzambi MID1
-
M Philipp FWD1
-