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Holstein Kiel v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 24th Nov, 14:30 BST, Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

1. FSV Mainz 05, led by manager Bo Henriksen, visit Marcel Rapp and his Holstein Kiel side at the Holstein-Stadion on Sunday afternoon in the Bundesliga. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

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Best Tip: Mainz to win

An away win in the Bundesliga is always cause for celebration, and we predict Bo Henriksen and his Mainz charges will do exactly that at Holstein-Stadion on Sunday afternoon. The statistics below, including long-running head-to-head (H2H) records, make their ability to get the job done clear, and the bookies think so too. Top odds are 2.35 on Mainz to win. That's where we expect the smart money to go.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 62% chance of Mainz coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Holstein 18%	21/10 29%	2/1 22%
Draw 20%	12/5 6%	5/2 7%
Mainz 62%	13/10 12%	13/10 12%
Mainz 2-1 10%	17/2 14%	15/2 6%
Draw 1-1 9%	11/2 19%	11/2 7%
Mainz 2-0 9%	11/1 37%	10/1 15%
Mainz 1-0 8%	17/2 37%	15/2 23%
Mainz 3-1 7%	16/1	12/1 13%
Mainz 3-0 6%	20/1 28%	16/1 19%
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1 20%	10/1 10%
Holstein 2-1 5%	10/1 10%	17/2 12%
Mainz 3-2 4%	22/1 21%	16/1
Mainz 4-1 4%	40/1 21%	25/1
Holstein 1-0 4%	11/1 20%	17/2 14%
Mainz 4-0 4%	40/1 20%	28/1 15%
Draw 0-0 4%	11/1 43%	9/1 23%
Mainz 4-2 2%	40/1	33/1 17%
Holstein 2-0 2%	16/1	12/1
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	4/5 25%	7/10 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	1/1 27%	21/20 16%
Home 1st Goal 42%	6/5 22%	-
Away 1st Goal 56%	8/11 14%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	11/1 43%	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	8/13 19%	3/5 11%
BTTS - No 40%	6/5 27%	6/5 15%
BTTS - Home Win 11%	9/2 47%	19/5 30%
BTTS - Draw 16%	3/1	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 33%	10/3 8%	29/10
Home/draw 38%	4/7 9%	3/5 8%
Away/draw 82%	4/11 11%	2/5 9%
Home/away 80%	3/10 1%	3/10 4%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	2/9 9%	2/9 6%
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	10/3 28%	14/5 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	7/4 38%	17/10 23%
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	4/9 20%	2/5 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%	4/1 47%	19/5 33%
Under 4.5 Goals 75%	1/6 12%	2/13 8%
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	10/1 83%	8/1 38%
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/20 6%	1/20 4%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/25 3%	1/25 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	11/1 43%	9/1 23%
Home DNB 32%	6/5 20%	11/10 17%
Away DNB 76%	8/13 11%	13/20 14%
Holstein win to nil 7%	5/1	-
Mainz win to nil 29%	10/3 33%	-
Holstein / Holstein 17%	15/4 27%	18/5 21%
Holstein / Mainz 4%	22/1 10%	18/1
Holstein / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 9%
Draw / Holstein 12%	6/1 8%	11/2 8%
Draw / Mainz 14%	9/2 15%	9/2 8%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 21%	4/1 13%
Mainz / Holstein 3%	25/1 24%	20/1 24%
Mainz / Mainz 22%	11/4 6%	13/5 10%
Mainz / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 9%

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Holstein have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Holstein have conceded 23 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Holstein have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Mainz lay in 10th place on 13 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 10 matches. Mainz are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Mainz have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Mainz have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Holstein Mainz
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	10	8	2	0	26	26	l 1-6A	Feb 1	Dec 14	Apr 26
2	RB Leipzig	10	6	3	1	10	21	Dec 7	Apr 19	l 0-2A	Mar 1
3	E.Frankfurt	10	6	2	2	10	20	l 2-4A	Feb 15	May 3	Dec 21
4	Leverkusen	10	4	5	1	5	17	Feb 22	d 2-2A	May 17	Jan 14
5	Freiburg	10	5	2	3	2	17	May 10	Jan 11	Mar 15	d 0-00-0
6	Union Berlin	10	4	4	2	1	16	l 0-2A	Mar 1	d 1-1F	Jan 19
7	Dortmund	10	5	1	4	0	16	Jan 14	May 17	w 3-1F	Mar 29
8	W.Bremen	10	4	3	3	-4	15	Mar 29	l 2-1A	l 1-2A	Feb 1
9	B. M'gladbach	10	4	2	4	1	14	Apr 26	Dec 14	d 1-1F	Mar 8
10	Mainz	10	3	4	3	1	13	Nov 24	Apr 5	-	-
11	Stuttgart	10	3	4	3	0	13	Mar 8	l 2-1A	Jan 25	d 3-3A
12	Wolfsburg	10	3	3	4	1	12	l 0-2A	Jan 24	Apr 19	Dec 8
13	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-7	12	Dec 21	May 3	Feb 8	w 2-3F
14	Heidenheim	10	3	1	6	-2	10	w 1-0F	Mar 15	l 0-2A	Feb 15
15	Hoffenheim	10	2	3	5	-6	9	Jan 18	l 3-2A	Dec 1	Apr 12
16	St. Pauli	10	2	2	6	-5	8	Apr 12	Nov 29	Feb 22	w 0-3F
17	Holstein	10	1	2	7	-13	5	-	-	Apr 5	Nov 24
18	VfL Bochum	10	0	2	8	-20	2	Feb 8	d 2-2F	Jan 11	May 10

