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Borussia Dortmund v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Mar, 16:30 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Niko Kalliokoski welcomes Bo Henriksen to the Signal Iduna Park on Sunday afternoon, as their Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 charges meet in the Bundesliga. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you explore. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
47%
13/20
6%
4/6
1%
Draw
24%
29/10
3%
3/1
5%
Mainz
30%
4/1
11%
18/5
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
7%
Dortmund 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Dortmund 1-0
8%
7/1
16%
6/1
7%
Mainz 2-1
7%
14/111/1
8%
Dortmund 2-0
7%
15/2
11%
7/1
Mainz 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Dortmund 3-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
Mainz 2-0
4%
25/118/1
Dortmund 3-0
4%
12/1
13%
10/1
Dortmund 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Mainz 3-1
3%
40/1
21%
25/1
Mainz 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
25/1
Dortmund 4-1
2%
22/118/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/11
7%
7/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/10
9%
21/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
15/8
10%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
7/10
5%
8/11
BTTS - No
40%
21/20
7%
1/1
BTTS - Home Win
25%
9/4
2%
11/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
15/2
13%
13/2
Home/draw
70%
1/6
1%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
53%
6/5
10%
23/20
2%
Home/away
76%
1/42/9
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9
2%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
4%
29/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4
10%
17/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
6%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
11%
19/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
2/13
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
Home DNB
63%
1/4
4%
2/7
3%
Away DNB
46%
11/4
10%
12/5
3%
Dortmund win to nil
22%
2/1
12%
-
Mainz win to nil
13%
9/1
11%
-
Dortmund / Dortmund
31%
8/5
5%
6/4
2%
Dortmund / Mainz
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
Dortmund / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw / Dortmund
18%
7/2
5%
7/2
4%
Draw / Mainz
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Mainz / Dortmund
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Mainz / Mainz
11%
7/1
14%
6/1
Mainz / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Dortmund have conceded 24 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Dortmund have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 31 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Mainz lay in 3rd place on 45 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Mainz have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Mainz have played 13 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2619525162 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
2
Leverkusen2616822656 
l
 
2-3A
May 10
May 17
l
 
1-0A
3
Mainz Away2613671645 
Mar 30
l
 
3-1A
-
-
4
E.Frankfurt2613671445 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
May 3
w
 
1-3F
5
RB Leipzig261196842 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
6
Freiburg261268-242 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
7
B. M'gladbach2612410340 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
8
Wolfsburg261088938 
May 3
w
 
1-3F
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
9
Augsburg261088-638 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
10
Stuttgart261079437 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
11
Dortmund Home2610511435 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Mar 30
12
W.Bremen269611-1333 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
13
Union Berlin267712-1428 
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
Hoffenheim266812-1626 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
15
St. Pauli267415-1025 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
16
Heidenheim265417-2119 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
VfL Bochum264616-2718 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
18
Holstein264517-2617 
May 17
l
 
4-2A
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Mainz have won 3 consecutive away league games
6
Mainz have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Dortmund 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund0 - 1Augsburg
Dortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
Dortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 3Leverkusen
Dortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
Dortmund1 - 1Bayern
Dortmund4 - 0Freiburg
Dortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
Dortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
Dortmund4 - 2VfL Bochum
Dortmund4 - 2Heidenheim
Dortmund2 - 0E.Frankfurt
Dortmund4 - 0Darmstadt
Dortmund5 - 1Augsburg
Dortmund1 - 1Leverkusen
Dortmund0 - 1Stuttgart
Dortmund3 - 1E.Frankfurt
Dortmund2 - 3Hoffenheim
Dortmund3 - 0Freiburg
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund0 - 2RB Leipzig
HDortmund0 - 1Augsburg
ADortmund2 - 0St. Pauli
HDortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund0 - 2VfL Bochum
HDortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
ADortmund2 - 1Heidenheim
HDortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
ADortmund0 - 2E.Frankfurt
ADortmund2 - 4Holstein
HDortmund2 - 3Leverkusen
ADortmund3 - 1Wolfsburg
HDortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
ADortmund1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HDortmund1 - 1Bayern
HDortmund4 - 0Freiburg
ADortmund1 - 3Mainz
HDortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund1 - 2Augsburg
HDortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
Mainz 3RD
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Augsburg2 - 3Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
Heidenheim1 - 1Mainz
Freiburg1 - 1Mainz
RB Leipzig0 - 0Mainz
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen2 - 1Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 1Mainz
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz2 - 2Freiburg
AMainz3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz2 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz0 - 0Augsburg
AMainz0 - 1W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 0Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 2Union Berlin
AMainz0 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
AMainz3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz2 - 1Bayern
AMainz3 - 4Wolfsburg
HMainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
AMainz3 - 0Holstein
HMainz3 - 1Dortmund
AMainz0 - 0Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HMainz0 - 2RB Leipzig
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Mainz
Goals: Scored
18
12
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
BVB
5
D
3
M05
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Dortmund3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Mainz
Dortmund2 - 1
1 - 2Mainz
Dortmund2 - 0
Dortmund4 - 2
Dortmund2 - 0
League games at Mainz since 2012
Mainz
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
14
23
Games: Scored
9 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
4 / 13
BVB
9
D
1
M05
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz3 - 0
1 - 2Dortmund
0 - 1Dortmund
1 - 3Dortmund
0 - 4Dortmund
1 - 2Dortmund
0 - 2Dortmund
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Dortmund
Mainz2 - 0
1 - 3Dortmund
1 - 2Dortmund
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's defensive record is to be admired, Niko Kalliokoski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Bundesliga outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 makes sense in this context.

Dortmund 11th Mainz 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Dortmund have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+23
Mainz have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283659/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
BVB
M05
view stats
Games scored21
20
Failed to score5
6
Scored first13
16
Goals scored45
44
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
BVB
M05
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
17
Clean sheets5
9
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded41
28
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against20%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%

Dortmund v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241477
G KobelS Guirassy P GroßN Schlotterbeck
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD2673
3
-
M Beier FWD2553
2
-
G Kobel GLK24
1
-
P Groß MID247
4
1
R Bensebaini DEF2315
6
-
E Can MID232
4
1
M Sabitzer  MID231
2
-
S Guirassy  FWD23141
3
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF222
5
2
J Brandt MID2235
1
-
J Ryerson DEF2111
5
1
F Nmecha MID1921
2
-
W Anton DEF182
3
-
Y Couto DEF17
4
-
K Adeyemi  FWD1734
4
-
G Reyna MID142
3
-
J Duranville FWD10
3
-
N Süle DEF8
1
-
S Özcan MID5
-
D Svensson DEF4
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF4
1
1
W Campbell FWD4
-
C Chukwuemeka MID3
1
-
A Meyer GLK2
-
K. Wätjen MID2
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2615711
R ZentnerJ Burkardt A CaciD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK26
3
-
P Mwene DEF265
5
-
K Sano MID26
3
-
J Lee MID2565
4
-
A Caci MID2517
6
-
D Kohr MID241
10
1
P Nebel MID2473
3
-
N Amiri MID2363
5
2
A Sieb FWD2323
3
-
J Burkardt  FWD22152
-
S Widmer  DEF211
3
-
D Costa DEF171
-
H Hyun-seok MID161
-
M Jenz DEF15
3
-
D Hoof DEF151
3
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF1511
2
1
N Weiper FWD152
2
-
M Leitsch  DEF141
2
-
N Veratschnig DEF7
-
L Maloney MID3
1
-
A Nordin FWD2
-