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FC St. Pauli v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Mar, 14:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

the Millerntor-Stadion is the stage on Saturday afternoon, as Alexander Blessin's FC St. Pauli are visited by Niko Kalliokoski's Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
40%
12/5
24%
5/2
19%
Draw
26%
5/2
7%
13/5
8%
Dortmund
34%
1/1
16%
1/1
14%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
7%
St. Pauli 1-0
9%
11/1
20%
9/1
9%
Dortmund 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
St. Pauli 2-1
9%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
Dortmund 2-1
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
St. Pauli 2-0
7%
18/1
17%
14/1
21%
Dortmund 2-0
6%
9/1
11%
8/1
13%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
St. Pauli 3-1
4%
25/1
24%
18/1
17%
Dortmund 3-1
3%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
St. Pauli 3-0
3%
40/1
20%
25/1
24%
St. Pauli 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Dortmund 3-0
2%
18/1
27%
14/1
25%
Dortmund 3-2
2%
22/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
4%
3/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
49%
7/5
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/13
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/6
2%
4/6
2%
BTTS - No
45%
11/10
2%
11/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
5/1
25%
19/4
18%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
5%
17/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
3/1
14%
13/5
9%
Home/draw
66%
4/5
12%
4/5
12%
Away/draw
60%
3/10
10%
2/7
6%
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/1
8%
27/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2/1
9%
9/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
2/5
3%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/7
3%
1/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Home DNB
58%
6/4
26%
6/4
19%
Away DNB
52%
1/2
15%
10/21
11%
St. Pauli win to nil
21%
11/2
28%
-
Dortmund win to nil
18%
11/4
15%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
14%
9/2
27%
9/2
15%
St. Pauli / Dortmund
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / St. Pauli
11%
13/2
21%
13/2
12%
Draw / Dortmund
16%
4/1
5%
4/1
11%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Dortmund / St. Pauli
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Dortmund / Dortmund
25%
9/4
18%
21/10
15%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 3. St. Pauli have conceded 21 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 11 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 11th place on 29 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 11 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2217414655 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
2
Leverkusen2213812247 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
May 10
3
E.Frankfurt2212642042 
l
 
0-1A
May 10
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
RB Leipzig221075737 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
5
Freiburg221138-736 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
6
Mainz2210571135 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
Mar 30
l
 
3-1A
7
Stuttgart221057735 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
8
B. M'gladbach221048334 
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
9
Wolfsburg22967933 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
May 3
w
 
1-3F
10
W.Bremen22868-730 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 26
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Dortmund Away22859-129 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
-
-
12
Augsburg22778-1128 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
13
Union Berlin226610-824 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
14
St. Pauli Home226313-721 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
15
Hoffenheim225611-1621 
Mar 14
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
16
Heidenheim224216-2014 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
VfL Bochum223514-2514 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-0A
18
Holstein223415-2313 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
May 17
l
 
4-2A
Win / draw / win form
St. Pauli 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
St. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
St. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
St. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
St. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
St. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
St. Pauli2 - 1Paderborn
St. Pauli2 - 0H.Berlin
St. Pauli1 - 0E. Braun
St. Pauli3 - 2Greuther
St. Pauli2 - 0Kaiserslautern
St. Pauli1 - 1Wiesbaden
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1VfL Bochum
HSt. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
ASt. Pauli3 - 0Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Augsburg
Dortmund 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
VfL Bochum2 - 0Dortmund
Heidenheim1 - 2Dortmund
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund
Holstein4 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 1Dortmund
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg2 - 1Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1Dortmund
Stuttgart5 - 1Dortmund
W.Bremen0 - 0Dortmund
Mainz3 - 0Dortmund
RB Leipzig4 - 1Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 2Dortmund
Bayern0 - 2Dortmund
W.Bremen1 - 2Dortmund
Union Berlin0 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 1Dortmund
Heidenheim0 - 0Dortmund
Köln0 - 4Dortmund
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund0 - 2VfL Bochum
HDortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
ADortmund2 - 1Heidenheim
HDortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
ADortmund0 - 2E.Frankfurt
ADortmund2 - 4Holstein
HDortmund2 - 3Leverkusen
ADortmund3 - 1Wolfsburg
HDortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
ADortmund1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HDortmund1 - 1Bayern
HDortmund4 - 0Freiburg
ADortmund1 - 3Mainz
HDortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund1 - 2Augsburg
HDortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
ADortmund1 - 2Union Berlin
HDortmund4 - 2VfL Bochum
ADortmund1 - 5Stuttgart
HDortmund4 - 2Heidenheim
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 14th Dortmund 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
St. Pauli have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
Dortmund have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283625/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
STP
BVB
44%
better
view stats
Games scored10
19
Failed to score12
3
Scored first7
11
Goals scored18
37
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
22%
better
STP
BVB
view stats
Games conceded15
19
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first13
10
Goals conceded25
38
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
21%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%

St. Pauli v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22555
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ IrvineE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK22
-
H Wahl DEF22
-
J Irvine MID225
2
-
P Treu DEF211
1
-
O Afolayan FWD2121
2
-
E Smith MID201
5
-
J Eggestein FWD2034
3
-
M Saliakas DEF191
3
-
C Boukhalfa MID181
-
M Guilavogui FWD1851
5
-
A Albers FWD141
-
D Sinani FWD1411
2
-
D Nemeth  DEF12
1
-
L Ritzka DEF12
1
-
A Dzwigala DEF11
2
1
S Banks FWD11
1
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
E Saad FWD922
1
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
J Sands MID7
1
-
N Weißhaupt FWD7
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
A. Ceesay FWD4
-
S Heyden DEF3
1
-
F Stevens DEF1
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20956
G KobelS Guirassy R BensebainiN Schlotterbeck
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD2273
3
-
M Beier FWD2142
2
-
G Kobel GLK20
1
-
P Groß MID203
4
1
R Bensebaini DEF1915
5
-
E Can MID192
3
1
M Sabitzer  MID19
2
-
J Brandt MID1935
1
-
F Nmecha MID1921
2
-
S Guirassy  FWD1991
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF182
4
2
J Ryerson DEF1811
4
1
W Anton DEF162
3
-
Y Couto DEF14
4
-
K Adeyemi  FWD1323
2
-
G Reyna MID122
2
-
J Duranville FWD9
3
-
N Süle DEF8
1
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF4
1
1
W Campbell FWD4
-
A Meyer GLK2
-
D Svensson DEF2
-
K. Wätjen MID2
-
S Özcan MID2
-