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Toulouse v AJ Auxerre : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Dec, 16:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

We’ve Ligue 1 action to look forward to on Sunday afternoon, as Carles Martínez Novell and his Toulouse side host Christophe Pelissier’s AJ Auxerre at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Toulouse and Auxerre will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 79%. The bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
50%
8/11
1%
7/10
3%
Draw
24%
13/529/10
3%
Auxerre
26%
4/118/5
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Toulouse 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Toulouse 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
Toulouse 2-0
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
Auxerre 2-1
7%
14/111/1
Auxerre 1-0
6%
14/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Toulouse 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
9%
10/1
10%
Toulouse 3-0
5%
12/111/1
Auxerre 2-0
4%
25/118/1
Toulouse 3-2
3%
22/116/1
11%
Auxerre 3-1
3%
33/125/1
Toulouse 4-1
2%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Auxerre 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11
4%
7/10
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
5%
21/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
7/10
3%
7/10
3%
BTTS - No
43%
21/20
3%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
12/5
6%
11/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/219/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
15/26/1
7%
Home/draw
74%
1/62/11
2%
Away/draw
50%
21/20
3%
11/10
2%
Home/away
76%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/3
8%
29/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
8%
13/8
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/9
3%
4/9
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
1/6
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
Home DNB
67%
2/72/7
1%
Away DNB
43%
5/223/10
3%
Toulouse win to nil
25%
9/4-
Auxerre win to nil
12%
9/1
11%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
31%
13/8
5%
8/5
1%
Toulouse / Auxerre
3%
33/128/1
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Toulouse
18%
7/2
5%
7/2
Draw / Auxerre
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
5%
Auxerre / Toulouse
4%
20/116/1
Auxerre / Auxerre
11%
13/26/1
Auxerre / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Toulouse have conceded 8 goals, scored 5, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Auxerre lay in 9th place on 16 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Auxerre have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Auxerre have played 6 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Auxerre
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG119202329 
Feb 16
Nov 22
Dec 6
May 18
2
Monaco117221023 
Mar 9
Dec 7
l
 
0-3A
Feb 2
3
Marseille11623920 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 6
Feb 23
w
 
1-3F
4
Lille11542719 
Apr 13
l
 
2-1F
Jan 12
Apr 20
5
Lyon11533318 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 19
Apr 13
d
 
2-2A
6
Nice114521017 
Feb 2
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 16
7
Reims11524417 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
8
Lens11452317 
May 11
Jan 5
Dec 14
Apr 27
9
Auxerre 11515116 
Dec 1
Feb 9
-
-
10
Toulouse 11434215 
-
-
Feb 9
Dec 1
11
Strasbourg11344-213 
Jan 12
Mar 16
Mar 2
Jan 5
12
Brest11416-513 
Mar 30
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 16
13
Rennes11326-511 
May 4
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 6
14
Nantes11245-310 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
May 11
l
 
2-0A
15
Angers11245-710 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
Nov 24
Jan 19
16
St Etienne11317-1510 
Dec 13
May 18
Jan 26
l
 
3-1A
17
Le Havre11308-159 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 23
May 4
l
 
