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Strasbourg v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 16:15 BST, Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg

Toulouse, led by manager Carles Martínez Novell, visit Liam Rosenior and his Strasbourg side at the Stade de la Meinau on Sunday afternoon in the Ligue 1. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Strasbourg and Toulouse have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Strasbourg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Strasbourg
37%
13/1013/10
Draw
27%
9/4
2%
12/5
Toulouse
36%
11/5
7%
21/10
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Strasbourg 1-0
10%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Toulouse 1-0
10%
17/2
5%
7/1
11%
Strasbourg 2-1
8%
17/215/2
Toulouse 2-1
8%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
10%
7/1
11%
Strasbourg 2-0
6%
10/117/2
5%
Toulouse 2-0
6%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
Strasbourg 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Toulouse 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Strasbourg 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Toulouse 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Strasbourg 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Toulouse 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10
10%
1/1
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11
9%
3/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/10
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/5
3%
4/5
6%
BTTS - No
48%
19/20
3%
10/11
7%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1
11%
7/2
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/317/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/2
8%
19/4
10%
Home/draw
64%
4/114/11
Away/draw
63%
4/73/5
1%
Home/away
73%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3
2%
1/3
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
12/5
3%
21/10
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4
10%
12/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
1%
1/11
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
56%
8/13
3%
8/13
Away DNB
55%
6/5
5%
23/20
Strasbourg win to nil
21%
11/4
6%
-
Toulouse win to nil
20%
9/2-
Strasbourg / Strasbourg
22%
11/413/5
3%
Strasbourg / Toulouse
3%
28/122/1
Strasbourg / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Strasbourg
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Toulouse
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
4%
Toulouse / Strasbourg
3%
25/120/1
11%
Toulouse / Toulouse
16%
4/119/5
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Strasbourg have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Strasbourg have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Strasbourg have played 11 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Toulouse are in 10th position in the Ligue 1 on 34 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Toulouse have conceded 20 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2520504665 
May 4
l
 
4-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Marseille2515462249 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-3A
Apr 6
3
Nice2613851947 
Apr 13
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
4
Monaco2513571744 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 20
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Lille2512851344 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3A
Apr 13
l
 
2-1F
6
Lyon2512671542 
Mar 28
l
 
4-3F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Strasbourg Home251177740 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Mar 16
8
Lens251069136 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
May 11
w
 
0-1F
9
Brest2511311-236 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
Mar 30
l
 
2-0A
10
Toulouse Away25979534 
Mar 16
w
 
1-2F
-
-
11
Auxerre268810-232 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
12
Rennes259214-129 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 4
w
 
0-2F
13
Angers257612-1427 
d
 
1-1F
May 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
14
Nantes255911-1524 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
15
Reims255713-1422 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
16
Le Havre256316-2721 
May 18
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
17
St Etienne255515-3220 
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
May 18
18
Montpellier254318-3815 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
Strasbourg have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
5
Strasbourg have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive league games
Strasbourg 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg0 - 0Brest
Strasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Strasbourg3 - 1Auxerre
Strasbourg0 - 0Reims
Strasbourg1 - 3Monaco
Strasbourg3 - 1Nantes
Strasbourg2 - 2Lens
Strasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 1Angers
Strasbourg3 - 1Rennes
Strasbourg2 - 1Metz
Strasbourg1 - 3Nice
Strasbourg3 - 1Reims
Strasbourg2 - 0Rennes
Strasbourg0 - 1Monaco
Strasbourg0 - 3Brest
Strasbourg1 - 3Lorient
Strasbourg1 - 2PSG
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStrasbourg1 - 0Nantes
AStrasbourg1 - 0Auxerre
HStrasbourg0 - 0Brest
AStrasbourg2 - 0Lens
HStrasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
AStrasbourg0 - 1Rennes
HStrasbourg2 - 1Lille
AStrasbourg1 - 1Marseille
AStrasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
HStrasbourg3 - 1Auxerre
AStrasbourg3 - 0Le Havre
HStrasbourg0 - 0Reims
AStrasbourg1 - 3Brest
AStrasbourg1 - 2Nice
HStrasbourg1 - 3Monaco
AStrasbourg0 - 2St Etienne
HStrasbourg3 - 1Nantes
AStrasbourg2 - 4PSG
HStrasbourg2 - 2Lens
HStrasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Lyon0 - 0Toulouse
Lens0 - 1Toulouse
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
Rennes0 - 2Toulouse
Montpellier0 - 3Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Nice1 - 1Toulouse
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
Lorient1 - 2Toulouse
Rennes1 - 2Toulouse
Clermont0 - 3Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 0Toulouse
Monaco1 - 2Toulouse
Reims2 - 3Toulouse
Metz0 - 1Toulouse
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse1 - 1Monaco
AToulouse4 - 0Angers
AToulouse4 - 1Le Havre
HToulouse0 - 1PSG
AToulouse2 - 2Auxerre
HToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
AToulouse0 - 0Lyon
HToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
AToulouse1 - 0Lens
HToulouse2 - 1St Etienne
AToulouse0 - 2Monaco
HToulouse2 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse0 - 3PSG
AToulouse2 - 0Rennes
HToulouse1 - 0Reims
AToulouse3 - 0Montpellier
HToulouse1 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse1 - 2Lyon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Strasbourg since 2017
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
SBG
3
D
1
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Strasbourg
Strasbourg2 - 0
1 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Strasbourg2 - 1
League games at Toulouse since 2018
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
SBG
3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 2Strasbourg
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Strasbourg
1 - 2Strasbourg
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Strasbourg's defensive record is to be admired, L. Rosenior's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Toulouse makes sense in this context.

Strasbourg 7th Toulouse 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Strasbourg will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Strasbourg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+42
Toulouse have scored 42% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279178/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Strasbourg
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
19%
better
SBG
TOU
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score4
6
Scored first15
11
Goals scored39
32
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
2%
better
SBG
TOU
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first8
12
Goals conceded32
27
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+2%

Strasbourg v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Strasbourg Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231176
G DouéE EmeghaD BakwaH Diarra
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Doué DEF241
5
-
D Moreira FWD2415
4
-
H Diarra MID2343
6
-
S Nanasi MID2354
-
A Santos MID2371
5
-
Đorđe Petrović GLK22
2
-
I Doukouré DEF221
6
-
D Bakwa FWD2237
3
-
S Mara FWD2011
2
-
E Emegha FWD20112
4
-
M Sarr DEF191
3
-
F Lemaréchal MID1822
2
-
A Sylla DEF161
2
1
G Ouattara FWD1211
1
-
E Sobol DEF8
2
-
P. Diongu MID81
-
V Barco DEF51
2
-
A Omobamidele DEF4
-
K Johnsson GLK3
-
O Perea FWD1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23757
A DönnumZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Dönnum DEF2412
3
-
S Babicka FWD2442
1
-
M McKenzie DEF231
1
-
C Cresswell DEF232
2
-
G Suazo DEF235
-
C Yepes MID2312
7
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD2372
4
-
F Magri FWD233
3
1
Y Gboho FWD2222
2
-
G. Restes GLK21
-
V Sierro MID2031
4
-
D Sidibé DEF192
1
-
W Kamanzi DEF191
3
-
J King FWD1942
2
-
M Zajc MID15
2
-
J. Canvot DEF12
1
-
N Schmidt MID81
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
U Akdag DEF6
2
-
K Haug GLK5
-