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Mainz have not lost in 8 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Holstein	1 - 0	Heidenheim
Holstein	0 - 2	Union Berlin
Holstein	2 - 4	E.Frankfurt
Holstein	1 - 6	Bayern
Holstein	0 - 2	Wolfsburg
Holstein	1 - 1	Dusseldorf
Holstein	1 - 3	Kaiserslautern
Holstein	4 - 0	Osnabruck
Holstein	2 - 0	Rostock
Holstein	1 - 0	Karlsruher
Holstein	3 - 4	St. Pauli
Holstein	1 - 0	Schalke
Holstein	1 - 2	E. Braun
Holstein	3 - 0	Hannover
Holstein	3 - 2	Wiesbaden
Holstein	4 - 2	Hamburg
Holstein	0 - 2	Nurnberg
Holstein	1 - 1	Elversberg
Holstein	2 - 3	H.Berlin
Holstein	2 - 1	Paderborn

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Holstein	1 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Holstein	1 - 0	Heidenheim
A	Holstein	1 - 2	Stuttgart
H	Holstein	0 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Holstein	2 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Holstein	2 - 4	E.Frankfurt
A	Holstein	2 - 2	VfL Bochum
H	Holstein	1 - 6	Bayern
H	Holstein	0 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Holstein	2 - 3	Hoffenheim
A	Holstein	2 - 1	Hannover
H	Holstein	1 - 1	Dusseldorf
A	Holstein	1 - 0	Wiesbaden
H	Holstein	1 - 3	Kaiserslautern
A	Holstein	1 - 0	Hamburg
H	Holstein	4 - 0	Osnabruck
A	Holstein	4 - 0	Nurnberg
H	Holstein	2 - 0	Rostock
A	Holstein	2 - 0	Elversberg
H	Holstein	1 - 0	Karlsruher

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg	0 - 0	Mainz
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Mainz
Augsburg	2 - 3	Mainz
Stuttgart	3 - 3	Mainz
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Mainz
Heidenheim	1 - 1	Mainz
Freiburg	1 - 1	Mainz
RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Mainz
Bayern	8 - 1	Mainz
Leverkusen	2 - 1	Mainz
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Mainz
E.Frankfurt	1 - 0	Mainz
Dortmund	1 - 1	Mainz
Köln	0 - 0	Mainz
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Mainz
Darmstadt	0 - 0	Mainz
VfL Bochum	2 - 2	Mainz
B. M'gladbach	2 - 2	Mainz
Augsburg	2 - 1	Mainz
W.Bremen	4 - 0	Mainz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mainz	3 - 1	Dortmund
A	Mainz	0 - 0	Freiburg
H	Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Mainz	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
A	Mainz	3 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Mainz	0 - 2	Heidenheim
A	Mainz	3 - 2	Augsburg
H	Mainz	1 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Mainz	3 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
A	Mainz	3 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Mainz	3 - 0	Dortmund
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Köln
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Freiburg
H	Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt
A	Mainz	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
A	Mainz	1 - 8	Bayern

Goal Statistics

	Holstein 17th	Mainz 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	2.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 37% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 69% probability that Holstein will score no more than 1 goal	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 18% There is a 65% probability that Mainz will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Holstein’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-2 Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season

SVE

M05

better

view stats

Games scored	8		7
Failed to score	2		3
Scored first	2		5
Goals scored	12		15
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

SVE

M05

34%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		8
Clean sheets	1		2
Conceded first	8		4
Goals conceded	25		14
Avg. goals conceded	2.5		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		8
Conversion rate against	19%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+34%

Holstein v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	4	2	5
T Weiner	S Machino	M Geschwill	M Knudsen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Weiner GLK	10			2 -
T Becker DEF	10			-
M Knudsen MID	10			5 -
N Remberg MID	10		1	3 -
F Porath MID	10		1	2 -
A Gigovic MID	9	2		2 -
F Arp FWD	9	1		2 1
S Machino FWD	9	4		-
B Pichler FWD	9	1		-
T Puchacz DEF	8		1	-
M Geschwill DEF	8	1	2	3 -
P Erras MID	8	1		-
S Skrzybski MID	7		2	-
L Holtby MID	7		1	-
M Ivezic MID	6			1 -
L Rosenboom DEF	5			-
M Komenda DEF	5			1 -
M Schulz MID	5			1 -
C Johansson DEF	4			-
P Harres FWD	3	1		-
A Bernhardsson FWD	3	1		1 -
A. Kelati FWD	2		1	1 1
D Javorcek DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	2	6
S Machino	S Machino	M Geschwill	T Puchacz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Machino FWD	4	8		2
A Gigovic MID	2	2		3
P Erras MID	1	1		1
A Bernhardsson FWD	1	2		1
P Harres FWD	1	5		3
F Arp FWD	1	4		2
B Pichler FWD	1	7		2
M Geschwill DEF	1	1	2	5
L Rosenboom DEF				2
A. Kelati FWD			1	1
C Johansson DEF		1		2
M Schulz MID		1		2
M Komenda DEF				1
M Ivezic MID				1
L Holtby MID			1	4
S Skrzybski MID		4	2	5
T Becker DEF		2		2
T Puchacz DEF		1	1	6
F Porath MID		2	1	5
N Remberg MID		3	1	2
M Knudsen MID				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
373	26	52
P Erras	M Knudsen	B Pichler

