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Holstein Kiel v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 14:30 BST, Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Marcel Rapp’s Holstein Kiel will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen are their visitors to the Holstein-Stadion. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our extensive database and dug out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


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Best Tip: Leverkusen to win

Claiming a victory away from home the Bundesliga is always an impressive achievement, and we predict Xabi Alonso and his Leverkusen team will do exactly that at Holstein-Stadion on Saturday afternoon. The statistics below, including long-running head-to-head (H2H) records, show they're more than capable of delivering, and the bookmakers are expecting exactly that. You can get best odds of 1.33 on Leverkusen to win. We think it's well worth backing.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 63% chance of Leverkusen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Holstein
18%
8.009.00
20%
Draw
18%
6.006.00
Leverkusen
63%
1.291.30
2%
Leverkusen 2-1
9%
9.008.00
7%
Draw 1-1
8%
12.0010.00
Leverkusen 3-1
8%
10.009.00
Leverkusen 2-0
7%
9.008.00
Leverkusen 1-0
6%
12.009.50
6%
Leverkusen 3-0
6%
9.508.50
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
19.0015.00
Holstein 2-1
5%
23.0019.00
12%
Leverkusen 3-2
5%
19.0015.00
Leverkusen 4-1
5%
15.0012.00
8%
Leverkusen 4-0
4%
13.0011.00
8%
Holstein 1-0
3%
29.0021.00
11%
Leverkusen 4-2
3%
26.0021.00
Draw 0-0
3%
26.0019.00
Holstein 3-2
2%
41.0034.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.361.35
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
3.203.00
4%
Home 1st Goal
43%
4.00-
Away 1st Goal
55%
1.22-
No 1st Goal
1%
26.00-
BTTS - Yes
65%
1.671.65
BTTS - No
35%
2.102.15
BTTS - Home Win
12%
12.0011.00
10%
BTTS - Draw
16%
7.006.50
BTTS - Away Win
37%
2.382.30
4%
Home/draw
37%
3.503.50
8%
Away/draw
82%
1.081.06
3%
Home/away
82%
1.121.12
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.101.10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
7.006.00
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1.911.85
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
1.911.85
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
3.002.88
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1.401.36
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
5.004.80
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.171.15
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
Home DNB
31%
7.006.50
13%
Away DNB
76%
1.101.08
3%
Holstein win to nil
6%
19.00-
Leverkusen win to nil
26%
2.50-
Holstein / Holstein
6%
15.0012.00
20%
Holstein / Leverkusen
5%
15.0015.00
Holstein / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
Draw / Holstein
5%
19.0015.00
15%
Draw / Leverkusen
20%
4.004.20
3%
Draw / Draw
9%
9.508.50
Leverkusen / Holstein
2%
41.0034.00
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
45%
1.801.80
3%
Leverkusen / Draw
4%
19.0017.00
13%
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Holstein have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Holstein have conceded 50 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Holstein have played 11 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 46 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 21 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 10 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 48 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leverkusen have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Leverkusen have played 10 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Holstein
Leverkusen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2117314654 
l
 
1-6A
l
 
4-3A
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
2
Leverkusen Away2113712246 
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
-
-
3
E.Frankfurt2111641839 
l
 
2-4A
Feb 16
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
4
RB Leipzig221075737 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
l
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2F
5
Stuttgart211056835 
Mar 8
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
6
Freiburg211038-833 
May 10
l
 
3-2A
w
 
5-1F
May 3
7
Mainz21957932 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
w
 
1-0F
May 17
8
B. M'gladbach21948231 
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
9
Wolfsburg21867830 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
10
W.Bremen21867-530 
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
11
Dortmund21858129 
w
 
4-2F
May 17
May 10
w
 
2-3F
12
Augsburg22778-1128 
w
 
5-1A
May 3
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
13
Union Berlin21669-724 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 2
Apr 12
w
 
1-2F
14
St. Pauli216312-621 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
15
Hoffenheim214611-1818 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
16
Heidenheim214215-1814 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
w
 
