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FC St. Pauli v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Mar, 19:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli and their manager Alexander Blessin will be aiming to beat Christian Streich and his TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side on Friday evening, as the pair meet at the Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Bundesliga performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as St. Pauli and Hoffenheim go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the players in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The stats do not provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.73 with the bookmakers, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Over 1.5 goals is at 67% in our algorithmic predictions, suggesting we should get at least a couple of goals to entertain us on Friday evening. It’s the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at 1.33.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
37%
2.30
2%
2.38
6%
Draw
28%
3.20
3%
3.20
6%
Hoffenheim
35%
3.25
5%
3.10
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
8%
St. Pauli 1-0
12%
7.50
12%
7.00
13%
Hoffenheim 1-0
11%
9.50
14%
8.00
11%
Draw 0-0
10%
8.50
23%
7.50
21%
St. Pauli 2-1
8%
9.50
6%
8.50
6%
Hoffenheim 2-1
7%
12.00
9%
10.00
5%
St. Pauli 2-0
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
Hoffenheim 2-0
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
Draw 2-2
4%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
St. Pauli 3-1
3%
19.00
12%
15.00
15%
Hoffenheim 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
St. Pauli 3-0
3%
21.0017.00
Hoffenheim 3-0
2%
34.0023.00
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
23.00
21%
Hoffenheim 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2.10
10%
2.05
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.73
9%
1.70
11%
Home 1st Goal
47%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.30
2%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
8.50
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.80
6%
1.83
10%
BTTS - No
54%
1.95
5%
1.91
9%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5.00
15%
4.60
15%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.334.33
3%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6.50
8%
5.75
10%
Home/draw
65%
1.33
2%
1.35
1%
Away/draw
63%
1.57
3%
1.57
3%
Home/away
72%
1.36
2%
1.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1.33
5%
1.35
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
3.40
15%
3.00
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3.75
17%
3.60
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.29
5%
1.25
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7.00
33%
7.00
27%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.10
4%
1.08
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
15.00
31%
13.00
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.03
2%
1.02
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.07
2%
1.07
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9.00
18%
7.50
21%
Home DNB
56%
1.621.62
Away DNB
55%
2.202.15
St. Pauli win to nil
22%
3.75
6%
-
Hoffenheim win to nil
21%
5.50-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
21%
3.753.70
6%
St. Pauli / Hoffenheim
3%
29.0023.00
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / St. Pauli
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Hoffenheim
12%
7.006.50
Draw / Draw
18%
4.75
14%
4.33
13%
Hoffenheim / St. Pauli
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
16%
5.005.00
4%
Hoffenheim / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Over / under 1.5 goals Bundesliga table
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2519425161 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
May 17
l
 
5-0A
2
Leverkusen2515822553 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-1A
3
Mainz2513571644 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
4
E.Frankfurt2512671242 
l
 
0-1A
May 10
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
5
Freiburg251258-241 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
6
RB Leipzig251096639 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-3A
Apr 5
7
Wolfsburg2510871038 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 10
8
Stuttgart251078537 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
9
B. M'gladbach2511410137 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
May 3
10
Dortmund2510510635 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 26
d
 
1-1A
11
Augsburg25988-735 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
12
W.Bremen259610-1133 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 26
l
 
3-4F
w
 
1-3A
13
Union Berlin257612-1427 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
14
Hoffenheim Away256811-1526 
Mar 14
w
 
