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FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Sep, 18:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Alexander Blessin and Marco Rose meet in the Bundesliga on Sunday evening, as FC St. Pauli face RB Leipzig at the Millerntor-Stadion. For every Bundesliga match preview, KickOff delves into the stats for multiple markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 82% chance of St. Pauli and RB Leipzig serving up a minimum of 2 goals in this Bundesliga tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.20.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 60% chance of RB Leipzig coming away with a win.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
St. Pauli 19%	4/1 5%	19/5 4%
Draw 21%	29/10	3/1
RB Leipzig 60%	13/20 2%	4/6
RB Leipzig 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2 6%	6/1 7%
RB Leipzig 2-0 9%	15/2 6%	7/1 6%
RB Leipzig 1-0 9%	15/2 11%	13/2 6%
RB Leipzig 3-1 7%	11/1	10/1
RB Leipzig 3-0 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	11/1
St. Pauli 2-1 5%	16/1	12/1 8%
St. Pauli 1-0 5%	16/1 11%	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1 13%	11/1
RB Leipzig 3-2 4%	20/1	16/1 13%
RB Leipzig 4-1 3%	22/1 10%	16/1
RB Leipzig 4-0 3%	22/1	18/1
St. Pauli 2-0 3%	28/1	20/1
St. Pauli 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	4/6 6%	8/13 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	6/5 8%	6/5 2%
Home 1st Goal 42%	15/8	-
Away 1st Goal 55%	4/9 3%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/6 3%	13/20 2%
BTTS - No 43%	11/10 5%	11/10 2%
BTTS - Home Win 11%	15/2	13/2 7%
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 30%	11/5 7%	2/1
Home/draw 40%	6/5 2%	6/5 2%
Away/draw 81%	1/6	2/11
Home/away 79%	1/4	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/5 3%	1/5 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	7/2 10%	16/5 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	13/8 10%	6/4 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1/2 4%	10/21 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	7/2 4%	10/3 3%
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/5 2%	1/5
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	8/1 13%	7/1 7%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/14 1%	1/16 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25 1%	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1 13%	11/1
Home DNB 34%	11/4 6%	5/2 3%
Away DNB 75%	1/4 2%	1/4 3%
St. Pauli win to nil 9%	9/1 9%	-
RB Leipzig win to nil 30%	2/1 8%	-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 11%	7/1	6/1
St. Pauli / RB Leipzig 4%	20/1 11%	16/1
St. Pauli / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / St. Pauli 8%	9/1 9%	17/2
Draw / RB Leipzig 18%	7/2 5%	17/5 2%
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	19/4 4%
RB Leipzig / St. Pauli 3%	33/1	28/1 12%
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig 32%	8/5 4%	6/4
RB Leipzig / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

RB Leipzig

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Nov 9	Mar 29	Bayern	3	3	0	0	8	9	May 3	Dec 21
Mar 1	Oct 18	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	4	7	Mar 15	Nov 2
Sep 22	Feb 8	RB Leipzig Away	3	2	1	0	2	7	-	-
l 0-2A	Jan 18	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	4	6	Feb 22	Oct 6
Apr 19	Dec 7	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	3	6	Jan 25	w 2-3A
Jan 11	May 10	E.Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	1	6	Dec 14	Apr 26
Feb 15	Sep 28	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	1	6	Oct 26	Mar 8
Dec 14	Apr 26	W.Bremen	3	1	2	0	1	5	Jan 11	May 10
Jan 25	l 1-0A	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	1	5	d 0-00-0	Feb 1
May 3	Dec 21	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	0	4	May 17	Jan 15
Feb 1	l 3-1A	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	-2	4	Sep 28	Feb 15
Oct 26	Mar 8	Wolfsburg	3	1	0	2	0	3	Nov 30	Apr 12
Apr 5	Nov 24	B. M'gladbach	3	1	0	2	-1	3	Nov 9	Mar 29
Mar 15	Nov 2	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-4	3	Apr 5	Nov 23
Oct 5	Feb 22	Mainz	3	0	2	1	-1	2	Mar 1	Oct 19
May 17	Jan 15	VfL Bochum	3	0	0	3	-4	0	w 1-0F	Jan 18
-	-	St. Pauli Home	3	0	0	3	-5	0	Feb 8	Sep 22
Nov 29	Apr 12	Holstein	3	0	0	3	-8	0	Apr 19	Dec 7

