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FC St. Pauli v Holstein Kiel : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 29th Nov, 19:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Marcel Rapp pays counterpart Alexander Blessin a visit on Friday evening in the Bundesliga, as their Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli sides go head to head at the Millerntor-Stadion. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% probability of St. Pauli and Holstein serving up at least two goals in this Bundesliga clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
37%
17/20
3%
17/20
1%
Draw
26%
13/5
4%
11/4
4%
Holstein
36%
31/10
2%
3/1
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
St. Pauli 1-0
10%
7/1
11%
6/1
13%
Holstein 1-0
9%
12/1
13%
9/1
17%
St. Pauli 2-1
8%
15/213/2
Holstein 2-1
8%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
St. Pauli 2-0
6%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Holstein 2-0
6%
20/1
9%
16/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
9%
St. Pauli 3-1
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Holstein 3-1
4%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
St. Pauli 3-0
3%
14/112/1
Holstein 3-0
3%
40/128/1
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Holstein 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
10/11
14%
4/5
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
10/11
13%
19/20
9%
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
48%
13/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
7/10
5%
8/11
7%
BTTS - No
46%
21/20
7%
1/1
9%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/4
10%
5/2
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
13/2
7%
11/2
8%
Home/draw
64%
2/91/4
Away/draw
63%
10/11
2%
10/11
2%
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/7
8%
1/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/4
17%
13/5
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/5
22%
19/10
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/11
9%
4/11
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/1
33%
17/4
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/8
7%
2/15
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1
44%
9/1
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
3%
1/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
2%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
27%
9/1
17%
Home DNB
56%
4/114/11
Away DNB
55%
2/115/8
St. Pauli win to nil
20%
12/5
3%
-
Holstein win to nil
19%
7/1-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
27%
2/1
4%
9/5
2%
St. Pauli / Holstein
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
Draw / St. Pauli
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
Draw / Holstein
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
Holstein / St. Pauli
4%
20/116/1
Holstein / Holstein
13%
11/25/1
Holstein / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
 

Holstein are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 5 points having played 10 matches so far this season. Holstein are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 0 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Holstein have conceded 23 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Holstein
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern108202626 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
l
 
1-6A
Feb 1
2
RB Leipzig106311021 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
Dec 7
Apr 19
3
E.Frankfurt106221020 
Jan 11
May 10
l
 
2-4A
Feb 15
4
Leverkusen10451517 
Apr 19
Dec 7
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
5
Freiburg10523217 
Feb 15
w
 
0-3F
May 10
Jan 11
6
Union Berlin10442116 
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
7
Dortmund10514016 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
Jan 14
May 17
8
W.Bremen10433-415 
Dec 14
Apr 26
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
9
B. M'gladbach10424114 
Apr 5
Nov 24
Apr 26
Dec 14
10
Mainz10343113 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
Nov 24
Apr 5
11
Stuttgart10343013 
May 3
Dec 21
Mar 8
l
 
2-1A
12
Wolfsburg10334112 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
13
Augsburg10334-712 
Feb 1
l
 
3-1A
Dec 21
May 3
14
Heidenheim10316-210 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
15
Hoffenheim10235-69 
Mar 15
w
 
