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Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 20th Dec, 19:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

The Bundesliga is the focus for both Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig on Friday evening, as bosses Vincent Kompany and Marco Rose go head to head at the Allianz Arena. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Bayern to win

A Bundesliga home win for Vincent Kompany's Bayern team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Bayern win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
64%
3/10
13%
1/3
11%
Draw
19%
9/2
10%
19/4
15%
RB Leipzig
17%
8/1
80%
7/1
52%
Bayern 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
7/1
7%
Bayern 2-0
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Bayern 1-0
8%
12/1
8%
9/1
5%
Bayern 3-1
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Bayern 3-0
7%
9/1
17%
17/2
14%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
RB Leipzig 2-1
5%
22/1
35%
16/1
31%
Bayern 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Bayern 3-2
4%
18/114/1
15%
Bayern 4-0
4%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
RB Leipzig 1-0
4%
33/1
62%
20/1
24%
Draw 0-0
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Bayern 4-2
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
RB Leipzig 2-0
2%
50/1
50%
33/1
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1/3
5%
1/3
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
12/5
13%
11/5
14%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/4
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
11/4
25%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
25/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/7
3%
4/7
3%
BTTS - No
41%
5/4
5%
13/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
13/10
12%
5/4
10%
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1
9%
5/1
14%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11/1
60%
17/2
36%
Home/draw
83%
1/14
9%
1/12
6%
Away/draw
36%
12/5
36%
9/4
30%
Home/away
81%
1/7
3%
2/15
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/10
2%
1/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
6/1
17%
11/2
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
4/5
10%
4/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1/1
11%
10/11
9%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
7/4
19%
7/4
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
4/9
8%
2/5
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
7/2
18%
7/2
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/5
5%
2/11
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/801/500
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
22/118/1
12%
Home DNB
78%
1/10
10%
1/9
8%
Away DNB
30%
6/1
75%
5/1
50%
Bayern win to nil
31%
13/8
19%
-
RB Leipzig win to nil
7%
18/1
46%
-
Bayern / Bayern
44%
5/6
17%
17/20
14%
Bayern / RB Leipzig
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
31%
Bayern / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Draw / Bayern
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
7%
Draw / RB Leipzig
5%
18/1
58%
14/1
36%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
25%
15/2
13%
RB Leipzig / Bayern
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
6%
14/1
58%
10/1
47%
RB Leipzig / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table. Bayern are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 13 games. Bayern are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

RB Leipzig are in 4th position in the Bundesliga on 24 points having played 13 matches so far this season. RB Leipzig have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 0 and won 1. RB Leipzig have conceded 2 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
RB Leipzig
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Home1310303133 
-
-
May 3
Dec 20
2
E.Frankfurt138321527 
Feb 22
d
 
3-3F
Dec 15
Apr 26
3
Leverkusen137511026 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
Jan 25
w
 
2-3A
4
RB Leipzig Away13733724 
Dec 20
May 3
-
-
5
Wolfsburg13634721 
Jan 18
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-5A
Apr 12
6
Dortmund13634421 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
7
Freiburg13634021 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
w
 
3-1A
Mar 8
8
Stuttgart13553320 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
May 17
Jan 15
9
Mainz13544519 
Apr 26
Dec 14
Mar 1
w
 
0-2F
10
W.Bremen13544-419 
Feb 8
w
 
0-5F
Jan 12
May 10
11
B. M'gladbach13535118 
May 10
Jan 11
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
12
Union Berlin13445-216 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
13
Augsburg13445-916 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
w
 
4-0F
Feb 15
14
Hoffenheim13346-713 
Jan 15
May 17
Apr 5
l
 
4-3F
15
St. Pauli13328-611 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
16
Heidenheim13319-1110 
w
 
4-2F
Apr 19
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
17
Holstein131210-205 
Feb 1
w
 
