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Toulouse v Montpellier : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Jan, 16:15 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse is the setting on Sunday afternoon, as Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse host Michel Der Zakarian's Montpellier in the Ligue 1. For every Ligue 1 fixture, KickOff delves into the stats for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Toulouse to win

As the Toulouse players ready themselves for this match, the bookmakers are predicting success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Stadium Municipal, Toulouse has rarely been an easy place to go for Montpellier in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toulouse 65%	11/20 3%	11/20 3%
Draw 21%	16/5 3%	16/5 9%
Montpellier 14%	9/2 8%	19/4
Toulouse 1-0 13%	7/1	6/1
Toulouse 2-0 12%	7/1 7%	13/2 7%
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1	13/2 6%
Toulouse 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Toulouse 3-0 8%	10/1	9/1 5%
Draw 0-0 7%	12/1	10/1 8%
Toulouse 3-1 6%	11/1	9/1
Montpellier 1-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Montpellier 2-1 4%	16/1 11%	14/1
Toulouse 4-0 4%	20/1 11%	16/1 13%
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	12/1
Toulouse 4-1 3%	20/1	16/1
Toulouse 3-2 2%	22/1	16/1
Montpellier 2-0 2%	28/1 15%	22/1
Toulouse 5-0 1%	40/1	28/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	8/11 4%	4/6 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	11/10 5%	11/10 2%
Home 1st Goal 59%	4/11 2%	4/9
Away 1st Goal 37%	11/5 6%	2/1
No 1st Goal 4%	12/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 46%	4/5	4/5
BTTS - No 54%	19/20	19/20
BTTS - Home Win 25%	11/5 3%	21/10 3%
BTTS - Draw 14%	9/2	17/4 5%
BTTS - Away Win 6%	9/1	8/1 6%
Home/draw 86%	1/7 2%	2/15 1%
Away/draw 35%	11/8 5%	7/5 4%
Home/away 79%	2/9 2%	2/9 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	2/9 2%	2/9 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	10/3 4%	3/1 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	7/4 5%	13/8 1%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	4/9 4%	4/9
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	4/1 11%	18/5 2%
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/6 3%	1/6 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	9/1	8/1 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/16	1/20 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	10/1 8%
Home DNB 79%	1/5 2%	1/5
Away DNB 29%	10/3 4%	16/5
Toulouse win to nil 39%	13/8	-
Montpellier win to nil 8%	10/1	-
Toulouse / Toulouse 34%	11/8 3%	13/10 5%
Toulouse / Montpellier 2%	40/1	28/1
Toulouse / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 13%
Draw / Toulouse 19%	10/3	16/5 3%
Draw / Montpellier 7%	10/1 8%	10/1
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1 8%
Montpellier / Toulouse 4%	20/1 11%	16/1
Montpellier / Montpellier 9%	17/2 5%	15/2 6%
Montpellier / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Toulouse have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Toulouse have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Montpellier are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 9 points having played 17 matches so far this season. Montpellier have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 6 games.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Montpellier have conceded 42 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Toulouse Montpellier
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSG	17	13	4	0	31	43	Feb 16	l 3-0A	May 11	l 6-0A
2	Marseille	17	11	3	3	19	36	l 1-3A	Apr 6	l 0-5A	Apr 20
3	Monaco	17	9	4	4	10	31	Mar 9	l 2-0A	Jan 17	l 2-1F
4	Nice	17	8	6	3	12	30	Feb 2	d 1-1A	d 2-2A	Feb 23
5	Lille	17	7	8	2	10	29	Apr 13	l 2-1F	d 2-2A	Mar 9
6	Lyon	17	8	4	5	7	28	l 1-2F	Jan 18	Feb 16	l 1-0A
7	Lens	17	7	6	4	5	27	May 11	w 0-1F	Feb 2	l 2-0A
8	Toulouse Home	17	7	3	7	0	24	-	-	l 0-3A	Jan 26
9	Strasbourg	17	6	5	6	1	23	l 1-2A	Mar 16	d 1-1A	Feb 9
10	Auxerre	17	6	4	7	-2	22	w 2-0F	Feb 9	w 3-2A	Mar 30
11	Brest	17	7	1	9	-4	22	Mar 30	l 2-0A	w 3-1F	May 4
12	Reims	17	5	5	7	-2	20	w 1-0F	Apr 20	Apr 27	l 4-2A
13	Angers	17	5	4	8	-8	19	d 1-1A	Mar 2	l 1-3A	Apr 13
14	Rennes	17	5	2	10	-2	17	May 4	w 0-2F	Mar 2	l 3-0A
15	Nantes	17	3	7	7	-7	16	d 0-00-0	Apr 27	l 1-3A	May 18
16	St Etienne	17	5	1	11	-21	16	w 2-1A	May 18	Mar 16	l 1-0A
17	Le Havre	17	4	0	13	-23	12	w 2-0F	Feb 23	Apr 6	l 1-0A
18	Montpellier A	17	2	3	12	-26	9	Jan 26	w 0-3F	-	-

	UEFA Champions League
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	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Montpellier have lost 8 consecutive away league games