5-2A
Apr 5
17
Holstein Home213414-2113 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
18
VfL Bochum212514-2711 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
27
Leverkusen have not lost in 27 consecutive away league games
Holstein 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Holstein2 - 2VfL Bochum
Holstein1 - 3Hoffenheim
Holstein4 - 2Dortmund
Holstein5 - 1Augsburg
Holstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Holstein1 - 0Heidenheim
Holstein0 - 2Union Berlin
Holstein2 - 4E.Frankfurt
Holstein1 - 6Bayern
Holstein0 - 2Wolfsburg
Holstein1 - 1Dusseldorf
Holstein1 - 3Kaiserslautern
Holstein4 - 0Osnabruck
Holstein2 - 0Rostock
Holstein1 - 0Karlsruher
Holstein3 - 4St. Pauli
Holstein1 - 0Schalke
Holstein1 - 2E. Braun
Holstein3 - 0Hannover
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
51
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHolstein2 - 2VfL Bochum
AHolstein3 - 4Bayern
AHolstein2 - 2Wolfsburg
HHolstein1 - 3Hoffenheim
HHolstein4 - 2Dortmund
AHolstein2 - 3Freiburg
HHolstein5 - 1Augsburg
AHolstein1 - 4B. M'gladbach
HHolstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
AHolstein1 - 3St. Pauli
HHolstein0 - 3Mainz
AHolstein1 - 2W.Bremen
HHolstein1 - 0Heidenheim
AHolstein1 - 2Stuttgart
HHolstein0 - 2Union Berlin
AHolstein2 - 2Leverkusen
HHolstein2 - 4E.Frankfurt
AHolstein2 - 2VfL Bochum
HHolstein1 - 6Bayern
HHolstein0 - 2Wolfsburg
Leverkusen 2ND
20 league games
Away
27
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg0 - 0Leverkusen
RB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
Dortmund2 - 3Leverkusen
Augsburg0 - 2Leverkusen
Union Berlin1 - 2Leverkusen
VfL Bochum1 - 1Leverkusen
W.Bremen2 - 2Leverkusen
Bayern1 - 1Leverkusen
Hoffenheim1 - 4Leverkusen
B. M'gladbach2 - 3Leverkusen
VfL Bochum0 - 5Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt1 - 5Leverkusen
Dortmund1 - 1Leverkusen
Union Berlin0 - 1Leverkusen
Freiburg2 - 3Leverkusen
Köln0 - 2Leverkusen
Heidenheim1 - 2Leverkusen
Darmstadt0 - 2Leverkusen
RB Leipzig2 - 3Leverkusen
Augsburg0 - 1Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeverkusen0 - 0Wolfsburg
HLeverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
ALeverkusen2 - 2RB Leipzig
HLeverkusen3 - 1B. M'gladbach
HLeverkusen1 - 0Mainz
ALeverkusen3 - 2Dortmund
HLeverkusen5 - 1Freiburg
ALeverkusen2 - 0Augsburg
HLeverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
ALeverkusen2 - 1Union Berlin
HLeverkusen5 - 2Heidenheim
ALeverkusen1 - 1VfL Bochum
HLeverkusen0 - 0Stuttgart
ALeverkusen2 - 2W.Bremen
HLeverkusen2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HLeverkusen2 - 2Holstein
ALeverkusen1 - 1Bayern
HLeverkusen4 - 3Wolfsburg
ALeverkusen4 - 1Hoffenheim
HLeverkusen2 - 3RB Leipzig
Goal Statistics

Holstein Kiel have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Bundesliga outings. This run could continue, with Bayer Leverkusen's PG an impressive 2.4.

Holstein 17th Leverkusen 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
2.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Holstein will score no more than 1 goal
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Holstein’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Leverkusen have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283624/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Holstein
PG (predicted goals)
Leverkusen
1.3
2.4
Attack rating
SVE
B04
29%
better
view stats
Games scored17
19
Failed to score4
2
Scored first5
16
Goals scored33
49
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.3
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
21
Avg. XG for1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
SVE
B04
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
17
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first16
3
Goals conceded54
27
Avg. goals conceded2.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
16%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+42%

Holstein v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21726
T WeinerS MachinoF PorathN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Weiner GLK21
4
-
F Porath MID2112
3
-
A Gigovic MID203
4
-
N Remberg MID201
6
-
S Machino FWD1971
1
-
M Knudsen MID181
6
-
T Becker DEF172
1
-
L Holtby MID161
1
1
F Arp FWD162
4
1
B Pichler FWD1612
1
-
M Geschwill DEF1512
2
-
L Rosenboom DEF1411
-
M Ivezic DEF14
2
-
P Harres FWD1471
1
-
S Skrzybski MID1342
-
M Komenda  DEF11
1
-
P Erras MID101
2
-
D Javorcek  DEF92
2
-
A Bernhardsson FWD921
2
-
M Schulz MID8
2
-
D Zec DEF62
3
-
A. Kelati MID611
1
1
C Johansson DEF5
-
J Tolkin DEF31
-
Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211496
G XhakaP Schick F WirtzR Andrich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Hincapié DEF2111
3
-
J Frimpong MID2134
3
-
G Xhaka MID2126
2
-
F Wirtz MID2199
1
-
J Tah DEF202
2
-
E Tapsoba DEF20
3
-
L Hradecky GLK19
-
A Grimaldo DEF1924
4
1
A García MID1813
1
-
P Schick  FWD1814
3
-
N Tella MID1712
-
R Andrich MID1621
6
-
M Terrier  FWD1521
1
-
E Palacios MID1415
-
V Boniface FWD1271
2
-
Arthur DEF111
-
N Mukiele DEF9
3
-
A Adli FWD7
1
-
J Belocian DEF5
1
-
J Hofmann MID51
-
M Kovář GLK2
-
M Hermoso DEF2
-
E Buendía MID2
-