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Bayern Munich v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 14:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

FC St. Pauli pay Bundesliga counterparts Bayern Munich a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Alexander Blessin guides his men into an away clash with Vincent Kompany & co. at the Allianz Arena. All of the key stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across seventeen major markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


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Best Tip: Bayern to win

After looking at the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Bundesliga clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Bayern to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they'll be too strong for St. Pauli, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Bayern claiming victory is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.18.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
73%
1/6
3%
2/11
4%
Draw
16%
6/1
13%
13/2
17%
St. Pauli
11%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
Bayern 2-0
11%
5/119/4
4%
Bayern 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
15/2
6%
Bayern 3-0
9%
11/211/2
8%
Bayern 1-0
9%
7/1
6%
6/1
7%
Bayern 3-1
8%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 1-1
7%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Bayern 4-0
6%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Bayern 4-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Bayern 3-2
3%
33/120/1
St. Pauli 2-1
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
St. Pauli 1-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Bayern 5-0
3%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Bayern 5-1
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1/2
4%
1/2
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
13/8
5%
29/20
11%
Home 1st Goal
61%
1/7
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
9/2
8%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
6/5
2%
13/10
BTTS - No
48%
8/13
3%
4/7
BTTS - Home Win
34%
2/12/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
12%
8/1
10%
8/1
10%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
22/1
21%
20/1
Home/draw
89%
1/33
1%
1/40
Away/draw
26%
4/1
9%
19/5
13%
Home/away
84%
1/10
2%
1/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/72/13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/219/5
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6/5
5%
5/4
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
4/6
3%
3/5
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3/1
14%
27/10
16%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/11
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/150
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
21%
Home DNB
85%
1/25
1%
1/40
Away DNB
22%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Bayern win to nil
40%
4/5
4%
-
St. Pauli win to nil
5%
20/1
19%
-
Bayern / Bayern
50%
8/13
6%
8/13
8%
Bayern / St. Pauli
2%
50/1
24%
50/1
9%
Bayern / Draw
4%
22/120/1
9%
Draw / Bayern
21%
11/414/5
5%
Draw / St. Pauli
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
18%
St. Pauli / Bayern
4%
18/118/1
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
4%
25/1
24%
18/1
10%
St. Pauli / Draw
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 75 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 43 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 25 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 26 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Home2619525162 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
2
Leverkusen2616822656 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
3
Mainz2613671645 
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
4
E.Frankfurt2613671445 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-1A
May 10
5
RB Leipzig261196842 
w
 
5-1F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
6
Freiburg261268-242 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
7
B. M'gladbach2612410340 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
8
Wolfsburg261088938 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
9
Augsburg261088-638 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
10
Stuttgart261079437 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
11
Dortmund2610511435 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
12
W.Bremen269611-1333 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 26
13
Union Berlin267712-1428 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Hoffenheim266812-1626 
w
 
5-0F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
15
St. Pauli Away267415-1025 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
-
-
16
Heidenheim265417-2119 
w
 
4-2F
Apr 19
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
VfL Bochum264616-2718 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-5F
May 17
l
 
1-0A
18
Holstein264517-2617 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-6F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
Bayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 3Holstein
Bayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern3 - 0Augsburg
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern1 - 1Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 0Freiburg
Bayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
Bayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Bayern2 - 0Köln
Bayern0 - 2Dortmund
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Bayern2 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern1 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
ABayern3 - 1Stuttgart
HBayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
ABayern0 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern3 - 0W.Bremen
HBayern4 - 3Holstein
ABayern2 - 1Freiburg
HBayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
HBayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
ABayern1 - 0B. M'gladbach
HBayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern1 - 2Mainz
HBayern4 - 2Heidenheim
ABayern1 - 1Dortmund
HBayern3 - 0Augsburg
ABayern1 - 0St. Pauli
HBayern3 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern5 - 0VfL Bochum
HBayern4 - 0Stuttgart
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg1 - 1St. Pauli
Mainz2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
Heidenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
VfL Bochum1 - 0St. Pauli
Stuttgart0 - 1St. Pauli
Leverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
B. M'gladbach2 - 0St. Pauli
Hoffenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
Dortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg0 - 3St. Pauli
Augsburg3 - 1St. Pauli
Union Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
Wiesbaden1 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg1 - 0St. Pauli
Hannover1 - 2St. Pauli
Karlsruher2 - 1St. Pauli
Nurnberg0 - 2St. Pauli
Schalke3 - 1St. Pauli
Holstein3 - 4St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Wolfsburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Mainz
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1VfL Bochum
HSt. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Dortmund
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is fairly strong for Bayern Munich in their meeting with FC St. Pauli, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 19 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for FC St. Pauli fans, as should a 7 Bundesliga matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bayern 1st St. Pauli 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of St. Pauli scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Bayern have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-11
St. Pauli have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283658/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
2.5
0.8
Attack rating
60%
better
FCB
STP
view stats
Games scored25
12
Failed to score1
14
Scored first21
9
Goals scored75
20
Avg. goals scored2.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game14
8
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for21
10
Avg. XG for2.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+60%
Defence rating
17%
better
FCB
STP
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first4
15
Goals conceded24
30
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
13%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+17%

Bayern v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
242177
J KimmichH KaneM OliseK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olise MID2687
1
-
J Kimmich MID2516
4
-
H Kane FWD24217
4
-
M Kim DEF232
2
-
J Musiala MID23112
3
-
K Coman FWD2244
-
T Müller FWD2213
3
-
L Sané FWD2275
2
-
K Laimer MID2111
7
-
M Neuer  GLK20
-
D Upamecano DEF202
6
-
L Goretzka MID2041
2
-
A Davies DEF1913
-
S Gnabry FWD1954
-
R Guerreiro DEF1732
-
A Pavlović MID151
2
-
E Dier DEF131
-
J Palhinha MID12
1
1
S Boey DEF91
1
-
J Stanisic DEF61
-
H Ito DEF51
1
-
D Peretz GLK3
1
-
J Urbig GLK2
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26565
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ IrvineE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK26
-
H Wahl DEF26
-
J Irvine MID266
2
-
P Treu DEF252
2
-
O Afolayan FWD2521
2
-
E Smith MID241
5
-
J Eggestein FWD2434
3
-
M Saliakas DEF221
3
-
C Boukhalfa MID201
-
M Guilavogui FWD1851
5
-
D Sinani FWD1811
2
-
D Nemeth  DEF16
2
-
L Ritzka DEF16
1
-
A Albers FWD141
-
E Saad FWD1322
1
-
A Dzwigala DEF12
2
1
S Banks FWD11
1
-
N Weißhaupt FWD111
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
S Heyden DEF71
2
-
J Sands MID7
1
-
A. Ceesay FWD6
1
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
F Stevens DEF1
-