3-1F
18
Montpellier11218-207 
Jan 26
w
 
0-3F
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse1 - 0Reims
Toulouse1 - 1Angers
Toulouse1 - 2Lyon
Toulouse2 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Toulouse0 - 0Nantes
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse2 - 2Marseille
Toulouse0 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 3Lyon
Toulouse2 - 1Nice
Toulouse3 - 1Lille
Toulouse1 - 2Nantes
Toulouse0 - 2Lens
Toulouse1 - 2Monaco
Toulouse0 - 0Rennes
Toulouse1 - 1Lorient
Toulouse1 - 2Le Havre
Toulouse1 - 1Reims
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse2 - 0Rennes
HToulouse1 - 0Reims
AToulouse3 - 0Montpellier
HToulouse1 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse1 - 2Lyon
AToulouse0 - 2Brest
HToulouse2 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse1 - 3Marseille
AToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 0Nantes
HToulouse0 - 3Brest
AToulouse3 - 1PSG
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
AToulouse2 - 1Lorient
HToulouse2 - 2Marseille
AToulouse2 - 1Rennes
HToulouse0 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse3 - 0Clermont
HToulouse2 - 3Lyon
Auxerre 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Lyon2 - 2Auxerre
St Etienne3 - 1Auxerre
Montpellier3 - 2Auxerre
Le Havre3 - 1Auxerre
Nantes2 - 0Auxerre
Amiens0 - 0Auxerre
Dunkerque1 - 3Auxerre
Rodez2 - 0Auxerre
Quevillaise.4 - 3Auxerre
Ajaccio0 - 1Auxerre
St Etienne1 - 0Auxerre
Annecy0 - 2Auxerre
Pau2 - 2Auxerre
Grenoble1 - 1Auxerre
Lavallois1 - 3Auxerre
Concarneau1 - 2Auxerre
Bastia0 - 0Auxerre
Guingamp2 - 1Auxerre
Caen1 - 1Auxerre
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAuxerre3 - 1Marseille
HAuxerre4 - 0Rennes
AAuxerre2 - 2Lyon
HAuxerre2 - 1Reims
AAuxerre1 - 3St Etienne
HAuxerre3 - 0Brest
AAuxerre2 - 3Montpellier
HAuxerre0 - 3Monaco
AAuxerre1 - 3Le Havre
AAuxerre0 - 2Nantes
HAuxerre2 - 1Nice
HAuxerre4 - 1Concarneau
AAuxerre0 - 0Amiens
HAuxerre2 - 0Paris FC
AAuxerre3 - 1Dunkerque
HAuxerre4 - 0Lavallois
AAuxerre0 - 2Rodez
AAuxerre3 - 4Quevillaise.
HAuxerre2 - 0Troyes
AAuxerre1 - 0Ajaccio
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2020
Toulouse
Auxerre
Goals: Scored
10
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
TOU
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toulouse6 - 0
Toulouse3 - 1
League games at Auxerre since 2021
Auxerre
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
4
8
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
TOU
2
AUX
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Auxerre
0 - 5Toulouse
1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Toulouse have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.7 against AJ Auxerre on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Toulouse 10th Auxerre 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Auxerre will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Toulouse have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Auxerre’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279057/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Auxerre
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
TOU
AUX
16%
better
view stats
Games scored9
9
Failed to score2
2
Scored first6
6
Goals scored13
20
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
19
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
29%
better
TOU
AUX
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded11
19
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+29%

Toulouse v Auxerre Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11425
G. RestesZ AboukhlalD SidibéC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK11
-
D Sidibé DEF112
1
-
V Sierro MID111
1
-
Y Gboho FWD1122
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD1142
1
-
C Cresswell DEF10
-
W Kamanzi DEF10
1
-
C Yepes MID101
5
-
S Babicka FWD103
1
-
A Dönnum FWD101
2
-
M McKenzie DEF9
1
-
F Magri FWD9
1
1
J King FWD931
1
-
G Suazo DEF81
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
M Zajc MID7
1
-
N Schmidt MID4
-
D Genreau MID3
-
U Akdag DEF2
-
Auxerre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11543
D LéonH TraorèG PerrinE Owusu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Léon GLK112
2
-
G Perrin FWD1144
1
-
L Sinayoko FWD1123
2
-
C Akpa DEF10
2
-
R Raveloson MID101
2
-
K Danois MID10
-
E Owusu MID1011
3
-
T Bair FWD101
1
-
A Onaiwu FWD102
1
K Hoever DEF9
1
1
G Osho DEF9
1
-
Jubal DEF91
3
-
H Traorè MID951
1
-
F Ayé FWD9
-
S Diomandé DEF822
3
-
P Joly DEF71
1
-
G Mensah DEF61
-
A. Dioussé El Hadji MID4
-
T Pellenard  DEF2
-
L Coulibaly MID21
-
E Maddy FWD1
-