0-2F
-
-
15
St. Pauli Home256415-1122 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Mar 14
16
VfL Bochum254615-2518 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Holstein254516-2417 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
18
Heidenheim254417-2316 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Over / under 1.5 goals form
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.2
Conceded
1.1
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Over
13
Under
7
HOME FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
St. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
St. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
St. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
St. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
St. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
St. Pauli2 - 1Paderborn
St. Pauli2 - 0H.Berlin
St. Pauli1 - 0E. Braun
St. Pauli3 - 2Greuther
St. Pauli2 - 0Kaiserslautern
Avg: Scored
0.8
Conceded
1.2
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Over
14
Under
6
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Wolfsburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Mainz
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1VfL Bochum
HSt. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Hoffenheim 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.5
Conceded
1.9
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Over
17
U
3
AWAY FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
VfL Bochum0 - 1Hoffenheim
W.Bremen1 - 3Hoffenheim
Leverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
Holstein1 - 3Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
Augsburg0 - 0Hoffenheim
Heidenheim0 - 0Hoffenheim
Stuttgart1 - 1Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt3 - 1Hoffenheim
Darmstadt0 - 6Hoffenheim
VfL Bochum3 - 2Hoffenheim
Mainz4 - 1Hoffenheim
Leverkusen2 - 1Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt3 - 1Hoffenheim
Dortmund2 - 3Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
Avg: Scored
1.2
Conceded
1.6
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Over
16
U
4
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 1.5 Goals
HHoffenheim1 - 1Heidenheim
AHoffenheim1 - 0VfL Bochum
HHoffenheim1 - 1Stuttgart
AHoffenheim3 - 1W.Bremen
HHoffenheim0 - 4Union Berlin
AHoffenheim1 - 3Leverkusen
HHoffenheim2 - 2E.Frankfurt
AHoffenheim3 - 1Holstein
AHoffenheim0 - 5Bayern
HHoffenheim0 - 1Wolfsburg
HHoffenheim1 - 2B. M'gladbach
AHoffenheim1 - 1Dortmund
HHoffenheim1 - 1Freiburg
AHoffenheim0 - 2Mainz
HHoffenheim4 - 3RB Leipzig
AHoffenheim0 - 0Augsburg
HHoffenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
AHoffenheim0 - 0Heidenheim
HHoffenheim3 - 1VfL Bochum
AHoffenheim1 - 1Stuttgart
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 15th Hoffenheim 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Hoffenheim will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
St. Pauli have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
+17
Hoffenheim have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283651/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/OU15
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
STP
TSG
26%
better
view stats
Games scored11
18
Failed to score14
7
Scored first8
7
Goals scored19
32
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
27%
better
STP
TSG
view stats
Games conceded18
22
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first15
16
Goals conceded30
47
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+27%

St. Pauli v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25565
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ IrvineE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK25
-
H Wahl DEF25
-
J Irvine MID256
2
-
P Treu DEF241
2
-
O Afolayan FWD2421
2
-
E Smith MID231
5
-
J Eggestein FWD2334
3
-
M Saliakas DEF211
3
-
C Boukhalfa MID191
-
M Guilavogui FWD1851
5
-
D Sinani FWD1711
2
-
D Nemeth  DEF15
2
-
L Ritzka DEF15
1
-
A Albers FWD141
-
A Dzwigala DEF12
2
1
E Saad FWD1222
1
-
S Banks FWD11
1
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
N Weißhaupt FWD10
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
J Sands MID7
1
-
S Heyden DEF61
2
-
A. Ceesay FWD6
1
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
F Stevens DEF1
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23765
A KramaricA KramaricA KramaricA Stach
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Akpoguma DEF24
2
-
A Kramaric MID2376
3
-
T Bischof MID2342
3
-
A Prass DEF221
1
-
A Stach MID2111
5
-
O Baumann GLK20
-
A Hlozek FWD2062
2
-
A Chaves DEF18
5
-
V Gendrey DEF1711
1
-
P Kaderabek DEF17
5
-
S Nsoki DEF16
1
M Bülter FWD1641
3
-
D Geiger MID14
4
-
H Tabakovic FWD1421
-
M. Moerstedt FWD12
2
-
D Jurásek DEF9
-
G Orban FWD94
1
-
D Samassékou MID8
-
F Becker MID81
1
-
U Tohumcu MID81
2
-
E Yardımcı FWD6
2
-
L Philipp GLK5
-
R Hranáč DEF4
-
L Østigård DEF4
-
B. Touré FWD4
-
G Prömel  MID2
-
D. Mokwa Ntusu FWD2
-
F. Micheler MID1
1
-