Montpellier have not won in 9 consecutive away league games

Montpellier have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse	1 - 2	Strasbourg
Toulouse	2 - 1	St Etienne
Toulouse	2 - 0	Auxerre
Toulouse	1 - 0	Reims
Toulouse	1 - 1	Angers
Toulouse	1 - 2	Lyon
Toulouse	2 - 0	Le Havre
Toulouse	1 - 3	Marseille
Toulouse	0 - 0	Nantes
Toulouse	0 - 3	Brest
Toulouse	1 - 2	Montpellier
Toulouse	2 - 2	Marseille
Toulouse	0 - 0	Strasbourg
Toulouse	2 - 3	Lyon
Toulouse	2 - 1	Nice
Toulouse	3 - 1	Lille
Toulouse	1 - 2	Nantes
Toulouse	0 - 2	Lens
Toulouse	1 - 2	Monaco
Toulouse	0 - 0	Rennes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toulouse	1 - 2	Strasbourg
A	Toulouse	1 - 0	Lens
H	Toulouse	2 - 1	St Etienne
A	Toulouse	0 - 2	Monaco
H	Toulouse	2 - 0	Auxerre
A	Toulouse	0 - 3	PSG
A	Toulouse	2 - 0	Rennes
H	Toulouse	1 - 0	Reims
A	Toulouse	3 - 0	Montpellier
H	Toulouse	1 - 1	Angers
A	Toulouse	1 - 2	Lille
H	Toulouse	1 - 2	Lyon
A	Toulouse	0 - 2	Brest
H	Toulouse	2 - 0	Le Havre
H	Toulouse	1 - 3	Marseille
A	Toulouse	1 - 1	Nice
H	Toulouse	0 - 0	Nantes
H	Toulouse	0 - 3	Brest
A	Toulouse	3 - 1	PSG
H	Toulouse	1 - 2	Montpellier

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon	1 - 0	Montpellier
Lens	2 - 0	Montpellier
St Etienne	1 - 0	Montpellier
Le Havre	1 - 0	Montpellier
Reims	4 - 2	Montpellier
Monaco	2 - 1	Montpellier
Rennes	3 - 0	Montpellier
PSG	6 - 0	Montpellier
Lens	2 - 2	Montpellier
Toulouse	1 - 2	Montpellier
Reims	1 - 2	Montpellier
Clermont	1 - 1	Montpellier
Le Havre	0 - 2	Montpellier
Nice	1 - 2	Montpellier
Marseille	4 - 1	Montpellier
Rennes	2 - 1	Montpellier
Brest	2 - 0	Montpellier
Metz	0 - 1	Montpellier
Monaco	2 - 0	Montpellier
PSG	3 - 0	Montpellier

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

20 / 20

Clean sheets

0 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Montpellier	1 - 3	Angers
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Lyon
H	Montpellier	2 - 2	Nice
A	Montpellier	0 - 2	Lens
H	Montpellier	2 - 2	Lille
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	St Etienne
H	Montpellier	3 - 1	Brest
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Le Havre
H	Montpellier	0 - 3	Toulouse
H	Montpellier	0 - 5	Marseille
A	Montpellier	2 - 4	Reims
A	Montpellier	1 - 2	Monaco
H	Montpellier	3 - 2	Auxerre
A	Montpellier	0 - 3	Rennes
H	Montpellier	1 - 3	Nantes
A	Montpellier	0 - 6	PSG
H	Montpellier	1 - 1	Strasbourg
A	Montpellier	2 - 2	Lens
H	Montpellier	0 - 2	Monaco
A	Montpellier	2 - 1	Toulouse

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toulouse

Montpellier

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

1 / 8

TOU

MTP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
	1 - 2	Montpellier
Toulouse	4 - 2
	0 - 3	Montpellier
Toulouse	1 - 0
Toulouse	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toulouse	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Montpellier

Toulouse

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

2 / 10

TOU

MTP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
	0 - 3	Toulouse
Montpellier	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Toulouse
Montpellier	3 - 0
Montpellier	2 - 1
Montpellier	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Toulouse
Montpellier	2 - 0
Montpellier	2 - 0
Montpellier	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Toulouse's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Montpellier have conceded in each of their last 23 Ligue 1 games. A PG of 1.9 for C. Martínez Novell's side suggests that run should continue.

