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FC St. Pauli v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Apr, 18:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

the Millerntor-Stadion masses welcome Bayer Leverkusen's supporters on Sunday evening, as Alexander Blessin's FC St. Pauli clash with Xabi Alonso's charges in the Bundesliga. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by St. Pauli and Leverkusen combined during 90 mins. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 74% chance of it being right on the money. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Leverkusen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
22%
4.75-
Draw
25%
3.75-
Leverkusen
53%
1.70
2%
-
Leverkusen 1-0
13%
6.50-
Draw 1-1
12%
7.00
7%
-
Leverkusen 2-0
10%
7.50-
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
8.50-
Draw 0-0
8%
10.00-
St. Pauli 1-0
7%
12.00-
St. Pauli 2-1
6%
15.00-
Leverkusen 3-0
5%
13.00-
Leverkusen 3-1
5%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00-
St. Pauli 2-0
3%
23.00-
Leverkusen 3-2
2%
29.00-
Leverkusen 4-0
2%
26.00-
Leverkusen 4-1
2%
29.00-
St. Pauli 3-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.00-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.80-
Home 1st Goal
41%
3.00-
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.50
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10.00-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.95-
BTTS - No
51%
1.80-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9.50-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3.75
6%
-
Home/draw
47%
2.10
2%
-
Away/draw
78%
1.18-
Home/away
75%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.33-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.40-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.30-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.11-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.06-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.00-
Home DNB
39%
3.50-
Away DNB
71%
1.29-
St. Pauli win to nil
12%
8.00-
Leverkusen win to nil
31%
2.75-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
10%
8.50-
St. Pauli / Leverkusen
4%
23.00-
St. Pauli / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / St. Pauli
8%
10.00
5%
-
Draw / Leverkusen
19%
4.50
4%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
Leverkusen / St. Pauli
2%
41.00-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
31%
2.75-
Leverkusen / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 5 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 30 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 14 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 63 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 29 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leverkusen have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Leverkusen have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Leverkusen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2921625469 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
2
Leverkusen Away2918922963 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
-
-
3
E.Frankfurt2915681651 
l
 
0-1A
May 11
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-4F
4
RB Leipzig2913971048 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2F
5
Mainz2913791246 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 17
6
Freiburg2913610-545 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-1F
May 4
7
B. M'gladbach2913511344 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
8
Dortmund2912611942 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
May 11
w
 
2-3F
9
W.Bremen2912611-742 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
10
Augsburg291199-742 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
11
Stuttgart2911711640 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-4A
12
Wolfsburg2910811638 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Union Berlin299713-1434 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
14
Hoffenheim297913-1630 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
15
St. Pauli Home298516-1029 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
16
Heidenheim296419-2422 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-2A
w
 
0-1F
17
VfL Bochum295519-3220 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
18
Holstein294619-3018 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
4
Leverkusen have won 4 consecutive away league games
31
Leverkusen have not lost in 31 consecutive away league games
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Leverkusen 2ND
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 15th Leverkusen 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of St. Pauli scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
St. Pauli have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
+23
Leverkusen have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
2.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283685/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Leverkusen
0.9
1.6
Attack rating
STP
B04
47%
better
view stats
Games scored15
24
Failed to score14
5
Scored first9
20
Goals scored25
63
Avg. goals scored0.9
2.2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
STP
B04
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first18
5
Goals conceded35
34
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+8%

St. Pauli v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28565
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ IrvineE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK28
-
J Irvine MID286
2
-
H Wahl DEF27
-
P Treu DEF272
2
-
O Afolayan FWD2731
2
-
E Smith MID2611
5
-
J Eggestein FWD2534
3
-
M Saliakas DEF2411
3
-
C Boukhalfa MID201
-
D Sinani FWD2011
2
-
M Guilavogui FWD1951
5
-
D Nemeth  DEF181
2
-
L Ritzka DEF181
1
-
E Saad FWD1532
1
-
A Albers FWD141
-
A Dzwigala DEF13
2
1
N Weißhaupt FWD131
-
S Banks FWD11
1
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
S Heyden DEF81
2
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
J Sands MID7
1
-
A. Ceesay FWD7
1
-
C Metcalfe MID6
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
F Stevens DEF1
-
Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2817107
G XhakaP Schick F WirtzR Andrich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Frimpong MID2845
3
-
G Xhaka MID2827
3
-
J Tah DEF272
2
-
A Grimaldo DEF2625
4
1
P Hincapié DEF2622
6
-
L Hradecky GLK25
-
F Wirtz MID25910
1
-
P Schick  FWD2517
4
-
E Tapsoba DEF23
4
-
A García MID2333
2
-
N Tella MID2122
-
R Andrich MID2021
7
-
E Palacios MID1917
1
-
V Boniface FWD1781
2
-
N Mukiele DEF1511
3
-
Arthur DEF151
-
M Terrier  FWD1521
1
-
A Adli FWD1421
2
-
J Hofmann MID711
-
E Buendía MID71
-
J Belocian DEF5
1
-
M Hermoso DEF4
-
M Kovář GLK3
-
MSG
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