Win / draw / win form

St. Pauli have lost 3 consecutive league games

RB Leipzig have not lost in 14 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Heidenheim
St. Pauli	3 - 1	Osnabruck
St. Pauli	1 - 0	Rostock
St. Pauli	3 - 4	Elversberg
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Paderborn
St. Pauli	2 - 0	H.Berlin
St. Pauli	1 - 0	E. Braun
St. Pauli	3 - 2	Greuther
St. Pauli	2 - 0	Kaiserslautern
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Wiesbaden
St. Pauli	2 - 2	Hamburg
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hannover
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Karlsruher
St. Pauli	5 - 1	Nurnberg
St. Pauli	3 - 1	Schalke
St. Pauli	5 - 1	Holstein
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Magdeburg
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Dusseldorf
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Karlsruher
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Dusseldorf

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Augsburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Union Berlin
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Heidenheim
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Wiesbaden
H	St. Pauli	3 - 1	Osnabruck
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Hamburg
H	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Rostock
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Hannover
H	St. Pauli	3 - 4	Elversberg
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Karlsruher
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Paderborn
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Nurnberg
H	St. Pauli	2 - 0	H.Berlin
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Schalke
A	St. Pauli	4 - 3	Holstein
H	St. Pauli	1 - 0	E. Braun
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Magdeburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 2	Greuther
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Dusseldorf
H	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Kaiserslautern

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
E.Frankfurt	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
Heidenheim	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
Freiburg	1 - 4	RB Leipzig
Köln	1 - 5	RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum	1 - 4	RB Leipzig
Bayern	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
Augsburg	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
Stuttgart	5 - 2	RB Leipzig
W.Bremen	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
Dortmund	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
Mainz	2 - 0	RB Leipzig
Darmstadt	1 - 3	RB Leipzig
B. M'gladbach	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
Union Berlin	0 - 3	RB Leipzig
Leverkusen	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
Bayern	1 - 3	RB Leipzig
Freiburg	0 - 1	RB Leipzig

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Union Berlin
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 2	Leverkusen
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 0	VfL Bochum
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 1	W.Bremen
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Dortmund
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Heidenheim
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 0	Wolfsburg
A	RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Freiburg
H	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Mainz
A	RB Leipzig	5 - 1	Köln
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Darmstadt
A	RB Leipzig	4 - 1	VfL Bochum
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Bayern
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Augsburg
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Union Berlin
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 5	Stuttgart
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 3	Leverkusen

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for RB Leipzig in their clash with FC St. Pauli, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 53 consecutive Bundesliga games.

	St. Pauli 17th	RB Leipzig 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 15% There is a 60% probability that RB Leipzig will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 St. Pauli’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+30 RB Leipzig have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	2.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season

STP

RBL

62%

better

view stats

Games scored	1		2
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	0		1
Goals scored	1		4
Avg. goals scored	0.3		1.3
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	22		6
Conversion rate for	5		17
Avg. XG for	0.8		1.4
KickOff rating		+62%

STP

RBL

62%

better

view stats

Games conceded	3		1
Clean sheets	0		2
Conceded first	3		1
Goals conceded	6		2
Avg. goals conceded	2		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		15
Conversion rate against	19%		7%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+62%

St. Pauli v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	1	2
N Vasilj	C Boukhalfa	E Saad	M Guilavogui

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	3			-
H Wahl DEF	3			-
P Treu DEF	3			-
K Mets DEF	3			1 -
E Smith DEF	3			-
L Ritzka DEF	3			1 -
R Wagner MID	3			1 -
J Irvine MID	3			1 -
C Boukhalfa MID	3	1		-
M Guilavogui FWD	3			2 -
J Eggestein FWD	3			-
O Afolayan FWD	3			-
E Saad FWD	3		1	-
M Saliakas DEF	2			-
A Dzwigala DEF	2			-
C Metcalfe MID	2			-
A Albers FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	3
C Boukhalfa	O Afolayan	E Saad	E Smith