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Erras MID	373	7	28
M Knudsen MID	350	26	40
T Weiner GLK	325		4
T Becker DEF	287	16	37
M Geschwill DEF	266	11	27
M Ivezic MID	258	14	23
L Holtby MID	219	14	28
C Johansson DEF	218	4	18
A Gigovic MID	185	9	27
F Porath MID	182	19	41
N Remberg MID	175	12	46
B Pichler FWD	143	3	52
S Machino FWD	136	2	15
S Skrzybski MID	110	6	23
T Puchacz DEF	108	8	27
M Komenda DEF	99	6	17
M Schulz MID	46	3	3
L Rosenboom DEF	42	5	8
F Arp FWD	42	5	15
A. Kelati FWD	39	1	6
A Bernhardsson FWD	39	1	6
P Harres FWD	26	1	16
D Javorcek DEF	14	1	1

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	6	4	6
R Zentner	J Burkardt	P Mwene	D Kohr

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Zentner GLK	10			1 -
A Caci DEF	10		1	2 -
P Mwene DEF	10		4	1 -
A Sieb MID	10	2		1 -
K Sano MID	10			-
J Burkardt FWD	10	6		-
N Amiri MID	9	2	2	2 1
J Lee MID	9	2		1 -
D Kohr MID	9			6 -
M Leitsch DEF	8	1		1 -
P Nebel MID	8	1		2 -
H Hyun-seok MID	8		1	-
S Widmer DEF	7		1	3 -
M Jenz DEF	6			2 -
D Hoof DEF	5			1 -
N Weiper FWD	5			-
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	4		1	2 1
A Barkok MID	4			-
K Onisiwo FWD	4			-
N Veratschnig DEF	2			-
D Costa DEF	2		1	-
G Vidović FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	4	15
J Burkardt	N Amiri	P Mwene	N Amiri

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Burkardt FWD	6	8		4
A Sieb MID	2	6		3
N Amiri MID	2	11	2	15
J Lee MID	2	4		4
M Leitsch DEF	1	1		2
P Nebel MID	1	2		2
N Weiper FWD				1
D Costa DEF			1	2
K Onisiwo FWD				1
A Barkok MID				1
A Hanche-Olsen DEF			1	1
H Hyun-seok MID		2	1	2
D Hoof DEF		2		1
M Jenz DEF		1		1
S Widmer DEF			1	2
A Caci DEF		5	1	9
D Kohr MID				2
K Sano MID				3
P Mwene DEF		1	4	5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
446	23	58
N Amiri	D Kohr	K Sano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Amiri MID	446	11	35
D Kohr MID	399	23	47
A Caci DEF	376	16	42
K Sano MID	349	18	58
P Mwene DEF	304	14	33
R Zentner GLK	301		3
M Jenz DEF	291	13	43
M Leitsch DEF	281	11	27
J Lee MID	264	15	41
P Nebel MID	194	7	21
D Hoof DEF	178	6	34
J Burkardt FWD	157	2	24
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	103	5	16
D Costa DEF	100	3	3
A Sieb MID	99	3	20
H Hyun-seok MID	85	4	8
S Widmer DEF	54	2	5
A Barkok MID	32	2	5
K Onisiwo FWD	18		5
N Weiper FWD	17	1	4
G Vidović FWD	4		1
N Veratschnig DEF	2

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

Bayern v Augsburg

Fri 22nd Nov, 19:30

Stuttgart v VfL Bochum

Sat 23rd Nov, 14:30

Dortmund v Freiburg

Sat 23rd Nov, 14:30

Leverkusen v Heidenheim

Sat 23rd Nov, 14:30

Wolfsburg v Union Berlin

Sat 23rd Nov, 14:30

Hoffenheim v RB Leipzig

Sat 23rd Nov, 14:30

E.Frankfurt v W.Bremen

Sat 23rd Nov, 17:30

Holstein v Mainz

Sun 24th Nov, 14:30

B. M'gladbach v St. Pauli

Freiburg v B. M'gladbach

Sat 30th Nov, 14:30

Augsburg v VfL Bochum

Sat 30th Nov, 14:30

RB Leipzig v Wolfsburg

Sat 30th Nov, 14:30

Union Berlin v Leverkusen

Heidenheim v E.Frankfurt

Sun 1st Dec, 16:30

Holstein Kiel v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Holstein have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Mainz lay in 10th place on 13 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 10 matches. Mainz are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Holstein v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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