0-2F
Jan 18
l
 
3-2A
16
St. Pauli 10226-58 
-
-
Apr 12
Nov 29
17
Holstein 10127-135 
Nov 29
Apr 12
-
-
18
VfL Bochum10028-202 
May 17
Jan 15
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
5
Holstein have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
5
St. Pauli have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
5
St. Pauli have failed to score in 5 consecutive home league games
St. Pauli 16TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
St. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
St. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
St. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
St. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
St. Pauli2 - 1Paderborn
St. Pauli2 - 0H.Berlin
St. Pauli1 - 0E. Braun
St. Pauli3 - 2Greuther
St. Pauli2 - 0Kaiserslautern
St. Pauli1 - 1Wiesbaden
St. Pauli2 - 2Hamburg
St. Pauli0 - 0Hannover
St. Pauli2 - 1Karlsruher
St. Pauli5 - 1Nurnberg
St. Pauli3 - 1Schalke
St. Pauli5 - 1Holstein
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
ASt. Pauli3 - 0Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Augsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
HSt. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Wiesbaden
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
ASt. Pauli0 - 1Hamburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Hannover
HSt. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Karlsruher
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Paderborn
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Nurnberg
HSt. Pauli2 - 0H.Berlin
Holstein 17TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
W.Bremen2 - 1Holstein
Stuttgart2 - 1Holstein
Leverkusen2 - 2Holstein
VfL Bochum2 - 2Holstein
Hoffenheim3 - 2Holstein
Hannover1 - 2Holstein
Wiesbaden0 - 1Holstein
Hamburg0 - 1Holstein
Nurnberg0 - 4Holstein
Elversberg0 - 2Holstein
H.Berlin2 - 2Holstein
Paderborn0 - 4Holstein
Magdeburg1 - 1Holstein
Greuther2 - 1Holstein
Dusseldorf0 - 1Holstein
Kaiserslautern0 - 3Holstein
Osnabruck1 - 1Holstein
Rostock1 - 3Holstein
Karlsruher0 - 2Holstein
St. Pauli5 - 1Holstein
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHolstein1 - 2W.Bremen
HHolstein1 - 0Heidenheim
AHolstein1 - 2Stuttgart
HHolstein0 - 2Union Berlin
AHolstein2 - 2Leverkusen
HHolstein2 - 4E.Frankfurt
AHolstein2 - 2VfL Bochum
HHolstein1 - 6Bayern
HHolstein0 - 2Wolfsburg
AHolstein2 - 3Hoffenheim
AHolstein2 - 1Hannover
HHolstein1 - 1Dusseldorf
AHolstein1 - 0Wiesbaden
HHolstein1 - 3Kaiserslautern
AHolstein1 - 0Hamburg
HHolstein4 - 0Osnabruck
AHolstein4 - 0Nurnberg
HHolstein2 - 0Rostock
AHolstein2 - 0Elversberg
HHolstein1 - 0Karlsruher
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
St. Pauli have beaten Holstein in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
St. Pauli have not lost to Holstein in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at St. Pauli since 2018
St. Pauli
Holstein
Goals: Scored
14
6
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
STP
4
D
2
SVE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Pauli
St. Pauli5 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Pauli3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
St. Pauli2 - 1
0 - 1Holstein
St. Pauli3 - 2
League games at Holstein since 2017
Holstein
St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
STP
3
SVE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Holstein
3 - 4St. Pauli
3 - 4St. Pauli
Holstein3 - 0
Holstein4 - 0
Holstein2 - 1
Holstein2 - 1
0 - 1St. Pauli
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 16th Holstein 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Holstein will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
St. Pauli’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Holstein have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283518/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Holstein
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
STP
SVE
35%
better
view stats
Games scored4
8
Failed to score6
2
Scored first2
2
Goals scored7
12
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
41%
better
STP
SVE
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded12
25
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against12%
19%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+41%

St. Pauli v Holstein Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10234
N VasiljO AfolayanJ IrvineM Guilavogui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK10
-
H Wahl DEF10
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
E Smith DEF101
1
-
J Irvine MID103
1
-
J Eggestein FWD101
1
-
O Afolayan FWD102
-
P Treu DEF9
1
-
M Saliakas DEF9
2
-
M Guilavogui FWD9
4
-
C Boukhalfa MID81
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
A Dzwigala DEF7
-
A Albers FWD71
-
L Ritzka DEF6
1
-
E Saad FWD622
1
-
D Sinani FWD5
-
S Banks FWD5
1
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10425
T WeinerS MachinoM GeschwillM Knudsen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Weiner GLK10
2
-
T Becker DEF10
-
M Knudsen MID10
5
-
N Remberg MID101
3
-
F Porath MID101
2
-
A Gigovic MID92
2
-
S Machino FWD94
-
B Pichler FWD91
-
F Arp FWD91
2
1
M Geschwill DEF812
3
-
T Puchacz DEF81
-
P Erras MID81
-
S Skrzybski MID72
-
L Holtby MID71
-
M Ivezic MID6
1
-
L Rosenboom DEF5
-
M Komenda  DEF5
1
-
M Schulz MID5
1
-
C Johansson DEF4
-
P Harres FWD31
-
A Bernhardsson FWD31
1
-
A. Kelati FWD21
1
1
D Javorcek  DEF1
-