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Boukhalfa MID	1	1		1
M Guilavogui FWD				2
C Metcalfe MID		2
E Saad FWD		1	1	2
O Afolayan FWD		2
H Wahl DEF		1
J Irvine MID				3
E Smith DEF				3
A Albers FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
254	10	26
K Mets	L Ritzka	J Irvine

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Mets DEF	254	4	13
H Wahl DEF	219	4	14
E Smith DEF	183	3	8
J Irvine MID	133	7	26
P Treu DEF	132	5	11
N Vasilj GLK	122		1
L Ritzka DEF	77	10	12
J Eggestein FWD	76		4
R Wagner MID	68	7	12
C Metcalfe MID	61	1	10
M Guilavogui FWD	60	1	14
A Dzwigala DEF	46	1	3
C Boukhalfa MID	38		5
M Saliakas DEF	36	2	3
O Afolayan FWD	26	1	9
E Saad FWD	24	2	7
A Albers FWD	10		5

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	2	1	1
P Gulácsi	L Openda	B Henrichs	L Klostermann

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Gulácsi GLK	3			-
D Raum DEF	3			-
B Henrichs DEF	3		1	-
C Lukeba DEF	3			-
L Klostermann DEF	3			1 -
A Haidara MID	3			1 -
K Kampl MID	3	1		1 -
X Simons MID	3			1 -
C Baumgartner MID	3			-
Y Poulsen FWD	3			-
A Nusa FWD	3	1	1	-
B Sesko FWD	3		1	-
L Openda FWD	3	2		-
E Bitshiabu DEF	2			-
A Vermeeren MID	2			-
N Seiwald MID	2			-
M Simakan DEF	1			-
W Orbán DEF	1			1
L Geertruida DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	4
L Openda	L Openda	B Henrichs	B Henrichs

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Openda FWD	2	5		1
K Kampl MID	1	2		2
A Nusa FWD	1	1	1
B Sesko FWD			1	1
D Raum DEF		1		2
X Simons MID		1		2
B Henrichs DEF			1	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
221	10	17
K Kampl	B Henrichs	X Simons

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Kampl MID	221	5	11
C Lukeba DEF	208	7	16
L Klostermann DEF	160	3	7
D Raum DEF	128	7	10
X Simons MID	126	1	17
A Haidara MID	113	5	14
L Geertruida DEF	97	1	6
B Henrichs DEF	88	10	15
P Gulácsi GLK	79
N Seiwald MID	63	4	4
W Orbán DEF	62	4	10
B Sesko FWD	59	2	11
M Simakan DEF	43		3
E Bitshiabu DEF	39	5	5
L Openda FWD	36		12
A Nusa FWD	26	4	7
A Vermeeren MID	16	1	1
Y Poulsen FWD	13		5
C Baumgartner MID	8	1	4

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

VfL Bochum v Holstein

Sat 21st Sep, 14:30

Heidenheim v Freiburg

Sat 21st Sep, 14:30

Union Berlin v Hoffenheim

Sat 21st Sep, 14:30

E.Frankfurt v B. M'gladbach

Sat 21st Sep, 17:30

Leverkusen v Wolfsburg

Sun 22nd Sep, 14:30

Stuttgart v Dortmund

Sun 22nd Sep, 16:30

St. Pauli v RB Leipzig

Sun 22nd Sep, 18:30

Dortmund v VfL Bochum

Fri 27th Sep, 19:30

B. M'gladbach v Union Berlin

Sat 28th Sep, 14:30

Wolfsburg v Stuttgart

RB Leipzig v Augsburg

Sat 28th Sep, 14:30

Bayern v Leverkusen

Sat 28th Sep, 17:30

Holstein v E.Frankfurt

Sun 29th Sep, 14:30

Hoffenheim v W.Bremen

Sun 29th Sep, 16:30

FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Pauli v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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