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Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 14:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Sunday afternoon sees Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen and Niko Kalliokoski’s Borussia Dortmund go head to head in a Bundesliga battle at the BayArena. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Having studied all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both elation and misery to both sets of fans. We expect both Leverkusen and Dortmund to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
49%
1/1
5%
-
Draw
23%
29/10
3%
-
Dortmund
28%
11/5
6%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1-
Leverkusen 2-1
9%
8/1-
Leverkusen 1-0
8%
10/1-
Leverkusen 2-0
7%
11/1-
Dortmund 2-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Dortmund 1-0
6%
14/1-
Leverkusen 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1-
Leverkusen 3-0
4%
18/1-
Dortmund 2-0
4%
20/1-
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
18/1-
Dortmund 3-1
3%
22/1-
Dortmund 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
-
Leverkusen 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
8/15-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
1/2-
BTTS - No
39%
6/4-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/5
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
4/1
9%
-
Home/draw
72%
4/11
5%
-
Away/draw
51%
4/5
2%
-
Home/away
77%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
11/8
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Home DNB
66%
1/2
4%
-
Away DNB
44%
6/4
5%
-
Leverkusen win to nil
23%
10/3
8%
-
Dortmund win to nil
12%
6/1
13%
-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
27%
21/10
3%
-
Leverkusen / Dortmund
3%
25/1-
Leverkusen / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Leverkusen
15%
9/2-
Draw / Dortmund
10%
7/1
6%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Dortmund / Leverkusen
4%
20/1
11%
-
Dortmund / Dortmund
15%
9/2-
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 8 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 60 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 16 games at home winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Dortmund are in 6th position in the Bundesliga on 48 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Dortmund have conceded 12 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3123626175 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
2
Leverkusen Home31191023167 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
May 11
3
E.Frankfurt3116782055 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
Freiburg3115610-351 
w
 
5-1F
May 4
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
5
RB Leipzig3113108649 
l
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Dortmund Away31146111148 
May 11
w
 
2-3F
-
-
7
Mainz3113810947 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
8
W.Bremen3113711-646 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
9
B. M'gladbach3113513144 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
10
Augsburg31111010-943 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
11
Stuttgart3111812541 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
12
Wolfsburg3110912539 
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-3F
13
Union Berlin319913-1436 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
St. Pauli318716-1031 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Hoffenheim317915-1830 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
16
Heidenheim317420-2725 
w
 
5-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
Holstein315719-2922 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
May 17
l
 
4-2A
18
VfL Bochum315620-3321 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
Leverkusen 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Dortmund 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leverkusen since 2013
Leverkusen
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
19
21
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
B04
3
D
4
BVB
4
League games at Dortmund since 2012
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
32
17
Games: Scored
11 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
2 / 13
B04
4
D
1
BVB
8
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Borussia Dortmund have conceded in each of their last 7 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.9 for Xabi Alonso's side suggests that run should continue.

Bayer Leverkusen's defensive record is to be admired, Xabi Alonso's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Bundesliga outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

Leverkusen 2nd Dortmund 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283708/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
5%
better
B04
BVB
view stats
Games scored26
26
Failed to score5
5
Scored first22
17
Goals scored66
60
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
20
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
29%
better
B04
BVB
view stats
Games conceded22
26
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first5
13
Goals conceded35
49
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+29%

Leverkusen v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3119107
G XhakaP Schick F WirtzP Hincapié
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Frimpong MID3145
4
-
G Xhaka MID3127
3
-
J Tah DEF302
2
-
P Hincapié DEF2922
7
-
A Grimaldo DEF2926
4
1
F Wirtz MID28910
2
-
P Schick  FWD2819
4
-
L Hradecky GLK27
1
-
E Tapsoba DEF26
4
-
A García MID2533
2
-
N Tella MID2423
1
-
E Palacios MID2117
1
-
R Andrich MID2121
7
-
V Boniface FWD1981
2
-
Arthur DEF171
-
A Adli FWD1721
2
-
N Mukiele DEF1511
3
-
M Terrier  FWD1521
1
-
E Buendía MID92
-
J Hofmann MID911
1
-
J Belocian DEF5
1
-
M Kovář GLK4
-
M Hermoso DEF4
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291788
G KobelS Guirassy P GroßN Schlotterbeck
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK29
1
-
M Beier FWD2985
2
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD2983
3
-
R Bensebaini DEF2815
6
-
P Groß MID288
4
1
E Can MID283
4
1
J Brandt MID2746
1
-
S Guirassy  FWD27174
4
-
J Ryerson DEF2613
5
1
W Anton DEF2322
4
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF234
6
2
M Sabitzer  MID231
2
-
F Nmecha MID2331
2
-
K Adeyemi  FWD2246
4
-
Y Couto DEF20
5
-
G Reyna MID152
3
-
N Süle DEF12
1
-
S Özcan MID10
-
J Duranville FWD10
3
-
D Svensson DEF912
-
C Chukwuemeka MID81
1
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF5
1
1
W Campbell FWD4
-
A Meyer GLK2
-
K. Wätjen MID2
-