1-6F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
VfL Bochum130211-242 
Mar 8
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Win / draw / win form
4
Bayern have won 4 consecutive home league games
9
Bayern have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern3 - 0Augsburg
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern1 - 1Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 0Freiburg
Bayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
Bayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Bayern2 - 0Köln
Bayern0 - 2Dortmund
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Bayern2 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Bayern1 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern0 - 1W.Bremen
Bayern3 - 0Hoffenheim
Bayern3 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern8 - 0Darmstadt
Bayern3 - 0Freiburg
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBayern4 - 2Heidenheim
ABayern1 - 1Dortmund
HBayern3 - 0Augsburg
ABayern1 - 0St. Pauli
HBayern3 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern5 - 0VfL Bochum
HBayern4 - 0Stuttgart
ABayern3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HBayern1 - 1Leverkusen
ABayern5 - 0W.Bremen
ABayern6 - 1Holstein
HBayern2 - 0Freiburg
ABayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
ABayern2 - 4Hoffenheim
HBayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
ABayern1 - 3Stuttgart
HBayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
ABayern5 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 0Köln
ABayern2 - 3Heidenheim
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Holstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim4 - 3RB Leipzig
Dortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 2RB Leipzig
Heidenheim0 - 1RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
Leverkusen2 - 3RB Leipzig
E.Frankfurt2 - 2RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim1 - 1RB Leipzig
Heidenheim1 - 2RB Leipzig
Freiburg1 - 4RB Leipzig
Köln1 - 5RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum1 - 4RB Leipzig
Bayern2 - 1RB Leipzig
Augsburg2 - 2RB Leipzig
Stuttgart5 - 2RB Leipzig
W.Bremen1 - 1RB Leipzig
Dortmund2 - 3RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg2 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz2 - 0RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig2 - 0Holstein
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Wolfsburg
ARB Leipzig3 - 4Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
ARB Leipzig1 - 2Dortmund
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Freiburg
ARB Leipzig2 - 0Mainz
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
ARB Leipzig0 - 0St. Pauli
HRB Leipzig0 - 0Union Berlin
ARB Leipzig3 - 2Leverkusen
HRB Leipzig1 - 0VfL Bochum
ARB Leipzig2 - 2E.Frankfurt
HRB Leipzig1 - 1W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig4 - 1Dortmund
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig3 - 0Wolfsburg
ARB Leipzig4 - 1Freiburg
bet365
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Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bayern since 2016
Bayern
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
15
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
FCB
5
D
2
RBL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern2 - 1
1 - 3RB Leipzig
Bayern3 - 2
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bayern1 - 0
Bayern2 - 0
Bayern3 - 0
League games at RB Leipzig since 2017
RB Leipzig
Bayern
Goals: Scored
11
15
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
FCB
3
D
4
RBL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Bayern
0 - 1Bayern
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
RB Leipzig2 - 1
4 - 5Bayern
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Bayern Munich in their meeting with RB Leipzig, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 162 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

Bayern 1st RB Leipzig 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that RB Leipzig will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Bayern’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
RB Leipzig’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283552/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
RB Leipzig
2.3
1.1
Attack rating
38%
better
FCB
RBL
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score0
3
Scored first11
7
Goals scored41
21
Avg. goals scored3.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game15
8
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
19
Avg. XG for2.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
FCB
RBL
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded10
14
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded4
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against20%
10%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+1%

Bayern v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131464
M KimH KaneH KaneD Upamecano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kim DEF131
1
-
D Upamecano DEF132
4
-
J Kimmich MID133
-
T Müller FWD1311
1
-
M Olise FWD1354
-
A Davies DEF122
-
H Kane FWD12146
1
-
K Coman FWD1232
-
M Neuer  GLK11
-
K Laimer MID11
2
-
J Musiala FWD1181
2
-
R Guerreiro DEF101
-
L Sané FWD911
1
-
S Gnabry FWD923
-
L Goretzka MID811
-
J Palhinha MID8
1
-
A Pavlović MID71
1
-
S Boey DEF51
1
-
M Tel FWD5
-
E Dier DEF4
-
D Peretz GLK1
1
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
A. Aznou Ben Cheikh DEF1
-
A Ibrahimović FWD1
-
RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13545
P Gulácsi L OpendaL OpendaA Vermeeren
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK13
-
C Baumgartner MID13
2
-
A Haidara MID131
4
-
B Sesko FWD1342
-
L Openda FWD1354
2
-
A Nusa FWD1323
-
B Henrichs DEF122
2
-
A Vermeeren MID12
5
-
W Orbán DEF114
1
L Klostermann DEF11
2
-
L Geertruida DEF101
1
-
K Kampl MID101
2
-
C Lukeba DEF9
1
-
N Seiwald MID9
1
-
Y Poulsen FWD9
-
X Simons MID721
2
-
E Bitshiabu DEF6
-
D Raum DEF61
-
A Silva FWD511
-
A Ouédraogo MID3
-
E Elmas MID2
1
-
X Schlager MID2
-
M Vandevoordt GLK1
-
M Simakan DEF1
-