	Toulouse 8th	Montpellier 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Montpellier scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Toulouse have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	-25 Montpellier have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season

28%

better

TOU

MTP

view stats

Games scored	13		9
Failed to score	4		8
Scored first	8		2
Goals scored	19		16
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		9
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+28%

46%

better

TOU

MTP

view stats

Games conceded	10		17
Clean sheets	7		0
Conceded first	8		15
Goals conceded	19		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	17%		19%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.9
KickOff rating		+46%

Toulouse v Montpellier Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	6	3	7
G. Restes	Z Aboukhlal	G Suazo	C Yepes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G. Restes GLK	17			-
Y Gboho FWD	17	2	2	1 -
Z Aboukhlal FWD	17	6	2	3 -
D Sidibé DEF	16		2	1 -
C Cresswell DEF	16			1 -
C Yepes MID	16		1	7 -
S Babicka FWD	16	4		1 -
A Dönnum FWD	16	1		3 -
M McKenzie DEF	15			1 -
W Kamanzi DEF	15			1 -
V Sierro MID	15	1	1	2 -
J King FWD	15	4	1	2 -
F Magri FWD	15			1 1
G Suazo DEF	14		3	-
M Zajc MID	9			1 -
N Schmidt MID	8		1	-
R Nicolaisen DEF	7		1	-
D Genreau MID	6			-
U Akdag DEF	4			1 -
Álex Domínguez GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	3	16
Z Aboukhlal	Z Aboukhlal	G Suazo	V Sierro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Aboukhlal FWD	6	22	2	9
S Babicka FWD	4	5		6
J King FWD	4	11	1	10
Y Gboho FWD	2	13	2	8
V Sierro MID	1	1	1	16
A Dönnum FWD	1	3		8
G Suazo DEF		2	3	9
U Akdag DEF				1
D Genreau MID				4
R Nicolaisen DEF		1	1	1
N Schmidt MID		1	1	2
M Zajc MID		1		2
F Magri FWD		3		1
W Kamanzi DEF				4
M McKenzie DEF				1
C Yepes MID		1	1	6
C Cresswell DEF		4		2
D Sidibé DEF			2	9

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
746	56	104
C Cresswell	C Yepes	Y Gboho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Cresswell DEF	746	16	74
V Sierro MID	731	26	66
M McKenzie DEF	637	28	58
D Sidibé DEF	590	35	66
C Yepes MID	566	56	96
G. Restes GLK	448	2	4
A Dönnum FWD	435	21	78
G Suazo DEF	392	27	60
R Nicolaisen DEF	384	6	36
Y Gboho FWD	310	23	104
W Kamanzi DEF	260	23	38
Z Aboukhlal FWD	232	16	59
J King FWD	197	6	60
U Akdag DEF	191	4	19
N Schmidt MID	163	5	8
S Babicka FWD	125	13	34
M Zajc MID	94	2	4
F Magri FWD	70	2	25
D Genreau MID	35	1	3
Álex Domínguez GLK	10

Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	3	8
T Savanier	A Nordin	T Savanier	R. Nzingoula

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Sagnan DEF	16	1		6 -
W Khazri FWD	16	1	1	2 -
T Savanier MID	15	2	3	3 1
A Nordin FWD	15	4		2 -
A Adams FWD	15	3	1	2 -
B Lecomte GLK	14			-
I Sylla DEF	13	1		2 -
R. Nzingoula MID	13	1		8 -
J Ferri MID	13		1	4 1
B Omeragic DEF	12			1 -
M Tamari FWD	12		1	3 -
F Sacko DEF	10		1	1 -
J Chotard MID	10	1		3 -
T Coulibaly FWD	10	1		1 2
G Bares MID	6			-
K Fayad MID	5			1 -
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	4			-
D Bertaud GLK	3			-
T Sainte-Luce DEF	3	1		-
K Kouyaté DEF	3			2 1
O. Maamma FWD	3		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	3	21
A Nordin	T Savanier	T Savanier	T Savanier

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Nordin FWD	4	13		10
A Adams FWD	3	12	1	9
T Savanier MID	2	13	3	21
M Sagnan DEF	1	3		4
I Sylla DEF	1	2		4
R. Nzingoula MID	1	3		2
T Sainte-Luce DEF	1	1		1
W Khazri FWD	1	4	1	7
J Chotard MID	1	1		4
T Coulibaly FWD	1	3		6
K Fayad MID		2		4
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF		1		1
M Tamari FWD		8	1	3
F Sacko DEF			1	5
B Omeragic DEF		3		1
J Ferri MID		2	1	4
B Lecomte GLK				2
O. Maamma FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
688	32	94
T Savanier	M Sagnan	A Nordin

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Savanier MID	688	14	67
J Ferri MID	627	26	51
M Sagnan DEF	620	32	71
B Lecomte GLK	484		2
B Omeragic DEF	468	20	45
F Sacko DEF	397	13	26
I Sylla DEF	348	20	48
J Chotard MID	340	24	47
A Nordin FWD	275	23	94
R. Nzingoula MID	270	29	79
M Tamari FWD	237	14	61
W Khazri FWD	192	16	43
A Adams FWD	168	4	46
K Fayad MID	164	16	29
T Coulibaly FWD	114	9	33
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	100	4	12
D Bertaud GLK	77
G Bares MID	41	2	4
K Kouyaté DEF	38	4	8
T Sainte-Luce DEF	16	1	1
O. Maamma FWD	8		5

French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Marseille v Strasbourg

Toulouse v Montpellier

Sun 26th Jan, 16:15

Nice v Marseille

Sun 26th Jan, 19:45

Toulouse v Montpellier : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Toulouse have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Montpellier are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 9 points having played 17 matches so far this season. Montpellier have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 6 games.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Toulouse v Montpellier Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

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