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Toulouse v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Apr, 18:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Home advantage can be vital in the Ligue 1, and Carles Martínez Novell’s Toulouse will have the blessing of it on Saturday evening. Bruno Genesio’s Lille are their visitors to the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
37%
2.88
7%
-
Draw
27%
3.30
2%
-
Lille
36%
2.50
5%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00-
Toulouse 1-0
10%
8.50
6%
-
Lille 1-0
10%
7.50-
Toulouse 2-1
8%
11.00
10%
-
Lille 2-1
8%
10.00-
Draw 0-0
8%
9.00
6%
-
Toulouse 2-0
6%
13.00
8%
-
Lille 2-0
6%
12.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Toulouse 3-1
3%
23.00-
Lille 3-1
3%
21.00
9%
-
Toulouse 3-0
3%
29.00
12%
-
Lille 3-0
3%
23.00
12%
-
Toulouse 3-2
2%
34.00-
Lille 3-2
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.10
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.73
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.20
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
1.83
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9.00
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.80
6%
-
BTTS - No
48%
1.95
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5.50
8%
-
Home/draw
64%
1.50
4%
-
Away/draw
63%
1.40
3%
-
Home/away
73%
1.33-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.36
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.20
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.25-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.08-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
17.00
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.02-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.07-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.00
6%
-
Home DNB
56%
2.00
9%
-
Away DNB
55%
1.73
5%
-
Toulouse win to nil
20%
4.50
4%
-
Lille win to nil
20%
4.00
8%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
18%
4.75
6%
-
Toulouse / Lille
3%
29.00-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Toulouse
13%
6.50
8%
-
Draw / Lille
14%
6.00-
Draw / Draw
18%
4.75-
Lille / Toulouse
3%
29.00-
Lille / Lille
21%
4.00
8%
-
Lille / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Toulouse have conceded 31 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lille lay in 7th place on 47 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lille have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2823505474 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
4-1A
2
Marseille2816481952 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
May 4
d
 
1-1A
3
Monaco2815581950 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Strasbourg2814771149 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1F
5
Lyon2814681648 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
6
Nice2813871747 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
7
Lille Away2813871247 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
-
-
8
Brest2813411143 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
May 11
9
Lens2912611042 
May 11
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
Auxerre2810810038 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
d
 
0-00-0
11
Toulouse Home289712134 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
12
Rennes2810216032 
May 4
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Nantes287912-1430 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
14
Reims297814-1129 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
May 18
w
 
0-2F
15
Angers287615-2027 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
16
Le Havre288317-2627 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
17
St Etienne286517-3623 
w
 
2-1A
May 18
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
18
Montpellier284321-4315 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Lille have lost 3 consecutive away league games
6
Toulouse have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Toulouse 11TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 1St Etienne
Toulouse2 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse1 - 0Reims
Toulouse1 - 1Angers
Toulouse1 - 2Lyon
Toulouse2 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Toulouse0 - 0Nantes
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse2 - 2Marseille
Toulouse0 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 3Lyon
Toulouse2 - 1Nice
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse2 - 3Marseille
HToulouse2 - 4Brest
AToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
HToulouse1 - 1Monaco
AToulouse4 - 0Angers
AToulouse4 - 1Le Havre
HToulouse0 - 1PSG
AToulouse2 - 2Auxerre
HToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
AToulouse0 - 0Lyon
HToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
AToulouse1 - 0Lens
HToulouse2 - 1St Etienne
AToulouse0 - 2Monaco
HToulouse2 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse0 - 3PSG
AToulouse2 - 0Rennes
HToulouse1 - 0Reims
AToulouse3 - 0Montpellier
Lille 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon2 - 1Lille
Nantes1 - 0Lille
PSG4 - 1Lille
Rennes0 - 2Lille
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Auxerre0 - 0Lille
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Nice2 - 2Lille
Lens0 - 2Lille
Monaco0 - 0Lille
Le Havre0 - 3Lille
St Etienne1 - 0Lille
Reims0 - 2Lille
Nantes1 - 2Lille
Metz1 - 2Lille
Monaco1 - 0Lille
Brest1 - 1Lille
Reims0 - 1Lille
Toulouse3 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALille1 - 2Lyon
HLille1 - 0Lens
ALille0 - 1Nantes
HLille1 - 0Montpellier
ALille1 - 4PSG
HLille2 - 1Monaco
ALille2 - 0Rennes
HLille1 - 2Le Havre
HLille4 - 1St Etienne
ALille1 - 2Strasbourg
HLille2 - 1Nice
ALille0 - 0Auxerre
HLille1 - 1Nantes
ALille1 - 1Marseille
HLille3 - 1Brest
ALille2 - 2Montpellier
HLille1 - 0Rennes
ALille2 - 2Nice
HLille1 - 1Lyon
ALille2 - 0Lens
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Lille
Goals: Scored
13
13
Games: Scored
7 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
2 / 9
TOU
3
D
3
LIL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Toulouse3 - 1
0 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Lille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toulouse3 - 2
1 - 2Lille
League games at Lille since 2013
Lille
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
16
7
Games: Scored
10 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
0 / 10
TOU
2
D
1
LIL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Lille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lille2 - 1
Lille3 - 0
1 - 2Toulouse
Lille1 - 0
1 - 2Toulouse
Lille1 - 0
Lille3 - 0
Lille1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Lille of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday evening against Toulouse.

Toulouse 11th Lille 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Toulouse have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Lille have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279208/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
TOU
LIL
15%
better
view stats
Games scored22
24
Failed to score6
4
Scored first12
17
Goals scored37
42
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
TOU
LIL
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
18
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first14
9
Goals conceded36
30
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%

Toulouse v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26769
A DönnumZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Dönnum DEF2712
3
-
S Babicka FWD2742
2
-
C Cresswell DEF2621
2
-
G Suazo DEF266
-
M McKenzie DEF261
1
-
C Yepes MID2613
9
-
Y Gboho FWD2523
2
-
F Magri FWD255
5
1
G. Restes GLK23
-
V Sierro MID2351
4
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD2372
4
-
D Sidibé DEF222
1
-
J King FWD2252
2
-
W Kamanzi DEF211
3
-
M Zajc MID17
2
-
J. Canvot DEF14
1
-
N Schmidt MID81
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
K Haug GLK6
-
U Akdag DEF6
2
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281449
L ChevalierJ DavidJ DavidB André
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK28
-
B Diakité DEF2741
5
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF262
3
-
J David FWD26144
5
-
B André MID252
9
-
T Meunier DEF241
3
-
Alexsandro DEF242
8
-
O Sahraoui FWD2433
1
-
R Cabella MID212
1
-
A. Bouaddi MID211
2
-
A Mandi DEF20
3
-
M Bakker DEF2022
3
1
H Haraldsson MID1942
3
-
N Mukau MID181
4
-
A Gomes MID17
3
-
M Fernandez FWD1621
3
-
A Gomes MID1411
1
-
E Zhegrova FWD1241
1
-
Ismaily DEF111
3
-
C Akpom FWD82
-
T Santos DEF7
1
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID71
2
-
N Bentaleb MID61
-